• 제목/요약/키워드: Empirical power

검색결과 945건 처리시간 0.029초

구매력평가 가설에 대한 연구: 중국을 대상으로 (A Study on the Purchasing Power Parity Hypothesis: Evidence from China)

  • 장설근;하육강
    • 산경연구논집
    • /
    • 제10권2호
    • /
    • pp.65-75
    • /
    • 2019
  • Purpose - Along with Chinese exchange rate's reform advancement, the issue of exchange rate of RMB has increasingly become the heated focus in the world. In July 2005, China carried out the reform of the exchange rate system, and this behavior has aroused the attention of the world. However, the dispute on whether the theory of purchasing power parity holds or not in China still exists. As such, this paper will attempt to explore whether the purchasing power parity is significant in China. Research design, data, and methodology - The monthly data from July 2005 to December 2017 will be employed to analyze the nominal exchange rate of RMB against the US dollar and the nominal exchange rate of RMB against the euro. Based on these datum, an empirical analysis will be conducted under the unit root test and the cointegration test to exploit the significance of purchasing power parity in China. Results - The findings of this paper reveal that an increase in China's consumer price index will lead to an increase in the RMB exchange rate, which will lead to the depreciation of RMB. Concomitantly, an increase in the consumer price index in the US and Europe will result in a decrease in the RMB exchange rate, which will lead to an appreciation of RMB. In general, in terms of the US, if US consumer price index increases by 1%, China's nominal exchange rate against US dollar will decrease by 0.905%; if China's consumer price index increases by 1%, China's nominal exchange rate against US dollar will increase by 0.648%. In terms of Europe, if Europe consumer price index increases by 1%, China's nominal exchange rate against euro will decrease by 0.277%; If China's consumer price index increases by 1%, China's nominal exchange rate against euro will increase by 0.235%. Conclusions - Generally speaking, the empirical evidences this paper provided show that the purchasing power parity theory has a certain explanatory ability for the decision of RMB exchange rate. As such, the purchasing power parity cannot hold completely, and China's government should continue to deepen the reform of the exchange rate system to improve China's exchange rate market.

거리조락함수를 이용한 수도권 지역간 기업이동 거리감쇄효과 실증 연구 (An empirical study on the effect of distance decay for the relocated firms using distance-decay function by industrial types in the Seoul Metropolitan Area)

  • 안영수;이승일
    • 지역연구
    • /
    • 제31권2호
    • /
    • pp.47-61
    • /
    • 2015
  • 이 연구의 목적은 수도권을 대상으로 입지를 변경한 기업들의 거리감쇄효과를 실증분석하는 것이다. 기업은 이전할 때 이전비용부담과 해당지역의 고객확보, 관련업체와의 협력 등으로 해당지역과 근접한 지역으로 재입지 하려는 경향을 나타낸다. 따라서 기업의 입지변경 시 이동거리는 기존 입지지역과 최대한 가까운 지역에 재입지하려는 거리감쇄효과가 발생한다. 본 연구는 수도권 소재의 서비스업과 제조업, 건설업 기업들의 기업이동 거리감쇄함수를 구축하고 그 효과를 실증분석하였다. 실증분석결과 서비스업과 제조업, 건설업 모든 기업의 거리감쇄효과가 있음을 확인하였으며, 구축한 거리감쇄함수의 설명력($R^2$)은 제조업은 .802, 서비스업은 .812, 건설업은 .728로 높은 설명력을 나타냈다. 이는 기업이동에 대한 거리감쇄효과가 있음을 실증한 것이며, 또한 건설업과 서비스업, 제조업 순서로 거리감쇄효과가 큼을 도출하였다.

전완의 등척성 수축시 최대근지구력시간을 예측하기 위한 동적근피로모델의 평가 (Evaluation of dynamic muscle fatigue model to predict maximum endurance time during forearm isometric contraction)

  • 이기영
    • 한국정보전자통신기술학회논문지
    • /
    • 제15권6호
    • /
    • pp.433-439
    • /
    • 2022
  • 최대근지구력시간(MET, maximum endurance time)을 예측하기 위한 근피로모델은 실험적으로 측정한 MET를 이용하여 구축한 실증적 모델과 생리학적 과정을 수학적으로 표현한 이론적 모델로 나뉜다. 본 연구에서는 전완의 등척성 수축시 MET을 예측하기 위한 이론적 모델인 동적 근피로모델의 예측성 평가를 위하여 실증적 모델과 비교 및 평가하고자 한다. 실험에 참여한 피검자는 40명(남성 20, 여성 20)이며 실증적 모델인 지수모델과 거듭제곱모델 및 이론적 모델인 동적 근피로모델을 이용하여 비교하였다. 평가를 위하여 평균절대치편차(MAD, mean absolute deviation), 상관계수 및 급내상관계수를 구한 결과 동적 근피로모델과 실증적 모델들 사이에 MAD는 3.5%p 이하였으며, 상관계수는 0.93, 급내상관계수는 0.87 이상으로 전완의 등척성 수축시 MET을 예측하기 위한 이론적 모델인 동적 근피로모델이 적합함을 확인하였다.

