• 제목/요약/키워드: Electricity price

검색결과 399건 처리시간 0.027초

개선된 수요 클러스터링 기법을 이용한 발전기 보수정지계획 모델링 (Modeling Planned Maintenance Outage of Generators Based on Advanced Demand Clustering Algorithms)

  • 김진호;박종배
    • 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
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    • 제55권4호
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    • pp.172-178
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, an advanced demand clustering algorithm which can explore the planned maintenance outage of generators in changed electricity industry is proposed. The major contribution of this paper can be captured in the development of the long-term estimates for the generation availability considering planned maintenance outage. Two conflicting viewpoints, one of which is reliability-focused and the other is economy-focused, are incorporated in the development of estimates of maintenance outage based on the advanced demand clustering algorithm. Based on the advanced clustering algorithm, in each demand cluster, conventional effective outage of generators which conceptually capture maintenance and forced outage of generators, are newly defined in order to properly address the characteristic of the planned maintenance outage in changed electricity markets. First, initial market demand is classified into multiple demand clusters, which are defined by the effective outage rates of generators and by the inherent characteristic of the initial demand. Then, based on the advanced demand clustering algorithm, the planned maintenance outages and corresponding effective outages of generators are reevaluated. Finally, the conventional demand clusters are newly classified in order to reflect the improved effective outages of generation markets. We have found that the revision of the demand clusters can change the number of the initial demand clusters, which cannot be captured in the conventional demand clustering process. Therefore, it can be seen that electricity market situations, which can also be classified into several groups which show similar patterns, can be more accurately clustered. From this the fundamental characteristics of power systems can be more efficiently analyzed, for this advanced classification can be widely applicable to other technical problems in power systems such as generation scheduling, power flow analysis, price forecasts, and so on.

에너지 안보 및 기후변화 대책을 고려한 발전구성비의 도출 : 정책 목표간의 상호보완성을 중심으로 (Fuel Mix of Electricity Generating System Considering Energy Security and Climate Change Mitigations : Focusing on Complementarity between Policy Objectives)

  • 류하늬;김규남;김연배
    • 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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    • 제20권4호
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    • pp.761-796
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    • 2011
  • 본 연구는 발전부문에서 에너지 정책의 목표인 에너지 안보와 기후변화 대책 간의 상호보완성을 고려하면서 최저 비용을 기준으로 도출된 발전 구성비를 나타내었다. 에너지 안보의 수준을 측정하기 위해 에너지 안보 가격지수를 도입하여 화석연료의 공급 집중도에서 비롯된 안보 위협을 평가하였다. CSC 방법론의 적용을 통해 원자력과 육상풍력이 석탄가스화 복합발전 및 미분탄 화력발전을 대체하는 경우가 비용효율적인 대체안으로 나타났으며, 잠재적인 탄소 감축 가능량 및 안보 개선폭을 확인하였다. 또한 이러한 대체안이 탄소 감축뿐만 아니라 에너지 안보의 개선을 달성하는 상호보완성을 확인하였다. 추가적인 에너지 안보의 개선을 위해서는 화석연료의 해외자원개발을 통한 에너지 자급률을 제고하는 것이 최선의 대안으로 나타났으며, 이를 기반으로 2020년의 특정 목표치를 달성하기 위해 최저 비용을 나타내는 발전구성비를 도출하였다.

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발전·에너지업종의 배출권거래제 제1차 계획기간 배출권 구입비용 추정과 전력시장 반응 (Estimating the Compliance Cost of the Power and Energy Sector in Korea during the First Phase of the Emissions Trading Scheme)

  • 이상림;이지웅;이윤
    • 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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    • 제25권3호
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    • pp.377-401
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    • 2016
  • 배출권거래제는 시장 친화적 온실가스 감축 정책이지만 단기적으로는 기업들에게 추가적인 비용을 야기한다. 이 비용에 대한 정교한 예측은 기업이 직면한 불확실성을 줄이고, 나아가 거래제의 안정적 조기 안착을 돕는다. 본 연구는 배출량이 가장 많은 업종인 발전 에너지 업종의 2016-17년 예상 배출권 구입비용을 추산한다. '제7차 전력수급기본계획' 상의 전력수급량 전망치를 근거로 전력시뮬레이션 모형 M-Core을 이용하여 전망한 온실가스 예상 배출량과 '온실가스 배출권거래제 제1차 계획기간(2015년~2017년) 국가 배출권 할당계획'에 나타난 발전 에너지 업종 할당량을 이용하여 해당 업종의 배출권 과부족분을 추정하였다. 그 결과 2016년은 무상할당량이 예상배출량을, 2017년에는 예상배출량이 무상할당량을 초과하는 것으로 나타났으며, 배출권 가격이 1만원~2만원/톤인 경우 배출권 구입비용이 약 700억~1,400억원이 될것으로 전망되었다. 그리고 CO2 비용이 변동비에 포함된다는 가정 하에서, 배출권 가격이 8만원/톤을 초과하는 경우에 석탄화력발전과 LNG발전 간 급전순위 변동이 발생하는 것으로 확인되었다. 이는 2만원 이하의 현재 배출권 가격 수준으로는 배출권거래제의 목적인 석탄화력발전 대체를 달성할 수 없음을 의미한다.

