• Geomechanics and Engineering
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• 제9권2호
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• pp.125-144
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• 2015

This paper presents the probabilistic seismic microzonation of densely populated Kolkata city, situated on the world's largest delta island with very soft alluvial soil deposit. At first probabilistic seismic hazard analysis of Kolkata city was carried out at bedrock level and then ground motion amplification due to sedimentary deposit was computed using one dimensional (1D) wave propagation analysis SHAKE2000. Different maps like fundamental frequency, amplification at fundamental frequency, peak ground acceleration (PGA), peak ground velocity (PGV), peak ground displacement (PGD), maximum response spectral acceleration at different time period bands are developed for variety of end users, structural and geotechnical engineers, land use planners, emergency managers and awareness of general public. The probabilistically predicted PGA at bedrock level is 0.12 g for 50% exceedance in 50 years and maximum PGA at surface level it varies from 0.095 g to 0.18 g for same probability of exceedance. The scenario of simulated ground motion revealed that Kolkata city is very much prone to damage during earthquake.

• 한국재난정보학회 논문집
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• 제11권2호
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• pp.227-234
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• 2015

본 연구는 운영연속성 계획과 업무연속성관리 계획에 대한 개념과 국제 표준 ISO22301 및 재난대응 공통필수기능에 대해 이론적 검토를 실시하였으며 일본 지방자치단체 업무연속성 지침서 및 구축사례를 분석하여 지진 및 지진해일 발생에 따른 지방자치단체 업무연속성 계획 수립을 위한 반영사항을 도출하였다. 결과적으로는 지방자치단체 업무연속성 계획 수립을 위하여 중앙정부차원의 표준지침이 마련되어야 하고 이를 바탕으로 원활하게 구축할 수 있는 토대를 갖추어야 한다. 또한 기존에 수립된 안전관리계획을 바탕으로 업무연속성 계획을 수립하여 지방자치단체의 지역적 특성을 반영하여 작성되어야 한다. 그리고 그 지역에 맞는 업무연속성 계획을 수립하기 위해 충분한 조사를 실시하여 각각의 조직, 물자 및 시설, 환경적 특성을 알아볼 수 있다. 마지막으로 지방자치단체 업무연속성 계획을 수립하기 위해 지진 및 지진해일 발생 규모, 피해에 대하여 세부적인 시나리오를 작성하여 규모에 따른 신속한 대응을 할 수 있도록 여건을 조성한다.

• 대순사상과 동아시아종교
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• 제3권2호
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• pp.71-92
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• 2024

The world we live in is becoming more convenient thanks to the inventions of science and technology. Still, the world is also becoming more and more unpredictable with the current situation of VUCA (Volatility, Uncertainty, Complexity, Ambiguity). The Covid-19 pandemic brought the biggest global disaster ever with 774,631,444 infected people and 7,031,216 deaths (WHO on February 11, 2024) but it seems that humanity is gradually forgetting this disaster. Meanwhile the economic stimulus packages worth trillions of dollars from governments after the pandemic have further caused the world debt bubble to swell. The bubble burst scenario is something that many economic experts fear. Apparently, in the transitional period of the early decades of the 21st century, the world's economic, cultural, political, social, natural, and environmental aspects have undergone profound transformations: from the real estate and finance crises in the United States since 2008; through the melting of the Arctic ice over the past several decades; to the double disaster of the earthquake and tsunami in Japan in 2011. Especially, in the context of the world economic crisis after the COVID-19 pandemic, the human achievements of the past thousands of years are in jeopardy of being wiped out in an instant. Many people are predicting a bad scenario for a chain collapse. Facing the signals of an imminent economic catastrophe based on the appearance of "the Gray Rhino, Black Swan and White Elephant," many drawn in by Eschatological thought declare that Doomsday will occur shortly. This is the time for many other people to hope for the incoming Messiah. The Messiah is said to appear when people feel despair or suffer a great disaster because faith in the Savior can help them overcome adversity mentally. This research will find out how adherents of Buddhism view and deal with civilizational crises by examining history via symbols associated with Maitreya as based upon the Buddhist Messiah, Maitreya.

