• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제7권1호
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• pp.29-36
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• 2020

Stock price multiple is one of the most well-known equity valuation technique used to forecast equity price. It measures by multiplying "the ratio of stock price to a value driver" by a value driver. The value driver can be earning per share (EPS), sales or other financial measurements. The objective of price multiple technique is to evaluate the value of assets and compare how similar assets are priced in the market. Although stock price multiple technique is common in financial filed, studies on the application of the technique in Thailand is still limited. The present study is conducted to serve three major objectives. The first objective is to apply the technique to measure value of firms in banking sector in the Stock Exchange of Thailand. The second objective is to develop composite price multiple index to forecast equity prices. The third objective is to compare valuation accuracy of different value drivers of price multiple (i.e. EPS, Earnings Growth, Earnings Before Interest Taxes Depreciation and Amortization, Sales, Book Value and Composite Index) in forecasting equity prices. Results indicated that EPS is the most accurate value drivers of price multiple used to forecast equity price of firms in baking sector.

• Asian Journal of Innovation and Policy
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• 제10권2호
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• pp.236-248
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• 2021

The objective of this study is to introduce the urban utility concept that combines urban growth and urban disasters in the aspect of a conceptual theory. While many studies focused on the dollar amount damaged from a disaster, it requires adding not just building damages or human body losses but also the quality of life satisfaction. An issue in measuring the quality of life satisfaction needs to introduce a proper mode quantifying it. This study introduces the urban utility change in measuring the negative impacts of a disaster on urban life, which has been rarely investigated. To identify urban utility, urban flooding that is a cross-sectoral agenda and important to both developed and developing countries was adopted to respond to its increased frequency and damages, encouraging governments to focus on flood control policies. By combining a literature review on urban utility and urban growth, this study defined the urban utility concept as a net benefit of a resident with earnings subtracting housing and commuting costs. The theoretical study also explained that urban utility and its components dynamically change as per urban growth and disasters that even reversely affect urban growth. Because the urban utility can be one of the useful indices to appreciate the relationship between a disaster and urban growth, it is highly expected to apply for similar disaster impacts on urban areas, including COVID-19 and various global warming issues.

• 한국산학기술학회논문지
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• 제22권1호
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• pp.221-230
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• 2021

본 연구에서는 기업의 국제화 수준을 개별 기업의 매출액 대비 해외매출비중(FSTS)으로 측정하고 Sloan(1996)의 모형을 활용 당기순이익과 차기순이익 간의 1차 자기상관관계를 회계이익 지속성의 대용치로 사용하여 기업의 이익지속성에 영향을 미치는 다수의 통제변수들과 함께 실증분석을 실시하였다. 2011년부터 2016년까지 유가증권 시장에 상장된 12월 말 결산법인을 대상으로 고정효과모형을 이용하여 실증분석을 실시한 결과, 기업의 국제화와 회계이익의 지속성은 1% 유의수준에서 양(+)의 효과를 나타내어 개별 기업의 국제화 수준이 증가할수록 기업의 이익 지속성 또한 증가하는 것을 확인 할 수 있었다. 또한 기업규모, 재무건전성, 현금 수반성, 성장성, 투자성은 예측과 일치하게 국제화와 통계적으로 유의한 양(+)의 관계를 나타내어 이들이 기업 이익의 지속성을 증진하는데 중요한 보완적 요인임을 검증하였다. 이는 기업의 규모가 크고 재무건전성 및 현금 수반성이 우수할수록, 성장기회와 투자성향이 높을수록 기업의 이익지속성이 증가함을 의미하여 기존 선행연구들의 결과와도 일치하였다. 이러한 결과는 기업이 국제화 전략 추진을 통해 새로운 해외 시장을 확보하고 성장을 도모함으로서 기업 가치를 안정적으로 유지·확장시킬 수 있음을 시사한다.

