• Title/Summary/Keyword: Electricity Demand

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An Agent-Based Model Analysis on the Effects of Consumers' Demand Response System (행위자기반모형을 이용한 선택적 전력요금제의 전력요금 절감효과 분석)

  • Park, Hojeong;Lee, Yoo-Soo
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.225-249
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    • 2015
  • There are growing interests in the introduction of consumer's selective electricity tariff systems in order to enhance demand response in electricity market in Korea. Real time pricing (RTP) and Time of Use (TOU) are typical examples of demand response system through which electricity price is linked to real time demand. This paper adopts an agent-based model to analyze the effects of such demand system on the counsumers' electricity costs. The result shows that real time pricing system is effective to reduce electricity costs of consumers by providing more flexible tariff system, depending on each consumer's demand pattern. This finding could be used as a basis for supporting smart grid system in the presence of responsive demand environment.

The effect of temperature on the electricity demand: An empirical investigation (기온이 전력수요에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Kim, Hye-min;Kim, In-gyum;Park, Ki-Jun;Yoo, Seung-Hoon
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.167-173
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    • 2015
  • This paper attempts to estimate the electricity demand function in Korea with quarterly data of average temperature, GDP and electricity price over the period 2005-2013. We apply lagged dependent variable model and ordinary least square method as a robust approach to estimating the parameters of the electricity demand function. The results show that short-run price and income elasticities of the electricity demand are estimated to be -0.569 and 0.631, respectively. They are statistically significant at the 1% level. Moreover, long-run income and price elasticities are estimated to be 1.589 and -1.433, respectively Both of results reveal that the demand for electricity is price- and income-elastic in the long-run. The relationship between electricity consumption and temperature is supported by many of references as a U-shaped relationship, and the base temperature of electricity demand is about $15.2^{\circ}C$. It is shown that power of explanation and goodness-of-fit statistics are improved in the use of the lagged dependent variable model rather than conventional model.

Modeling Korean Energy Consumption Behavior Using a Concavity Imposed Translog Cost Function (정규성 개선에 중점을 둔 제조업 에너지 수요구조 모형 연구 : 오목성 조건을 만족하는 Translog 비용함수 모형)

  • Kim, Jihyo;Heo, Eunnyeong
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.633-658
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we estimate the Translog cost function in Korean manufacturing, using capital (K), labor (L), material (M), electricity (E), fuel (F) data over the period from 1970 to 2005. Especially, this paper investigates the impact of imposing concavity in the estimation of a Translog cost function. Although the value of log-likelihood is somewhat reduced in a concavity imposed function rather than a function which is not, a concavity imposed function satisfies regularity conditions (monotonicity, positivity, concavity) at all data points. We also calculate price elasticities using a concavity imposed Translog cost function. Electricity complements capital so electricity demand increases as capital demand increases. Meanwhile, electricity substitutes labor, fuel, and material. These results show that Korean manufacturing experienced a structural change of increase in electricity demand.

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Impact Analysis of Transition in Electricity Generation System on a National Economy and Environmental Level in Korea: a Recursive CGE Modeling Approach (발전수단 전환이 우리나라 경제와 환경에 미치는 영향분석)

  • Lee, Min-Gi;Kim, Hong-Bae
    • Journal of Korea Planning Association
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    • v.53 no.7
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    • pp.67-86
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    • 2018
  • This paper attempted to analyze impacts of transition in electricity generation system on a national economy and environmental level in Korea using a recursive computable general equilibrium(CGE) model. In particular, the paper presented a hybrid model combining the top-down CGE model with the bottom-up model which describes the structure of electricity production in detail. The impacts were analyzed by two policy scenarios base on the basic plan for electricity supply and demand proposed by the Korean government. As a result, the paper specifically showed that there exists a trade-off relationship in the policy-making between economic efficiency and environmental level. The paper also suggested that the transition in electricity generation system should be done more gradually and carefully.

Database Construction for Electricity Demand-Side Management (전력수요관리 데이터베이스 구축)

  • Park, Jong-Jin;Rhee, Chang-Ho;Kim, Chang-Soo
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2000.07a
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    • pp.310-312
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    • 2000
  • This paper presents database for electricity demand-side management. Demand-Side Management(DSM) refers to programs that influence the usage of energy for improved economic efficiency and reduced environmental impact DSM can be looked upon as a tool for energy utilities to find resources on the demand side instead of on the supply side, or as a more general tool for society to better use and distribute scarce resources. In this paper, we construct the database for electricity demand-side management and apply it to residential and commercial sector.