시간축 및 요일축 정보를 이용한 신경회로망 기반의 계통한계가격 예측 (A System Marginal Price Forecasting Method Based on an Artificial Neural Network Using Time and Day Information)

  • 이정규;신중린;박종배
    • 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
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    • 제54권3호
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    • pp.144-151
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    • 2005
  • This paper presents a forecasting technique of the short-term marginal price (SMP) using an Artificial Neural Network (ANN). The SW forecasting is a very important element in an electricity market for the optimal biddings of market participants as well as for market stabilization of regulatory bodies. Input data are organized in two different approaches, time-axis and day-axis approaches, and the resulting patterns are used to train the ANN. Performances of the two approaches are compared and the better estimate is selected by a composition rule to forecast the SMP. By combining the two approaches, the proposed composition technique reflects the characteristics of hourly, daily and seasonal variations, as well as the condition of sudden changes in the spot market, and thus improves the accuracy of forecasting. The proposed method is applied to the historical real-world data from the Korea Power Exchange (KPX) to verify the effectiveness of the technique.

전력산업 구조개편 환경에서 비선형 내점법의 최적조류계산에 의한 전력조류 및 한계계수에 관한 연구 (A Study on Power Flow and Marginal Factor based on Optimal Power Flow using Nonlinear Interior Point Method under Restructuring Environment)

  • 정민화;남궁재용;권세혁
    • 에너지공학
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    • 제11권4호
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    • pp.291-298
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    • 2002
  • 본 연구에서는 전력산업 구조개편 환경에서 최적조류계산에 의한 전력조류 및 한계계수를 해석할 수 있는 실용적인 방법론을 제시한다. 먼저, 유용한 한계계수의 산정을 위해 전압제약, 선로과부하 제약, 발전 출력 제약 등의 각종 계통제약이 고려된 연료비 및 송전손실 최소화의 비선형 최적화 문제가 정식화되고 비선형 주·쌍대 내점법에 의한 해법이 제시된다. 또한, 최적조류계산에 의해 계산된 감도에 기초하여 한계가격 및 한계송전손실의 산정방법이 제시된다. 특히, 경쟁적 전력시장에서 송전손실에 관한 가격을 반영하기 위해 한계손실계수의 해석법이 제안된다. 본 연구의 결과를 IEEE RTS 24모선에 적용하여 전력시장가격의 해석에 대한 그 유용성을 검증하였다.

수요반응자원을 고려한 지역별 한계가격 해석기법 연구 (An Analysis of Location Marginal Prices Considering Demand Response Resources)

  • 김현홍;김진호;김형중;신중린;박종배
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제57권1호
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    • pp.25-33
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    • 2008
  • This paper presents a new approach of a evaluation of location marginal prices(LMPs) considering demand response resources in the competitive electricity market. The stabilization of the electric power supply and demand balance has been one of the major important activities in electric power industry. Recently, much attention is paid to the demand-side resources which are responsive to incentives or time-varying prices and existing power system planning and operation activities are incorporated with the so-called demand response resources. In this paper, we first present an analytical method for calculation of LMPs considering demand response resources and then break down the LMPs into three components. In this study, we assume that Korean power system consists of two major regions, one which is the metropolitan and the other is non-metropolitan region. In the case study, we have considered several LMPs cases with different use of locational demand response resource and we can obtain a locational signal to demand response resources. Also, the economics of demand response resources are evaluated, compared with the increase of transmission line capacity and of generation capacity.

