• Title/Summary/Keyword: Earthquake Scenario

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Seismic probabilistic risk assessment of weir structures considering the earthquake hazard in the Korean Peninsula

  • Alam, Jahangir;Kim, Dookie;Choi, Byounghan
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.421-427
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    • 2017
  • Seismic safety evaluation of weir structure is significant considering the catastrophic economical consequence of operational disruption. In recent years, the seismic probabilistic risk assessment (SPRA) has been issued as a key area of research for the hydraulic system to mitigate and manage the risk. The aim of this paper is to assess the seismic probabilistic risk of weir structures employing the seismic hazard and the structural fragility in Korea. At the first stage, probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) approach is performed to extract the hazard curve at the weir site using the seismic and geological data. Thereafter, the seismic fragility that defines the probability of structural collapse is evaluated by using the incremental dynamic analysis (IDA) method in accordance with the four different design limit states as failure identification criteria. Consequently, by combining the seismic hazard and fragility results, the seismic risk curves are developed that contain helpful information for risk management of hydraulic structures. The tensile stress of the mass concrete is found to be more vulnerable than other design criteria. The hazard deaggregation illustrates that moderate size and far source earthquakes are the most likely scenario for the site. In addition, the annual loss curves for two different hazard source models corresponding to design limit states are extracted.

A study on the dam break scenario process by earthquake (지진으로 인한 댐붕괴 시나리오 작성절차에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Ki Bum;Choi, Gwang Bok;Yang, Jun Seok;Ahn, Seung Seop
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.298-298
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    • 2019
  • 과거에 경험하지 못한 집중호우가 빈번하게 발생하고 규모가 큰 태풍의 내습이 발생하고 있다. 2018년 7월23일 발생한 라오스 댐붕괴 발생으로 인해 6,600명의 이재민이 발생하였으며, 2008년 중국 쓰촨성 지진에 의해 댐 수백개가 균열이 발생하는 위험한 상황에 이르는 등 댐 붕괴에 따른 대규모 재난의 위험상황은 항시 존재하고 있다. 는 상황에서 댐의 붕괴에 대한 많은 연구가 진행되었다. 이러한 댐 붕괴 상황에 대한 대비책으로 저수지 댐의 안전관리 및 재해예방에 관한 법률 제3조와 자연재해 대책법 제37조에 총저수용량 30만톤 이상의 저수지에 대해 비상대처계획 수립을 하도록 되어 있다. 최근 경주와 포항에서 발생한 규모 5.4이상의 지진이 발생하여 지진에 의한 재난의 위험이 가중되고 있는 상황에서 지진에 의한 댐붕괴에 대한 적절한 시나리오와 분석이 필요하다. 지금까지의 지진붕괴에 의한 EAP의 작성은 단순히 만수위 상태에서 댐의 붕괴시간이 급격히 붕괴되어 범람되는 분석을 하였다. 그러나 지진에 의한 댐의 붕괴에 이르는 지진의 규모는 댐 주변의 건축물, 교량, 심지어 대피소도 붕괴 및 범람에 안전할 수 없는 상황에 이르게 될 것이다. 그러나 현재의 EAP는 단순 범람만을 통해 위험도를 나타내는 것으로 작성되어 있어 이에 대한 수정이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 지진에 의한 댐 붕괴 EAP 작성시 고려되어야 할 건물의 노후도, 교량, 공공시설물 등이 붕괴될 위험을 판단하고 이에 따른 범람도면의 작성과 시나리오가 작성되어야 한다. 이를 위한 행정안전부에서 제시된 지진 시 댐 붕괴 조건에서 고려되어야 할 시나리오의 구성요소에 대해 검토하였다.

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Hazard-Consistent Ground Displacement Estimation for Seismic Input of Underground Utility Tunnels in Korea (국내 재해도에 상응하는 공동구의 지반변위 산정)

  • Kim, Dae-Hwan;Lim, Youngwoo;Chung, Yon-Ha;Lee, Hyerin
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.37 no.12
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    • pp.7-23
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    • 2021
  • Underground utility tunnels, which contribute to supply of electricity, communication, water and heat, are critical lifelines of an urban area. In case service is discontinued or functional disruption happens, there will be a huge socio-economic impact. For the improved seismic design and evaluation of underground structures, this study proposes a ground displacement measure when the site is subjected to a scenario earthquake based on hazard-consistent source spectra and site amplification/attenuation. This measure provides a rational estimation of ground displacement and can be an alternative to existing response displacement methods.

