• 제목/요약/키워드: Economic Indicators

검색결과 699건 처리시간 0.031초

뉴스기사를 이용한 소비자의 경기심리지수 생성 (Construction of Consumer Confidence index based on Sentiment analysis using News articles)

  • 송민채;신경식
    • 지능정보연구
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    • 제23권3호
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    • pp.1-27
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    • 2017
  • 경제주체들의 경기상황에 대한 판단 및 전망은 경기변동에 영향을 미치므로 경기심리지수와 거시경제지표들 간에는 밀접한 관련성을 나타내는 것으로 알려져 있다. 경기선행지표로 국내에서 많이 사용되는 경기심리지수에는 소비자동향조사, 기업경기조사, 경제심리지수가 있다. 그러나 설문조사를 통해 생성된 지수는 자료의 성격상 속보성이 떨어지는 문제가 있다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 정형데이터의 한계를 보완할 수 있도록 비정형데이터에서 정보를 추출해 경기심리지수를 생성하고, 경제분석에서의 활용 가능성을 검토하였다. 민간소비와 관련된 실물지표에는 소매판매업지수와 서비스업생산지수를 사용하였고, 고용지표에는 고용률과 실업률을, 가격지표에는 소비자물가상승률과 가계의 대출금리를 사용하여 지표들 간의 추이 분석 및 시차구조 파악을 위한 교차상관분석을 수행하였다. 마지막으로 이들 지표들에 대한 예측 가능성을 점검하였다. 분석결과, 다른 지표들의 선행지수로 많이 사용되는 소비자심리지수와 비교해 선택 지표들과 높은 상관관계를 보이며, 1~2개월 선행한 것으로 나타났다. 예측력 또한 향상되어 텍스트데이터에서 생성한 소비자 경기심리지수의 유용성이 확인되었다. 온라인에서 생성되는 뉴스기사나 소셜 SNS 등의 텍스트 데이터는 속보성이 뛰어나고, 커버리지가 넓어 특정 경제적 이슈가 발생할 경우 이것이 경제에 미치는 영향을 빠르게 파악할 수 있다는 점에서 경기판단지표로써의 잠재적 가능성이 클 것으로 보인다. 경제분석에서 비정형데이터를 활용한 국내연구는 초기 단계지만 데이터의 유용성이 확인되면 그 활용도가 크게 높아질 것으로 기대한다.

신재생에너지 경제성 평가 결과 분석 및 평가지표 연구 (Indicators of Economic Evaluation and Case Studies on New & Renewable Energy)

  • 안은영;김성용
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국신재생에너지학회 2005년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.600-603
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    • 2005
  • U.S. National Research Council proposed benefits framework for energy R&D project as economic benefits, environmental benefits, security benefits and knowledge benefits. Following this framework, U.S. National Renewable Energy Laboratory evaluated the projected benefits of Federal Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy Programs in the indicators of energy-expenditure savings, energy system cost savings, $CO_2$ emissions reductions. oil savings, natural gas saving and avoided additions to central conventional power. As this result, geothermal energy have predominant position in the energy-expenditure savings, natural gas saving and avoided addi t ions to central conventional power to FY2050. The projected benefits, in monetary value, of the whole supply-potential of geothermal energy in Korea were evaluated as 480.2 billion Won, 43.1 billion Won and 135.8 billion Won for the private energy-cost savings, social environmental-cost savings, and import energy-cost saving, respectively.

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Application of Economic Risk Measures for a Comparative Evaluation of Less and More Mature Nuclear Reactor Technologies

  • Andrianov, A.A.;Andrianova, O.N.;Kuptsov, I.S.;Svetlichny, L.I.;Utianskaya, T.V.
    • 방사성폐기물학회지
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    • 제16권4호
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    • pp.431-439
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    • 2018
  • Less mature nuclear reactor technologies are characterized by a greater uncertainty due to insufficient detailed design information, operational data, cost information, etc., but the expected performance characteristics of less mature options are usually more attractive in comparison with more mature ones. The greater uncertainty is, the higher economic risks associated with the project realization will be. Within a comparative evaluation of less and more mature nuclear reactor technologies, it is necessary to apply economic risk measures to balance judgments regarding the economic performance of less and more mature options. Assessments of any risk metrics involve calculating different characteristics of probability distributions of associated economic performance indicators and applying the Monte-Carlo method. This paper considers the applicability of statistical risk measures for different economic performance indicators within a trial case study on a comparative evaluation of less and more mature unspecified LWRs. The presented case study demonstrates the main trends associated with the incorporation of economic risk metrics into a comparative evaluation of less and more mature nuclear reactor technologies.

