• Title/Summary/Keyword: Electricity Demand

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The Effect of the Demand Forecast on the Energy Mix in the National Electricity Supply and Demand Planning (전력수급계획 수립시 수요예측이 전원혼합에 미치는 영향)

  • Kang, Kyoung-Uk;Ko, Bong-Jin;Chung, Bum-Jin
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.114-124
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    • 2009
  • The Ministry of Knowledge and Economy (MKE) establishes the Basic Plan for Long-Term Electricity Supply and Demand(BPE) biannually, a governmental plan for the stable electricity supply. This study investigated the effects of the electric demand forecast on the energy mix. A simplified simulation model was developed, which replaces the WASP program developed by the KPX and verified by comparing both results. Three different electric demand scenarios were devised based upon the 2005 electric demand forecast: Proper, 5 % higher, and 5% lower. The simplified model calculates the energy mix for each scenario of the year 2005. Then it calculates the energy mix for the proper electric demand forecast of the year 2007 using the energy mixes of the three scenarios as the initial conditions, so that it reveals the effect of electric demand forecast of the previous BPE on the energy mix of the next BPE. As the proper electric demand forecasts of the year 2005 and 2007 are the same, there is no change in the previous and the next BPEs. However when the electric demand forecasts were 5% higher in the previous BPE and proper in the next BPE, some of the planned power plant construction in the previous BPE had to be canceled. Similarly, when the electric demand forecasts were 5% lower in the previous BPE and proper in the next BPE, power plant construction should be urgently increased to meet the increased electric demand. As expected the LNG power plants were affected as their construction periods are shorter than coal fired or nuclear power plants. This study concludes that the electric demand forecast is very important and that it has the risk of long term energy mix.

A Study on the DSM Policy and Power Supply in Jeju Island (제주지역 전력공급과 효과적인 수요관리 방안)

  • KIM C.S.;Rhee C.H.
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • summer
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    • pp.677-679
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    • 2004
  • Although Jeju is an island, its electricity demand is 430MW. It indicates electricity demand and its growth rate in Jeju are higher than mainland average. The supply of electricity in Jeju consists of power plants within the island and connection of main system using cable line. The cost of supply is higher than mainland system. However the electricity rate and DSM incentives were treated equally with mainland. Therefore, Effective DSM promotion has not been carried out. This paper analyzes the policy alternatives of supply in Jeju and presents effective DSM countermeasures. Also it presents long-term policy on stabilization of supply and demand in Jeju.

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Development of a New Load Management System Package for Optimal Electricity Consumption Strategy in a Competitive Electricity Market (경쟁적 전력시장에서의 최적 부하소비전략 수립을 위한 새로운 부하관리시스템 패키지 개발)

  • 정구형;이찬주;김진호;김발호;박종배
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.53 no.3
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    • pp.187-197
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    • 2004
  • This paper presents a window-based load management system (LMS) developed as a decision-making tool in the competitive electricity market The developed LMS can help the users to monitor system load patterns, analyze their past energy consumption and schedule for the future energy consumption. The LMS can also provide the effective information on real-time energy/cost monitoring, consumed energy/cost analysis, demand schedule and cost-savings. Therefore. this LMS can be used to plan the optimal demand schedule and consumption strategy.

Long-term Regional Electricity Demand Forecasting (지역별 장기 전력수요 예측)

  • Kwun, Young-Han;Rhee, Chang-Mo;Jo, In-Seung;Kim, Je-Gyun;Kim, Chang-Soo
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1990.07a
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    • pp.87-91
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    • 1990
  • Regional electricity demand forecasting is among the most important step for lone-term investment and power supply planning. This study presents a regional electricity forecasting model for Korean power system. The model consists of three submodels, regional economy, regional electricity energy demand, and regional peak load submodels. A case study is presented.

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hydraulic-power generation of electricity plan of multi-Purpose dam in electric Power system (전력계통에서의 다목적댐 수력발전계획)

  • Kim, Seung-Hyo;Ko, Young-Hoan;Hwang, In-Kwang
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1999.07c
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    • pp.1248-1252
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    • 1999
  • To provide electricity power of good quality, it is essential to establish generation of electricity plan in electric power system based on accurate power-demand prediction and cope with changes of power-need fluctuating constantly. The role of hydraulic-power generation of electricity in electric power system is of importance because responding to electric power-demand counts or reservoir-type hydraulic-power generation of electricity which is designed for additional load in electric power system. So hydraulic-power generation of electricity must have fast start reserve. But the amount of water, resources of reservoir-type hydraulic-power generation of electricity is restricted and multi-used, so the scheduling of management by exact forecasting the amount of water is critical. That is why efficient hydraulic-power generation of electricity makes a main role on pumping up the utility of energy and water resource. This thesis introduced the example of optimal generation of electricity plan establishment which is used in managing reservoir-type hydraulic-power generation of electricity.

