• Title/Summary/Keyword: Empirical Probability

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Fragility curves and loss functions for RC structural components with smooth rebars

  • Cardone, Donatello
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.10 no.5
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    • pp.1181-1212
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    • 2016
  • Fragility and loss functions are developed to predict damage and economic losses due to earthquake loading in Reinforced Concrete (RC) structural components with smooth rebars. The attention is focused on external/internal beam-column joints and ductile/brittle weak columns, designed for gravity loads only, using low-strength concrete and plain steel reinforcing bars. First, a number of damage states are proposed and linked deterministically with commonly employed methods of repair and related activities. Results from previous experimental studies are used to develop empirical relationships between damage states and engineering demand parameters, such as interstory and column drift ratios. Probability distributions are fit to the empirical data and the associated statistical parameters are evaluated using statistical methods. Repair costs for damaged RC components are then estimated based on detailed quantity survey of a number of pre-70 RC buildings, using Italian costing manuals. Finally, loss functions are derived to predict the level of monetary losses to individual RC components as a function of the experienced response demand.

Firm Size and Innovation : A Probit Analysis (제조업 기업의 기술혁신 형태와 결정요인 : 기업규모와 기술혁신)

  • 신태영
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.169-186
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    • 1999
  • This study empirically investigates innovative behaviors of the firm. In so doing, a Probit was employed and estimated. We used the raw data of the "corporate innovation survey"(CIS), which, in consent with OECD efforts, is regularly undertaken by the Science and Technology Policy Institute(SIEPI). The data set includes more than 3400 firms in the manufacturing sector. Three types of innovation, i.e., new product, product improvement and process innovation, are studied, assuming that determinants of innovation are firm′s age. number of employees as the size of firm, ratio of foreign ownership and innovation costs. To investigate the relationship between firm′s innovation behavior and the size, we estimate the Probit including the quadratic term of the firm size. Empirical findings showed that the sign of the quadratic term of the firm size turned out to be negative. It means that the probability of firm's making innovation shows the inversed-U relationship with the firm size. Such an empirical result may have a significant implication for the industrial policy.

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Empirical Bayes Posterior Odds Ratio for Heteroscedastic Classification

  • Kim, Hea-Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.92-101
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    • 1987
  • Our interest is to access in some way teh relative odds or probability that a multivariate observation Z belongs to one of k multivariate normal populations with unequal covariance matrices. We derived the empirical Bayes posterior odds ratio for the classification rule when population parameters are unknown. It is a generalization of the posterior odds ratio suggested by Gelsser (1964). The classification rule does not have complicated distribution theory which a large variety of techniques from the sampling viewpoint have. The proposed posterior odds ratio is compared to the Gelsser's posterior odds ratio through a Monte Carlo study. The results show that the empiricla Bayes posterior odds ratio, in general, performs better than the Gelsser's. Especially, for large dimension of Z and small training sample, the performance is prominent.

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Kullback-Leibler Information of the Equilibrium Distribution Function and its Application to Goodness of Fit Test

  • Park, Sangun;Choi, Dongseok;Jung, Sangah
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.125-134
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    • 2014
  • Kullback-Leibler (KL) information is a measure of discrepancy between two probability density functions. However, several nonparametric density function estimators have been considered in estimating KL information because KL information is not well-defined on the empirical distribution function. In this paper, we consider the KL information of the equilibrium distribution function, which is well defined on the empirical distribution function (EDF), and propose an EDF-based goodness of fit test statistic. We evaluate the performance of the proposed test statistic for an exponential distribution with Monte Carlo simulation. We also extend the discussion to the censored case.

Exports, Firm Size, and Firm Dynamics : An Empirical Study on the Korean Manufacturing Industry (기업규모, 기업성장, 그리고 수출성과 : 우리나라 제조업에 대한 실증적 연구)

  • Sung, Tae-Kyung;Park, Kwang-Seo
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.22
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    • pp.1-23
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    • 2007
  • This paper investigates the relationships between exports, firm size, and firm dynamics. It is based on a longitudinal data covering listed firms in the Korean manufacturing industry. We found the stylized fact that the probability that a firm is exporter increases with firm size. A regression model for the determinant of export/sales ratio including dynamic adjustment process is tested on a cross-section sample for the year 2001. Empirical findings suggest that there is a positive and inversely U-shaped relationship between firm size and export/sales ratio, just for basic material and capital good industry. Except for firm size, the hypotheses concerning human capital intensity, physical capital intensity, R&D intensity, and patent are rejected. Using Granger causality test, we found that the rate of growth of total sales influences the change of the export/sales ratio with time lag for medium-sized firms. Finally, some policy implications are presented.

