• Title/Summary/Keyword: Electric load

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A Study on Short-Term Load Forecasting System Using Data Mining (데이터 마이닝을 이용한 단기부하예측 시스템 연구)

  • Kim, Do-Wan;Park, Jin-Bae;Kim, Juhg-Chan;Joo, Young-Hoon
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2003.11c
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    • pp.588-591
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    • 2003
  • This paper presents a new short-term load forecasting system using data mining. Since the electric load has very different pattern according to the day, it definitely gives rise to the forecasting error if only one forecasting model is used. Thus, to resolve this problem, the fuzzy model-based classifier and predictor are proposed for the forecasting of the hourly electric load. The proposed classifier is the multi-input and multi-output fuzzy system of which the consequent part is composed of the Bayesian classifier. The proposed classifier attempts to categorize the input electric load into Monday, Tuesday$\sim$Friday, Saturday, and Sunday electric load, Then, we construct the Takagi-Sugeno (T-S) fuzzy model-based predictor for each class. The parameter identification problem is converted into the generalized eigenvalue problem (GEVP) by formulating the linear matrix inequalities (LMIs). Finally, to show the feasibility of the proposed method, this paper provides the short-term load forecasting example.

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A Study on Monthly Electric Energy Estimation of Pole-Transformer Using NLRE Curve (NLRE 곡선을 이용한 주상 변압기 월간 사용전력량 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Im, Jin-Soon;Yun, Sang-Yun;Kim, Jae-Chul
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2000.11a
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    • pp.58-60
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    • 2000
  • In this paper we present an estimation method of electric energy[kWh] for load management of pole-transformer. For the electric energy estimation, we use the nonlinear load research based estimation(NLRE) algorithm. The NLRE curve is the normalized annual cumulative energy consumption for a particular day in a year. And, it is used for the coefficient estimation. Estimation method of suggested electric energy of pole-transformer used billing cycle electric energy estimation equation is verified as comparison billing cycle electric energy and estimated electric energy. We can reduce the error of peak load estimation by suggested method than the conventional method in domestic.

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Short-term Electric Load Forecasting Using the Realtime Weather Information & Electric Power Pattern Analysis (실시간기상정보와 전력패턴을 이용한 단기 전력부하예측)

  • Kim, Il-Ju;Lee, Song-Keun
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.65 no.6
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    • pp.934-939
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    • 2016
  • This paper made short-term electric load forecasting by using temperature data at three-hour intervals (9am, 12pm, 3pm, and 6pm) provided by the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA). In addition, the electric power pattern was created using existing electric power data, and temperature sensitivity was derived using temperature and electric power data. We made power load forecasting program using LabVIEW, a graphic language.

On Study the Safety Assessment of Accident Electric Multiple Units (전동차 구조체의 안전성 평가 연구)

  • 정종덕;김정국;편장식;김원경;홍용기
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 2004.10a
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    • pp.1105-1108
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    • 2004
  • This paper describes the structural analysis result and load test result of accident EMU(Electric Multiple Units). Structural analysis and load test of EMU were performed for the criteria of safety assessment. Structural analysis using commercial I-DEAS software provided important information on the stress distribution and load transfer mechanisms as well as the amount of damages during rolling stock crash. The purpose of the load test is to evaluate a safety which carbody structure shall be considered fully sufficient rigidity so as to satisfy proper system function under maximum load and operating condition. The results have been used to provide the critical information for the criteria of safety assessment.

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An Intelligent Fault Detection and Service Restoration Scheme for Ungrounded Distribution Systems

  • Yu, Fei;Kim, Tae-Wan;Lim, Il-Hyung;Choi, Myeon-Song;Lee, Seung-Jae;Lim, Sung-Il;Lee, Sung-Woo;Ha, Bok-Nam
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.3 no.3
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    • pp.331-336
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    • 2008
  • Electric load components have different characteristics according to the variation of voltage and frequency. This paper presents the load modeling of an electric locomotive by the parameter identification method. The proposed method for load modeling is very simple and easy for application. The proposed load model of the electric locomotive is represented by the combination of the loads that have static and dynamic characteristics. This load modeling is applied to the KTX in Korea to verify the effectiveness of the proposed method. The results of proposed load modeling by the parameter identification follow the field measurements very exactly.