Modeling of LULC Dynamics in Bekasi District-Indonesia by Linking NDVI Measurement and Socio-Economic Indicators

  • Mustafa, Adi Junjunan;Tateishi, Ryutaro
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 2003년도 Proceedings of ACRS 2003 ISRS
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    • pp.516-518
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    • 2003
  • This study discusses an effort to build a model to link normalized difference vegetation indices (NDVI) and socio-economic indicators derived from village survey (1990, 1993, 1996, and 2000) statistical data in Bekasi, West Java, Indonesia. Socio-economics indicators of sub-district level, in this study the number of agricultural households (AH), are aggregated from village level data. NDVI from Landsat-TM resolution data (1989 and 1997) are computed to detect land use/land cover (LULC) dynamics in the sub-district areas. Attention is mainly paid on the examination of agricultural land cover changing in the sub-district level. NDVI measurements might be used to predict AH dynamics as showed by computed linear regression models.

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토양의 질 지표 개발 동향과 논의 (Review and Discussion on Development of Soil Quality Indicators)

  • 윤정희
    • 한국토양비료학회지
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    • 제37권3호
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    • pp.192-198
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    • 2004
  • The heavy dependence of modern science-based agriculture on chemicals such as fertilizers and pesticides, and heavy machinery gave rise to questions about long-term sustainability of agriculture in relation to degradation of soil quality. The research achievements and trends in developing soil quality indicators were introduced and discussed in this report. Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) established 13 agri-environment indicators including soil quality indicator in 1994, collected the soil data and methodologies for development of soil quality indicators in OECD member countries responded to OECD questionnaires and published the OECD reports, Environmental Indicators for Agriculture Volume 1, 2, and 3. Leading countries such as USA, Canada and New Zealand collected national data and evaluated the data in aspect of soil quality. They developed the various methods for selecting a minimum data set (MDS), scoring the soil properties and calculating soil quality index integrating the score of each soil property.

「2017 한국의 소비생활지표」를 활용한 의료영역 중요도 선택 요인 분석 (The analysis of selection factors of medical domain importance using 「2017 Consumption Life Indicators in Korea」)

  • 박녕서;김건엽;이원기
    • 보건의료산업학회지
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    • 제14권1호
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    • pp.43-53
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    • 2020
  • Objectives: The purpose of this study was to investigate the factors of importance in the medical field from the perspective of the consumer, using "Consumption Life Indicators in Korea." Methods: We examined the general characteristics, economic conditions, information acquisition, complaint-provoking experiences, cognitive score on dispute resolution, and factors affecting medical domain importance selection, using SAS 9.4. software. Results: It was found that "age" among general characteristics and "income" among economic conditions were important factors in selecting medical domain importance. Thus, it was possible to reaffirm the poor health of socioeconomically vulnerable people and their socioeconomic difficulties. Conclusions: The medical domain selection group needs the attention of the government, medical institutions, academia, consumer groups, community service groups and professional organizations, and needs substantial economic support and customized education.

공식발표 통계지표의 적시성 확보를 위한 대안 데이터 파이프라인 구축제안 (Proposal an Alternative Data Pipeline to Secure the Timeliness for Official Statistical Indicators)

  • 조용복;김도완
    • 한국산업정보학회논문지
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    • 제28권5호
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    • pp.89-108
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    • 2023
  • 본 연구는 공식발표 통계지표의 적시성 확보를 위해 기존 Nowcasting 방법론을 살펴보고 실시간 경기 현황 분석이 가능한 Real-time nowcasting 모형을 운용하기 위한 대안 데이터와 그 수집 체계를 점검한다. 공공영역과 민간영역에서 경기지표를 예측할 수 있는 고빈도 실시간 데이터를 탐색하고, 나아가 데이터의 수집, 가공, 모형화를 위한 클라우드 기반의 구축과정을 제안한다. 더불어 Real-time nowcasting 모형 추정 및 데이터 관리에 있어 고려해야 할 요소를 확인함으로써 적시성 및 안정성을 갖춘 공식 통계지표의 예측 프로세스를 제시한다.

