• Title/Summary/Keyword: Ensemble Machine learning

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A Korean Community-based Question Answering System Using Multiple Machine Learning Methods (다중 기계학습 방법을 이용한 한국어 커뮤니티 기반 질의-응답 시스템)

  • Kwon, Sunjae;Kim, Juae;Kang, Sangwoo;Seo, Jungyun
    • Journal of KIISE
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    • v.43 no.10
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    • pp.1085-1093
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    • 2016
  • Community-based Question Answering system is a system which provides answers for each question from the documents uploaded on web communities. In order to enhance the capacity of question analysis, former methods have developed specific rules suitable for a target region or have applied machine learning to partial processes. However, these methods incur an excessive cost for expanding fields or lead to cases in which system is overfitted for a specific field. This paper proposes a multiple machine learning method which automates the overall process by adapting appropriate machine learning in each procedure for efficient processing of community-based Question Answering system. This system can be divided into question analysis part and answer selection part. The question analysis part consists of the question focus extractor, which analyzes the focused phrases in questions and uses conditional random fields, and the question type classifier, which classifies topics of questions and uses support vector machine. In the answer selection part, the we trains weights that are used by the similarity estimation models through an artificial neural network. Also these are a number of cases in which the results of morphological analysis are not reliable for the data uploaded on web communities. Therefore, we suggest a method that minimizes the impact of morphological analysis by using character features in the stage of question analysis. The proposed system outperforms the former system by showing a Mean Average Precision criteria of 0.765 and R-Precision criteria of 0.872.

Using Mechanical Learning Analysis of Determinants of Housing Sales and Establishment of Forecasting Model (기계학습을 활용한 주택매도 결정요인 분석 및 예측모델 구축)

  • Kim, Eun-mi;Kim, Sang-Bong;Cho, Eun-seo
    • Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
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    • v.50 no.1
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    • pp.181-200
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    • 2020
  • This study used the OLS model to estimate the determinants affecting the tenure of a home and then compared the predictive power of each model with SVM, Decision Tree, Random Forest, Gradient Boosting, XGBooest and LightGBM. There is a difference from the preceding study in that the Stacking model, one of the ensemble models, can be used as a base model to establish a more predictable model to identify the volume of housing transactions in the housing market. OLS analysis showed that sales profits, housing prices, the number of household members, and the type of residential housing (detached housing, apartments) affected the period of housing ownership, and compared the predictability of the machine learning model with RMSE, the results showed that the machine learning model had higher predictability. Afterwards, the predictive power was compared by applying each machine learning after rebuilding the data with the influencing variables, and the analysis showed the best predictive power of Random Forest. In addition, the most predictable Random Forest, Decision Tree, Gradient Boosting, and XGBooost models were applied as individual models, and the Stacking model was constructed using Linear, Ridge, and Lasso models as meta models. As a result of the analysis, the RMSE value in the Ridge model was the lowest at 0.5181, thus building the highest predictive model.

Machine Learning Based Capacity Prediction Model of Terminal Maneuvering Area (기계학습 기반 접근관제구역 수용량 예측 모형)

  • Han, Sanghyok;Yun, Taegyeong;Kim, Sang Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.50 no.3
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    • pp.215-222
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    • 2022
  • The purpose of air traffic flow management is to balance demand and capacity in the national airspace, and its performance relies on an accurate capacity prediction of the airport or airspace. This paper developed a regression model that predicts the number of aircraft actually departing and arriving in a terminal maneuvering area. The regression model is based on a boosting ensemble learning algorithm that learns past aircraft operational data such as time, weather, scheduled demand, and unfulfilled demand at a specific airport in the terminal maneuvering area. The developed model was tested using historical departure and arrival flight data at Incheon International Airport, and the coefficient of determination is greater than 0.95. Also, the capacity of the terminal maneuvering area of interest is implicitly predicted by using the model.

