• Title/Summary/Keyword: Early-warning Index

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Study on safety early-warning model of bridge underwater pile foundations

  • Xue-feng Zhang;Chun-xia Song
    • Structural Monitoring and Maintenance
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.107-116
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    • 2023
  • The health condition of of deep water high pile foundation is vital to the safe operation of bridges. However, pier foundations are vulnerable to damage in deep water due to exposure to sea torrents and corrosive environments over an extended period. In this paper, combined with aninvestigation and analysis of the typical damage characteristics of main pier group pile foundations, we study the safety monitoring and real-time early warning technology of the deep water high pile foundations, we propose an early warning index item and early warning threshold of deep water high pile foundation by utilizing a numerical simulation analysis and referring to domestic and foreign standards and literature. First, we combine the characteristics of structures and draw on more mature evaluation theories and experience in civil engineering-related fields such as dam and bridge engineering. Then, we establish a scheme consisting of a Early Warning Index Systemand evaluation model based on the analytic hierarchy process and constant weight evaluation method and apply the research results to a project based on the Jiashao bridge in Zhejiang province, China. Finally, we verify the rationality and reliability of the Early Warning Index Systemof the Deep Water High Pile Foundations.

A Study on Early Warning Model in the Dry Bulk Shipping Industry by Signal Approach (신호접근법을 이용한 건화물시장 해운조기경보모형에 관한 연구)

  • Yun, Jeong-No;KIm, Ga-Hyun;Ryoo, Dong-Keun
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.42 no.1
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    • pp.57-66
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    • 2018
  • Maritime industry is affected by outside factors significantly due to its derivative demand characteristics. However, the supply side can not react to these changes immediately and due to this uniqueness, maritime industry repeats the boom-bust cycle. Therefore the government itself needs to operate early warning system in order to monitor the market and notice the upcoming risks by setting up a system to prepare for the situations. In this research, signal approach is used to establish early warning system. Overall leading index is composed of crisis index that is based on BDI(Baltic Dry Index) and various leading indexes such as finance, economy, shipping and the others. As a result of computing overall leading index which is early warning system in maritime through signal approach, the index showed a high correlation coefficient with actual maritime risk index by difference of 4 months. Also, the result was highly accurate with overall leading index's QPS(Quadratic Probability Score) at 0.37.

Power Quality Early Warning Based on Anomaly Detection

  • Gu, Wei;Bai, Jingjing;Yuan, Xiaodong;Zhang, Shuai;Wang, Yuankai
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.1171-1181
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    • 2014
  • Different power quality (PQ) disturbance sources can have major impacts on the power supply grid. This study proposes, for the first time, an early warning approach to identifying PQ problems and providing early warning prompts based on the monitored data of PQ disturbance sources. To establish a steady-state power quality early warning index system, the characteristics of PQ disturbance sources are analyzed and summed up. The higher order statistics anomaly detection (HOSAD) algorithm, based on skewness and kurtosis, and hierarchical power quality early warning flow, were then used to mine limit-exceeding and abnormal data and analyze their severity. Cases studies show that the proposed approach is effective and feasible, and that it is possible to provide timely power quality early warnings for limit-exceeding and abnormal data.

Performance Analysis on Early Detection of Fault Symptom of a Pump with Abnormal Signals (오신호 입력에 따른 펌프의 고장징후 조기감지 성능분석)

  • Jung, Jae-Young;Lee, Byoung-Oh;Kim, Hyoung-Kyun;Kim, Dae-Woong
    • Journal of Power System Engineering
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.66-72
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    • 2016
  • As a method to improve the equipment reliability, early warning researches that can be detected fault symptom of an equipment at an early stage are being performed out among developed countries. In this paper, when abnormal signal is input to actual normal signal of a pump, early detection studies on pump's fault symptom were carried out with auto-associative kernel regression as an advanced pattern recognition algorithm. From analysis, correlations among power of motor driving pump, discharge flow of pump, power output of pump, and discharge pressure of pump are exited. When the abnormal signal is input to one of those normal signals, the other expected values are changed due to the influence of the abnormal signal. Therefore, the fault symptom of pump through the early-warning index is able to detect at an early stage.

Development and Application of Risk Recovery Index using Machine Learning Algorithms (기계학습알고리즘을 이용한 위험회복지수의 개발과 활용)

  • Kim, Sun Woong
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.25-39
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    • 2016
  • Asset prices decline sharply and stock markets collapse when financial crisis happens. Recently we have encountered more frequent financial crises than ever. 1998 currency crisis and 2008 global financial crisis triggered academic researches on early warning systems that aim to detect the symptom of financial crisis in advance. This study proposes a risk recovery index for detection of good opportunities from financial market instability. We use SVM classifier algorithms to separate recovery period from unstable financial market data. Input variables are KOSPI index and V-KOSPI200 index. Our SVM algorithms show highly accurate forecasting results on testing data as well as training data. Risk recovery index is derived from our SVM-trained outputs. We develop a trading system that utilizes the suggested risk recovery index. The trading result records very high profit, that is, its annual return runs to 121%.