• Earthquakes and Structures
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• 제11권2호
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• pp.195-215
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• 2016

Rehabilitation of historical unreinforced masonry (URM) buildings is a priority in many parts of the world, since those buildings are a living part of history and a testament of human achievement of the era of their construction. Many of these buildings are still operational; comprising brittle materials with no reinforcements, with spatially distributed mass and stiffness, they are not encompassed by current seismic assessment procedures that have been developed for other structural types. To facilitate the difficult task of selecting a proper rehabilitation strategy - often restricted by international treaties for non-invasiveness and reversibility of the intervention - and given the practical requirements for the buildings' intended reuse, this paper presents a practical procedure for assessment of seismic demands of URM buildings - mainly historical constructions that lack a well-defined diaphragm action. A key ingredient of the method is approximation of the spatial shape of lateral translation, ${\Phi}$, that the building assumes when subjected to a uniform field of lateral acceleration. Using ${\Phi}$ as a 3-D shape function, the dynamic response of the system is evaluated, using the concepts of SDOF approximation of continuous systems. This enables determination of the envelope of the developed deformations and the tendency for deformation and damage localization throughout the examined building for a given design earthquake scenario. Deformation demands are specified in terms of relative drift ratios referring to the in-plane and the out-of-plane seismic response of the building's structural elements. Drift ratio demands are compared with drift capacities associated with predefined performance limits. The accuracy of the introduced procedure is evaluated through (a) comparison of the response profiles with those obtained from detailed time-history dynamic analysis using a suite of ten strong ground motion records, five of which with near-field characteristics, and (b) evaluation of the performance assessment results with observations reported in reconnaissance reports of the field performance of two neoclassical torsionally-sensitive historical buildings, located in Thessaloniki, Greece, which survived a major earthquake in the past.

• Earthquakes and Structures
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• 제14권6호
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• pp.615-626
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• 2018

The seismic vulnerability of Turkey is relatively high due to its active fault systems with potential to create destructive earthquakes. Thus, reducing the loss of life and property, the number of the earthquake-prone buildings and their retrofit requirements are considerably significant key issues under the scenario earthquakes. The street survey based rapid assessment (SSRA) method can be considered as a powerful tool to determine the seismic vulnerability of building stock of an earthquake-prone city/state. In this study, the seismic vulnerability of the building stock of the Kirikkale province in Turkey is aimed to be estimated adopting the street survey based rapid assessment method (SSRA). For this purpose, central 2074 existing reinforced concrete (R/C) buildings were structurally surveyed with rapid visual site screening and disadvantages such as, the existence of short-column, soft-story, heavy overhangs, pounding effect and local soil conditions were determined for obtaining the structural performance score of each. The results obtained from the study demonstrate that 11-25% of the surveyed buildings in the study region needs to be investigated through more advanced assessment methods. Besides, higher correlation between increasing story number and unsafe/safe building ratio is obtained for the buildings with soft-story parameter than that for those with heavy overhangs and short-column parameters. The conformity of the results of the current study with the previous documented cases of rapid assessment efforts in the recent earthquakes in Turkey shows that the SSRA method for the Kirikkale province performed well, and thus this methodology can be reliably used for similar settlement areas.

• 한국지진공학회논문집
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• 제25권2호
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• pp.53-58
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• 2021

Nuclear power plant's safety against seismic events is evaluated as risk values by probabilistic seismic safety assessment. The risk values vary by the seismic failure correlation between the structures, systems, and components (SSCs). However, most probabilistic seismic safety assessments idealized the seismic failure correlation between the SSCs as entirely dependent or independent. Such a consideration results in an inaccurate assessment result not reflecting real physical phenomenon. A nuclear power plant's seismic risk should be calculated with the appropriate seismic failure correlation coefficient between the SSCs for a reasonable outcome. An accident scenario that has an enormous impact on a nuclear power plant's seismic risk was selected. Moreover, the probabilistic seismic response analyses of a nuclear power plant were performed to derive appropriate seismic failure correlations between SSCs. Based on the analysis results, the seismic failure correlation coefficient between SSCs was derived, and the seismic fragility curve and core damage frequency of the loss of essential power event were calculated. Results were compared with the seismic fragility and core damage frequency of assuming the seismic failure correlations between SSCs were independent and entirely dependent.