Assessment of seismic retrofitting for soft-story buildings using gapped inclined brace system

  • Tohamy, Mohamed. A.;Elsayed, Mostafa. M.;Akl, Adel. Y.
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.319-330
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    • 2022
  • Retrofit of soft-story buildings due to seismic loads using Gap-Inclined-Brace (GIB) system is considered a new retrofit technique that aims to maintain both strength and stiffness of structure. In addition, it provides more ductility and less P-delta effect, and subsequently better performance is observed. In this paper, the effect of the eccentricity between GIB and the retrofitted column due to installation on the efficiency of the retrofitting system is studied. In addition, a modification in the determination method of GIB properties is introduced to reduce the eccentricity effect. Also, the effect of GIB system on the seismic response of mid-rise buildings with different heights considering soft-story at various heights has been studied. A numerical model is developed to study the impact of such system on the response of retrofitted soft-story buildings under the action of seismic loads. To achieve that goal, this model is used to perform a numerical investigation, by considering five case study scenarios represent several locations of soft-story of two mid-rise reinforced concrete buildings. At first, Non-linear static pushover analysis was carried out to develop the capacity curves for case studies. Then, Non-linear time history analyses using ten earthquake records with five peak ground accelerations is performed for each case study scenario before and after retrofitting with GIB. The results show that large GIB eccentricity reduce the ultimate lateral resistance and deformation capacity of the retrofitting system. Moreover, the higher the retrofitted building, the more deformation capacity is observed but without significant increase in ultimate lateral resistance.

A study on the Application of Optimal Evacuation Route through Evacuation Simulation System in Case of Fire (화재발생 시 대피시뮬레이션 시스템을 통한 최적대피경로 적용에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Daeill;Jeong, Juahn;Park, Sungchan;Go, Jooyeon;Yeom, Chunho
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.96-110
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    • 2020
  • Recently, due to global warming, it is easily exposed to various disasters such as fire, flood, and earthquake. In particular, large-scale disasters have continuously been occurring in crowded areas such as traditional markets, facilities for the elderly and children, and public facilities where various people stay. Purpose: This study aims to detect a fire occurred in crowded facilities early in the event to analyze and provide an optimal evacuation route using big data and advanced technology. Method: The researchers propose a new algorithm through context-aware 3D object model technology and A* algorithm optimization and propose a scenario-based optimal evacuation route selection technique. Result: Using the HPA* E algorithm, the evacuation simulation in the event of a fire was reproduced as a 3D model and the optimal evacuation route and evacuation time were calculated for each scenario. Conclusion: It is expected to reduce fatalities and injuries through the evacuation induction technique that enables evacuation of the building in the shortest path by analyzing in real-time via fire detection sensors that detects the temperature, flame, and smoke.

Collapse Behavior of an 18-Story Steel Moment Frame during a Shaking Table Test

  • Suita, Keiichiro;Suzuki, Yoshitaka;Takahashi, Motomi
    • International Journal of High-Rise Buildings
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.171-180
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    • 2015
  • A shaking table test was conducted at the E-Defense shaking table facility to investigate the damage and collapse behavior of a steel high-rise building under exceedingly large ground motions. The specimen is a one-third scale 18-story steel moment frame designed and constructed according to design specifications and practices used in the 1980s and 1990s. The shaking table tests used a long-duration, long-period ground motion simulated for a sequential Tokai, Nankai, and Nankai earthquake scenario. The building specimen was subjected to a series of progressively increasing scaled motions until it completely collapsed. The damage to the steel frame began through the yielding of beams along lower stories and column bases of the first story. After several excitations by increasing scaled motions, cracks initiated at the welded moment connections and fractures in the beam flanges spread to the lower stories. As the shear strength of each story decreased, the drifts of lower stories increased and the frame finally collapsed and settled on the supporting frame. From the test, a typical progression of collapse for a tall steel moment frame was obtained, and the hysteretic behavior of steel structural members including deterioration due to local buckling and fracture were observed. The results provide important information for further understanding and an accurate numerical simulation of collapse behavior.

Combined seismic and energy upgrading of existing reinforced concrete buildings using TRM jacketing and thermal insulation

  • Gkournelos, Panagiotis D.;Bournas, Dionysios A.;Triantafillou, Thanasis C.
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.625-639
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    • 2019
  • The concept of the combined seismic and energy retrofitting of existing reinforced concrete (RC) buildings was examined in this paper through a number of case studies conducted on model buildings (simulating buildings of the '60s-'80s in southern Europe) constructed according to outdated design standards. Specifically, seismic and thermal analyses have been conducted prior to and after the application of selected retrofitting schemes, in order to quantify the positive effect that retrofitting could provide to RC buildings both in terms of their structural and energy performance. Advanced materials, namely the textile reinforced mortars (TRM), were used for providing seismic retrofitting by means of jacketing of masonry infills in RC frames. Moreover, following the application of the TRM jackets, thermal insulation materials were simultaneously provided to the RC building envelope, exploiting the fresh mortar used to bind the TRM jackets. In addition to the externally applied insulation material, all the fenestration elements (windows and doors) were replaced with new high energy efficiency ones. Afterwards, an economic measure, namely the expected annual loss (EAL) was used to evaluate the efficiency of each retrofitting method, but also to assess whether the combined seismic and energy retrofitting is economically feasible. From the results of this preliminary study, it was concluded that the selected seismic retrofitting technique can indeed enhance significantly the structural behaviour of an existing RC building and lower its EAL related to earthquake risks. Finally, it was found that the combined seismic and energy upgrading is economically more efficient than a sole energy or seismic retrofitting scenario for seismic areas of south Europe.