Implementation of a Weather Hazard Warning System at a Catchment Scale (시스템 구성요소 통합 및 현업서비스 구축)

  • Shin, Yong Soon
    • Proceedings of The Korean Society of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology Conference
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    • 2014.10a
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    • pp.74-85
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    • 2014
  • This study is a part of "Early Warning Service for Weather Risk Management in Climate-smart Agriculture", describes the delivery techniques from 840 catchment scale weather warning information using 150 counties unit special weather report(alarm, warning) released from KMA(Korea Meteorological Administration) and chronic weather warning information based on daily weather data from 76 synoptic stations. Catchment weather hazard warning service express a sequential risk index map generated by countries report occurs and report grade(alarm, warning) convert to catchment scale using zonal summarizing method. Additional services were chronic weather warning service at crop growth and accumulated more than 4 weeks, based on an unsuitable weather conditions, representing a relative risk compared to its catchment climatological normal conditions (normal distribution ) in addition to special weather report. Service provided by a real-time catchment scale map overlaid with VWORLD open platform operated by Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport. Also provide a foundation for weather risk information to inform individual farmers to farm located within the catchment zone warning occur.

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Development of International Project Risk Index (IPRI)

  • Yoo, Wi Sung;Kim, Woo-young
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2015.10a
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    • pp.49-50
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    • 2015
  • Since the mid-2000s, Korean large-sized construction companies have pursued in earnest to expand their business to global construction market in surroundings that domestic market have a continuous and long-term stagnation. However, during last a few years, they have experienced the serious financial loss from international projects. In the meantime, for the sound improvement of Korean construction industry, many stakeholders long for efficient early warning signals to generally monitor and track the potential risks of international projects. In this study, we introduce an International Project Risk Index (IPRI), which is derived from massive data provided by large-sized companies, and expect to provide the practitioners and decision makers as an aid to proactively cope with the change of the potential risks. The outcomes from the IPRI can be utilized to prepare a timely management strategy and to establish an appropriate government support regulation.

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Development of an Early Warning System based on Artificial Intelligence (인공지능기법을 이용한 외환위기 조기경보시스템 구축)

  • Kwon, Byeung-Chun;Cho, Nam-Wook
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.319-326
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    • 2012
  • To effectively predict financial crisis, this paper presents an early warning system based on artificial intelligence technologies. Both Genetic Algorithms and Neural Networks are utilized for the proposed system. First, a genetic algorithm has been developed for the effective selection of economic indices, which are used for monitoring financial crisis. Then, an optimum weight of the selected indices has been determined by a neural network method. To validate the effectiveness of the proposed system, a series of experiments has been conducted by using the Korean economic indices from 2005 to 2008.

Implementation of Agrometeorological Early Warning System for Weather Risk Management in South Korea

  • Shim, Kyo Moon;Kim, Yong Seok;Jung, Myung-Pyo;Choi, In Tae;Kim, Hojung;Kang, Kee Kyung
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.171-175
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of the farmstead-specific early warning service system for weather risk management is to develop custom-made risk management recommendations for individual farms threatened by climate change and its variability. This system quantifies weather conditions into a "weather risk index" that is customized to crop and its growth stage. When the risk reaches the stage where it can cause any damage to the crops, the system is activated and the corresponding warning messages are delivered to the farmer's mobile phone. The messages are sent with proper recommendations that farmers can utilize to protect their crops against potential damage. Currently, the technology necessary to make the warning system more practical has been developed, including technology for forecasting real-time weather conditions, scaling down of weather data to the individual farm level and risk assessments of specific crops. Furthermore, the scientific know-how has already been integrated into a web-based warning system (http://new.agmet.kr). The system is provided to volunteer farmers with direct, one-on-one weather data and disaster warnings along with relevant recommendations. In 2016, an operational system was established in a rural catchment ($1,500km^2$) in the Seomjin river basin.

Status of Agrometeorology Monitoring Network for Weather Risk Management: Focused on RDA of Korea (위험기상 대응 농업기상관측 네트워크의 현황: 농촌진흥청을 중심으로)

  • Shim, Kyo Moon;Kim, Yong Seok;Jeong, Myung Pyo;Choi, In Tae;So, Kyu Ho
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.55-60
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    • 2015
  • Agro-Meteorological Information Service (AMIS) network has been established since 2001 by Rural Development Administration (RDA) in Korea, and has provided access to current and historical weather data with useful information for agricultural activities. AMIS network includes 158 automated weather stations located mostly in farm region, with planning to increase by 200 stations until 2017. Agrometeorological information is disseminated via the web site (http://weather.rda.go.kr) to growers, researchers, and extension service officials. Our services will give enhanced information from observation data (temperature, precipitation, etc.) to application information, such as drought index, agro-climatic map, and early warning service. AMIS network of RDA will help the implementation of an early warning service for weather risk management.