• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• 제42권4호
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• pp.91-116
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• 2020

As a project appraisal tool, the preliminary feasibility study (PFS) has contributed to enhancing the efficiency of public investment decision-making in the Republic of Korea over the last two decades. To overcome the limitations of the efficiency-oriented cost-benefit analysis, the PFS accommodates equity concerns among regions, namely balanced regional development (BRD) analysis. This study attempts to gauge the contributions of BRD analysis to PFS results. Specifically, it addresses how effectively policy efforts to promote decision-making have been implemented in the PFS stage while also considering the balance between equity and efficiency in terms of the trade-off between them, the degree to which they influence the results, and whether the consideration of equity is in fact actually reflected in seriously underdeveloped regions as intended. The study finds that the PFS results over the last two decades have been largely in line with the background and policy objectives. Based on the findings of the study, needs for institutional improvement are suggested, including enhancements in the analysis of regional economic ripple effects and taking into account the psychological factors pertaining to the evaluators in the overall judgment.

• 전자통신동향분석
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• 제38권4호
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• pp.47-57
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• 2023

The competition for technological supremacy is unfolding in the high-tech field, and quantum computing can be determinant for economic and security ripple effects. The United States and China, leaders in quantum computing, have developed this field through adequate policies. The United States has fostered quantum computing through government policies and competition among private companies, while China has secured world-class technology through large-scale government investment and attracting foreign talent. In quantum computing, securing talented people is essential to guarantee independent technology development regarding academic attributes and security. We analyze quantum computing policies in the United States and China on a timeline and determine their policy trends. In addition, the policies for securing talent in these countries are reviewed, and the policy effects are compared based on literature analysis. Through the analysis of policy cases between the United States and China, bilateral policy implications for Korea are delineated.

• 인터넷정보학회논문지
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• 제21권3호
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• pp.61-70
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• 2020

The 4th Industrial Revolution is a revolutionary change through intelligence, big fusion and personalization, and the importance of sensor technology that is the basis of core technology is emerging. This study empirically analyzes the derivation of national strategy for R&D of sensor technology, and draws out the effect of technology internalization effort through strategic R&D activities on technical performance and further on national economy. The research and development results are calculated for each type of technology internalization, and the results of the research and development are verified to establish a structure that contributes to the national economic performance. As a national technology internalization strategy, considering its own R&D investment and joint research and development, we examine the impact of each factor on patents and GDP, focusing on causality and ripple effects. For causality analysis, Grandeur causality analysis shows that R&D investment and joint research and development in all countries have mutual causal relationship with GDP. The implications are as follows. First, it is necessary to establish the policy of national economic development through the internalization of technology and knowledge. Second, it is necessary to establish policies according to the type of knowledge internalization. Third, it will be necessary to create an ecosystem environment based on a virtuous relationship between knowledge internalization and national technology and economic development.

• International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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• 제11권1호
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• pp.171-180
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• 2023

This study is to develop a performance analysis model for SMEs.Based on similar performance indicators through previous studies, performance indicators for SMEs were rewritten.Through the Korean Journal Citation Index (KCI), 75 related data were classified and a comprehensive SME performance analysis model was developed.Performance analysis was divided into two axes and classified into tables.The horizontal axis is the spatial performance range, which is divided into three areas: performance management by department/function, integrated performance management for the entire organization, and governance performance management requiring policy feedback. The vertical axis is subdivided into short-term, mid-term, and long-term by time and growth stage, and is divided into three parts: technical performance according to technological input, economic performance as organizational performance, and social performance for policy utilization. Then, performance indicators were mapped to each column. As a result of the survey, 28% of technical performance was analyzed as a result of frequency analysis, and performance indicators were organized into five categories: IT, R&D, certification, patent, and innovation. Economic performance was divided into 29%, BSC, HRD, logistics, production quality management, financial support, asset management, etc. 6 categories, social performance 43%, ESG, marketing, export, policy support, consulting, cooperation, etc. 7 categories.Limitations of the study include the narrowness of the survey that derived only performance indicators despite being a meta-analysis, and the performance model was mapped and classified according to growth stage and support period.however Insufficiency of validity due to lack of evidence, performance indicators were developed, but there were limitations in utilization for practical use.