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Mitigation of Budgetary Slack Behavior Through Islamic Religiosity and Budget Control: An Empirical Study of Indonesian Local Companies

  • LAKASSE, Syarifuddin;HAMZAH, Muh. Nasir;ABDULLAH, M. Wahyuddin;SYAHRUDDIN, Syahruddin
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.8
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    • pp.355-363
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    • 2021
  • This study aims to obtain empirical evidence about the cognitive effect of Islamic religiosity and budget control in reducing budgetary slack behavior. This study involved 176 managers as respondents in 10 local companies in Eastern Indonesia. Managers who are respondents in thus study work and are spread across 14 provinces in Indonesia. Probability sampling method has been used for this study from the total population with certain criteria. Data analysis has been done using Warp PLS-SEM technique. The results showed that Islamic religiosity cognitive and budget control had a direct negative effect on budgetary slack behavior. The two variables also fully mediate the relationship between participatory budgeting and budget-based compensation schemes on the behavior of budgetary slack in a negative and significant way. These results mean that the two variables are proven to reduce budgetary slack behavior. This empirical evidence at the same time corrects the agency theory's assumptions about opportunistic human nature and always maximizes every potential economic profit. In addition, the results also show that Islamic religiosity cognitive is stronger in reducing budgetary slack behavior. These results can be used to improve the company's budget control system by incorporating elements that motivate religious goals so that it is more effective in reducing budgetary slack behavior.

Assessment of seismic damage inspection and empirical vulnerability probability matrices for masonry structure

  • Li, Si-Qi;Chen, Yong-Sheng;Liu, Hong-Bo;Du, Ke;Chi, Bo
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.387-399
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    • 2022
  • To study the seismic damage of masonry structures and understand the characteristics of the multi-intensity region, according to the Dujiang weir urbanization of China Wenchuan earthquake, the deterioration of 3991 masonry structures was summarized and statistically analysed. First, the seismic damage of multistory masonry structures in this area was investigated. The primary seismic damage of components was as follows: Damage of walls, openings, joints of longitudinal and transverse walls, windows (lower) walls, and tie columns. Many masonry structures with seismic designs were basically intact. Second, according to the main factors of construction, seismic intensity code levels survey, and influence on the seismic capacity, a vulnerability matrix calculation model was proposed to establish a vulnerability prediction matrix, and a comparative analysis was made based on the empirical seismic damage investigation matrix. The vulnerability prediction matrix was established using the proposed vulnerability matrix calculation model. The fitting relationship between the vulnerability prediction matrix and the actual seismic damage investigation matrix was compared and analysed. The relationship curves of the mean damage index for macrointensity and ground motion parameters were drawn through calculation and analysis, respectively. The numerical analysis was performed based on actual ground motion observation records, and fitting models of PGA, PGV, and MSDI were proposed.

Married Women's Decision on the Job Continuity after Childbirth (사무직 기혼여성의 출산후 취업지속 결정요인)

  • 이기영
    • Journal of Families and Better Life
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.99-110
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    • 1997
  • The purpose of this study is to explore systemetically what makes working women continue or interrupt their job after childbirth, An empirical survey was conducted by using questionnaire and data from 194 women who had clerical job before first childbirth. The major findings are as follows : (1) The significant differences between the two groups are caused by family orientation, motherhood, average monthly wage of her own, emotional support, child carer in the family, maternal policy. (2) The probability of continuing job is higher when the public supports are offered to working married women than in case of being supported privately.

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A Study on Estimators of Pr (X1 < Y < X2)

  • Kim, Jae Joo;Kim, Seong Yeon
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.2-10
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    • 1986
  • In this paper t he minimum variance unbiased, maximum likelihood and empirical estimators of the probability $P_r$ ($X_1<Y<X_2$) are obtained, where $X_1$, $X_2$ and Y are mutually independent exponential random variables. Comparison of estimators is discussed in the last section for illustraition.

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Hyperparameter Selection for APC-ECOC

  • Seok, Kyung-Ha
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.1219-1231
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    • 2008
  • The main object of this paper is to develop a leave-one-out(LOO) bound of all pairwise comparison error correcting output codes (APC-ECOC). To avoid using classifiers whose corresponding target values are 0 in APC-ECOC and requiring pilot estimates we developed a bound based on mean misclassification probability(MMP). It can be used to tune kernel hyperparameters. Our empirical experiment using kernel mean squared estimate(KMSE) as the binary classifier indicates that the bound leads to good estimates of kernel hyperparameters.

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