• Title/Summary/Keyword: Ensemble Scheme

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A Study on the Effect of Cumulus Parameterization and Microphysics on Ozone Simulations during Long-range Transport Process over Northeast Asia (동북아 장거리 수송 과정에서 적운 모수화 및 미세물리과정이 오존 모사농도에 미치는 영향 연구)

  • Kang, Jeong-Eon;Kim, Cheol-Hee
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.135-151
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    • 2013
  • This study has been carried out to analyze the sensitivity of ozone concentrations by employing different options of cumulus parameterization schemes (CPSs) and microphysics schemes in MM5 models. These sensitivity tests were applied to long-range transport case of higher ozone over Northeast Asia. Employed CPS schemes are Betts-Miller (BM), Grell (GR), Kain-Fritsch2 (KF2), Anthes-Kuo (AK), None scheme (grid scale physics only), and four microphysics used here are Simple ice, Reisner1, Reisner2, Schultz scheme in MM5. We chose two cases of high ozone long range transport case by employing both concentrations ozone level and backward trajectory model. The results showed that modeled ozone concentrations indicated about 10% differences among CPSs. Of the all options, GR and KF2 (for CPS), and Rersiner-1 and Resiner-2 (for microphysics) showed relatively good and stable variations against ensemble mean values. For both CPS and microphysics schemes, the difference of precipitation arising from different parameterization schemes was significant by itself, but the resultant ozone variations showed only marginal. But the cloud fraction differences arising from different parameterization schemes showed better correlation with ozone variations than precipitation differences, indicating that the photochemical ozone generation variations is more dominant by cloud fraction than wet removal process for high and long-ranged transported ozone cases over Northeast Asia.

The Impact of Climate Change on the Dynamics of Soil Water and Plant Water Stress (토양수분과 식생 스트레스 동역학에 기후변화가 미치는 영향)

  • Han, Su-Hee;Kim, Sang-Dan
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.52-56
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    • 2009
  • In this study a dynamic modeling scheme is presented to derive the probabilistic structure of soil water and plant water stress when subject to stochastic precipitation conditions. The newly developed model has the form of the Fokker-Planck equation, and its applicability as a model for the probabilistic evolution of the soil water and plant water stress is investigated under climate change scenarios. This model is based on the cumulant expansion theory, and has the advantage of providing the probabilistic solution in the form of probability distribution function (PDF), from which one can obtain the ensemble average behavior of the dynamics. The simulation result of soil water confirms that the proposed soil water model can properly reproduce the results obtained from observations, and it also proves that the soil water behaves with consistent cycle based on the precipitation pattern. The plant water stress simulation, also, shows two different PDF patterns according to the precipitation. Moreover, with all the simulation results with climate change scenarios, it can be concluded that the future soil water and plant water stress dynamics will differently behave with different climate change scenarios.

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A Design of Adaptive Equalizer for Terrestrial Digital Television Receivers (지상파 디지털 TV 수신기의 적응등화기 설계)

  • 정진희;김정진;권용식;장용덕;정해주
    • Journal of Broadcast Engineering
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.153-162
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    • 2003
  • This paper describes a structure of adaptive equalizer to improve reception performance of ATSC digital television (DTV) for 8-VSB receivers. There are many strong and dynamic echoes affecting reliable reception of DTV signal. Conventional DFE based least mean square (LMS) algorithm is readily implemented and has good Performance. There are still problems to be solved, however, in handling strong echoes and indoor reception. In this paper, structure of adaptive equalizer to mitigate these Problems in strong multipath interference conditions and indoor reception environment is first presented. Methods to reduce error propagation effects on DFE and initialization scheme of filter coefficients for fast convergence are then introduced. Computer simulation results prove that an adaptive equalizer with proposed design methods can combat with Brazil Ensemble and the Threshold of Visibility(TOV) is improved.

Development of daily spatio-temporal downscaling model with conditional Copula based bias-correction of GloSea5 monthly ensemble forecasts (조건부 Copula 함수 기반의 월단위 GloSea5 앙상블 예측정보 편의보정 기법과 연계한 일단위 시공간적 상세화 모델 개발)

