• Title/Summary/Keyword: Engineering Economic Decision

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Decision Making Methodology on Ventilation System for Road Tunnels Based on Multi-Attribute Utility Theory (다속성 효용이론을 활용한 터널환기방식 선정)

  • Lee, Hye-Jin;Kang, Sang-Hyeok;Park, Won-Young;Seo, Jong-Won
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.106-115
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    • 2007
  • The size and length of road tunnels have been gradually expanded as industry developed. Consequently, the risk has been increased. The decision making process for ventilation system for road tunnels involves a large amount of information on economic feasibility, construction methods, and safety etc. In situation where systematically structured decision making process is unavailable, almost decisions about ventilation systems are made based on engineers' private knowledge and experiences. Procedure and criteria to choose the best optimized ventilation system among many alternatives are proposed, breaking away from the economic dependency-oriented decision making. This paper presents a Multi-Attribute Utility Theory and AHP based function with which planners can calculate overall utility of each alternative. It is anticipated that the effective use of the proposed methodology for decision making on ventilation systems ould be able to reduce the likelihood of the occurrence of potential safety risks as well as increase the overall ventilation performance.

Development of the Decision-Making System for National Highway Pavement Management (국도 포장관리를 위한 의사결정시스템 개발)

  • Do, Myungsik;Kwon, Sooahn;Lee, Sang Hyuk;Kim, Yongjoo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.645-654
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    • 2014
  • PMS (Pavement Management System) of National highways in Korea has used HDM (Highway Development and Management)-4 developed by World Bank for decision-making for maintenance and rehabilitation of pavements. However using HDM-4 is not appropriate in Korea because HDM-4 requires excessive input factors for analysis and economic analysis models loaded in HDM-4 are not suitable for Korean circumstances. Thus this study aims development of decision-making system for effective pavement management with reflecting Korean circumstances. Moreover this study proposed to define component of system, deterioration models, and basic units for component, and to analyze characteristics of component of system, and also to develop optimal decision-making system. The decision-making system for PMS mainly consists of 1) DB of highways, traffics, and socio-economic index, 2) pavement deterioration model, 3) speed prediction models by pavement conditions, 4) economic evaluation models, and 5) decision-making supporting system. Also this study provided analysis results in case studies for system verifications. However pavement deterioration models considering future probabilistic characteristic and index of decision-making are needed to develop for a further study.

Decision Support Tool for Evaluating Push and Pull Strategies in the Flow Shop with a Bottleneck Resource

  • Chiadamrong, N.;Techalert, T.;Pichalai, A.
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.83-93
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    • 2007
  • This paper gives an attempt to build a decision support tool linked with a simulation software called ARENA for evaluating and comparing the performance of the push and pull material driven strategies operating in the flow shop environment with a bottleneck resource as the shop's constraint. To be fair for such evaluation, the comparison must be made fairly under the optimal setting of both systems' operating parameters. In this study, an optimal-seeking heuristic algorithm, Genetic Algorithm (GA), is employed to suggest a systems' best design based on the economic consideration, which is the profit generated from the system. Results from the study have revealed interesting outcomes, letting us know the strength and weakness of the push and pull mechanisms as well as the effect of each operating parameter to the overall system's financial performance.

Economic Assessment of Customer Owned Battery Energy Storage System (BESS) (수용가용 전자전력저장시스템의 경제성 분석)

  • Choi, Joon-Ho;Kim, Jae-Chul;Hong, Jeong-Suk;Son, Sag-Sig;Im, Tae-Hoon
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2000.11a
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    • pp.180-183
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    • 2000
  • The Battery Energy Storage System(BESS) has lots of advantages such as load levelling, quick response emergency power(spinning reserve), frequency and voltage control, improvement of reliability, and deferred generation and transmission construction. The economic feasibility requires justification from the customer side of meter to promoting the dissemination of BESS nationally. In this paper, we proposed the economic assessment model of customer owned Battery Energy Storage System(BESS) which is complemented and improved the existing model. The proposed model is applied to the typical customer type(light-industrial commercial, and residential) which are taken from the statistical analysis on the load profile survey of Korea Electric Power COmpany (KEPCO). The economic assessment performed for each customer type to justifying their economic feasibility of BESS installation from the economic measures such as payback period, overall benefits, ROI, and ROR. The results of this paper are useful to the customer investment decision making and the national energy policy & strategy.

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An Integrated Environment and Economic Evaluation Model for Building Reconstruction and Remodeling Projects (재건축과 리모델링 사업의 환경성${\cdot}$경제성 통합평가모델)

  • Lee Ju-Heon;Park Chan-Sik
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • autumn
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    • pp.327-330
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    • 2002
  • Recently, the environmental sustainability has showed up one of the important considerations in the construction industry. However, the effective evaluation method for the decision-making on either reconstruction or remodeling of a project has not been developed so far. This paper presents an integrated evaluation model considering both environment and economic factors of a building project for which the decision making on either remodeling or reconstruction is needed. In order to develop the model, the characteristics of both types of projects were investigated and analyzed through the related literature review, and then appropriate evaluation criteria and analysis methodology to be used in the model were developed.

