• 한국건설관리학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국건설관리학회 2008년도 정기학술발표대회 논문집
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• pp.491-496
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• 2008

최근 부동산 경기 침체에도 불구하고, 부동산 PF(Project Financing)시장은 대규모 프로젝트를 수주하기 위한 경쟁이 매우 치열하다. 부동산 PF사업은 사업성공 시 높은 수익률을 보장하지만, 사업초기단계부터 사업을 위협하는 많은 리스크가 존재한다. 부동산 PF사업 리스크에는 금융리스크, 건설리스크, 법적리스크, 기타리스크가 있으며, 각 항목별 발생 가능한 리스크 요인을 파악 후, 각 요인에 따른 관리 방안을 강구해야 한다. 본 연구는 각 항목별 리스크 요인을 도출하기 위해서 부동산 PF 사업에 참여하는 시행사, 건설회사, 금융기관의 실무자를 대상으로 설문조사를 실시하였고, 각 요인에 따른 리스크 관리 방안을 제시하였다. 주요 관리 방안은 사업의 적정수익률 확보와 차입금 상환에 대한 조치이고, 사례연구를 통해 주요 관리 방안의 적합성을 검증하였다. 본 연구에서 제시된 리스크 요인과 관리방안은 부동산 PF 사업 수행 시 발생하는 리스크를 관리하는데 도움을 줄 것으로 기대된다.

• 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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• 제20권1호
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• pp.403-416
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• 2020

과거와는 다르게 금리가 낮아지고, 지식이 보편화되는 등 금융서비스 기업의 CSR 활동과 관련된 환경이 변화하였으며, 글로벌 경제 불안, 규제 증가, 신기술에 따른 영업방식이 노출되는 등 금융서비스 기업의 리스크 관리를 위한 환경이 변화하였다. 본 연구는 금융서비스 기업 종사자를 대상으로 금융서비스 기업의 CSR 활동과 리스크 관리가 지속가능성에 미치는 영향과 기업 이미지의 매개효과를 검증하였다. 연구의 결과는 다음과 같다. 첫째, 금융서비스기업의 CSR의 법적 책임과 재해리스크 및 전략리스크에 대한 관리는 지속가능성에 정(+)의 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났으나, CSR의 윤리적 책임, 재량적 책임, 운영리스크 및 재무리스크에 대한 관리는 부(-)의 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 둘째, CSR의 법적 책임, 재량적 책임, 재해리스크에 대한 관리가 기업 이미지와 지속가능성 사이에서 매개 역할을 하는 것으로 나타났다. 따라서 금융서비스 기업은 CSR의 법적 책임과 재해리스크에 대한 관리에 집중하여 경영할 때 기업의 이미지가 좋아지며 지속가능성이 향상됨을 알 수 있었다.

• Safety and Health at Work
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• 제13권4호
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• pp.429-439
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• 2022

Background: The risk observatory (RO) of the German Social Accident Insurance (DGUV) provides strategic support to the German Social Accident Insurance Institutions (GSAII) in proactive prevention. It does so by identifying future challenges and opportunities for occupational safety and health (OSH) resulting from new trends and developments that affect employees as well as children in elementary education, pupils, and students. Methods: The core of the RO is an online survey that relies on a pool of new trends and developments identified via internet and literature research. 865 prevention experts of the GSAII and the DGUV participated in the survey. They rated trends and developments regarding their sector-specific risks and opportunities for OSH in the 5 years to come. Results: Sector-specific and over-all results show that besides well-known OSH risks such as musculoskeletal stress and noise, developments relevant for OSH come to the fore that do not have their origin in work itself, but are strongly influenced by political, social, economic, environmental, or technical developments that accident insurance can only peripherally influence. Shortage of skilled staff was identified as a threat to OSH in almost all sectors. Conclusions: Prevention must find ways to address repercussions of such OSH risks. Cooperation and political awareness are therefore gaining in importance. Also, implementing a prevention culture in society and strengthening individuals' health and safety literacy, e.g., by target-group-specific communication and sensitization, as well as early safety and health education, help to counteract those OSH risks.