• 한국해안·해양공학회논문집
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• 제36권2호
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• pp.80-86
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• 2024

전 세계적으로 대규모 지진이 다발적으로 발생하고 있다. 특히, 2011년 동일본 대지진으로 인해 동아시아 일대의 지각이 긴장상태에 있으며, 향후 발생할 수 있는 지진 활동에 대한 우려와 불확실성이 더욱 가중되고 있다. 동해안 지진해일에 대한 대책으로 국립재난안전연구원에서는 동해안을 대상으로 지진해일 수치모의를 통해 지진해일의 범람 특성 분석 및 침수예상도 작성에 관한 연구를 수행한 바 있다. 그러나 남해안의 경우 동해안에 비해 지진해일에 관한 연구가 매우 부족한 실정이다. 남해안의 경우 조차가 1~4 m로 조석의 영향을 무시할 수 없을 정도이기 때문에 조석의 영향이 지진해일 전파특성에 미치는 영향을 분석할 필요성이 있다. 남해안에 영향을 미칠 수 있는 지진해일 발생지는 해저의 단층운동이 활발한 유구열도(Ryukyu lsland)와 난카이트러프 단층대이다. 과거 남해안은 지진해일의 직접적인 피해가 없었으나, 지진해일 발생 가능성은 항시 존재하기 때문에 사전에 대비할 수 있는 연구가 필요하다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 남해안에 영향을 미칠 수 있는 지진해일 가상시나리오에 대한 지진해일 수치모의를 하였다. 아울러 조석과 지진해일의 상호작용으로 연안에서 나타나는 해일 전파특성을 분석하고자 한다. 이는 남해안 지진해일 위험성 평가를 통해 남해안에서 발생할 수 있는 지진해일 대비에 활용될 것으로 판단된다.

• 한국지반환경공학회 논문집
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• 제10권7호
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• pp.103-109
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• 2009

확률론적인 지진재해분석(PSHA)은 지진원, 전파경로, 부지효과의 불확실성을 고려하여 특정 기간내에 특정 크기를 초과하는 지진동이 부지에 발생할 확률을 결정하는 방법이다. PSHA은 전세계적으로 미래 발생할 지진동을 정량화하기 위하여 가장 널리 사용되는 방법이다. 본 논문에서는 기존의 PSHA와 동일한 결과를 계산하지만, 유한기간내에 발생하는 지진 시나리오와 이에 상응하는 지진파기록을 생성하는 신(新) PSHA 기법의 국내 적용성을 평가하였다. 신(新) PSHA으로 40,000년에 상응하는 가상의 지진기록을 생성하여 총 16,378개의 지진 시나리오를 생성하였으며 이를 사용하여 지진재해도를 생성한 결과, 신(新) PSHA은 상당히 정확하게 기존의 PSHA 결과를 재현할 수 있는 것으로 나타났다. 신(新) PSHA은 자체적으로 의미가 있다기 보다는 이의 결과를 통하여 궁극적으로 확률론적인 지진재해분석을 수행할 수 있다는 장점을 가지고 있다. 본 연구에서 생성된 지진기록은 동반논문에서 확률론적인 지진계수를 생성하는데 활용되었다.

• 환경생물
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• 제37권3호
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• pp.268-277
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• 2019

Severe damages will result in human society, when several different critical natural phenomena coincide. One example relates to the resting cysts of Alexandrium species (dinoflagellates that cause paralytic shellfish poisoning), which are preserved in surface sediments throughout Osaka Bay, Japan. These cysts have been found to accumulate particularly densely in shallow areas in the inner parts of Osaka Bay, where a tsunami caused by an earthquake could occur any time. Damage by a tsunami could cause a change of the coastal ecosystems at Osaka Bay including the resuspension of surface sediments containing resting Alexandrium tamarense cysts and the subsequent redistribution of the cysts in newly deposited sediment. Under certain environmental conditions, these cysts could germinate and form dense blooms, leading to paralytic shellfish poisoning. Such a scenario could also affect other coastal areas, including the southern coast of the Korean Peninsula.

• Smart Structures and Systems
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• 제4권1호
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• pp.47-66
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• 2008

The present work utilizes system identification technique for health monitoring of shear building, wherein Parametric State Space modeling has been adopted. The method requires input excitation to the structure and also output acceleration responses of both undamaged and damaged structure obtained from numerically simulated model. Modal parameters like eigen frequencies and eigen vectors have been extracted from the State Space model after introducing appropriate transformation. Least square technique has been utilized for the evaluation of the stiffness matrix after having obtained the modal matrix for the entire structure. Highly accurate values of stiffness of the structure could be evaluated corresponding to both the undamaged as well as damaged state of a structure, while considering noise in the simulated output response analogous to real time scenario. The damaged floor could also be located very conveniently and accurately by this adopted strategy. This method of damage detection can be applied in case of output acceleration responses recorded by sensors from the actual structure. Further, in case of even limited availability of sensors along the height of a multi-storeyed building, the methodology could yield very accurate information related to structural stiffness.