• 한국정보통신학회논문지
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• 제19권5호
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• pp.1031-1039
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• 2015

본 연구는 산업연관분석을 통하여 국내 정보보호 제조 및 서비스 산업의 경제파급효과를 분석한 것이다. 분석 결과, 정보보호 제품의 생산유발계수는 전 산업 평균보다 크지만, 정보보호 서비스는 전 산업 평균을 크게 하회하는 것으로 나타났다. 반면, 부가가치유발계수 및 고용유발계수의 경우 정보보호 서비스는 전 산업 평균을 크게 상회하는데 반해, 정보보호 제품은 전 산업 평균에 미치지 못해 생산유발계수와 대조적인 결과를 보였다. 전ㆍ후방 연쇄효과는 정보보호 제품 및 서비스 모두 산업 평균보다 낮은 수준으로 나타났다. 그리고 정보보호 산업은 전반적으로 국민경제에 미치는 성장 기여도와 고용기여도가 미약한 것으로 나타났으며, 특히 정보보호 제품의 경우 고용기여도가 마이너스를 기록해 해당 부문의 고용증대를 위한 노력이 시급한 것으로 나타났다.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제46권spc호
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• pp.9-18
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• 2023

In the global manufacturing industry, digital transformation is emerging as an important issue for companies to improve productivity and strengthen industrial competitiveness. The government and shipbuilding companies drive research and development to attain advanced technologies through digital transformation for shipbuilding & offshore plants, one of Korea's representative manufacturing industries. Therefore, the digital transformation of the shipbuilding & offshore plant industry was defined using an input-output analysis model, and the economic interrelationships of industries linked to the digital transformation of the shipbuilding & offshore plant industry were analyzed. According to the analysis, the shipbuilding & offshore plant industry ranks second among all 34 industries regarding the forward linkage effect. The backward linkage effect was ranked 27th, making it a mid-demand industry with a robust forward linkage effect. In addition, the production-induced effect was 0.455, the value-added-induced effect was 0.174, and the employment-induced effect was 1.779 people per billion won. The contribution of this study is that it will provide the basis for establishing policies necessary to strengthen the competitiveness of the shipbuilding & offshore plant industry. Also, it will help analyze the economic effects of digital transformation in other manufacturing industries.

• Journal of Korea Trade
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• 제27권5호
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• pp.137-152
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• 2023

Purpose - Although many existing studies on the US-China hegemonic conflict and decoupling have been published, most of them are qualitative and use descriptive analysis methods. Papers that quantitatively analyzed decoupling mainly estimate the effect of a tariff increase. However, this paper quantitatively analyzed the ripple effect by focusing on decoupling technology spillover between the United States and China. And, for the first time, it was suggested that the blocking of technology spillover could give a fatal blow to the East Asian economy as well as China. Design/methodology - The United States is pursuing decoupling with China, primarily in goods trade and blocking technology transfer. This paper sets up various scenarios and uses three computational general equilibrium (CGE) models to analyze the overall ripple effects of decoupling. A paper using the three CGE models for decoupling ripple effect analysis has not yet been published. Findings - Decoupling will hit the economies of regions with close economic ties to China more than others. According to simulation results of this study, the Chinese economy may suffer severe damage that is difficult to recover from, and the economies of Asian countries are predicted to deteriorate to the point of being choked. Originality/value - Existing papers that assessed the effect of decoupling mostly focus on estimating the effect itself through tariff hikes. This paper is meaningful in that it comprehensively analyzed decoupling by adding the effect of technology spillover blockade. In addition, another meaning can be found in that it quantified for the first time that it will deal a huge blow to the extent of choking the East Asian economy as well as China.

