• 산경연구논집
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• 제10권1호
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• pp.29-37
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• 2019

Purpose - We study the dynamic linkages of the economic policy uncertainty (EPU) in the US on the manufacturing stock market returns in Korea. In detail, we examine the casual link between EPU index in the US and the manufacturing stock indexes in Korea. Research design, data, and methodology - We measure mainly the distribution effect of the US EPU on the manufacturing stock market in Korea of 1990-2017 by the vector error correction model (VECM). Result - In result, we estimate the impact of the US EPU index has significantly a negative response to the manufacturing stock market in Korea such as non-metal stock index, chemical stock index, food stock index, textile·clothes stock index, automobile·shipbuilding stock index, machinery stock index, steel·metal stock index. Also the remaining variables such as electric·electronics stock index, S&P 500, and producer price index in Korea have a negative relationship with US EPU index. Conclusions - We find out that the relationship between EPU index of the US and the manufacturing stock market in Korea has the negative relationships. We determine the EPU of the US has the spillover effect on the industry stock markets in Korea.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• 제27권2호
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• pp.89-121
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• 2005

본고는 1991~2003년의 기간중 우리나라 상장 제조업의 기업별 자료를 이용하여 불확실성과 투자의 관계에 대한 부분적인 검증을 시도하였다. 실증분석 결과 외환위기 이후의 기간에서만 불확실성이 투자에 영향을 미친 것으로 나타났으며, 또한 외환위기 이후의 기간중에서도 재무건전성이 낮은 기업에서 불확실성의 영향이 강하게 추정되었다. 이러한 분석결과는 외환위기 이후 기업의 위험기피성향이 증가하였으며 기업경영이 보수화되어 왔음을 시사하고 있다. 한편 외환위기 이전에는 투자와 현금흐름 사이에 높은 상관관계가 추정된 데 비하여, 외환위기 이후에는 이러한 상관관계가 발견되지 않아 투자자금의 공급과 관련된 금융제약이 투자에 미치는 영향은 상대적으로 약화되었음을 의미하고 있다.

• 대한산업공학회지
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• 제39권3호
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• pp.183-191
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• 2013

We address the power generation mix problem that considers not only nuclear and fossil fuels such as oil, coal and LNG but also renewable energy technologies. Unlike nuclear or other generation technologies, the expansion plan of renewable energy is highly uncertain because of its dependency on the government policy and uncertainty associated with technology improvements. To address this issue, we conduct a delphi survey and forecast the capacity of renewable energy. We further propose a stochastic mixed integer programming model that determines an optimal capacity expansion and the amount of power generation using each generation technology. Using the proposed model, we test eight generation mix scenarios and particularly evaluate how much the expansion of renewable energy contributes to the total costs for power generation in Korea. The evaluation results show that the use of renewable energy incurs additional costs.

• Asian Journal of Innovation and Policy
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• 제12권2호
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• pp.246-260
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• 2023

With the advent of COVID-19, the world economy has undergone enormous losses and unprecedented crises. Moreover, this pandemic has put a significant effect on all business organizations, comprising the micro, small and medium enterprises (MSMEs) sector. MSMEs have been continuing to develop business strategies and are eager to compete in the market. The COVID-19 pandemic has shifted the full focus of MSMEs from 'business growth' to 'business survival' worldwide. E-commerce readiness plays a crucial role in a time of uncertainty and crisis during COVID-19 and affects the durability and sustainability of the business. This study attempts to study the readiness of online business and "E-commerce" adoption of MSMEs and its contribution to economic growth by utilizing both qualitative and quantitative techniques in the case of India. We use content analysis to determine the readiness of online business and Ecommerce in the post COVID-19 period. The result highlights the specific issues of this sector such as the shortage of resources and disruptions in the supply chain & logistical issues during the COVID-19 pandemic. Qualitative analysis discloses that almost half of the respondents adopt online platforms along with additional challenges to sustain their business during the pandemic. This study utilizes annual time series data for the period from 1973-74 to 2017-18 to understand the long-run relationship between India's GDP and MSMEs units. By utilizing the co-integration technique, this study reveals that there is a long-run relationship between MSME units and the economic growth of this country.

• 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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• 제25권3호
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• pp.403-419
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• 2016

배출권거래제는 기업으로 하여금 최저의 비용으로 감축을 유도하며 배출에 대한 불확실성이 없을 때 효율적인 것으로 알려져 있다. 본 연구는 배출에서의 불확실성이 기업의 배출권 구매와 감축에 미치는 영향을 분석하였다. 배출량이 확실한 경우보다 불확실할 때 기업이 더 많은 감축을 할 것인지는 한계기대벌금과 한계저감비용에 좌우되었다. 한계기대벌금이 한계 감축비용보다 크다면, 기업은 배출량이 확실한 경우보다 더 많이 감축하고 불확실성의 증가에 따라 배출량도 감소하는 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구는 또한 감축과 배출권 구매의 순서가 기업의 결정에 미치는 영향을 분석하였으나, 의사결정의 순서와 상관없이 기대배출량은 동일한 것으로 확인되었다.