주말부부 가계와 비주말부부 가계의 객관적, 주관적 경제구조분석 및 비교연구 (A Comparative Analysis on Objective Evaluation and Subjective Perception of Household Economic Structure for Commuting and Non-Commuting Couples)

  • 허경옥
    • 가정과삶의질연구
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.201-212
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    • 2003
  • This study analyzed the objective indicators of household economic structures, such as income, expenditure, and debts, as well as a subjective evaluation of economic standards, and compared the households of commuting couples (so called Weekend couples) with those of non-commuting couples. Findings of this study are as follows. First, both husbands and wives in commuter marriages had a higher level of education, were younger, had poorer health, and had shorter working hours than the couples in non-commuter marriages. Second, commuting couples had a significantly higher income than non-commuting couples. In addition, commuting couples had a greater amount of savings, had a higher cost of living, and lower debts than non-commuting couples. Third, commuting couples evaluated their status of household economy more negatively than non-commuting couples. Despite the fact that the commuting couples were more affluent in terms of the objective indicators, including income, savings, and assets, their level of health and psychological well-being were compromised. Lastly, factors determining commuter marriages were the number of years the husband has spent in his job, and the husband's level of education. The shorter the tenure of the husband's job, and the higher the level of husband's education, the more likely the couple was in a commuter marriage.

전력소비를 이용한 실물경기지수 개발에 관한 연구 (Electricity Consumption as an Indicator of Real Economic Status)

  • 오승환;김태중;곽동철
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제14권3호
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    • pp.63-71
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    • 2016
  • Purpose - A variety of indicators are used for the diagnosis of economic situation. However, most indicators explain the past economic situation because of the time difference between the measurement and announcement. This study aims to argue for the resurrection of an idea: electricity demand can be used as an indicator of economic activity. In addition, this study made an endeavor to develop a new Real Business Index(RBI) which could quickly represent the real economic condition based on the sales statistics of industrial and public electricity. Research design, data, and methodology - In this study monthly sales of industrial and public electricity from 2000 to 2015 was investigated to analyze the relationship between the economic condition and the amount of electricity consumption and to develop a new Real Business Index. To formulate the Index, this study followed next three steps. First, we decided the explanatory variables, period, and collected data. Second, after calculating the monthly changes for each variable, standardization and estimating the weighted value were conducted. Third, the computation of RBI finalized the development of empirical model. The principal component analysis was used to evaluate the weighted contribution ratio among 3 sectors and 17 data. Hodrick-Prescott filter analysis was used to verify the robustness of out model. Results - The empirical results are as follows. First, compatibility of the predictability between the new RBI and the existing monthly cycle of coincident composite index was extremely high. Second, two indexes had a high correlation of 0.7156. In addition, Hodrick-Prescott filter analysis demonstrated that two indexed also had accompany relationship. Third, when the changes of two indexes were compared, they were found that the times when the highest and the lowest point happened were similar, which suggested that it is possible to use the new RBI index as a complementing indicator in a sense that the RBI can explain the economic condition almost in real time. Conclusion - A new economic index which can explain the economic condition needs to be developed well and rapidly in a sense that it is useful to determine accurately the current economic condition to establish economic policy and corporate strategy. The salse of electricity has a close relationship with economic conditions because electricity is utilized as a main resource of industrial production. Furthermore, the result of the sales of electricity can be gathered almost in real time. This study applied the econometrics model to the statistics of the sales of industrial and public electricity. In conclusion, the new RBI index was highly related with the existing monthly economic indexes. In addition, the comparison between the RBI index and other indexes demonstrated that the direction of the economic change and the times when the highest and lowest points had happened were almost the same. Therefore, this RBI index can become the supplementary indicator of the official indicators published by Korean Bank or the statistics Korea.

Factors Affecting the Distribution of Intellectual Potential and Returns in Kazakhstan

  • KIREYEVA, Anel A.;KANGALAKOVA, Dana M.;AINAKUL, Nazym;TSOY, Alexander
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제20권2호
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    • pp.55-64
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: This research is aimed to study the level of the intellectual potential distribution, as well as the correlation between economic growth and key indicators of intellectual potential in each region of Kazakhstan. A review of the conceptual framework shows that there is a large body of research evaluating the level of intellectual potential in different ways based on different factors. Research design, data, and methodology: The research methodology is divided into two groups the integral index method using the normalization of indicators, weighting, and ranking; the method of correlation analysis. By the proposed methodological approaches, were calculated a set of factors affect the distribution of the intellectual potential. Statistics are taken for indicators of development of the intellectual potential for 2011-2020 from the Bureau of National Statistics. Results: Ranking results showed gaps between regions in Kazakhstan by the level of intellectual potential. Correlation analysis results revealed a statistically significant relationship on expenditures on R&D, computer literacy, innovative products, number of PhD students, and cultural and leisure indicators. Conclusions: Based on the obtained results of the intellectual potential level development there were given recommendations for the reproduction and regulation of the intellectual potential in the future.