• 기독교교육논총
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• 제63권
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• pp.13-37
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• 2020

중국 우한에서 발생한 코로나바이러스(COVID-19)의 전파력과 치사율에 주목한 WHO는 글로벌 비상사태를 선언했으나, 효과적인 치료제를 확보하지 못한 채 상황이 악화되자 팬데믹으로 상향 조정했다. 사회적 거리두기와 자가 격리 및 여행 제한에 따른 경제위기 때문에 자유무역 중심 세계 경제체제 붕괴와 세계화의 퇴조가 거론되고 있다. 팬데믹에 제대로 대처하지 못한 정치리더십이 도전받고, 사회는 비접촉과 부동성 문화로 급속히 전환 중이다. 교육 분야에서는 탈학교화라는 개념이 디지털 매체를 통해 물리적 공간에서 현실화하고 있다. 교회교육 역시 심각한 위기에 처했다. COVID-19 팬데믹 상황에서 교회들은 팬데믹에 관한 신앙 및 신한적 성찰, 온라인 예배와 체계적인 신앙교육, 그리고 비대면 중심의 목회까지 포괄하는 이른바 뉴노멀을 기대하고 있다. 포스트 코로나 시대에 교회교육은 급변하는 주변 상황에 부응해서 적극적으로 대안을 모색하면서 의미 있는 기독교적 가치에 초점을 맞춘 교육신학을 새롭게 재구성해야 한다. 아울러서 오프라인과 온라인을 결합한 모바일(또는 온라인) 교회학교를 운영하는 한편, 비대면과 면대면 학습을 혼용하는 학습방식(Blended Learning)을 도입하고, 교회학교와 홈스쿨링을 결합해서 교회와 가정이 교육의 책임을 분담할 필요가 있다.

• 자원환경지질
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• 제43권5호
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• pp.523-528
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• 2010

미국발 금융위기 여파로 세계경제가 침체되변서 LME의 base metal 가격이 2008년 4/4, 분기 급락하였으나, 2009년 1-7월 거시경제 회복신호와 함께 base metal 가격이 다시 상승세를 보였다. Base meta1 상승 배경에는 미국 기업들의 개선된 실적 발표로 산업생산 및 제조업지수가 개선된 것 미달러화 약세로 인한 원자재 가격 상승, 그리고 무엇보다도 세계 금융 위기 속에도 경제성장을 위한 중국의 원자재 수요 증가가 주요 원인으로 꼽힌다. 이에 본 논문에서는 base metal 가격상승에 주요 base metal소비국의 수요가 영향을 주었는지를 중국 및 주요국 경제성장률을 가지고 회귀분석 하였다. 분석결과 중국의 경제 성장만이 LME시장의 base metal 가격상승에 영향을 주는 것으로 나타났다. 하지만 이런 결과에도 불구하고, 그동안 중국 상품의 주요 소비시장이었던 미국, 유럽 동 선진국들 경제의 본격적인 회복 없이 중국경제만으로 base metal 가격 상승랠리가 지속될지 여부를 보고자 한다.

• 한국경제지리학회지
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• 제22권4호
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• pp.592-609
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• 2019

본 논문은 서브프라임 부동산 투자자를 활용해서 레버리지 주기 이론의 지리적 확장을 시도한다. 레버리지 주기 이론은 낙관적 구매자 중심의 거래구성 재편으로 기초요인 변화와 무관한 자산가격 변동을 입증했지만, 금융위기의 지리적 기원을 설명하기 위해서는 저소득층 주거지역이 몰려 있는 불황 주택시장에서 이 이론이 어떻게 작동하는 지를 파악해야 한다. 불황 주택시장에서 서브프라임 부동산 투자자는 저소득층 주거지역에 집중했고, 이에 따라 저소득층 주거지역의 주택거래는 부동산 투자자 중심으로 구성되었다. 새로운 행위주체로서 서브프라임 부동산 투자자의 발굴은 레버리지 주기 이론을 자본투자의 취약지역이었던 불황 주택시장에 적용할 수 있는 토대를 마련한다. 이와 같은 시도는 경제이론의 지리적 재해석으로 경제지리학이 경제현상의 시공간적 맥락을 어떻게 복구할 수 있는지를 예시한다.