POWER LOAD MANAGEMENT FOR PEAK LOAD CLIPPING (POWER LOAD DIRECT CONTROL METHOD) (Peak부하(負荷) 억제(抑制)를 위한 전력부하관리(電力負荷管理) (전력부하(電力負荷) 직접제어방식(直接制御方式)))

  • Kim, Yeong-Han;Lee, Hyo-Sang;Kim, Jai-Young
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1989.07a
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    • pp.246-250
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    • 1989
  • Owing to the rapid development of economy and the higher living standard of people, electricity demands have growth and the peak load has been increased rapidly. To cope with this impacts and to reduce the cost of service,utilities are conserned about power load management program. This paper shows a scheme of power load control and the basic structure of direct load control system. And also radio control method using the public pager which is one of the best economical and serviceable method in techniques will be introduced briefly.

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Long-Term Load Forecasting in Metropolitan Area Considering Economic Indicator (대도시 지역의 경제지표를 고려한 장기전력 부하예측 기법)

  • Choe, Sang-Bong;Kim, Dae-Gyeong;Jeong, Seong-Hwan
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.49 no.8
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    • pp.380-389
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    • 2000
  • This paper presents a method for the regional long-term load forecasting in metropolitan area considering econimic indicator with the assumption that energy demands propoprtionally increases under the economic indicators. For the accurate load forecasting, it is very important to scrutinize the correlation among the regional electric power demands, economic indicator and other characteristics because load forecasting results may vary depending on many different factors such as electric power demands, gross products, social trend and so on. Three steps for the regional long-term load forecasting are microscopically and macroscopically used for the regional long -term load forecasting in order to increase the accuracy and practicality of the results.

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Experimental Study on Cooling Load Forecast Using Neural Networks (신경회로망을 이용한 일일 냉방부하 예측에 관한 실험적 연구)

  • Shin, Kwan-Woo;Lee, Youn-Seop;Kim, Yong-Tae;Choi, Byoung-Youn
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2001.11c
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    • pp.61-64
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    • 2001
  • The electric power load during the peak time in summer is strongly affected by cooling load. which decreases the preparation ratio of electricity and brings about the failure in the supply of electricity in the electric power system. The ice-storage system and heat pump system etc are used to settle this problem. In this study, the method of estimating temperature and humidity to forecast the cooling load of ice-storage system is suggested. And also the method of forecasting the cooling load using neural network is suggested. For the simulation, the cooling load is calculated using actual temperature and humidity. The forecast of the temperature, humidity and cooling load are simulated. As a result of the simulation, the forecasted data approached to the actual data.

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Short-term Electric Load Forecasting using temperature data in Summer Season (기온데이터를 이용한 하계 단기 전력수요예측)

  • Koo, Bon-gil;Lee, Heung-Seok;Lee, Sang-wook;Lee, Hwa-Seok;Park, Juneho
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2015.07a
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    • pp.300-301
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    • 2015
  • Accurate and robust load forecasting model plays very important role in power system operation. In case of short-term electric load forecasting, its results offer standard to decide a price of electricity and also can be used shaving peak. For this reason, various models have been developed to improve accuracy of load forecasting. This paper proposes a newly forecasting model for weather sensitive season including temperature and Cooling Degree Hour(C.D.H) data as an input. This Forecasting model consists of previous electric load and preprocessed temperature, constant, parameter. It optimizes load forecasting model to fit actual load by PSO and results are compared to Holt-Winters and Artificial Neural Network. Proposing method shows better performance than comparison groups.

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Optimal Generation Expansion Planning with Load Management Effect (부하관리 효과를 고려한 최적 전원개발계획 수립에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Jong-Jin;Chung, Do-Young;Kim, Joon-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1990.07a
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    • pp.96-99
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    • 1990
  • Recently, electric energy consumption pattern shows very high peak load with low load factor. This Load pattern have made electric utilities be interested in Load Management, many studies are reported. But most of these studies are concerned with Rate - Load shape relation, a few of these are concerned with generating cost reduction. In this study, the effect of Load Management is incorporated to establish optimal Generation Expansion Planning. Using avoided cost, optimal generation expansion planning is achieved to make maximum avoided cost of Electric utility. Dynamic programming technique is used to solve this algorithm.

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