• Title/Summary/Keyword: Economic damage level

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Economic Damage of Sea-level Rise and The Optimal Rate of Coastal Protection in the Korean Eastern Southern Areas (기후변화에 따른 해수면 상승의 경제적 피해비용 및 최적 해안 방어비율 추정 -동·남해안 지역을 대상으로-)

  • Min, Dongki;Cho, Kwangwoo
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.21-42
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    • 2014
  • In this study, we are estimating the economic effects of the rising sea level due to the climate change in the Korean Eastern and Southern coastal areas. Using disaggregated regional data, we also estimate the optimal rate of coastal protection. We use FUND (The Climate Framework for Uncertainty, Negotiation and Distribution) in order to obtain estimates of the expected inundation ratios by geographical district. Our estimates suggest that in Busan the ratio of inundated land to total territory will likely constitute 3.19% by 2100, while the number in Gangwon-do province is estimated to be lower at only 0.1%. We estimate the associated economic damage to differ by geographical district with the economically active regions such as e.g. Busan and Ulsan cities, or the Gyeongsang-nam-do province, likely to sustain relatively more damage. In Busan and Ulsan where the coastal line is relatively short and the size of expected economic damage is rather high, we estimate the optimal rate of coastal protection to be at the level of 98% and 92%, respectively. In the Kyeongsang-nam-do area that is also likely to suffer a substantial economic damage due to the inundation, we suggest the optimal ratio of coastal protection to be set at the level of 78%~79%. In contrast, in the Kangwon-do province where the expected economic damage is estimated to be low, the optimal rate of coastal protection is estimated to be around 43%, depending on the scenario.

Selection of Priority Areas Based on Human and Economic Risk from Exposure to Fine Particles in Seoul (서울 대기 중 미세 먼지 노출로 인한 위해도에 근거한 우선 관리 지역 선정 -이론적 사망 위해도 및 손실비용을 근거로-)

  • Kim Ye-Shin;Lee Yong-Jin;Shin Dong-Chun
    • Environmental Analysis Health and Toxicology
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.49-58
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    • 2004
  • It is important to select a risk based priority area for environmental policy formation and decision-making. We estimated the health risks and associated damage costs from exposure to fine particles and assigned priority areas for twenty -five districts in Seoul. In order to estimate the theoretical mortality incidence of the health risk, baseline risks were estimated from mortality rates in two low level areas of fine particles, Seocho Gu and Cheju city To estimate the damage cost from the risk estimates, we investigated and estimated the willingness to pay (WTP) for specific risk reduction. We assumed two different locations as the reference area, Cheju city as Scenario I and Seocho gu as Scenario II. From the results, the five districts, Kwangjin, Chungnang, Kangbuk, Nowon, and Kangnam, ranked high in the categories of both health risk and economic risk. Damage costs were over twenty billion won in each of these districts. As there are uncertainties in these results, the parameter values such as PM$_{2.5}$ level, dose -response slope factor, baseline risk, exposure population and WTP should be continuously validated and refined.d.

Analysis on the Relations of Citizen's Personal Character and Fear of Crime (시민의 개인적 특성과 범죄두려움 관계 분석)

  • Seong, Yong-Eun;Yoo, Young-Jae
    • Korean Security Journal
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    • no.14
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    • pp.261-283
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    • 2007
  • In recent studies for explaining the causation of crime fear shows interest and effort in studies attempting microscopical individual level and macroscopical local level of sex, age, economic level, crime damage level and etc. However, in this study, it is considered that interest and analysis of individual on characteristics of these local level may has its difference depends on crime damage experience in the past, fragility precision of crime damage and interest on crime relating information and processed positive analysis on characteristics of individual and relation of crime fear on individual level before making an attempt of connecting microscopical level and macroscopical level. Therefore, the purpose of this study is on positive verification of how people feel about crime fear depends on individual's characteristic and also how much effect would they receive. As the result of this study, it is shown that first, population statistical characteristics that crime damage experience is statistically meaningful of its difference of each group are age, status of marriage, final education status and residential area and for the fragility precision of crime damage was sex and status of marriage and for the interest about the crime relating information has meaningful difference statistically of each group depends on sex, age, final education status, income of the house and location of residential area. Second, after processing correlation analysis on individual characteristic primary factor and crime fear, the result of 3 primary factor independent variable all shows statistically meaningful correlation with crime fear and especially fragility primary factor on crime damage showed the most high correlation with crime fear. Lastly, fragility of crime damage, interest on crime information and crime damage experience has effected as characteristics of individual and especially fragility of crime damage which the person thought to be the most fragility on crime damage out of these individual characteristic primary factor showed to have the most effecting primary factor.

