• 제목/요약/키워드: Effective rainfall

검색결과 489건 처리시간 0.034초

조건부 Copula 함수 기반의 월단위 GloSea5 앙상블 예측정보 편의보정 기법과 연계한 일단위 시공간적 상세화 모델 개발 (Development of daily spatio-temporal downscaling model with conditional Copula based bias-correction of GloSea5 monthly ensemble forecasts)

  • 김용탁;김민지;권현한
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제54권12호
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    • pp.1317-1328
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    • 2021
  • 본 연구에서는 예측 모델의 정확성이 비교적 높은 월단위의 GloSea5 자료를 기반으로 예측강수량을 편의보정 및 시공간적으로 상세화하여 연속된 일단위 강우량을 모의하고자 하였다. 이를 위하여 GloSea5를 입력자료로 조건부 Copula와 MNHMM 모형을 적용하여 일단위 시계열 강우량 예측정보를 생산할 수 있는 모델링 체계를 제시하였다. 모의결과 동기간의 자료라도 매주 생산되는 결과가 큰 차이를 나타내는 예측강수량의 변동성이 유의하게 개선되었다. 모형 검증에서 모의된 일강수량, 연속강우확률, 연속무강우확률 및 강우일수가 관측자료와 유사한 값으로 모의되는 등 수문모형의 입력자료로써 활용성이 클 것으로 판단된다. 유역 단위에서의 모의된 강수량 계열간의 상관성 차이가 최소 -0.02에서 최대 0.10로 유역의 강우관측소간 상호종속성을 효과적으로 복원되는 등 수문모형의 입력자료로 활용 시 유역의 수문기상학적 반응을 보다 현실적으로 모의가 가능할 것으로 기대된다.

강우침투에 의한 비탈면 안정해의 수리-역학적 모델을 이용한 커플링 효과 (Coupling Effects in Rainfall-induced Slope Stability Considering Hydro-mechanical Model)

  • 김용민;정상섬
    • 한국지반공학회논문집
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    • 제31권9호
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    • pp.5-15
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    • 2015
  • 본 연구에서는 수리-역학적 유한요소 해석기법을 바탕으로 강우침투에 의한 비탈면 안정성과 커플링 효과를 분석하였다. 이를 위해 수리학적 특성과 역학적 특성을 동시에 고려할 수 있는 해석기법을 개발 하였으며, 현장모관흡수력 측정 결과를 활용하여 해석기법을 검증하였다. 이를 바탕으로 균질한 지층과 비탈면을 모델링 하여 강우발생에 따른 모관흡수력 변화, 평균유효응력, 간극률 변화, 지반 변위, 안전율의 결과를 단계별 해석결과와 비교 분석하였다. 그 결과, 간극률의 변화를 고려할 수 있는 커플링 해석의 변위는 단계별 해석에 비해 크게 나타났으며, 모관흡수력은 천천히 감소하는 것으로 나타났다. 커플링 해석을 통해 동시에 계산된 변형과 모관흡수력 감소는 비탈면의 불안정성에 큰 영향을 미치며, 점진적 파괴거동을 확인할 수 있다. 커플링 해석을 통한 비탈면 안정해석 시, 단기간 발생한 강우에 대해 낮은 안전율을 보여 커플링 효과가 큰 것으로 나타났으며, 집중호우에 의한 비탈면 설계 시 커플링 해석이 필요함을 알 수 있었다.

객체지향형 수문 모델링 시스템을 이용한 금강유역 분포형 강우-유출 시스템의 개발 (Development of a Distributed Rainfall-Runoff System for the Guem River Basin Using an Object-oriented Hydrological Modeling System)

  • 이기하;타카라 카오루;정관수;김정엽;전자훈
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2009년도 학술발표회 초록집
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    • pp.149-153
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    • 2009
  • Physics-based distributed rainfall-runoff models are now commonly used in a variety of hydrologic applications such as to estimate flooding, water pollutant transport, sedimentation yield and so on. Moreover, it is not surprising that GIS has become an integral part of hydrologic research since this technology offers abundant information about spatial heterogeneity for both model parameters and input data that control hydrological processes. This study presents the development of a distributed rainfall-runoff prediction system for the Guem river basin ($9,835km^2$) using an Object-oriented Hydrological Modeling System (OHyMoS). We developed three types of element modules: Slope Runoff Module (SRM), Channel Routing Module (CRM), and Dam Reservoir Module (DRM) and then incorporated them systemically into a catchment modeling system under the OHyMoS. The study basin delineated by the 250m DEM (resampled from SRTM90) was divided into 14 midsize catchments and 80 sub-catchments where correspond to the WAMIS digital map. Each sub-catchment was represented by rectangular slope and channel components; water flows among these components were simulated by both SRM and CRM. In addition, outflows of two multi-purpose dams: Yongdam and Daechung dams were calculated by DRM reflecting decision makers' opinions. Therefore, the Guem river basin rainfall-runoff modeling system can provide not only each sub-catchment outflow but also dam inand outflow at one hour (or less) time step such that users can obtain comprehensive hydrological information readily for the effective and efficient flood control during a flood season.