  • Kim, Yong-Tak;Kim, Min Ji;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.54 no.12
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    • pp.1317-1328
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    • 2021
  • This study aims to provide a predictive model based on climate models for simulating continuous daily rainfall sequences by combining bias-correction and spatio-temporal downscaling approaches. For these purposes, this study proposes a combined modeling system by applying conditional Copula and Multisite Non-stationary Hidden Markov Model (MNHMM). The GloSea5 system releases the monthly rainfall prediction on the same day every week, however, there are noticeable differences in the updated prediction. It was confirmed that the monthly rainfall forecasts are effectively updated with the use of the Copula-based bias-correction approach. More specifically, the proposed bias-correction approach was validated for the period from 1991 to 2010 under the LOOCV scheme. Several rainfall statistics, such as rainfall amounts, consecutive rainfall frequency, consecutive zero rainfall frequency, and wet days, are well reproduced, which is expected to be highly effective as input data of the hydrological model. The difference in spatial coherence between the observed and simulated rainfall sequences over the entire weather stations was estimated in the range of -0.02~0.10, and the interdependence between rainfall stations in the watershed was effectively reproduced. Therefore, it is expected that the hydrological response of the watershed will be more realistically simulated when used as input data for the hydrological model.

Hydrologic Utilization of Radar-Derived Rainfall (II) Uncertainty Analysis (레이더 추정강우의 수문학적 활용 (II): 불확실성 해석)

  • Kim Jin-Hoon;Lee Kyoung-Do;Bae Deg-Hyo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.38 no.12 s.161
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    • pp.1051-1060
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    • 2005
  • The present study analyzes hydrologic utilization of optimal radar-derived rainfall by using semi-distributed TOPMODEL and evaluates the impacts of radar rainfall and model parametric uncertainty on a hydrologic model. Monte Carlo technique is used to produce the flow ensembles. The simulated flows from the corrected radar rainfalls with real-time bias adjustment scheme are well agreed to observed flows during 22-26 July 2003. It is shown that radar-derived rainfall is useful for simulating streamflow on a basin scale. These results are diagnose with which radar-rainfall Input and parametric uncertainty influence the character of the flow simulation uncertainty. The main conclusions for this uncertainty analysis are that the radar input uncertainty is less influent than the parametric one, and combined uncertainty with radar and Parametric input can be included the highest uncertainty on a streamflow simulation.

Energy-band model on photoresponse transitions in biased asymmetric dot-in-double-quantum-well infrared detector

  • Sin, Hyeon-Uk;Choe, Jeong-U;Kim, Jun-O;Lee, Sang-Jun;No, Sam-Gyu;Lee, Gyu-Seok;Krishna, S.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Vacuum Society Conference
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    • 2010.08a
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    • pp.234-234
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    • 2010
  • The PR transitions in asymmetric dot-in-double-quantum-well (DdWELL) photodetector is identified by bias-dependent spectral behaviors. Discrete n-i-n infrared photodetectors were fabricated on a 30-period asymmetric InAs-QD/[InGaAs/GaAs]/AlGaAs DdWELL wafer that was prepared by MBE technique. A 2.0-monolayer (ML) InAs QD ensemble was embedded in upper combined well of InGaAs/GaAs and each stack is separated by a 50-nm AlGaAs barrier. Each pixel has circular aperture of 300 um in diameter, and the mesa cell ($410{\times}410\;{\mu}m^2$) was defined by shallow etching. PR measurements were performed in the spectral range of $3{\sim}13\;{\mu}m$ (~ 100-400 meV) by using a Fourier-transform infrared (FTIR) spectrometer and a low-noise preamplifier. The asymmetric photodetector exhibits unique transition behaviors that near-/far-infrared (NIR/FIR) photoresponse (PR) bands are blue/red shifted by the electric field, contrasted to mid-infrared (MIR) with no dependence. In addition, the MIR-FIR dual-band spectra change into single-band feature by the polarity. A four-level energy band model is proposed for the transition scheme, and the field dependence of FIR bands numerically calculated by a simplified DdWELL structure is in good agreement with that of the PR spectra. The wavelength shift by the field strength and the spectral change by the polarity are discussed on the basis of four-level transition.

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SPOT/VEGETATION-based Algorithm for the Discrimination of Cloud and Snow (SPOT/VEGETATION 영상을 이용한 눈과 구름의 분류 알고리즘)

  • Han Kyung-Soo;Kim Young-Seup
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.235-244
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    • 2004
  • This study focuses on the assessment for proposed algorithm to discriminate cloudy pixels from snowy pixels through use of visible, near infrared, and short wave infrared channel data in VEGETATION-1 sensor embarked on SPOT-4 satellite. Traditional threshold algorithms for cloud and snow masks did not show very good accuracy. Instead of these independent masking procedures, K-Means clustering scheme is employed for cloud/snow discrimination in this study. The pixels used in clustering were selected through an integration of two threshold algorithms, which group ensemble the snow and cloud pixels. This may give a opportunity to simplify the clustering procedure and to improve the accuracy as compared with full image clustering. This paper also compared the results with threshold methods of snow cover and clouds, and assesses discrimination capability in VEGETATION channels. The quality of the cloud and snow mask even more improved when present algorithm is implemented. The discrimination errors were considerably reduced by 19.4% and 9.7% for cloud mask and snow mask as compared with traditional methods, respectively.

