• 제목/요약/키워드: Electricity Demand Prediction

검색결과 38건 처리시간 0.028초

교육기관 지능형 수배전반의 구성방식과 현황분석 (Construction form and status analysis of intelligent type switching board of educational institution)

  • 최인호
    • 한국조명전기설비학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국조명전기설비학회 2007년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.393-396
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    • 2007
  • Recently one level higher intelligent switching board than established one by the application of intelligent building and digital system are being constructed. Therefore facility's high efficiency, high degree satisfaction, miniaturaization, standardization through application of communication technology and monitoring and controlling by computer system utilized by web-basis power control system and electric IT are practiced. Especially network must be constructed through unified IBS server that monitors every educational institute's switching boards in real time control system. And I intend to create methods to save energy and raise electricity quality by power demand prediction and remote-controled management and operation. In this thesis I intend to suggest measures of forming unified system through researching educational institute's ways of constructing switching board and status analysis and overcoming technical difficulties in user's side and saving and maintenance expense.

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역전파 신경회로망 기반의 단기시장가격 예측 (Locational Marginal Price Forecasting Using Artificial Neural Network)

  • 송병선;이정규;박종배;신중린
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2004년도 하계학술대회 논문집 A
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    • pp.698-700
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    • 2004
  • Electric power restructuring offers a major change to the vertically integrated utility monopoly. Deregulation has had a great impact on the electric power industry in various countries. Bidding competition is one of the main transaction approaches after deregulation. The energy trading levels between market participants is largely dependent on the short-term price forecasts. This paper presents the short-term System Marginal Price (SMP) forecasting implementation using backpropagation Neural Network in competitive electricity market. Demand and SMP that supplied from Korea Power Exchange (KPX) are used by a input data and then predict SMP. It needs to analysis the input data for accurate prediction.

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머신러닝 및 딥러닝 모델의 스태킹 앙상블을 이용한 단기 전력수요 예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on Short-Term Electricity Demand Prediction Using Stacking Ensemble of Machine Learning and Deep Learning Ensemble Models)

  • 이정일;김동일
    • 한국정보처리학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정보처리학회 2021년도 추계학술발표대회
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    • pp.566-569
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    • 2021
  • 전력수요는 월, 요일 및 시간의 계절성(Seasonality)을 보이는 데이터이다. 각 계절성에 따라 특성이 다르기 때문에, 전력수요를 예측하기 위해서는 계절성의 특성을 고려한 다양한 모델을 선정하고, 병합하는 방법이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 전력수요의 계절성을 고려한 다양한 예측모델을 병합하여 이용할 수 있도록 스태킹 앙상블 적용하고 실험결과를 기술한다. 또한, 162개 도시의 기상 데이터와 인구 데이터를 예측에 이용하는 방법, Regression 모델과 Time-series모델에 입력하는 특징(Feature)의 전처리 방법, 베이지안 최적화를 이용한 머신러닝 및 딥러닝 모델의 하이퍼파라메터 최적화 방법을 제시한다.

에너지 인터넷을 위한 GRU기반 전력사용량 예측 (Prediction of Power Consumptions Based on Gated Recurrent Unit for Internet of Energy)

  • 이동구;선영규;심이삭;황유민;김수환;김진영
    • 전기전자학회논문지
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    • 제23권1호
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    • pp.120-126
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    • 2019
  • 최근 에너지 인터넷에서 지능형 원격검침 인프라를 이용하여 확보된 대량의 전력사용데이터를 기반으로 효과적인 전력수요 예측을 위해 다양한 기계학습기법에 관한 연구가 활발히 진행되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 전력량 데이터와 같은 시계열 데이터에 대해 효율적으로 패턴인식을 수행하는 인공지능 네트워크인 Gated Recurrent Unit(GRU)을 기반으로 딥 러닝 모델을 제안하고, 실제 가정의 전력사용량 데이터를 토대로 예측 성능을 분석한다. 제안한 학습 모델의 예측 성능과 기존의 Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) 인공지능 네트워크 기반의 전력량 예측 성능을 비교하며, 성능평가 지표로써 Mean Squared Error (MSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Forecast Skill Score, Normalized Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), Normalized Mean Bias Error (NMBE)를 이용한다. 실험 결과에서 GRU기반의 제안한 시계열 데이터 예측 모델의 전력량 수요 예측 성능이 개선되는 것을 확인한다.

