• 제목/요약/키워드: Empirical Method

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적응적 지수평활법을 이용한 공급망 수요예측의 실증분석 (An Empirical Study on Supply Chain Demand Forecasting Using Adaptive Exponential Smoothing)

  • 김정일;차경천;전덕빈;박대근;박성호;박명환
    • 산업공학
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    • 제18권3호
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    • pp.343-349
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    • 2005
  • This study presents the empirical results of comparing several demand forecasting methods for Supply Chain Management(SCM). Adaptive exponential smoothing using change detection statistics (Jun) is compared with Trigg and Leach's adaptive methods and SAS time series forecasting systems using weekly SCM demand data. The results show that Jun's method is superior to others in terms of one-step-ahead forecast error and eight-step-ahead forecast error. Based on the results, we conclude that the forecasting performance of SCM solution can be improved by the proposed adaptive forecasting method.

준 경험기법을 이용한 고집적 반도체공장의 미진동 제어를 위한 구조물의 동적설계에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Structural Dynamic Design for Sub-micro Vibration Control in High Class Semiconductor Factor by Semi-Empirical Method)

  • 이홍기;백재호;원영재;박해동;김두훈
    • 소음진동
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    • 제9권6호
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    • pp.1227-1233
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    • 1999
  • Modern technology depends on the reliability of extremely high technology equipments. In the production of semiconductor wafer, optical and electron microscopes, ion-beam, laser device must maintain their alignments within a nanometer. This equipment requires a vibration free environment to provide its proper function. Especially, lithography and inspection devices, which have sub-nanometer class high accuracy and resolution, have come to necessity for producing more improved giga and tera class semiconductor wafers. This high technology equipments require very strict environmental vibration standard, vibration criteria, in proportion to the accuracy of the manufacturing, inspecting devices. This paper deals with the structural dynamic design in high class semiconductor factory in order to be satisfied more strict vibration criteria for high sensitive equipment.

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공급업체 선정에 대한 의사결정에 관한 연구 (An Empirical Study on Supplier Selection based on Analytic Hierarchy Process)

  • 이욱기
    • 디지털융복합연구
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    • 제3권2호
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    • pp.23-37
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    • 2005
  • On the situation cooperating with business partners on the supply chain, systematic decision making process is a critical issue for them. The two major issues of purchasing strategy such as selecting vendors and managing them are important part of their overall business activities. This study mainly focus on the former issue of the vendor selection. Through the empirical study, analytical hierarchy process (AHP) method was applied to select vendors among supplier vendors based on four selection criteria such as the level of quality, product on management ability, delivery, and price. The results of study showed the main criteria of vender selection was the ability of quality management. The vender selected based on AHP and the current selection method was different, but implicitly projected the dilemma situation between quality and price which occurs in decision making process of real life.

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공급업체 선정에 대한 의사결정에 관한 연구 (An Empirical Study on Supplier Selection based on Analytic Hierarchy Process)

  • 이욱기;김주완
    • 한국디지털정책학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국디지털정책학회 2005년도 추계학술대회
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    • pp.367-381
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    • 2005
  • On the situation cooperating with business partners on the supply chain, systematic decision making process is a critical issue for them. The two major issues of purchasing strategy such as selecting vendors and managing them are important part of their overall business activities. This study mainly focus on the former issue of the vendor selection. Through the empirical study, analytical hierarchy process (AHP) method was applied to select vendors among supplier vendors based on four selection criteria such as the level of quality, product on management ability, delivery, and price. The results of study showed the main criteria of vender selection was the ability of quality management. The vender selected based on AHP and the current selection method was different, but implicitly projected the dilemma situation between quality and price which occurs in decision making process of real life.

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Determining Attributes of Suicide Attempts in Korean Elderly People: Emphasis on Attribute Selection Techniques

  • Bae, Eun Chan;Lee, Kun Chang
    • 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
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    • 제20권9호
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    • pp.11-20
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    • 2015
  • In order to prevent the elderly people from committing suicide attempts, it is necessary to verify attributes that affect the suicide attempts. It is noted that previous studies have focused on qualitative approaches, and simple correlation analyses to determine the attributes related to the suicide attempts in the elderly people. However, such previous approaches had led to insufficient performance when facing with complicated data sets. In this sense, this study suggests an alternative method in which attribute selection techniques are adopted to determine more relevant attributes of the suicide attempts occurring in Korean elderly people. To verify empirical validity of our proposed method, we used Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (KNHANES) from January 2007 to December 2012. Empirical results proved that the proposed attribute selection techniques showed better predictive effectiveness; 94.4% compared to the simple statistical methods. This study proposes a way to determining the elderly suicide and preventing it to happen.