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월강우자료에 의한 한발측정 (A Study on the Evaluation of Drought from Monthly Rainfall Data)

  • 황은;최덕순
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.35-45
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    • 1984
  • Generally speaking, agriculture exist in a climatic environment of uncertainty. Namely, normal rainfall value, as given by the mean values, does not exist. Thought on exists, itl does not affect like extreme Precipitation value on the part of agriculture and of others. Therefore, it is important that we measure the duration and severity index of drought caused by extreme precipitation deficit. In this purpose, this study was dealt with the calculation of drought duration and severity indexs by the method of monthly weighting coefficient. There is no quantitive definition of drought that is universally acceptable. Most of the criteria was used to identify drought have been arbitrary because a drought is a 'non-event' as opposed to a distinct event such as a flood. Therefore, confusion arises when an attempt is made to define the drought phenomenon, the calculation of duration, drought index is based on the following four fundamental question, and this study was dealt with the answers of these four questions as they related to this analytical method, as follows. First, the primary interest in this study is to be the lack of precipitation as it relates to agricultural effective rainfall. Second, the time interval was used to be month in this analysis. Third, Drought event, distinguished analytically from other event, is noted by monthly weighting coefficient method based on monthly rainfall data. Fin-ally, the seven regions used in this study have continually affected by drought on account of their rainfall deficit. The result from this method was very similar to the previous papers studied by many workers. Therefore, I think that this method is very available in Korea to identify the duration of drought, the deficit of precipitation and severity index of drought, But according to the climate of Korea exist the Asia Monsoon zone. The monthly weighting coefficient is modify a little, Because get out of 0.1-0.4 occasionally.

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미계측지역의 위성강우 기반 가뭄감시 평가 (Evaluation of Drought Monitoring Using Satellite Precipitation for Un-gaged Basins)

  • 장상민;윤선권;이성규;이태화;박경원
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제60권2호
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    • pp.55-63
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    • 2018
  • This study analyzed the applications of near real-time drought monitoring using satellite rainfall for the Korean Peninsula and un-gaged basins. We used AWS data of Yongdam-Dam, Hoengseong-Dam in Korea area, the meteorological station of Nakhon Rachasima, Pak chong for test-bed to evaluate the validation and the opportunity for un-gaged basins. In addition, we calculated EDI (Effective doought index) using the stations and co-located PERSIANN-CDR, TRMM (Tropical Rainfall Measurement Mission) TMPA (The TRMM Multisatellite Precipitation Analysis), GPM IMERG (the integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for GPM) rainfall data and compared the EDI-based station data with satellite data for applications of drought monitoring. The results showed that the correlation coefficient and the determination coefficient were 0.830 and 0.914 in Yongdam-dam, and 0.689 and 0.835 in Hoengseng-Dam respectively. Also, the correlation coefficient were 0.830, 0.914 from TRMM TMPA datasets and compasion with 0.660, 0.660 based on PERSIANN-CDR and TRMM data in nakhon and pakchong station. Our results were confirmed possibility of near real-time drought monitoring using EDI with daily satellite rainfall for un-gaged basins.

지리정보시스템을 이용한 소하천유역의 홍수유출 해석 (Flood Runoff Analysis of Small River Basin using Geographic Information System)

  • 이연길;박성천;이관수
    • 한국지리정보학회지
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.24-36
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    • 2003
  • 효율적인 수자원의 계획과 관리를 위해서 필요한 유출량 산정에 적용되어지는 많은 강우-유출모형들은 유역의 특성을 나타내는 지형인자와 매개변수 등과 같은 입력자료가 필요하게 되어 실제 적용단계에 있어 많은 어려움을 내포하고 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 이와 같은 문제점을 보완하고자 지리정보시스템(GIS)을 적용하여 입력자료를 생성할 수 있는 환경과 GIS와 강우-유출모형과의 연계를 통하여 시간에 따른 유출량의 변화를 나타내는 수문곡선을 해석할 수 있는 환경을 구축하고자 하였다. 입력자료 구축을 위한 GIS 소프트웨어로는 ArcView를 이용하였으며, 대상유역의 수문곡선을 해석하기 위해서 ln ($a/T_0tan{\beta}$)이라는 지형지수를 적용하는 TOPMODEL를 이용하였다. 또한, 대상유역의 유출량 산정에 이용한 강우-유출모형의 적용성을 평가하기 위하여 과거의 강우자료 중에서 단순호우사상과 복합호우사상을 선별하여 모형에 적용하였다.

