• 제목/요약/키워드: Economic estimate

검색결과 1,165건 처리시간 0.035초

A STUDY ON DURATION ESTIMATE METHOD USING STOCHASTIC MODEL IN THE BIM ENVIRONMENT

  • Jae H. Park;Seok H. Yun;Joon H. Paek
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 3th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.1209-1215
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    • 2009
  • Recently, Construction Projects are being much bigger and more complex. So the importance of Construction Planning and Management is increasing and increasing because of the Construction Projects is involved in a variety of construction-related subjects. Competitive of the Construction Industry decided Cost, Construction Duration and Productivity. But they were just focused on Cost Saving instead of Construction Duration and Productivity. However, they have to finish construction projects using minimum cost and duration with quality and function of required level for successful Construction projects. Thus, current high exchange rate and high period, it is clear to decrease construction cost and to do economic construction in huge Construction Projects and it means more advanced Construction Schedule Management needs for economic construction. But Construction Scheduling Planning, basic of Construction Schedule Management, adjusted contract period without Pre-Planning, just depending on experience and ability of Construction Engineer. Because of that, this study suggests new Duration Estimate Method using Stochastic Model in BIM Environment for advanced Construction Schedule Management. Existing Duration Estimate Methods are just modified wrong points of them or analyzed effective factors of construction schedule. However, New Duration Estimate Method is just consists of Stochastic Model and BIM Environment without existing Duration Estimate Methods. So, new method has creativity and specialty. After this research, it would be a great model in construction industry field.

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연근해어업 어선감척 적정 목표량 산정 및 감척효과 분석 (Direct Economic Effects and Optimal Vessel Reduction Scales in Coastal and Offshore Fisheries)

  • 신용민;김진상;이정민;남종오
    • 수산해양교육연구
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.821-832
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    • 2015
  • The aims of this study are to estimate the optimal vessel reduction scales and these direct economic effects of coastal and offshore fisheries in the Republic of Korea. To estimate respectively optimal fishing efforts of individual fishery by species in coastal and offshore fisheries, we adopted appropriate fishing power of each species published by National Fisheries Research and Development Institute and also considered biological and socio-economic factors such as the bycatch rate, the profit rate, the efficiency of resource use, the average age of fishing vessel, the intention of vessel reduction, and the annual changes in vessels by other factors. The direct economic effects of the optimal vessel reduction in coastal and offshore fisheries based on maximum sustainable yield and 2/3 maximum sustainable yield was calculated by a cost-benefit analysis. This study showed that optimal reduction numbers of vessels engaged in coastal and offshore fisheries were 4,431 and 374 vessels and the direct economic effects in coastal and offshore fisheries were about 371.7 and 569.4 billion won and these NPV and BCR were 111.7 billion won and 1.65 and 342.6 billion won and 4.97 respectively.

Evaluation of the Value for Information Service

  • Kim, Yong-Chul;Kim, Youn-Chong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제10권3호
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    • pp.741-747
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    • 2003
  • There are many method to evaluate the economic value and non-economic value for information service. But we have a difficult problem to estimate the economic value of information objectively because we don't have a comparable value correspondent to the value of information service. Here, we proposed a method to evaluate for the value of information with the survey and discussed the model of the measure of non-economic value with weighted wages.

항만물류산업의 국제경쟁전략에 따른 인력수요예측 연구 - 부산지역을 중심으로 - (The Estimate of Manpower Demand for International Competitive Strategies in Port and Logistics Industry)

  • 김영근
    • 한국항만경제학회지
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    • 제21권4호
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    • pp.55-74
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    • 2005
  • This study focuses on affording a material basis for rearranging the manpower supply system in port and logistics industry for Busan's international competitiveness strategies. First of all, the current state and future plan of port and logistics industry, as Busan's main strategic industry, are reviewed. Then theoretical background are introduced for the estimate of demand. As a methodology of this research, Cubic model is applied to estimate the demand of manpower by using 10 year time series data from 1993 to 2002. This paper also surveyed the supply side of port and logistics industry manpower in Busan area. The amounts of mismatched equilibrium between the demand and the supply are measured in this study. The concluding remarks shows some suggestions for the problem of mismatch and the relating policy planning.

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Estimation of the Forest Stand Volumes from Forest Inventory Data Based on Synthetic Estimation Method: A Case of the Economic Forest in Gangwon-do, Republic of Korea

  • Seo, Hwan seok;Park, Jeong mook;Lee, Jung soo
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • 제32권2호
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    • pp.140-148
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    • 2016
  • This study aims to estimate the forest volumes of the economic forest in Gangwon Province of Republic of Korea (hereinafter referred to as Gangwon) through the synthetic estimation. To estimate the forest volume, Stratified systematic sampling method was used along with the forest type maps and the $5^{th}$ National Forest Inventory data. The synthetic estimation includes sample plots of the expanded areas as well as those of the target area, and the forest volume of economic forest in every city and county throughout Gangwon. Results show that the average forest volume calculated by synthetic estimation was $159.6m^3/ha$ in national economic forest and $129.6m^3/ha$ in private economic forest. The total forest volume of the national economic forest was approximately $59.45million\;m^3$, which was $20.18million\;m^3$ higher than that of the private economic forest. On the other hands, the standard error of the national economic forest was approximately ${\pm}2.21m^3/ha$, which was ${\pm}0.30m^3/ha$ lower than that of the private economic forest. The lowest standard errors was about ${\pm}3.12 m^3/ha$ in broad-leaved forest, followed by ${\pm}4.33m^3/ha$ of mixed forest, and ${\pm}5.78m^3/ha$ of coniferous forest.