전기자동차 운행을 위한 태양광발전소 수요 예측 (Prediction of Demand for Photovoltaic Power Plants for Electric Vehicle Operation)

  • 최회균
    • 한국태양에너지학회 논문집
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    • 제40권4호
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    • pp.35-44
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    • 2020
  • Currently, various policies regarding ecofriendly vehicles are being proposed to reduce carbon emissions. In this study, the required areas for charging electric vehicle (EV) batteries using electricity produced by photovoltaic (PV) power plants were estimated. First, approximately 2.4 million battery EVs, which represented 10% of the total number of vehicles, consume approximately 404 GWh. Second, the power required for charging batteries is approximately 0.3 GW, and the site area of the PV power plant is 4.62 ㎢, which accounts for 0.005% of the national territory. Third, from the available sites of buildings based on the region, Jeju alone consumes approximately 0.2%, while the rest of the region requires approximately 0.1%. Fourth, Seoul, which has the smallest available area of mountains and farmlands, utilizes 0.34% of the site for PV power plants, while the other parts of the region use less than 0.1%. The results of this study confirmed that the area of the PV power plant site for producing battery-charging power generated through the supply of EVs is very small. Therefore, it is desirable to analyze and implement more specific plans, such as efficient land use, forest damage minimization, and safe maintenance, to expand renewable energy, including PV power.

신경회로망을 이용한 송전선 허용용량 예측기법 (Dynamic Line Rating Prediction in Overhead Transmission Lines Using Artificial Neural Network)

  • 노신의;김이관;임성훈;김일동
    • 조명전기설비학회논문지
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    • 제28권1호
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    • pp.79-87
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    • 2014
  • With the increase of demand for electricity power, new construction and expansion of transmission lines for transport have been required. However, it has been difficult to be realized by such opposition from environmental groups and residents. Therefore, the development of techniques for effective use of existing transmission lines is more needed. In this paper, the major variables to affect the allowable transmission capacity in an overhead transmission lines were selected and the dynamic line rating (DLR) method using artificial neural networks reflecting unique environment-heat properties was proposed. To prove the proposed method, the analyzed results using the artificial neural network were compared with the ones obtained from the existing method. The analyzed results using the proposed method showed an error of 0.9% within ${\pm}$, which was to be practicable.

Deep Learning-Based Smart Meter Wattage Prediction Analysis Platform

  • Jang, Seonghoon;Shin, Seung-Jung
    • International journal of advanced smart convergence
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    • 제9권4호
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    • pp.173-178
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    • 2020
  • As the fourth industrial revolution, in which people, objects, and information are connected as one, various fields such as smart energy, smart cities, artificial intelligence, the Internet of Things, unmanned cars, and robot industries are becoming the mainstream, drawing attention to big data. Among them, Smart Grid is a technology that maximizes energy efficiency by converging information and communication technologies into the power grid to establish a smart grid that can know electricity usage, supply volume, and power line conditions. Smart meters are equient that monitors and communicates power usage. We start with the goal of building a virtual smart grid and constructing a virtual environment in which real-time data is generated to accommodate large volumes of data that are small in capacity but regularly generated. A major role is given in creating a software/hardware architecture deployment environment suitable for the system for test operations. It is necessary to identify the advantages and disadvantages of the software according to the characteristics of the collected data and select sub-projects suitable for the purpose. The collected data was collected/loaded/processed/analyzed by the Hadoop ecosystem-based big data platform, and used to predict power demand through deep learning.

온라인 드론방제 관리 정보 플랫폼 개발 (Development of online drone control management information platform)

  • 임진택;이상범
    • 융합신호처리학회논문지
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.193-198
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    • 2021
  • 최근 4차 산업에 대한 관심으로 농업 분야의 벼농사에서 농민의 방제에 대한 요구수준이 증가하고 농업용 방제 드론의 관심과 활용이 증가하고 있다. 따라서 고농도의 농약을 살포하는 농업용 방제 드론 제품의 다양화와 드론 국가자격증 취득으로 인한 방제사의 증가로 인하여 드론 산업 분야에서 농업 분야가 급성장하고 있다. 세부 사업으로 농약 관리, 방제사 관리, 정밀살포, 방제 작업 물량 분류, 정산, 토양관리, 병충해 예찰 및 감시 등으로 방대한 빅데이터를 구축하고 데이터를 처리하기 위한 효과적인 플랫폼을 요구하고 있다. 그러나 데이터 분석알고리즘, 영상 분석 알고리즘, 생육 관리 알고리즘, AI 알고리즘 등 이를 통합하고 빅데이터를 처리하기 위한 모델과 프로그램 개발에 대한 국내외 연구는 미흡한 실정이다. 본 논문에서는 농업 분야에서의 관리자와 농민 요구도를 만족하고 드론을 활용한 농업용 드론방제 프로세서를 기반으로 정밀 AI 방제를 실현화시키기 위하여 온라인 드론 방제 관리 정보 플랫폼을 제안하고 실증 실험을 통하여 종합 관리 시스템 개발의 토대를 제시하였다.