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댐 설계홍수량 산정방법에 관한 연구 (Study on the Calculation Method of Design Flood Discharge of Dam)

  • 이재홍;문영일;백유현;장광진
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2011년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.277-281
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    • 2011
  • 본 연구에서는 국내의 다목적 댐 전체를 대상으로 강우-유출 모형에 의한 과거의 홍수량 산정방식과 최근의 홍수량 산정방식을 유역 면적 규모별로 분류하여 비교 분석하였다. 홍수량에 영향을 미치는 기본인자로 강우량, 강우의 시간분포, 유효우량 산정방법(손실분석), 강우-유출 모형, 매개 변수 추정 및 기저유량 등을 선정하여 각 인자별 민감도 분석을 수행함으로써 홍수량에 미치는 영향을 정량적으로 분석하였다. 분석결과 최근의 방법으로 산정한 홍수량과 과거의 방법으로 산정한 홍수량이 유역면적 규모에 따라 다양한 변동폭으로 증가하거나 감소하였는데, 강우의 시간분포 변경이 홍수량을 감소시키는 원인으로 분석되었고, 최근 기상이변에 의한 강우량의 증가와 단위도의 매개변수 추정방법의 변경이 홍수량을 증가시키는 가장 큰 원인으로 분석되었다.

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SRI 물관리 방법이 논의 관개용수량과 비점오염원 저감에 미치는 영향 (Evaluation of SRI Water Management on the Reduction of Irrigation Supply and NPS Pollution in Paddies)

  • 서지연;박배경;박운지;윤광식;최동호;김용석;류지철;최중대
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제32권2호
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    • pp.183-190
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    • 2016
  • Monitored data (rainfall runoff and water quality) from 4 different paddy sites over 3 years were compared to analyze the effect of irrigation water management on irrigation supply and rainfall runoff quality in Korea. The system of rice intensification water management was adopted at one site (SRI) while the conventional water management method was used for rice culture at the other three sites (CT, SD and HD). The soil texture at SRI, CT and SD was sandy loam while that at HD was silt loam. The average reduction of irrigation supply at SRI compared with CT, SD and HD during the 3 years studied was 49%, 51% and 55%, respectively. The average event mean concentration (EMC) at SRI compared with that at CT, SD and HD was decreased by 35% (BOD), 44% (COD), 47% (SS), 19% (TN) and 38% (TP). The correlation between rainfall runoff and the measured non-point source (NPS) pollutants was very good in general. The comparison revealed that SRI water management significantly reduced both irrigation supply and EMC in rainfall runoff. Paddy NPS pollution was closely related to factors that induce runoff such as rainfall and irrigation supply. It was concluded that SRI management could be an effective and practical option to cope with both water shortage due to climate change and water quality improvement in rural watersheds. However, further studies are recommended in large irrigation districts for use in the development and implementation of NPS pollution policies since the data was collected from field sized paddies.

Hydrology Down Under - An Overview of Hydrological Monitoring Networks of New Zealand

  • Ede, Michael
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2010년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.127-131
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    • 2010
  • Generally in New Zealand there is plenty of regular rainfall replenishing our waterways. Water agencies currently operate over 3000 hydrological monitoring stations in New Zealand. Data from these stations enable scientists to develop a detailed understanding of the status of water resources to ensure that the water resources are managed in an effective and sustainable way.

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투수성 포장재의 우수 표면유출 저감 효과 (The Effect of Pervious Pavement on Reducing the Surface Runoff)

  • 이춘석;류남형;한승호
    • 한국환경복원기술학회지
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    • 제11권6호
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    • pp.26-37
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of the study was to evaluate the effect of pervious pavements on reducing the surface runoff caused by rainfall. The surface runoff from twelve steel experimental beds with different pavement had been recorded every minute from May to September 2008, by the measuring system of tipping buckets(0.1mm/count) and data aquisition systems(National Instrument's Labview and DAQ boards & Autonics PR12-4). The dimension of the experimental bed was $1.5m(W){\times}2.0m(L){\times}0.6m(D)$ and eleven different kinds of vegetational(grass, grass+cubic stone, grass+hole brick), modular(brick, cubic stone, small cubic stone, wood block, interlocking block, clay brick, granular clay brick) and granular(naked soil, gravel) paving materials and concrete were applied for the comparison. Six rain events with depth over 30mm were selected and compared. The maximum depth of the rainfall selected was 137.5mm for 28 hours, and the minimum 30mm for 5 hours. The maximum rainfall per hour was 23mm/hr and the minimum 11.4mm/hr. The major findings were as follows; 1. All pervious pavement applied reduced over 75% of the surface runoff compared with concrete pavement. The grassy and porous pavements were relatively efficient in reducing surface runoff. 2. The grass was the more efficient as intercepting average 69.5mm of initial surface runoff, and maximum 77.8mm at the condition of 13.5mm/hr rainfall. The next was gravel intercepting maximum 65.5mm at the condition of 13.5mm/hr and the 40.9mm at 19.1mm/hr, average 55.7mm. 3. The modular pavements common in urban area were not good in intercepting the runoff except the 'clay granular brick' compared with others. The 'clay granular brick' showed relatively efficient intercepting average 14.1mm, which was the bigger amount than the 'grass+hole brick'. 4. The 'naked soil' were more effective than the 'concrete', 'brick', and 'interlocking block' in reducing the surface runoff, but less efficient than other materials. The capacity of the 'naked soil' to intercept the initial rainfall was similar to the 'brick'. As summary, the more grassy and porous pavement shows more effective in reducing surface runoffs.