생물경제모형을 이용한 참조기의 자원평가에 관한 연구 - 단일어종·다수어업 사례를 중심으로 (A Stock Assessment of Yellow Croaker using Bioeconomic Model: a Case of Single Species and Multiple Fisheries)

  • 심성현;남종오
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제37권2호
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    • pp.161-177
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    • 2015
  • This study analyzes the stock assessment of yellow croaker caught mainly by the Korean stow net and gill net fisheries focusing on single species and multiple fisheries. This study standardizes fishing efforts for the two fisheries using the general linear model and uses a surplus production model based on the exponential growth model. The Clarke Yoshimoto Pooley model estimates a maximum sustainable yield(MSY), an allowable biological catch(ABC), fishing efforts for MSY($E_{MSY}$) and for ABC($E_{ABC}$). The bio-economic model is used to estimate the maximum economic yield(MEY) and fishing efforts for MEY($E_{MSY}$). Also, the study employs an economic analysis to estimate the economic interaction between stow net and gill net fisheries. The economic analysis shows the profit accruing to the two fisheries from estimated ABC. Finally, the study compares TACs based on single species and single fishery to TAC based on single species and multiple fisheries. The study proposes that the TAC assessment is necessary for single species and multiple fisheries in order to preserve resources.

Estimating the Economic Burden of Lung Cancer in Iran

  • Rezaei, Satar;Sari, Ali Akbari;Woldemichael, Abraha;Soofi, Moslem;Kazemi, Ali;Matin, Behzad Karami
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제17권10호
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    • pp.4729-4733
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    • 2016
  • Objectives: Lung cancer is a major public health problem and one of the most costly illnesses. The study aimed to estimate the economic burden of lung cancer in Iran in 2014. Methods: A cross-sectional study was conducted to estimate the direct and indirect costs for patients with lung cancer using a prevalence-based approach. A human capital approach was employed to estimate the indirect costs. Data were obtained from several sources such as through patient interview using structured questionnaire, medical records, the GLOBOCAN databases, the Iranian Statistical Center, the Iranian Ministry of Cooperation, Labor and Social Welfare, and the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME). Results: The economic burden of lung cancer in Iran in the year 2014 was 3,225,998,555,090 IR. The main components of the cost were associated with mortality (81.9 %) and hospitalization (7.6 %). The costs of direct medical care, non-medical aspects, patient time, and mortality accounted for 10.8%, 2.7%, 4.5%, and 81.5% of the total cost, respectively. Conclusion: Findings from this study indicated that the economic burden of lung cancer is substantial both to Iran's health system and to society as a whole. Early diagnosis, strengthening cancer prevention, implementing new cancer therapy and medical technology, and effective smoking-cessation interventions could offset some of the costs associated with lung cancer in Iran.

A Study on the Estimation of Economic Consequence of Severe Accident

  • Hong, Dae-Seok;Lee, Kun-Jai;Jeong, Jong-Tae
    • 한국원자력학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국원자력학회 1996년도 추계학술발표회논문집(1)
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    • pp.409-414
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    • 1996
  • A model to estimate economic consequence of severe accident provides some measure of the impact on the accident and enables to know the different effects of the accident described as same terms of cost and combined as necessary. Techniques to assess the consequences of accidents in terms of cost have many applications, for instance in examining countermeasure options, as part of either emergency planning or decision making after an accident. In this study, a model to estimate the accident economic consequence is developed appropriate to our country focused on PWR accident costs from a societal viewpoint. Societal costs are estimated by accounting for losses that directly affect the plant licensee, the public, the nuclear industry, or the electric utility industry after PWR accident.

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An Evaluation of the Economic Design of Control Charts with Imprecise Information

  • Kim, Gyu Tai;Kim, Jong Rae
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제24권3호
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    • pp.65-76
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    • 1996
  • This paper is concerned with designing $\bar{X}$-control charts when an estimate error may be Inevitable. Estimate error offen can not be avoided in estimating or measuring the parameter values of the cost model for the control charts. The bounded interval is a common practice to compensate for inherent estimating error. We introduce the 'propagation of error technique to deal with the economic design of the $\bar{X}$-control charts with imprecise information on the cost model parameters. A numerical example is presented to show· its ability in the economic design of $\bar{X}$-control charts.

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Engineering Valuation Based on Small Samples

  • Cho, Jin-Hyung;Lee, Sae-Jae;Seo, Bo-Chul
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제29권1호
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    • pp.143-150
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    • 2006
  • Box-Cox model and T-factor method have been widely used to measure economic depreciations for industrial property. The Box-Cox model which combines economic efficiency with depreciation pattern is here extended to the reliability function. To do so a Rayleigh distribution which has been used to estimate the reliability of current assets was chosen as an efficiency curve of marginal productivity. Such an approach provides the possibility to classify the efficiency curves into four categories. It is also possible to analyze the types of depreciation curves. Therefore, the power family of a non-linear Box-Cox model could be set at certain constant values, then the model can be transformed into a linear model to estimate the economic depreciation rates by utilizing the reliability function. Estimating the resultant linear regression equation requires minimal number of observations, while at the same time facilitating the test of hypothesis on depreciation rates.