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Earthquake Direct Economic Loss Estimation of Building Structures in Gangnam-Gu District in Seoul Using HAZUS Framework (HAZUS틀을 사용한 서울시 강남구의 건축물 지진피해에 따른 직접적 경제손실 예측)

  • Jeong, Gi Hyun;Lee, Han Seon;Kwon, Oh-Sung;Hwang, Kyung Ran
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.391-400
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    • 2016
  • For earthquake loss estimation of building structures in Gangnam-Gu district in Seoul, three scenario earthquakes were selected by comparison of the response spectra of these scenario earthquakes with the design spectrum in Korean Building Code (KBC 2009), and then direct losses of the building structures in the Gangnam-Gu district under each scenario earthquake are estimated. The following conclusions are drawn from the results of damage and loss in the second scenario earthquake, which has a magnitude = 6.5 and epicentral distance =15 km: (1) The ratio of building stocks undergoing the extensive and complete damage level is 40.0% of the total. (2) The amount of direct economic losses appears approximately 19 trillion won, which is 1.2% of the national GDP of Korea. (3) About 25% of high-rise (over 10-story) RC building wall structures, were inflicted with the damage exceeding moderate level, when compared to 60% of low-rise building structures. (4) From the economical view point, the main loss, approximately 50%, was caused by the damage in the high-rise RC wall building structures.

Economic Injury Levels for the Rice Leaffolder Cnaphalocrocis medinalis (Lepidoptera: Pyralidae) in the Rice Paddy Field (벼 혹명나방(Cnaphalocrocis medinalis)의 경제적 피해수준)

  • Lee, Geon-Hwi;Park, Chae-Hoon;Choi, Man-Young;Seo, Hong-Yul;Bae, Soon-Do;Choi, Yong-Soo
    • Korean journal of applied entomology
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    • v.45 no.3 s.144
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    • pp.327-331
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    • 2006
  • This study was carried out to determine the economic injury level of the rice leaffolder,Cnaphalocrocis medinalis G.. The damage aspects of rice plant (at tilling stage) by leaf folders at different larval density per plant were studied in pot experiment (24 cm in diameter, 18 cm in height). One leaf folder consumed 6-7 leaves during larval stage. The damage by leaf folders was simulated by cutting off 0, 10, 30, 50, 70, and 90% of leaves before and after heading stage July 15th (at panicle initiation stage) and August 15th (at milk stage), respectively. When leaves were cut before the heading of rice, the linear relationships between the leaf cutting rate (X) and each factors of yield (Y) were as following; for grain maturity it was Y = -9.379X + 83.630 ($R^{2}=0.493$),\;Y = 0.139X + 0.490 ($R^{2}=0.925$) for yield, and Y = -4.880X + 81.116 ($R^{2}=0.665$) for head rice. When leaves were cut after the heading of rice, it was Y = -23.0l4X + 83.589 ($R{2}=0.915$), for grain maturity, Y=0.141X + 3.466 ($R^{2}=0.842$) for yield, and Y = -13.795X + 81.964 ($R^{2}=0.898$) for head rice. We found that when leaf cutting after the heading stage caused more damage than before the heading in terms of yield and yield components. Based on theses results the economic threshold level was estimated to be 30% and 7% leaf loss before and after heading stage.

Fragility curves and loss functions for RC structural components with smooth rebars

  • Cardone, Donatello
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.10 no.5
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    • pp.1181-1212
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    • 2016
  • Fragility and loss functions are developed to predict damage and economic losses due to earthquake loading in Reinforced Concrete (RC) structural components with smooth rebars. The attention is focused on external/internal beam-column joints and ductile/brittle weak columns, designed for gravity loads only, using low-strength concrete and plain steel reinforcing bars. First, a number of damage states are proposed and linked deterministically with commonly employed methods of repair and related activities. Results from previous experimental studies are used to develop empirical relationships between damage states and engineering demand parameters, such as interstory and column drift ratios. Probability distributions are fit to the empirical data and the associated statistical parameters are evaluated using statistical methods. Repair costs for damaged RC components are then estimated based on detailed quantity survey of a number of pre-70 RC buildings, using Italian costing manuals. Finally, loss functions are derived to predict the level of monetary losses to individual RC components as a function of the experienced response demand.