Distributed Construction of the Recrystallization Topology and Efficient Searching in the Unstructured Peer-to-Peer Network (재결정 위상의 분산적 구성과 비구조적 피어투피어 망에서의 효율적 검색)

  • Park, Jae-Hyun
    • Journal of KIISE:Information Networking
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.251-267
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, we present a distributed topology control algorithm for constructing an optimized topology having a minimal search-time in unstructured peer-to-peer network. According to the proposed algorithm, each node selects the best nodes having higher hit-ratio than other nodes as many as the number being exponentially proportional to the hit-ratio of the node itself, and then it connects to them. The ensemble behavior of the proposed algorithm is very similar to the recrystrallizing phenomenon that is observed in nature. There is a partial order relationship among the hit-ratios of most nodes of constructed topology. Therefore once query message visits a node, it has a higher hit-ratio than the node that was visited last by the message. The query message even sent from freeloader can escape to the node having high hit-ratio by one hop forwarding, and it never revisits any freeloader again. Thus the search can be completed within a limited search time. We also propose the Chain-reactive search scheme using the constructed topology. Such a controlled multicasting reduces the query messages by 43 percent compared to that of the naive Gnutella using broadcasting, while it saves the search time by 94 percent. The search success rate of the proposed scheme is 99 percent.

Classification of Remote Sensing Data using Random Selection of Training Data and Multiple Classifiers (훈련 자료의 임의 선택과 다중 분류자를 이용한 원격탐사 자료의 분류)

  • Park, No-Wook;Yoo, Hee Young;Kim, Yihyun;Hong, Suk-Young
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.489-499
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, a classifier ensemble framework for remote sensing data classification is presented that combines classification results generated from both different training sets and different classifiers. A core part of the presented framework is to increase a diversity between classification results by using both different training sets and classifiers to improve classification accuracy. First, different training sets that have different sampling densities are generated and used as inputs for supervised classification using different classifiers that show different discrimination capabilities. Then several preliminary classification results are combined via a majority voting scheme to generate a final classification result. A case study of land-cover classification using multi-temporal ENVISAT ASAR data sets is carried out to illustrate the potential of the presented classification framework. In the case study, nine classification results were combined that were generated by using three different training sets and three different classifiers including maximum likelihood classifier, multi-layer perceptron classifier, and support vector machine. The case study results showed that complementary information on the discrimination of land-cover classes of interest would be extracted within the proposed framework and the best classification accuracy was obtained. When comparing different combinations, to combine any classification results where the diversity of the classifiers is not great didn't show an improvement of classification accuracy. Thus, it is recommended to ensure the greater diversity between classifiers in the design of multiple classifier systems.

Development of Stochastic Downscaling Method for Rainfall Data Using GCM (GCM Ensemble을 활용한 추계학적 강우자료 상세화 기법 개발)

  • Kim, Tae-Jeong;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Lee, Dong-Ryul;Yoon, Sun-Kwon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.47 no.9
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    • pp.825-838
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    • 2014
  • The stationary Markov chain model has been widely used as a daily rainfall simulation model. A main assumption of the stationary Markov model is that statistical characteristics do not change over time and do not have any trends. In other words, the stationary Markov chain model for daily rainfall simulation essentially can not incorporate any changes in mean or variance into the model. Here we develop a Non-stationary hidden Markov chain model (NHMM) based stochastic downscaling scheme for simulating the daily rainfall sequences, using general circulation models (GCMs) as inputs. It has been acknowledged that GCMs perform well with respect to annual and seasonal variation at large spatial scale and they stand as one of the primary sources for obtaining forecasts. The proposed model is applied to daily rainfall series at three stations in Nakdong watershed. The model showed a better performance in reproducing most of the statistics associated with daily and seasonal rainfall. In particular, the proposed model provided a significant improvement in reproducing the extremes. It was confirmed that the proposed model could be used as a downscaling model for the purpose of generating plausible daily rainfall scenarios if elaborate GCM forecasts can used as a predictor. Also, the proposed NHMM model can be applied to climate change studies if GCM based climate change scenarios are used as inputs.