A Study on the Timing of Starting Pitcher Replacement Using Machine Learning (머신러닝을 활용한 선발 투수 교체시기에 관한 연구)

  • Noh, Seongjin;Noh, Mijin;Han, Mumoungcho;Um, Sunhyun;Kim, Yangsok
    • Smart Media Journal
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.9-17
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    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study is to implement a predictive model to support decision-making to replace a starting pitcher before a crisis situation in a baseball game. To this end, using the Major League Statcast data provided by Baseball Savant, we implement a predictive model that preemptively replaces starting pitchers before a crisis situation. To this end, first, the crisis situation that the starting pitcher faces in the game was derived through data exploration. Second, if the starting pitcher was replaced before the end of the inning, learning was carried out by composing a label with a replacement in the previous inning. As a result of comparing the trained models, the model based on the ensemble method showed the highest predictive performance with an F1-Score of 65%. The practical significance of this study is that the proposed model can contribute to increasing the team's winning probability by replacing the starting pitcher before a crisis situation, and the coach will be able to receive data-based strategic decision-making support during the game.

Enhance Health Risks Prediction Mechanism in the Cloud Using RT-TKRIBC Technique

  • Konduru, Venkateswara Raju;Bharamgoudra, Manjula R
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.166-174
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    • 2021
  • A large volume of patient data is generated from various devices used in healthcare applications. With increase in the volume of data generated in the healthcare industry, more wellness monitoring is required. A cloud-enabled analysis of healthcare data that predicts patient risk factors is required. Machine learning techniques have been developed to address these medical care problems. A novel technique called the radix-trie-based Tanimoto kernel regressive infomax boost classification (RT-TKRIBC) technique is introduced to analyze the heterogeneous health data in the cloud to predict the health risks and send alerts. The infomax boost ensemble technique improves the prediction accuracy by finding the maximum mutual information, thereby minimizing the mean square error. The performance evaluation of the proposed RT-TKRIBC technique is realized through extensive simulations in the cloud environment, which provides better prediction accuracy and less prediction time than those provided by the state-of-the-art methods.

Forecasting KOSPI Return Using a Modified Stochastic AdaBoosting

  • Bae, Sangil;Jeong, Minsoo
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.403-424
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    • 2021
  • AdaBoost tweaks the sample weight for each training set used in the iterative process, however, it is demonstrated that it provides more correlated errors as the boosting iteration proceeds if models' accuracy is high enough. Therefore, in this study, we propose a novel way to improve the performance of the existing AdaBoost algorithm by employing heterogeneous models and a stochastic twist. By employing the heterogeneous ensemble, it ensures different models that have a different initial assumption about the data are used to improve on diversity. Also, by using a stochastic algorithm with a decaying convergence rate, the model is designed to balance out the trade-off between model prediction performance and model convergence. The result showed that the stochastic algorithm with decaying convergence rate's did have a improving effect and outperformed other existing boosting techniques.

SkyMapper Optical Follow-up of Gravitational Wave Triggers: Overview of Alert Science Data Pipeline (AlertSDP)

  • Chang, Seo-Won
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.46 no.1
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    • pp.61.2-61.2
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    • 2021
  • SkyMapper is the largest-aperture optical wide-field telescope in Australia and can be used for transient detection in the Southern sky. Reference images from its Southern Survey cover the sky at δ <+10 deg to a depth of I ~ 20 mag. It has been used for surveys of extragalactic transients such as supernovae, optical counterparts to gravitational-wave (GW) and fast radio bursts. We adopt an ensemble-based machine learning technique and further filtering scheme that provides high completeness ~98% and purity ~91% across a wide magnitude range. Here we present an important use-case of our robotic transient search, which is the follow-up of GW event triggers from LIGO/Virgo. We discuss the facility's performance in the case of the second binary neutron star merger GW190425. In time for the LIGO/Virgo O4 run, we will have deeper reference images for galaxies within out to ~200 Mpc distance, allowing rapid transient detection to i ~ 21 mag.

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Water Level Prediction on the Golok River Utilizing Machine Learning Technique to Evaluate Flood Situations