• 한국항만경제학회지
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• 제39권1호
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• pp.115-129
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• 2023

본 연구는 2010년 1월 4일부터 2022년 10월 31일까지의 일별 자료를 기반으로 Copula-CoVaR 방법을 통해 해운선사 주가에 미치는 BDI의 위험 전이효과를 분석하였다. 주요 실증분석 결과와 정책적 함의는 다음과 같다. 첫째, copula 결과에 따르면, BDI와 해운선사 주가 사이는 약한 의존성이 존재하는 것으로 나타났으며, PAN, KOR, YEN은 동적 Student-t copula가 가장 적합한 모형으로 선정되었으며, HMM은 rotated Gumbel copula, KSS는 Gumbel copula가 선정되었다. 둘째, CoVaR의 결과에서, 모든 해운선사에서 상·하방 CoVaR가 상·하방 VaR과 크게 다르다는 것을 확인하였다. BDI가 해운선사에 상당한 위험 전이효과가 있다는 것을 의미한다. 또한 위험 전이효과는 일반적으로 하방 위험이 상방 위험보다 낮으므로, 하방과 상방 위험 전이효과는 비대칭적인 것으로 나타났다. 따라서 정책입안자들은 BDI 충격으로 인한 체계적인 위험을 방지하기 위해 외부 위험 감독을 강화하고, 국내 여건에 맞는 차별화된 정책을 수립해야한다. 그리고 투자자들은 BDI 변동으로 인한 외부 위험을 투자 결정에 반영하고 위험을 피하기 위해 최적의 투자 포트폴리오를 구성해야 한다. 한편, 투자자들은 투자를 결정할 때 상·하방 위험의 비대칭적 특성을 고려하여 투자 포트폴리오를 조정해야 할 것을 제안한다.

• 산경연구논집
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• 제11권2호
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• pp.25-31
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• 2020

Purpose: The AEO (Authorized Economic Operator) program, created in 2001 in the United States due to 9.11 terrorist's attack, fundamentally changed the trade environment. Korea, which introduced AEO program in 2009, has become one of the world's top countries in the program by ranking 6th in the number of AEO certified companies and the world's No. 1 in MRA (Mutual Recognition Agreement) conclusions. In this paper, we examined what trade-economic and non-economic effects the AEO program and its MRA have in Korea. Research design, data and methodology: In this study we developed a model to verify the impact between utilization of AEO and trade-economic effects of the AEO and its MRA. After analyzing the validity and reliability of the model through Structural Equation Model we conducted a survey to request AEO companies to respond their experience on the effects of AEO program and MRA. As a result, 196 responses were received from 176 AEO companies and utilized in the analysis. Results: With regard to economic effects, the AEO program and the MRA have not been directly linked to financial performance, such as increased sales, increased export and import volumes, reduced management costs, and increased operating profit margins. However, it was analyzed that the positive effects of supply chain management were evident, such as strengthening self-security, monitoring and evaluating risks regularly, strengthening cooperation with trading companies, enhancing cargo tracking capabilities, and reducing the time required for export and import. Conclusions: When it comes to the trade-economic effects of AEO program and its MRA, AEO companies did not satisfy with direct effects, such as increased sales and volume of imports and exports, reduced logistics costs. However, non-economic effects, such as reduced time in customs clearance, freight tracking capability, enhanced security in supply chain are still appears to be big for them. In a rapidly changing trade environment the AEO and MRA are still useful. Therefore the government needs to encourage non-AEO companies to join the AEO program, expand MRA conclusion with AEO adopted countries especially developing ones and help AEO companies make good use of AEO and MRA.

• Journal of Korea Trade
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• 제27권5호
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• pp.153-166
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• 2023

Purpose - This research empirically analyzes the influence of economic policy uncertainty and free trade agreements (FTAs) on bilateral trade volumes between Korea and its trading partners. The study investigates whether fluctuations in the Economic Policy Uncertainty Index (EPUI) for both Korea and its trading partners significantly impact trade volumes and whether the implementation of FTAs mitigates these effects. Design/methodology - The study employs dynamic panel data analysis using the system generalized method of moments (system GMM) estimation method to achieve its research objectives. It utilizes country-month-level panel data, including the EPUI, trade volume between Korea and its trading partner countries, and other pertinent variables. The use of system GMM allows for the control of potential endogeneity issues and the incorporation of country-specific and time-specific effects. Findings - The analysis yields significant results regarding the impact of economic policy uncertainty on Korea's exports and imports, particularly before the implementation of FTAs. An increase in the EPUI of trading partners leads to a notable increase in Korea's exports to them. Conversely, an increase in Korea's EPUI negatively affects its imports from trading partners. However, post-FTA implementation, the influence of each country's EPUI on trade volume is neutralized, with no significant difference observed. Originality/value - This research contributes to the existing literature by providing empirical evidence on the interaction effects between economic policy uncertainty and FTAs on bilateral trade volumes. The study's uniqueness lies in its examination of how FTAs mitigate the impact of economic uncertainty on trade relations between countries. The findings underscore the importance of trade agreements as mechanisms to address economic risks and promote international trade relations. In a world where global market uncertainties persist, these insights can aid policymakers in Korea and other countries in enhancing their trade cooperation strategies and navigating challenges posed by evolving economic landscapes.