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Calculation for Components of Locational Marginal Price considering Demand-Side Bidding in a Competitive Electricity Market (경쟁시장내의 수요자원입찰을 고려한 모선별 한계가격의 구성요소산정 기법)

  • Kim, Hyun-Houng;Kim, Jin-Ho;Park, Jong-Bae;Shin, Joong-Rin
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.57 no.7
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    • pp.1157-1166
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    • 2008
  • This paper presents a new approach for the evaluation of location marginal prices (LMPs) considering demand-side bidding (DSB) in a competitive electricity market. The stabilization of the electric power supply and demand balance is one of the major important activities in electric power industry. In this paper, we present an analytical method for calculation of LMPs considering DSB, which has opportunity to compete with generating units, as England & Wales Pool's DSB scheme[1]. Also, we propose a new approach that LMP considering DSB is divided into three components. The proposed approach can be used for the evaluation of demand-side bidding into the electricity market and the assessment of the influence of DSB on total production costs and LMPs as well as three components.

Electricity Demand Forecasting based on Support Vector Regression (Support Vector Regression에 기반한 전력 수요 예측)

  • Lee, Hyoung-Ro;Shin, Hyun-Jung
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.351-361
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    • 2011
  • Forecasting of electricity demand have difficulty in adapting to abrupt weather changes along with a radical shift in major regional and global climates. This has lead to increasing attention to research on the immediate and accurate forecasting model. Technically, this implies that a model requires only a few input variables all of which are easily obtainable, and its predictive performance is comparable with other competing models. To meet the ends, this paper presents an energy demand forecasting model that uses the variable selection or extraction methods of data mining to select only relevant input variables, and employs support vector regression method for accurate prediction. Also, it proposes a novel performance measure for time-series prediction, shift index, followed by description on preprocessing procedure. A comparative evaluation of the proposed method with other representative data mining models such as an auto-regression model, an artificial neural network model, an ordinary support vector regression model was carried out for obtaining the forecast of monthly electricity demand from 2000 to 2008 based on data provided by Korea Energy Economics Institute. Among the models tested, the proposed method was shown promising results than others.

Optimal Capacity Determination Method of Battery Energy Storage System for Demand Management of Electricity Customer (수용가 수요관리용 전지전력저장시스템의 최적용량 산정방법)

  • Cho, Kyeong-Hee;Kim, Seul-Ki;Kim, Eung-Sang
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.62 no.1
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    • pp.21-28
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    • 2013
  • The paper proposes an optimal sizing method of a customer's battery energy storage system (BESS) which aims at managing the electricity demand of the customer to minimize electricity cost under the time of use(TOU) pricing. Peak load limit of the customer and charging and discharging schedules of the BESS are optimized on annual basis to minimize annual electricity cost, which consists of peak load related basic cost and actual usage cost. The optimal scheduling is used to assess the maximum cost savings for all sets of candidate capacities of BESS. An optimal size of BESS is determined from the cost saving curves via capacity of BESS. Case study uses real data from an apartment-type factory customer and shows how the proposed method can be employed to optimally design the size of BESS for customer demand management.

Bid-based Direct Load Control Framework Under Electricity Markets (전력시장 환경하에 입찰기반의 직접부하제어 운영방안)

  • Lee, Ho-Chul;Song, Sung-Hwan;Yoon, Yong-Tae
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.58 no.3
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    • pp.455-461
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    • 2009
  • This paper proposes Direct Load Control(DLC) operation scheme using a bidding system and the methodology to value proper quantity decided by the DLC program, which is a kind of resources for stabilization of electricity market price during peak times by managing consumer electricity demand. Since DLC program in Korea is based on the contract with the customers participating in this program, it is difficult to anticipate voluntary participation. That is, incentive for participants in DLC program is insufficient. To cope with this point, it is necessary to develop a new market mechanism and market compatible operation scheme for DLC programs. DLC market mechanism is deemed to be equipped with iterative bidding system, independent operation from energy market, and interactive with bidding information on energy market. With this market mechanism, it is important to find the optimal operation point of DLC allowing for the factors of stabilizing the electricity market price and compensating DLC implementation. This paper focuses on the mathematical approaches for the bid-based DLC operation scheme and examines several scenarios for the following technical justifications: 1) stabilization of electricity market price during peak times, 2) elasticity of demand.

고령화가 가정부문 에너지 소비량에 미치는 영향 분석: 전력수요를 중심으로

  • Won, Du-Hwan
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.341-369
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    • 2012
  • Population aging has been one of the serious problems in Korea. Aging can affect social and economic features including energy consumption. This paper analyzed how population aging makes an effect on residential electricity demand. Yearly data from 1965 to 2010 were collected. The long and short-run demands for residential electricity were estimated with respect to Korean aging index. The results show that population aging reduces residential electricity demands in the short run significantly, but the effect decreases in the long run. However, population aging still negatively affects residential electricity consumption in long run. If population keep aging as Korean government expected, then the residential electricity demand per capita will grow less than 3%.

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