CPX 및 Pass-by 계측을 이용한 단독 주행 차량의 음향파워 평가 방법에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Evaluation Method of Sound Power for a Travelling Vehicle Using CPX and Pass-by Measurements)

  • 최태묵;문성호;서영국;김진형;김병희;배효준;지우진;조대승
    • 한국소음진동공학회논문집
    • /
    • 제16권11호
    • /
    • pp.1124-1131
    • /
    • 2006
  • This paper presents a novel method to determine sound power level(PWL) emitted by a travelling vehicle for road traffic noise simulation. The PWL is evaluated by the equivalent sound pressure level (SPL) measured by close proximity method and the sound power correction factor derived from the maximum SPL measured by pass-by method and the propagation attenuation of vehicle noise during the pass-by measurement. Using the method, we derive the empirical formula for PWL estimation in 1/1-octave and overall frequency bands for 8 vehicles (automobile, SUV, small truck, large bus, trailer, 3 dump trucks) tested at two road surfaces (dense graded asphalt, 30mm transverse tinning concrete) of Korean highway test road. The suggested approach, if securing sufficient data to represent the acoustic characteristics of all vehicle types, has il strong merit to be able to evaluate sound power levels for any combination of vehicle categories and traffic volumes.

대관령 풍력단지의 풍력발전량 및 경제성 분석 (A Study on the Wind rower Generation and Its Economic Feasibility at Daekwanryung)

  • 하정우;김수덕
    • 에너지공학
    • /
    • 제14권2호
    • /
    • pp.123-132
    • /
    • 2005
  • 본 논문은 현재 건설 중인 대관령 풍력발전 단지의 풍력 발전 관련 풍속의 분포 및 풍력 발전량을 검토하고, 대관령 풍력 발전의 경제성을 분석하였다. 풍력발전에 있어 풍속의 분포가 핵심요소이고, 풍속분포는 shape factor및 scale factor로 구성되는 Weibull 분포함수로 일반적으로 표현되나, 실제 풍속 분포자료를 조사하여 최적의 계수를 도출, 연간 풍력 발전량을 구하였다. 풍력발전 시설의 초기투자비 및 유지관리 비용은 국내 자료를 이용코자 하였으나, 관련 자료의 확보에 어려움이 있어 유럽풍력협회의 자료(EWEA, 2003. 12)를 적용하였다. 결과는 현재 발전차액제도를 통해 보전되는 풍력에너지의 적정한 기준가격을 마련하는데 유익한 정보를 제공한다.

병원도산 예측모형의 실증적 비교연구 (Empirical Analysis of 3 Statistical Models of Hospital Bankruptcy in Korea)

  • 이무식;서영준;양동현
    • 보건행정학회지
    • /
    • 제9권2호
    • /
    • pp.1-20
    • /
    • 1999
  • This study was conducted to investigate the predictors of hospital bankruptcy in Korea and to examine the predictive power for 3 types of statistical models of hospital bankruptcy. Data on 17 financial and 4 non-financial indicators of 30 bankrupt and 30 profitable hospitals in 1. 2, and 3 years before bankruptcy were obtained from the hospital performance databank of Korea Institute of Health Services Management. Significant variables were identified through mean comparison of each indicator between bankrupt and profitable hospitals, and the predictive power of statistical models of hospital bankruptcy were compared. The major findings are as follows. 1. Nine out of 21 indicators - fixed ratio, quick ratio, operating profit to total assets, operating profit to gross revenue, normal profit to total assets,normal profit to gross revenue, net profit to gross revenue, inventories turnrounds, and added value per adjusted patient - were found to be significantly predictitive variables in Logit and Probit models. 2. The predicdtive power of discriminant model of hospital bankruptcy in 1. 2, and 3 years before bankruptcy were 85.4, 79.0, and 83.8% respectively. With regard to the predictive power of the Logit model of hospital bankruptcy, they were 82.3, 75.8, and 80.6% respectively, and of the Probit model. 87.1. 80.6, and 88.7% respectively. 3. The predictive power of the Probit model of hospital bankruptcy is better than the other two predictive models.