• 통상정보연구
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• 제11권4호
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• pp.229-259
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• 2009

Financial service in economy is same with neural net or vein net of human body. Moreover, every economic entity which has experienced global financial crisis in 2008 is realizing more importance and power of financial service, and is recognizing financial service as a part of new engine of growth for economic development. As global linkages relating financial service in the industry are deepened, we can expect that the economic interests between countries are more conflicted. Because financial service is regarded as critical factors in order to ensure future competitive advantage, more active change of financial service paradigm in Korea is required. The purpose of this paper is to analyze the paradigm of financial service in global business aspect, to prepare the global governance strategies about financial service, and to bring up some ideas for Korea's economic development after global financial crisis by intensifying the competitiveness of financial services. It is suggested that Korea should prepare the "Master Law for Financial Service" (provisional name) in advance as governance strategy for financial service. And not only establishing the financial risks prevention system and consumer's protection agency, but financial competitiveness strengthening actions will have to be included in governance strategy of financial service in Korea.

• 농업과학연구
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• 제24권1호
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• pp.75-84
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• 1997

Modem biotechnology, specifically for the use of recombinant DNA(rDNA), has brought about a revolution in our ability to control and use life forms. Most of the world's leading countries view biotechnology as the key scientific and industrial discipline for the 21st century and are making all - out efforts for scientific and technological advance in the related fields. The impact of biotechnology on the nation's economy has been growing explosively as such diverse industries invested increasingly on the fruits of biotechnological research. However, such an impact could only be realized through concerted endeavours from the government to private sectors for guarantee of the successful technological advances in this scientific area. There are risks associated with every technology; the classical application of biotechnology has not been exempt. For example, the introduction of bio-tech to agriculture might be destroied the ecosystems. Therefore, to increase the research budgets by the government and private sectors, we need to identify the public attitudes and preference on the acceptance of bio-technology and on the potential economic value of it. For the study, we surveied 959 persons including students enrolled in college of agriculture, Chungnam National University. And to measure the economic value of biotechnology, we use the Contingent Valuation Method(CVM) which is considered as the new approaching method in the bio-technology field.

• 한국건축시공학회지
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• 제12권6호
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• pp.624-635
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• 2012

Construction projects, including housing, are carried out over long periods of time. According to changes to the construction period, the cost of input materials and wages also changes. Therefore appropriate management is important in order to minimize cost risks caused by fluctuations in prices. In Korea, housing units are usually sold in lots prior to construction completion. Therefore, careful management of input elements such as materials and equipment that are sensitive to price fluctuations is very important. This study deals with how the price fluctuation of materials, labor, and equipment influences the change of housing cost and seeks a way for cost management through identifying key resources sensitive to price fluctuation. As a result, a change to the housing cost index multiplies depending on cost changes of materials and labor together. Labor costs are a major factor on the housing cost index. In addition, certain types of materials and labor input to housing construction greatly influence price fluctuations. Thus, it is found that managing those main cost factors is the key for effective cost management.

• Earthquakes and Structures
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• 제13권3호
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• pp.323-335
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• 2017

A simplified framework for the probabilistic estimation of economic losses induced by the structural vulnerability in single-story and single-bay precast industrial buildings is presented. The simplifications introduced in the framework are oriented to the definition of an expeditious procedure adoptable by government agencies and insurance companies for preliminary risk assessment. The economic losses are evaluated considering seismic hazard, structural response, damage resulting from the structural vulnerability and only structural-vulnerability-induced e]conomic losses, i.e., structural repair or reconstruction costs (stock and flow costs) and content losses induced by structural collapse. The uncertainties associated with each step are accounted for via Monte Carlo simulations. The estimation results in a probabilistic description of the seismic risk of portal-like industrial buildings, expressed in terms of economic losses for each occurrence (i.e., seismic event) that owners (i.e., insured) and stakeholders can use to make risk management decisions. The outcome may also be useful for the definition of the insurance premiums and the evaluation of the risks and costs for the owner corresponding to the insurance industrial costs. A prototype of a precast concrete industrial building located in Mirandola, Italy, hit by the 2012 Emilia earthquake, is used as an example of the application of the procedure.