  • Pheeranat Dornpunya;Watanasak Supaking;Hanisah Musor;Oom Thaisawasdi;Wasukree Sae-tia;Theethut Khwankeerati;Watcharaporn Soyjumpa
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.31-31
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    • 2023
  • During December 2022, the northeast monsoon, which dominates the south and the Gulf of Thailand, had significant rainfall that impacted the lower southern region, causing flash floods, landslides, blustery winds, and the river exceeding its bank. The Golok River, located in Narathiwat, divides the border between Thailand and Malaysia was also affected by rainfall. In flood management, instruments for measuring precipitation and water level have become important for assessing and forecasting the trend of situations and areas of risk. However, such regions are international borders, so the installed measuring telemetry system cannot measure the rainfall and water level of the entire area. This study aims to predict 72 hours of water level and evaluate the situation as information to support the government in making water management decisions, publicizing them to relevant agencies, and warning citizens during crisis events. This research is applied to machine learning (ML) for water level prediction of the Golok River, Lan Tu Bridge area, Sungai Golok Subdistrict, Su-ngai Golok District, Narathiwat Province, which is one of the major monitored rivers. The eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) algorithm, a tree-based ensemble machine learning algorithm, was exploited to predict hourly water levels through the R programming language. Model training and testing were carried out utilizing observed hourly rainfall from the STH010 station and hourly water level data from the X.119A station between 2020 and 2022 as main prediction inputs. Furthermore, this model applies hourly spatial rainfall forecasting data from Weather Research and Forecasting and Regional Ocean Model System models (WRF-ROMs) provided by Hydro-Informatics Institute (HII) as input, allowing the model to predict the hourly water level in the Golok River. The evaluation of the predicted performances using the statistical performance metrics, delivering an R-square of 0.96 can validate the results as robust forecasting outcomes. The result shows that the predicted water level at the X.119A telemetry station (Golok River) is in a steady decline, which relates to the input data of predicted 72-hour rainfall from WRF-ROMs having decreased. In short, the relationship between input and result can be used to evaluate flood situations. Here, the data is contributed to the Operational support to the Special Water Resources Management Operation Center in Southern Thailand for flood preparedness and response to make intelligent decisions on water management during crisis occurrences, as well as to be prepared and prevent loss and harm to citizens.

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A Machine Learning-Based Encryption Behavior Cognitive Technique for Ransomware Detection (랜섬웨어 탐지를 위한 머신러닝 기반 암호화 행위 감지 기법)

  • Yoon-Cheol Hwang
    • Journal of Industrial Convergence
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    • v.21 no.12
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    • pp.55-62
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    • 2023
  • Recent ransomware attacks employ various techniques and pathways, posing significant challenges in early detection and defense. Consequently, the scale of damage is continually growing. This paper introduces a machine learning-based approach for effective ransomware detection by focusing on file encryption and encryption patterns, which are pivotal functionalities utilized by ransomware. Ransomware is identified by analyzing password behavior and encryption patterns, making it possible to detect specific ransomware variants and new types of ransomware, thereby mitigating ransomware attacks effectively. The proposed machine learning-based encryption behavior detection technique extracts encryption and encryption pattern characteristics and trains them using a machine learning classifier. The final outcome is an ensemble of results from two classifiers. The classifier plays a key role in determining the presence or absence of ransomware, leading to enhanced accuracy. The proposed technique is implemented using the numpy, pandas, and Python's Scikit-Learn library. Evaluation indicators reveal an average accuracy of 94%, precision of 95%, recall rate of 93%, and an F1 score of 95%. These performance results validate the feasibility of ransomware detection through encryption behavior analysis, and further research is encouraged to enhance the technique for proactive ransomware detection.

A Study on Training Ensembles of Neural Networks - A Case of Stock Price Prediction (신경망 학습앙상블에 관한 연구 - 주가예측을 중심으로 -)

  • 이영찬;곽수환
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.95-101
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    • 1999
  • In this paper, a comparison between different methods to combine predictions from neural networks will be given. These methods are bagging, bumping, and balancing. Those are based on the analysis of the ensemble generalization error into an ambiguity term and a term incorporating generalization performances of individual networks. Neural Networks and AI machine learning models are prone to overfitting. A strategy to prevent a neural network from overfitting, is to stop training in early stage of the learning process. The complete data set is spilt up into a training set and a validation set. Training is stopped when the error on the validation set starts increasing. The stability of the networks is highly dependent on the division in training and validation set, and also on the random initial weights and the chosen minimization procedure. This causes early stopped networks to be rather unstable: a small change in the data or different initial conditions can produce large changes in the prediction. Therefore, it is advisable to apply the same procedure several times starting from different initial weights. This technique is often referred to as training ensembles of neural networks. In this paper, we presented a comparison of three statistical methods to prevent overfitting of neural network.

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