  • PDF

CPX 및 Pass-by 계측을 이용한 단독 주행 차량의 음향파워 평가 방법에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Evaluation Method of Sound Power for a Travelling Vehicle Using CPX and Pass-by Measurements)

  • 최태묵;문성호;서영국;김진형;김병희;배효준;조대승
    • 한국소음진동공학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국소음진동공학회 2006년도 춘계학술대회논문집
    • /
    • pp.421-427
    • /
    • 2006
  • This paper presents a novel method to determine sound power level(PWL) emitted by a travelling vehicle for road traffic noise simulation. The PWL is evaluated by the equivalent sound pressure level(SPL) measured by close proximity method and the sound power correction factor derived from the maximum SPL measured by pass-by method and the propagation attenuation of vehicle noise during the pass-by measurement. Using the method, we derive the empirical formula for PWL estimation in 1/1-octave and overall frequency bands for 8 vehicles(automobile, SUV, small truck, large bus, trailer, 3 dump trucks) tested at two road surfaces(dense graded asphalt, 30mm transverse tinning concrete) of Korean highway test road. The suggested approach, if securing sufficient data to represent the acoustic characteristics of au vehicle types, has a strong merit to be able to evaluate sound power levels for any combination of vehicle categories and traffic volumes.

  • PDF

온도와 풍속에 따른 태양광발전 효율 실증분석 연구 (A Study on Solar Power Generation Efficiency Empirical Analysis according to Temperature and Wind speed)

  • 차왕철;박정호;조욱래;김재철
    • 전기학회논문지P
    • /
    • 제64권1호
    • /
    • pp.1-6
    • /
    • 2015
  • Factors that have influence on solar power generation are specified into three aspects such as meteorological, geographical factors as well as equipment installation. Meteorological factors influence the most among the three. Insolation, sunshine hours, and cloud directly influence on solar power generation, whereas temperature and wind speed have impacts on equipment installation. This paper provides explanation over temperature-wind speed equation by calculating influence of temperature and wind speed on equipment installation. In order to conduct a research, pyranometer, anemometer, air thermometer, module thermometer are installed in 2MWp solar power plant located in South Cholla province, so that real-time meteorological data and generating amount can be analyzed through monitoring system. Besides, if existing and new methods are applied together, accuracy of prediction for generating amount is improved.

Incorporating Resource Dynamics to Determine Generation Adequacy Levels in Restructured Bulk Power Systems

  • Felder, Frank A.
    • KIEE International Transactions on Power Engineering
    • /
    • 제4A권2호
    • /
    • pp.100-105
    • /
    • 2004
  • Installed capacity markets in the northeast of the United States ensure that adequate generation exists to satisfy regional loss of load probability (LOLP) criterion. LOLP studies are conducted to determine the amount of capacity that is needed, but they do not consider several factors that substantially affect the calculated distribution of available capacity. These studies do not account for the fact that generation availability increases during periods of high demand and therefore prices, common-cause failures that result in multiple generation units being unavailable at the same time, and the negative correlation between load and available capacity due to temperature and humidity. A categorization of incidents in an existing bulk power reliability database is proposed to analyze the existence and frequency of independent failures and those associated with resource dynamics. Findings are augmented with other empirical findings. Monte Carlo methods are proposed to model these resource dynamics. Using the IEEE Reliability Test System as a single-bus case study, the LOLP results change substantially when these factors are considered. Better data collection is necessary to support the more comprehensive modeling of resource adequacy that is proposed. In addition, a parallel processing method is used to offset the increase in computational times required to model these dynamics.

컨테이너항만의 경쟁력 측정방법:AHP와 DEA접근 (A Measurement Way of Competition Power of Container Port: AHP and DEA Approach)

  • 박길영;오성동;박노경
    • 한국항만경제학회지
    • /
    • 제21권1호
    • /
    • pp.133-151
    • /
    • 2005
  • The purpose of this paper is to investigate the international competition power between Korean ports and Chinese ports according to the port efficiency scores of DEA(Data Envelopment Analysis) by newly introducing the priority vector of AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process) to the DEA method. Empirical analysis shows the followings: First, there was not big changes of DEA rankings when we use the input-oriented CCR and BCC models after introducing the AHP priority vectors to the input variables. Yantian Port's competition power was declined, but that of Busan Port was up in the BCC model. Second, there was some changes of DEA rankings when we use the output-oriented CCR and BCC models after introducing the AHP priority vectors to the output variables. Rankings of Dalian, Qingdao, Shanghai Ports were up. But Shekou, Yantian Ports showed the declined ranking position in the CCR model. In the BBC model, rankings of Shanghai and Busan Ports were up. But those of Shekou and Yantian Ports were declined. The main policy implication based on the findings of this study is that The Ministry of Maritime Affairs & Fisheries in Korea and China should introduce AHP and DEA approaches when they measure the international competition power by using the porrt efficiency scores of DEA.

  • PDF