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Economical & Technological Ripple Effects in Acquiring New Weapon System : Focused on Ground·Sea·Air Weapon System (국방무기체계 연구개발 기반 경제적·기술적 파급효과 : 지상·해상·공중 무기체계를 중심으로)

  • Shin, Sang-Wook;Oh, Cheon-Kyun;Yim, Dong-Soon;Choi, Bong-Wan
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.41 no.4
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    • pp.111-122
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    • 2018
  • The private sector is currently reviewing the feasibility of the project or deciding economic policies by analyzing the economic ripple effects. However, the arms acquisition project focuses on the need for the national defense weapons system by analyzing the costs and the effectiveness of the analysis and reviewing the necessity and feasibility of the project. In order to analyze the economic ripple effects, KB (the Bank of Korea) prepares and publishes an analysis table of industrial associations in a given unit. IAAR (the industrial association analysis report) is difficult to apply directly to the defense weapons system. Therefore, research on the economic ripple effects applicable to the defense arms procurement project was needed. In this study, we propose the generic methodology for estimating economical and technical ripple effects resulted in acquiring new weapon systems. Based on the analysis of inter-industrial relations, economical ripple effects are estimated with production inducing effects, value-induced effects, employment-induced effects and export-induced effects. Also, the technological ripple effects are estimated with technological intensity represented by investment cost in research and development. To show the validity of proposed methodology, a case study of acquiring new weapon systems such as GR (guided rocket), destroyer, and helicopter is accomplished. From the case study, it is concluded that these economical & technological ripple effects can be used as a reference to decision making in the course of acquiring major future defense weapons systems.

Determinants of nuclear power expansion in Indonesia

  • Cho, Inkyung;Oh, Surim;Kim, Soohyeon;Ardin, Fadolly;Heo, Eunnyeong
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.53 no.1
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    • pp.314-321
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    • 2021
  • As Indonesia is rich in natural resources, nuclear power remains a low priority among energy alternatives. However, Indonesia needs to introduce nuclear power to improve the atmospheric environment and to support sustainable economic growth. This study conducted a two-stage survey of logit-probit and analytic hierarchy process to analyze the perception of Indonesian energy policymakers regarding the introduction of nuclear power, the potential for change, and key decision factors. The analysis confirms that the perception of nuclear power is positive and that the willingness to expand nuclear power can improve if negative conditions, such as underdeveloped technology level, foreign aid and assistance, and safety issues are addressed. In addition, it is confirmed that the policy makers consider political/social and environmental factors to be more important for decision-making. The results of this study can give inplications and be used as a key reference for Indonesia's nuclear power policy

Economic Analysis of Wastewater Reuse Systems for Agricultural Irrigation using a System Dynamics Approach (시스템 다이내믹스를 이용한 농업용수 재이용시스템 경제성 분석)

  • Jeong, Han Seok;Suh, Kyo;Jang, Tae Il;Seong, Choung Hyun;Kim, Hak Kwan;Park, Seung Woo
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.55 no.2
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    • pp.9-20
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    • 2013
  • Many studies have reported additional treatment is needed to use wastewater for agricultural purpose. Economic considerations should be taken into account to establish infrastructure for agricultural reuse because of a large amount of water use in irrigation and relatively low water quality requirement. The objective of this study was to conduct economic analysis of wastewater reclamation and reuse systems for agriculture. A system dynamics approach considering complexity and dynamics in the wastewater reuse systems was used for the economic analysis, which are related with social, environmental, and economic problems. Sensitivity and benefit cost analysis for wastewater reuse systems was conducted through the established economic assessment model. The result of sensitivity analysis showed that water resources development and installation cost were the most sensitive for total benefits and costs, respectively. The scenario-based test of the organized economic assessment model shows marginal cost ranges and enables decision-makers to decide reasonable cost for the wastewater reuse systems for agriculture.

A semi-supervised interpretable machine learning framework for sensor fault detection

  • Martakis, Panagiotis;Movsessian, Artur;Reuland, Yves;Pai, Sai G.S.;Quqa, Said;Cava, David Garcia;Tcherniak, Dmitri;Chatzi, Eleni
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.251-266
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    • 2022
  • Structural Health Monitoring (SHM) of critical infrastructure comprises a major pillar of maintenance management, shielding public safety and economic sustainability. Although SHM is usually associated with data-driven metrics and thresholds, expert judgement is essential, especially in cases where erroneous predictions can bear casualties or substantial economic loss. Considering that visual inspections are time consuming and potentially subjective, artificial-intelligence tools may be leveraged in order to minimize the inspection effort and provide objective outcomes. In this context, timely detection of sensor malfunctioning is crucial in preventing inaccurate assessment and false alarms. The present work introduces a sensor-fault detection and interpretation framework, based on the well-established support-vector machine scheme for anomaly detection, combined with a coalitional game-theory approach. The proposed framework is implemented in two datasets, provided along the 1st International Project Competition for Structural Health Monitoring (IPC-SHM 2020), comprising acceleration and cable-load measurements from two real cable-stayed bridges. The results demonstrate good predictive performance and highlight the potential for seamless adaption of the algorithm to intrinsically different data domains. For the first time, the term "decision trajectories", originating from the field of cognitive sciences, is introduced and applied in the context of SHM. This provides an intuitive and comprehensive illustration of the impact of individual features, along with an elaboration on feature dependencies that drive individual model predictions. Overall, the proposed framework provides an easy-to-train, application-agnostic and interpretable anomaly detector, which can be integrated into the preprocessing part of various SHM and condition-monitoring applications, offering a first screening of the sensor health prior to further analysis.

An Investigation of the Comparative Rate of Return

  • Park, Young-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.12-23
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    • 1986
  • The minimum attractive rate of return (MARR) has been used for many years as a decision criterion in engineering economic analysis. Typically, inflation has been either ignored in such studies or considered by adjusting each of the individual cash flows associated with a project for inflation, frequently a lengthy process. This research investigates a new decision criterion for economic analysis, the comparative rate of return (CRR). The CRR is defined to be the minimum rate of return earned on uninflated cash flows of proposed expenditures is simplified, since the analysis can be performed on the uninflated cash flows. The research presents a derivation of the CRR and investigates its relationships to the MARR, inflation rate project cash flows and project life.

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