Numerical Analysis on Pressure Characteristics of the Pipe system of Train

  • 남성원;장파
    • 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국철도학회 2004년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.503-509
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    • 2004
  • With modem computational fluid dynamics method (CFD), air-charging models of the air brake pipe system and auxiliary reservoir are built. Compared with one-dimension model, no empirical formula is introduced to solve branch pipe fields for two-dimension model. A modified operator-splitting method is presented to solve the coupled equations of pressure and velocity, and numerical simulation shows that it is very stable. Compare the numerical results with empirical data of heavy haul trains in home and abroad so as to prove the correctness of the theory and algorithm presented. This paper gives theoretic reference to the experiments of braking effects of heavy haul trains, and forms a basis for development of complete freight train air brake system simulation.

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Analysis of the Empirical Effects of Contextual Matching Advertising for Online News

  • Oh, Hyo-Jung;Lee, Chang-Ki;Lee, Chung-Hee
    • ETRI Journal
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    • 제34권2호
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    • pp.292-295
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    • 2012
  • Beyond the simple keyword matching methods in contextual advertising, we propose a rich contextual matching (CM) model adopting a classification method for topic targeting and a query expansion method for semantic ad matching. This letter reports on an investigation into the empirical effects of the CM model by comparing the click-through rates (CTRs) of two practical online news advertising systems. Based on the evaluation results from over 100 million impressions, we prove that the average CTR of our proposed model outperforms that of a traditional model.

An Empirical Analysis on a Predictive Method of Systematic Segmentation in Volatile High-Tech Markets

  • Shin, Yonghee;Jeon, Hyori;Choi, Munkee;Han, Eoksoo;Jung, Sungyoung
    • ETRI Journal
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    • 제35권2호
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    • pp.321-331
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    • 2013
  • High-tech markets are unpredictable owing to rapid technology innovation, diverse customer needs, high competition, and other elements. Many scholars have attempted to explain the uncertainty in high-tech markets using their own various approaches. However, sufficiently clear ways to predict diverse changes and trends in high-tech markets have yet to be presented. Thus, this paper proposes a new approach model, that is, systematic market segmentation, to give more accurate information. Using an empirical dataset from the mobile handset market in the Republic of Korea, we conduct our research model consisting of three steps. First, we categorize nine basic segments. Second, we test the stability of these segments. Finally, we profile the characteristics of the customers and products. We conclude that the approach is able to offer more diagnostic information to both practitioners and scholars. It is expected to provide rich information for an appropriate marketing mix in practice.

Empirical Analysis on Change of Korean Male Pro- Basketball Players Draft System

  • Choi, Kyoung-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제19권4호
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    • pp.1081-1089
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    • 2008
  • Beginning in the 2007-2008 season, the men's pro-basketball league changed a foreigner selection method by introducing a draft system which leads to a tryout from the free agency system. Also in the same season, the woman's pro-basketball league changed its system from one that permitted foreign players to one that doesn't allow foreign player participation. The reason for this change is thought to be financial problems. However this institutional change brings about the reduction in the quality of basketball and it will affect spectators in a negative way. The empirical study attempted to analyze the effects which follows an institutional change in Korean men's pro-basketball. The research showed that the men's pro-basketball league wasn't affected at all due to foreigner selection method by a draft system that led to a tryout from the free agency system.

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고출력 연속발진 레이저에 의한 금속 관통율 모델링 (Modeling of Metal Penetration Rate by a High Power Continuous Wave Laser)

  • 신완순;고해석;박병서;강응철
    • 한국군사과학기술학회지
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    • 제15권5호
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    • pp.705-711
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study is to develop the model to estimate the penetration rate of metal under a high power continuous wave laser irradiation. To estimate it, an empirical modeling is more practical when the penetration phenomena of metal by laser irradiation is too complex to be analyzed by the numerical simulation. When several methods published earlier were applied to our results, we found out that their methods were not appropriate as the model. Therefore, we suggested the new empirical method considering effective intensity as a key variable. As a result, we confirmed that the new method was effective to model the penetration rate of SUS304 metal and expected that it could be available to other metals.