• 수산경영론집
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• 제33권2호
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• pp.99-125
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• 2002

Fisheries cooperative requires dual characteristics in performing its original function. Economic characteristic as an business enterprise and democratic characteristic as cooperative entity need to complete its objectives and survive in the complex rapidly-changing environment. After IMF crisis, fisheries cooperative received enormous government's financial support and credit-business department is perfectly under government's control. Regional fisheries cooperative also faces business failure, therefore pure cooperative movement can't save the fisheries cooperative. Economic characteristic as an business enterprise is more emphasized than democratic characteristic as cooperative entity in recent years. The theory of corporate ownership and governance can be applied to explain the ownership and governance of fisheries cooperative because fisheries cooperative is now similar to an business enterprise. During the IMF crisis the board, the auditors and the minority shareholders in business enterprise were revealed to be powerless against the mighty influence of controlling shareholders. Unconstrained discretion exercised by those controlling shareholders not only led to the firms'insolvency, but also brought down the country's financial system. During the past few years, Korea has experienced many institutional changes regarding its corporate governance structure. The introduction of outside directors, the strengthening of minority shareholders' rights, and enhanced accounting transparency are achieved to improve the efficiency of economic system. Investors, including institutional and individual, also seem to be more aware of governance issues now. Credit-business department of fisheries cooperative is recommended to introduce the institutions same as the case of the corporate governance structure. Fisheries cooperative except economic and credit-business department requires other prescriptions because it is emphasized as democratic cooperative entity. But we should be careful to interpret the ownership and governance structure because they are products of nations, eras and organizations.

• 국제학술발표논문집
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• The 3th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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• pp.425-432
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• 2009

The construction industry has been a main pillar and serves as a regulator of the Hong Kong economy. Subsequently, the fluctuations in the level of construction output can induce significant rippling effects to the economy. The Asian Financial Crisis started in 1997 and the SARS outbreak in 2003 both introduced major challenges and impacts to the Hong Kong economy and consequently the construction sector. Such decline in the importance of construction has suggested a possible structural change in the sector. It is worth investigating the driving forces behind the construction demand and see if they have changed after the heavy impacts in the past decade. The above considerations have, therefore, been the motivation of the present study to model the Hong Kong residential construction demand through multiple regression technique which can identify the significant influencing factors to the residential demand. The residential construction is studied as it constitutes a significant portion of the total construction volume. The residential sector has great influence to the general economy of Hong Kong. It is found that the underlying market structure and the driving factors for Hong Kong residential demand before and after the Asian Economic Crisis and SARS outbreak are different, suggesting that the residential construction sector or even the larger construction industry may have undergone a major structural change as Hong Kong's economy approaches maturity. It is also observed that the past literatures on construction demand are mostly focusing on predicting demand under a stable economic environment. Hence, it is worth examining if it is possible to model during economic hardship when the residential sector fluctuate dramatically under different external impacts, such as the recent global financial tsunami.

• 한국항해항만학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국항해항만학회 2010년도 춘계학술대회
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• pp.494-506
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• 2010

대한제국 융회 3년인 1909년 12월 25일에 초점등하여 현재 100주년을 맞이하는 가덕도등대에 '가덕도등대 100주년 기념관'을 건립하여 등대 및 가덕도 섬의 역사와 문화를 해양유물로서 보존하고 가덕도등대를 통하여 주변역사와 해양문화를 국민들이 체험 및 교육할 수 있는 장소로 조성하고자 한다.