• 무역학회지
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• 제45권2호
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• pp.229-262
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• 2020

The price-to-earnings ratio (PER) is an important indicator to measure the stock price and profitability of a firm; it is also the most used valuation indicator among investors. When using the PER to compare the investment values of different stocks, these stocks must come from the same sector. This study mainly focuses on the China's listed manufacturing firms. By learning from previous research results and analyzing the current situation, we studied the correlation between the manufacturing sector's PER and its influencing factors from both macro and micro perspectives, the combination of which eventually sheds light on such correlation. Analyzing GDP growth rate data, Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index, and other macroeconomic variables from 2008 to 2018, we conclude that these variables jointly have a certain impact on the average PER of the manufacturing sector. We then form panel data based on relevant (2014-2018) data gathered from 317 of China's A-listed manufacturing firms to study the impact of micro-variables on PER. By using Stata and other software to analyze the panel data, we reach the conclusion that the Debt to Asset Ratio, Return on Equity, EPS growth rate, Operating Profit Ratio, Dividend Payout Ratio, and firm size have a significant impact on PER. The Current Ratio, Treasury Stock ratio and Ownership Concentration have no distinct effect on PER. Based on our empirical findings, we design a theoretical model that affects the PER.

• 경영과정보연구
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• 제29권4호
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• pp.23-44
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• 2010

본 연구는 우리나라 기업의 성장특성을 매출액증가율, 유형자산증가율, 종업원 증가율의 변수를 반영하여 기업수명주기별로 분류하고 각각의 수명주기에서 발생액과 재량적 발생액의 가치 관련성이 다르게 평가되고 있음을 제시하고 있다. 1996년부터 2009년까지 증권거래소 상장기업 272개 기업의 2,448개 관측치를 대상으로 실증분석 하였다. 재량적 발생액의 추정방법은 수정 Jones모형과 Dechow and Dichev(2002)모형 등 4가지 추정모형으로 검증하였다. 본 연구결과는 다음과 같이 요약될 수 있다. 첫째, 총발생액은 성장단계에서는 경영자가 사적정보를 제공하려는 동기가 강한 것으로 나타났다, 반면에 쇠퇴단계는 경영자의 기회주의적 행동이 가치 관련성을 낮추는 결과를 보여주고 있다. 따라서 기업수명주기에 따라 총발생액의 가치 관련성이 다르게 평가될 수 있음을 보여주고 있다. 둘째, 기업수명주기에 따라 재량적 발생액의 가치 관련성이 다를 것이라는 가설은 성장단계에서는 경영자가 사적정보를 제공하려는 동기가 강한 반면에 쇠퇴단계에서는 경영자가 이익조정을 기회주의적 행동으로 하고 있음을 제시하고 있다. 따라서 재량적 발생액에는 경영자의 기회주의적 이익조정 뿐만 아니라 기업성과에 대한 사적정보도 포함되어 있기 때문에 기업수명주기에 따라 다르게 해석할 수 있음을 보여주고 있다.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제8권3호
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• pp.441-449
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• 2021

Bankruptcy is indicated by the inability of the company to meet its maturity obligations. The Covid-19 pandemic has had a terrible impact on the economy and businesses. The aim of this study to determine the effect of the ratios of activity, growth, leverage, and profitability in predicting bankruptcy projected by earnings per share (EPS). The sample of this research was non-banking financial sector companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange in 2015-2019 and the purposive sampling technique was used. The data analysis method used was the logistic regression method to test the hypotheses. Company growth shows the company's ability to manage sales and generate high company profits, as such, the probability of the company experiencing bankruptcy will be lower. The results of this study showed that the debt to assets ratio (DAR), debt to equity ratio (DER), and return on assets (ROA) can predict bankruptcy. Meanwhile, this research found that the total assets turnover (TATO) ratio, sales growth, and net profit margin (NPM) cannot be used to predict bankruptcy.