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Dynamic Analysis on Electricity Demands for the Steel Industry in Korea: Comparison between SMEs and Large Firms (우리나라 철강산업의 전력수요에 대한 동태 분석: 중소기업과 대기업 간 비교)

  • Li, Dmitriy;Bae, Jeong Hwan
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.499-520
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    • 2020
  • Input ratio of electricity to other production inputs in the Korean manufacturing sector has been higher than for the other OECD countries. In addition, electricity prices in Korea has been relatively lower than the average of OECD countries. Moreover, electricity sector is responsible for most CO2 emissions in Korea as coal and natural gas account 41.9% and 26.8% of electricity production as of 2018. Therefore, it looks inevitable to raise the electricity tariff for the manufacturing sector in Korea, but there is a concern that increase in the electricity tariff might affect small and medium enterprises (SMEs) more than large firms. This study estimates electricity demand's price and output elasticities for large firms and SMEs in steel industry by employing a time varying parameter model (Kalman filter). The analysis shows that changes in output levels regardless of firms' size affect electricity demands more significantly than do changes in electricity prices. Second, large firms have higher variances for both price and output elasticities of electricity demand. Third, large firms have higher price elasticity but lower output elasticity of electricity demand relative to SMEs. Policy implications are suggested in association with how to reduce electricity demands in the energy-intensive industry.

Econometric Study on Forecasting Demand Response in Smart Grid (스마트그리드 수요반응 추정을 위한 계량경제학적 방법에 관한 연구)

  • Kang, Dong Joo;Park, Sunju
    • KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
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    • v.1 no.3
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    • pp.133-142
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    • 2012
  • Cournot model is one of representative models among many game theoretic approaches available for analyzing competitive market models. Recent years have witnessed various kinds of attempts to model competitive electricity markets using the Cournot model. Cournot model is appropriate for oligopoly market which is one characteristic of electric power industry requiring huge amount of capital investment. When we use Cournot model for the application to electricity market, it is prerequisite to assume the downward sloping demand curve in the right direction. Generators in oligopoly market could try to maximize their profit by exercising the market power like physical or economic withholding. However advanced electricity markets also have demand side bidding which makes it possible for the demand to respond to the high market price by reducing their consumption. Considering this kind of demand reaction, Generators couldn't abuse their market power. Instead, they try to find out an equilibrium point which is optimal for both sides, generators and demand. This paper suggest a quantitative analysis between market variables based on econometrics for estimating demand responses in smart grid environment.

Operation of Demand Bidding Program to Enhance Demand Response (수요반응을 위한 수요입찰제(수요자원시장) 운영)

  • Sohn, Yoon-Tae;Lee, Ho-Seung
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.59 no.9
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    • pp.1575-1580
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    • 2010
  • Demand Response is a well-known means usually operated by the system operator(SO) or the electricity retailers in order to reduce the peak loads or cut the price in electricity market. KPX(Korea Power eXchange), the SO in Korea has been operating the demand bidding program(or the demand resource market) since it was firstly introduced as the pilot project in 2008. The results has proved to be effective to enhance demand response. This paper describes the basic concepts and the operation results of the program.

The Effects of the Electric Power Demand for Each Loads Based the Electric Power Demand Elasticity (전력수요 탄력성에 따른 각 용도별 부하의 전력수요 영향)

  • Kim, Mun-Yeong;Baek, Yeong-Sik;Song, Gyeong-Bin
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.50 no.12
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    • pp.568-574
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    • 2001
  • The variations of real time electric power price in competitive electricity markets have influence on electric power demands of the consumers. The effects of the consumers for electric power price can be expressed the price elasticity coefficient of the power demand as a measurement. Residential, commercial, and industrial consumers with different characteristics cause the different price elasticity of the power demand due to changing the pattern of consumption. It is necessary that the effects of electric power demands as a function of elasticity coefficient for each loads should be analyzed in Korea which is processing deregulated electric market. Therefore, this paper calculate the elasticity coefficient of each loads and analysis the effects of electric power demands as a function of elasticity coefficient of inflexible and flexible consumers in competitive electricity market.

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An analysis of the End-User electric power consumption trends using the load curve during international conflict (수용가 부하곡선을 일용한 국제분쟁시 전력사용 행태분석)

  • Son Hak Sig;Kim In Su;Park Yong Uk;Im Sang Kug;Kim Jae Chul
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • summer
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    • pp.165-167
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    • 2004
  • End-user electric power consumption trends shows various load curves dependant on industry, contract, season, day and time. Analysis of end-user electric power consumption trends has a key role to efficiently meet electricity demand. There are several factors of change in electricity demand such as the change of weather, international conflict, and industrial trends during summer. This paper has analyzed the analysis the end-user electric power consumption trends using the load curve during international conflict. We observed that international conflict decreased electric demand by $5.4\%$. This increase is not significant, and therefore we conclude that the international conflict has not greatly affected Korea's electricity demands. This paper provides useful information so as to mon: efficiently perform demand side management.

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