• 경영과학
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• 제18권1호
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• pp.119-133
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• 2001

It is important to find the equilibrium level of real interest rate for it affects real and financial sector of economy. However, it is difficult to find the equilibrium level because like the most macroeconomic model the real interest model has parameter instability problem caused by structural change and it is supported by various theories and definitions. Hence, in order to cover these problems structural change detection model of real interest rate is developed to combine the real interest rate equilibrium model and the procedure to detect structural change points. 3 equations are established to find various effects of other interest-related macroeconomic variables and from each equation, structural changes are found. Those structural change points are consistent with common expectation. Oil Crisis (December, 1987), the starting point of Economic Stabilization Policy (January, 1982), the starting point of capital liberalization (January, 1988), the starting and finishing points of Interest deregulation (January, 1992 and December, 1994), Foreign Exchange Crisis (December, 1977) are detected as important points. From the equation of fisher and real effects, real interest rate level is estimated as 4.09% (October, 1988) and dependent on the underlying model, it is estimated as 0%∼13.56% (October, 1988), so it varies so much. It is expected that this result is connected to the large scale simultaneous equations to detect the parameter instability in real time, so induces the flexible economic policies.

• 유통과학연구
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• 제16권6호
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• pp.5-13
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• 2018

Purpose - The purpose of this paper is to look into some alternative for Korean shipping to overcome difficult situations in shipping, since then it is economic crisis at the end of 2000s. Research design, data, and methodology - The research method to be adopted is first to review theoretical overview about shipping cycle, and then examine difficult shipping situations and studies management aspect, which is to related to establishment of Korea Shipping Council. Results - The boom and bust situations in shipping market have been identified as result of economic crisis at the end of 2000s. Trade volumes have fallen and shipping tonnage has risen respectively. In practical terms, shipping industry has suffered from difficult situations, following to supply and demand of shipping market, and Korean shipping had to face hard time as well, according to lack of management ability of shipping company. Alternatively, it should be asked shipping forum like Korea Shipping Council. Conclusions - From situations of shipping markets since the end of 2000s, it is strongly asked that every parties got involved in shipping business should understand and share more expertise and knowledge of shipping market, which is finally related to decision- making process in shipping.

• 노동경제논집
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• 제23권1호
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• pp.167-190
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• 2000

1997년 말 외환위기 이후 한국의 노동시장용 빠르게 변화하고 있다. 외환위기에서 2년이 경과한 현재 실업률이 빠르게 하락하고 임금수준은 위기 이전으로 회복하였으나, 고용수준은 아직 회복되지 않은 상황이며, 분배구조가 외환위기 전에 비해 상당히 악화된 것으로 파악되고 있다. 현재의 상황에서 우려되는 것은 1970년대 이후 유럽에서 발생한 것처럼 고실업이 지속되는 현상이다. 본고에서는 균형실업률의 추정을 통하여 이러한 우려가 현실로 나타날 수 있는 가능성에 대하여 경고하고 있다. 향후 고용 및 실업정책의 최우선 목표는 본원적인 일자리 창출을 통해 구조적 실업률을 저하시키기 위한 종합적인 정책을 시행해야 할 시기라 판단된다.

• 무역상무연구
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• 제75권
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• pp.95-116
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• 2017

The global financial crisis has slowed overall growth in the global economy. In addition, uncertainty is increasing in the world economy due to the Trade protectionism, sluggish world trade, and a rise in the rate of interest caused by expansion of fiscal spending by major countries. In this study, we analyzed various factors affecting the container import and export volume, which has a high correlation with export and import of commodities in international trade. In particular, we will examine how exchange rate fluctuations and domestic and overseas economic conditions affect container imports and exports. For the empirical analysis, monthly time series data were used from January 2000 to January 2017. We use the Error Correction Model (VECM) for the empirical analysis and the GARCH model for the exchange rate fluctuation. As a result, container export and import volume had a negative relationship with exchange rate and exchange rate volatility, which had a positive effect on domestic and international economic conditions. However, the effects are different before and after the financial crisis.