• 문화기술의 융합
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• 제6권1호
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• pp.367-380
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• 2020

최근 우리나라 경제는 내수침체와 기업투자의 저조 그리고 청년고용의 절벽 등으로 어려운 경제현실에 직면하고 있다. 이를 타개하고 경제를 선순환구조로 전환하기 위하여 정부에서는 여러 경제정책을 도입하여 시행하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 2014년 세법개정안에 포함되어 있는 기업소득 환류세제, 배당소득 증대세제 그리고 임금소득 증대세제의 '가계소득 증대세제 3대 패키지' 중에서 기업소득 환류세제의 도입효과를 검증해 보고자 하였다. 기업투자, 임금 및 배당금 지급의 증대로 인하여 기업소득이 가계소득으로 선순환되고 있는지에 대해 기업의 재무자료 등을 이용하여 그 유효성을 실증분석하였다. 첫째, 미환류소득에 대한 법인세가 기업의 투자수준에 영향을 미치는지에 대한 유효성을 검증해본 결과는 5%의 유의수준에서 유의적인 부(-)의 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 둘째, 기업소득 환류세제가 기업의 배당수준을 증가시키는 경영의사결정에 영향을 미치고 있는지에 대해 분석한 결과는 비유의적인 정(+)의 관계가 확인되었다. 셋째, 미환류소득에 대한 법인세가 근로자의 임금증대에는 유의적인 영향을 미치지 못하는 것으로 확인되었다. 이와 같은 현실을 반영하여 배당에 대해서는 가중치의 축소, 임금증가에 대해서는 가중치의 증대 등으로 세법개정을 하였으나 정책의 도입효과는 크지 않은 것으로 보인다. 이러한 결과는 경제 및 경영환경의 불확실성이 증대되면서 투자에 대한 경계심과 아울러 임금인상에 대한 의사결정이 향후에도 지속되기 때문에 임금인상을 지양하는 것이 주된 원인으로 추정된다.

• 한국기술혁신학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국기술혁신학회 2001년도 추계학술대회
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• pp.307-337
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• 2001

In this paper, we propose the valuation frame of the IT(Information Technology) ventures using ROV(Real Options Valuation) model. Generally, ROV can comprises the traditional valuation method such as DCF(Discounted Cash Flow), which can measure only the tangible value of a firm from the expected future earnings, in that ROV can additionally measure the intangible value such as the strategic value of a firm in the uncertain environment. We set up the hypothetic IT venture future investment plan and assume that there are a growth option and a switching option consequently along the investment time horizon, which are caused by each characteristics of ventures and IT technologies, especially modularity. In the case that there are several embedded real options in the firm's investment plan in a row, we should apply the compound option pricing model as a real option valuation model in order to consider the value interaction between real options. In an addition, we present the results of optimal investment timing analysis using real options approach and compare them. with those of the original assumed investment timing.

• 아태비즈니스연구
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• 제1권1호
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• pp.41-60
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• 2010

After over a decade of sluggish economic growth accompanied by massive fiscal stimulus in the 1990s, it remains an open question whether and how Japanese firms have restructured their operations, and whether these efforts have borne any fruit. Using a randomly selected sample of 300 firms from the Tokyo Stock Exchange, we collect all restructuring announcement in the FY 2000-2001 (April 2000-March 2002) period. Our results are striking in that while we find that firms engaging in restructuring of various sorts display improved earnings in the period following the restructuring announcement, shareholders do not appear to benefit at the time of the restructuring announcements.

• 인터넷정보학회논문지
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• 제21권6호
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• pp.113-121
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• 2020

The era of "ownership" has gone, and the era of "subscription" has come. While traditional manufacturing and service industries are struggling with the fall of earnings rates, subscription-based businesses are showing high growth rates. Although subscription-based online services (SOS) are rapidly growing in the retail market, few studies have investigated factors that affect the decision of consumers to use SOS. Therefore, this study aims to identify factors that enable predicting consumers'attitudes and intentions toward SOS and to empirically verify the factors. As a result of the study, usefulness, enjoyment, and cost advantages were shown to have positive effectson perceived value, and usefulness, technicality, and cost advantages were shown to have positive effects on attitudes. In addition, perceived value was shown to have positive effects on attitude, and perceived value and attitudes were shown to have positive effects on acceptance intentions. The fact that the strategic directivity for successful introduction and diffusion of SOS was presented by identifying the predictor variables for the acceptance of SOS through this study can be said to be the significance of this study.