A Systems Engineering Approach to Predict the Success Window of FLEX Strategy under Extended SBO Using Artificial Intelligence

  • Alketbi, Salama Obaid;Diab, Aya
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Systems Engineering
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.97-109
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    • 2020
  • On March 11, 2011, an earthquake followed by a tsunami caused an extended station blackout (SBO) at the Fukushima Dai-ichi NPP Units. The accident was initiated by a total loss of both onsite and offsite electrical power resulting in the loss of the ultimate heat sink for several days, and a consequent core melt in some units where proper mitigation strategies could not be implemented in a timely fashion. To enhance the plant's coping capability, the Diverse and Flexible Strategies (FLEX) were proposed to append the Emergency Operation Procedures (EOPs) by relying on portable equipment as an additional line of defense. To assess the success window of FLEX strategies, all sources of uncertainties need to be considered, using a physics-based model or system code. This necessitates conducting a large number of simulations to reflect all potential variations in initial, boundary, and design conditions as well as thermophysical properties, empirical models, and scenario uncertainties. Alternatively, data-driven models may provide a fast tool to predict the success window of FLEX strategies given the underlying uncertainties. This paper explores the applicability of Artificial Intelligence (AI) to identify the success window of FLEX strategy for extended SBO. The developed model can be trained and validated using data produced by the lumped parameter thermal-hydraulic code, MARS-KS, as best estimate system code loosely coupled with Dakota for uncertainty quantification. A Systems Engineering (SE) approach is used to plan and manage the process of using AI to predict the success window of FLEX strategies under extended SBO conditions.

Seismic vulnerability macrozonation map of SMRFs located in Tehran via reliability framework

  • Amini, Ali;Kia, Mehdi;Bayat, Mahmoud
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.78 no.3
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    • pp.351-368
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    • 2021
  • This paper, by applying a reliability-based framework, develops seismic vulnerability macrozonation maps for Tehran, the capital and one of the most earthquake-vulnerable city of Iran. Seismic performance assessment of 3-, 4- and 5-story steel moment resisting frames (SMRFs), designed according to ASCE/SEI 41-17 and Iranian Code of Practice for Seismic Resistant Design of Buildings (2800 Standard), is investigated in terms of overall maximum inter-story drift ratio (MIDR) and unit repair cost ratio which is hereafter known as "damage ratio". To this end, Tehran city is first meshed into a network of 66 points to numerically locate low- to mid-rise SMRFs. Active faults around Tehran are next modeled explicitly. Two different combination of faults, based on available seismological data, are then developed to explore the impact of choosing a proper seismic scenario. In addition, soil effect is exclusively addressed. After building analytical models, reliability methods in combination with structure-specific probabilistic models are applied to predict demand and damage ratio of structures in a cost-effective paradigm. Due to capability of proposed methodology incorporating both aleatory and epistemic uncertainties explicitly, this framework which is centered on the regional demand and damage ratio estimation via structure-specific characteristics can efficiently pave the way for decision makers to find the most vulnerable area in a regional scale. This technical basis can also be adapted to any other structures which the demand and/or damage ratio prediction models are developed.

Development and Field Test of a Smart-home Gas Safety Management System (스마트 홈 가스안전관리 시스템 개발 및 현장시험)

  • Park, Gyou-Tae;Kim, Eun-Jung;Kim, In-Chan;Kim, Hie-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.16 no.6
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    • pp.128-135
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, we proposed a system and a scenario to raise efficiency of gas safety management by developing wireless ZigBee communication modules, smart-home gas safety appliances and the system suitable for gas safety. Our designed system consists of a micom gas meter, an automatic extinguisher, sensors, and a wall-pad. A micom-gas-meter monitors gas flow, gas pressure, and earthquake. An automatic fire extinguisher checks combustible gas leaks and temperature of $100^{\circ}C$(cut off) and $130^{\circ}C$(fire). Sensors measure smoke and CO gas. In our novel system, a micom-gas meter cut off inner valve with warnings, an automatic fire extinguisher cut off middle valve and spray extinguishing materials, and sensors generate signals when detecting smoke and CO and then take a next action. Gas safety appliances and sensors automatically takes measures, and transmit those information to a wall-pad. The wall-pad again transmits real time information to server. Users can check and manage gas safety situations by connecting BcN server through web or mobile application. We hereby devised scenarios for gas safety and risk management based on the smart, and demonstrated their efficiency through test applied to filed.