• 한국항만경제학회지
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• 제24권2호
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• pp.193-208
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• 2008

본 논문의 연구목적은 산업연관표를 이용하여 물류서비스산업의 국민경제적 파급효과를 분석함으로써 물류서비스부문의 정책개선의 자료로 활용하고자 한다. 분석을 위하여 한국은행에서 작성 발표된 산업연관표를 사용하였는데, 1998년, 2000년, 2003년의 산업연관표를 이용하여 분석하였다. 분석결과를 요약하면, 생산유발계수는 철도운송 1757단위, 도로운송 1688단위, 하역 1617단위로 높게 나타나고, 수입유발계수를 보면, 운수보조서비스, 하역, 보관 및 창고, 기타 운수관련서비스 등은 낮게 나타나는 반면 수상운송 0.679단위, 항공운송 0.558단위로 수입유발계수가 높게 나타나고 있다. 다음으로 부가가치유발계수는, 철도운송 0.841단위, 도로운송 0.828단위, 운수보조서비스 0.962단위, 하역 0.939단위, 보관 및 창고 0.938단위, 기타 운수관련서비스 0.942단위로 부가가치유발계수가 높게 나타나고 있다. 감응도계수는 도로운송이 높고, 수상운송과 보관 및 창고업의 감응도계수가 낮다. 그리고 영향력계수는 철도운송, 도로운송이 높고, 반면에 수상운송과 항공운송의 영향력계수가 낮게 나타났다. 물류서비스산업의 취업구조를 살펴보면, 도로운송부문이 74만 4천명으로 가장 많이 종사하고 있으며, 항공운송 1만 9천명, 운수보조서비스업이 2만명으로 물류서비스업에서 종사자가 가장 적은 것으로 나타났다.

• 정보관리연구
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• 제39권3호
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• pp.73-94
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• 2008

과학기술정보가 앞으로의 경제발전의 주도적인 역할을 수행할 지식기반사회의 핵심 요체임과 동시에 우리나라가 지식정보강국으로 도약할 기본적인 인프라임에도 불구하고 국가 지식정보시스템 개발에 따른 경제성장 및 제반 경제구조에 미치는 영향에 대한 분석은 현재 매우 미미한 실정이다. 이에 본 논문은 국가 지식정보시스템 개발의 연구활동이 경제 각 부문에 미치는 효과를 한국은행(2007)의 산업연관분석을 이용하여 생산유발효과, 부가가치유발효과, 수입유발효과, 취업자유발효과로 나누어 경제적 파급효과를 분석하고, 연구개발 투자에 대한 비용편익분석을 통해 국가 지식정보시스템 개발에 대한 경제사회적 타당성을 검증하고자 한다.

• 디지털융복합연구
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• 제19권3호
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• pp.161-166
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• 2021

거시경제는 한 나라의 경제 전반의 움직임을 나타내는 개념으로 경제주체인 기업, 정부, 가계경제 활동 전반에 영향을 미친다. 거시경제는 국민소득, 물가, 실업, 통화, 금리, 원자재 등의 변화를 살펴보면 경제 주체들의 행위와 상호작업이 제품과 서비스의 가격에 영향을 파악할 수 있다. 미국연방준비제도(FED)는 코로나 경제침체를 극복하기 위한 다양한 경기부양책을 내 놓으며, 세계경제를 이끌고 있다. 현재 코로나로 인한 주가가 2020년3월20일에 지속적으로 하락하였지만, FED의 강력한 경지부양책인 양적완화로 미국의 S&P500지수는 3월 23일이후 반등을 시작해 12월 15일 3,694.62까지 회복에 성공했다. 따라서 주가의 예측을 기업의 재무제표로 판단하는 것이 아니라 거시경제지표에 따른 FED의 경기부양책이 더 영향을 미치고 있는 실정이다. 따라서 본 연구는 FED의 경기부양책과 주가에 미치는 영향을 분석하여 주식투자에 손실을 줄이고 건전한 투자 정착을 위해 본 연구를 진행하였다.