도서지역의 신재생에너지복합발전 전력계통 운영방안에 관한 정책연구 (The policy study on the power grid operation strategy of new and renewable energy combined generation system)

  • 김의환
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국신재생에너지학회 2011년도 춘계학술대회 초록집
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    • pp.109.1-109.1
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    • 2011
  • KEPCO was operating power plants with diesel generators in 49 islands including Baekryeong-Do, and the generation capacity was about 66 MW in 2008. The cost of fuel is increasing by the international oil price inflation and continuous rise of oil price is predicted. For the stabilizing of electric power supply to the separate islands, renewable energy and fuel cell systems were considered. Hydrogen is made using renewable energy such as wind power and solar energy, and then a fuel cell system generates electricity with the stored hydrogen. Though the system efficiency is low, it is treated as the only way to secure the stable electric supply using renewable energy at this present. The analytic hierarchy process was used to select suitable candidate island for the system installation and 5 islands including Ulleung-Do were selected. Economic evaluation for the system composed of a kerosene generator, a wind power, an electrolysis, and a fuel cell system was conducted with levelized generation cost based on present value methode. As the result, the necessity of renewable energy combined generation system and micro grid composition in the candidated islands was confirmed. Henceforth, the development of an integration technology which connects micro grid to the total power grid will be needed.

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FlowGate Right(FGR) 도입 시 Power Transfer Distribution Factor(PTDF)를 이용한 송전권 계약용량 산정 방법 연구 (A Study on an Transmission Right Issuance Quantity Assessment Method by using Power Transfer Distribution Factor(PTDF) under FlowGate Right(FGR))

  • 백웅기;방영선;전영환;김정훈;곽노홍;이백석
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2005년도 제36회 하계학술대회 논문집 A
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    • pp.861-863
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    • 2005
  • LMP based congestion management method is suggested as an effective tool, because network congestion can be handled by energy price. It is now being widely used in the North American Electricity Markets. Among them, FGR(Flow-gate rights) is considered to be appropriate for our system, as power flow through the congested line is unidirectional and congestion occurs in the known place. In the CBP market, hedging through transmission right is not necessary even though location pricing system is adopted, because there are no risks in the energy price. Rut, transmission rights should be adopted in the advanced market. Key issue when implementing FGR is how to decide transmission right issuance quantify. This paper deals with a method to decide transmission right issuance quantity by using power. Transfer Distribution Factor(PTDF).

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생활폐기물 고형연료(RDF) 제조기술 경제성 평가 (An Economic Evaluation of MSW RDF Production Plant)

  • 최연석;최항석;김석준
    • 신재생에너지
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.29-35
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    • 2011
  • The waste treatment fee and energy production effect of Wonju city RDF plant, the first RDF manufacturing plant in Korea, were investigated in the study. All plant operation data, like total weight of received wastes, produced RDF and separated rejects in processes were fully recorded for mass balance calculation of the plant in 2009. Also all consumed oil and electricity were recorded for energy balance calculation. The results showed that the waste treatment fee not including the RDF sales price of 25,000 won/ton-RDF was 116,573 won/ton-MSW and it went down to 105,298 won when included the RDF price. Produced RDF was 40.2% of total received waste in weight. Three components analysis by mass balance calculation of total received waste showed that Wonju city's MSW was 32.4% of combustible, 37.5% of water and 30.1% of incombustible respectively. Energy effect was found that total amount of produced energy was about 4 times more than that of consumed energy.

The Optimal Operation for Community Energy System Using a Low-Carbon Paradigm with Phase-Type Particle Swarm Optimization

  • Kim, Sung-Yul;Bae, In-Su;Kim, Jin-O
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • 제5권4호
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    • pp.530-537
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    • 2010
  • By development of renewable energy and more efficient facilities in an increasingly deregulated electricity market, the operation cost of distributed generation (DG) is becoming more competitive. International environmental regulations of the leaking carbon become effective to reinforce global efforts for a low-carbon paradigm. Through increased DG, operators of DG are able to supply electric power to customers who are connected directly to DG as well as loads that are connected to entire network. In this situation, a community energy system (CES) with DGs is a new participant in the energy market. DG's purchase price from the market is different from the DG's sales price to the market due to transmission service charges and other costs. Therefore, CES who owns DGs has to control the produced electric power per hourly period in order to maximize profit. Considering the international environment regulations, CE will be an important element to decide the marginal cost of generators as well as the classified fuel unit cost and unit's efficiency. This paper introduces the optimal operation of CES's DG connected to the distribution network considering CE. The purpose of optimization is to maximize the profit of CES. A Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) will be used to solve this complicated problem. The optimal operation of DG represented in this paper would guide CES and system operators in determining the decision making criteria.