A Study on Types of Disasters Affecting City Safety (도시안전에 영향을 미치는 재난유형에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Yun-Cheul
    • Journal of the Architectural Institute of Korea Structure & Construction
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    • v.35 no.6
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    • pp.93-100
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    • 2019
  • Modern society is transforming into an extreme climate environment. This is fatal to humans and ecosystems and is expected to cause large-scale damage. As this spokesman, natural disasters are increasing as this global average temperature rises. Social and economic damage by this tendency is also increasing. In addition, the frequency and scale of social disasters are increasing. Damage to the living area due to the damage of the infrastructure due to the increased reliance on infrastructure has been increasingly enlarged. In this research, various disasters such as natural disasters and social disasters analyze the impact on urban safety. A local autonomous entity K Priority Management Establish a kind of disaster, prepare crisis management manual, and use it as a basic material of education / training.

Seismic failure analysis and safety assessment of an extremely long-span transmission tower-line system

  • Tian, Li;Pan, Haiyang;Ma, Ruisheng;Dong, Xu
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.71 no.3
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    • pp.305-315
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    • 2019
  • Extremely long-span transmission tower-line system is an indispensable portion of an electricity transmission system, and its failures or collapse can impact on the entire electricity grid, affect the modern life, and cause great economic losses. It is therefore imperative to investigate the failure and safety of the transmission tower subjected to ground motions. In the present study, a detailed finite element (FE) model of a representative extremely long-span transmission tower-line system is established. A segmental damage indicator (SDI) is proposed to quantitatively assess the damage level of each segment of the transmission tower under earthquakes. Additionally, parametric studies are conducted to investigate the influence of different ground motions and incident angles on the ultimate capacity and weakest segment of the transmission tower. Finally, the collapse fragility curve in terms of the maximum SDI value and PGA is plotted for the exampled transmission tower. The results show that the proposed SDI can quantitatively assess the damage level of the segments, and thus determine the ultimate capacity and weakest segment of the transmission tower. Moreover, the different ground motions and incident angles have a significant influence on the SDI values of the transmission tower, and the collapse fragility curve is utilized to evaluate the collapse resistant capacity of the transmission tower subjected to ground motions.

Damage Probabilities according to the Structural Characteristics of Bridges and the Determination of Target Ductilities (교량의 구조특성에 따른 손상확률과 목표연성도 결정)

  • Sun, Chang-Ho;Lee, Jong-Seok;Kim, Ick-Hyun
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2010
  • The target performance of a current seismic design code is to achieve collapse-prevention in order to minimize casualties. Existing structures are also being retrofitted to meet this target performance. This seismic performance seems to have been achieved in recent great overseas earthquakes, but the accompanying enormous economic loss is pointed out as a new problem. A new seismic design concept over the current target performance is required to reduce economic loss, in which a target performance is determined by the damage probability in order to control the damage levels of structures. In this study, the seismic behavior of bridges having different characteristics was investigated by nonlinear seismic analyses, and fragility curves with respect to a reference damage level were derived. Based on these results, the characteristics of target ductilities satisfying a target damage probability were investigated.

Estimation of Potential Population by IED(Improvised Explosive Device) in Intensive Apartment Area (아파트 밀집지역 급조폭발물 테러 발생 시 잠재피해인구 추정)

  • Lee, Kangsan;Choi, Jinmu
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.76-86
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    • 2015
  • In this study, we presented a method for estimating the potential population damage of the Seoul Nowon-gu area in the event of a terrorist using a vehicle improvised explosive devices (IED). Using the object-based building extraction method with orthophoto image, the area of the apartment has been determined, and the apartment's height and level were estimated based on the elevation data. Using the population estimation method based on total floor area of building, each apartment resident population was estimated, and then potential population damage at the time of terrorist attacks was estimated around the subway station through a scenario analysis. Terrorism damage using IED depends on the type of vehicle greatly because of the amount loadable explosives. Therefore, potential population damage was calculated based on the type of vehicle. In the results, the maximum potential damage population during terrorist attacks has been estimated to occur around Madeul station, Nowon-gu. The method used in this study can be used various population estimation research and disaster damage estimation.

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