• 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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• 제28권4호
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• pp.617-643
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• 2019

DMZ는 1953년 정전협정 이후 설정된 군사분계선의 남북으로 설정된 완충지대이다. 또한 정전협정 이후 철저히 사람의 간섭으로부터 단절된 지역이고, 67종의 멸종위기종을 포함한 2,716종의 야생동·식물이 서식하는 중요한 자연환경보전지역이다. 반면, 향후 남북경협 활성화 시 DMZ에 대한 개발압력은 증가될 수밖에 없기에, DMZ 개발 시 경제적 비용-편익 관점에서의 논의뿐 아니라, DMZ의 생물다양성을 어떻게 평가하고 보존할 것인지와 복구비용 및 예산도 종합적으로 고려해야 한다. 본 논문은 실물옵션 방법론으로 생물다양성의 가치를 고려한 DMZ 관리 모형을 제시하였다. 또한 DMZ의 정치적 리스크 및 지역적 특수성을 모형 안에 반영하여 설계하였다. 실증분석을 통해 불확실성하에서 DMZ 투자경제성을 확보할 수 있는 생물다양성 가치의 임계값(b^*)을 도출하였으며, 이때 생물다양성이 주는 편익을 도출하였다. 그리고 민감도 분석을 통해 생물다양성 가치의 임계값에 영향을 주는 요인을 분석하였으며, 이를 바탕으로 DMZ의 지속가능한 개발을 위한 정책적 시사점을 제시하였다.

• East Asian Economic Review
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• 제27권1호
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• pp.33-60
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• 2023

This paper analyzes the entire distribution of stock market returns/volatility in five emerging markets (ASEAN5) and figures out the conditional distribution of the CHI_EPU index. The aim is to examine the impact of CHI_EPU on the stock returns/volatility density of ASEAN5 markets. It also examined whether changes in CHI_EPU explain returns at higher or lower points (abnormal returns). This paper models the behaviour of stock returns from March 2011 to June 2018 using a non-parametric conditional density estimation approach. The results indicate that CHI_EPU diminishes stock returns and augments volatility in ASEAN5 markets, except for Malaysia, where it affects stock returns positively. The possible reason for this positive impact is that EPU is not the leading factor reducing Malaysian stock returns; but, other forces, such as dependency on other countries' stock markets and global factors, may have a positive impact on stock returns (Bachmann and Bayer, 2013). Thus, the risk of simultaneous investment in Chinese and ASEAN5 stock markets, except Malaysia, is high. Further, the degree of this influence intensifies at extreme high/low intervals (positive/negative tails). The findings of this study have significant implications for investors, policymakers, market agents, and analysts of ASEAN5.

• 융합경영연구
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• 제11권3호
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• pp.1-10
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• 2023

Purpose: The purpose of this study is to explore how to apply socially responsible corporate management and public policy to perceive awareness and adoption of electric vehicles for global sustainability. This study examined i) how perceived factors such as economic, environment, convenience, uncertainty, and efficiency factors differ based on experiences of electric vehicles, ii) how actual and potential customers perceive management and policy issues on electric vehicles differently, iii) how proposed factors including policy planning for the management of electric vehicle, prospect of electric vehicles, and socially responsible corporate activities affect overall attitudes toward electric vehicles? iv) how overall attitudes affect growth of electric vehicle industry and development of automobile industry? Research design, data and methodology: This study conducted an online survey and applied t-test, ANOVA, factor and regression analysis. Results: This study found that policy planning for the management of electric vehicles, prospect of electric vehicles, and corporate activities affect overall attitudes toward electric vehicles and actual and potential customers showed mean differences on management and policy on electric vehicles. Conclusions: This study provides managerial and policy implications. This study suggests promoting policies for better adoption of electric vehicles and regulatory policies to enhance global sustainability and prospect of electric vehicles.

• 유통과학연구
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• 제12권10호
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• pp.37-45
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• 2014

Purpose - This study aims to analyze the relationship between trends in innovative EU industries and market distribution in smaller emerging markets under an open economy. Research design, data, and methodology - Although innovation was well-distributed, due to socio-economic factors following European integration, CEE had not achieved sustainable economic growth. However, this paper analyzes the differences among changes in CEE innovation for smaller emerging markets dominated since 2000. Market distribution has facilitated new markets for innovative industries, according to EU surveys and economic indicators. Results - The dominance of the local industrial market distribution has deterred innovation investment the survey shows that innovation investment has been shrinking, despite the EU's open innovation policy for CEE employment and R&D. For the CEE case, there were expectation gaps and uncertainty about whether to use the new distribution dominance or TNCs' innovation in smaller emerging countries without local industrial innovation. Conclusions - Innovation generates market growth and distribution power however, small growth requires stimulation, and creativity and innovative edge need further focus in local public and corporate strategy.