• Title/Summary/Keyword: Early Warning Model

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Early Warning System for Inventory Management using Prediction Model and EOQ Algorithm

  • Majapahit, Sali Alas;Hwang, Mintae
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.221-227
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    • 2021
  • An early warning system was developed to help identify stock status as early as possible. For performance to improve, there needs to be a feature to predict the amount of stock that must be provided and a feature to estimate when to buy goods. This research was conducted to improve the inventory early warning system and optimize the Reminder Block's performance in minimum stock settings. The models used in this study are the single exponential smoothing (SES) method for prediction and the economic order quantity (EOQ) model for determining the quantity. The research was conducted by analyzing the Reminder Block in the early warning system, identifying data needs, and implementing the SES and EOQ mathematical models into the Reminder Block. This research proposes a new Reminder Block that has been added to the SES and EOQ models. It is hoped that this study will help in obtaining accurate information about the time and quantity of repurchases for efficient inventory management.

Study on safety early-warning model of bridge underwater pile foundations

  • Xue-feng Zhang;Chun-xia Song
    • Structural Monitoring and Maintenance
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.107-116
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    • 2023
  • The health condition of of deep water high pile foundation is vital to the safe operation of bridges. However, pier foundations are vulnerable to damage in deep water due to exposure to sea torrents and corrosive environments over an extended period. In this paper, combined with aninvestigation and analysis of the typical damage characteristics of main pier group pile foundations, we study the safety monitoring and real-time early warning technology of the deep water high pile foundations, we propose an early warning index item and early warning threshold of deep water high pile foundation by utilizing a numerical simulation analysis and referring to domestic and foreign standards and literature. First, we combine the characteristics of structures and draw on more mature evaluation theories and experience in civil engineering-related fields such as dam and bridge engineering. Then, we establish a scheme consisting of a Early Warning Index Systemand evaluation model based on the analytic hierarchy process and constant weight evaluation method and apply the research results to a project based on the Jiashao bridge in Zhejiang province, China. Finally, we verify the rationality and reliability of the Early Warning Index Systemof the Deep Water High Pile Foundations.

Antidumping case in the China's textile industry: A model building approach

  • Zhuo, Jun;Park, Yong H.
    • Asia Pacific Journal of Business Review
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.67-87
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    • 2019
  • Anti-dumping instruments among trading partners have been the subject of research by both academicians and practitioners. This study attempts to establish an early-warning model of anti-dumping against Chinese textile exporting companies, which have suffered from anti-dumping regulations and got arbitration awards. After reviewing theories of anti-dumping arbitration, early-warning and relationship marketing, the measuring items and relationship marketing model of Chinese textiles exporters are investigated. Empirical methods are selected based on early-warning theories of companies. Eighty percent of 156 valid questionnaires by surveys and interviews are used as training data via Binary-Logistic regression while the other twenty percent are validated in the model. As a result, a proper early-warning model has been established.

Development of a Daily Epidemiological Model of Rice Blast Tailored for Seasonal Disease Early Warning in South Korea

  • Kim, Kwang-Hyung;Jung, Imgook
    • The Plant Pathology Journal
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    • v.36 no.5
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    • pp.406-417
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    • 2020
  • Early warning services for crop diseases are valuable when they provide timely forecasts that farmers can utilize to inform their disease management decisions. In South Korea, collaborative disease controls that utilize unmanned aerial vehicles are commonly performed for most rice paddies. However, such controls could benefit from seasonal disease early warnings with a lead time of a few months. As a first step to establish a seasonal disease early warning service using seasonal climate forecasts, we developed the EPIRICE Daily Risk Model for rice blast by extracting and modifying the core infection algorithms of the EPIRICE model. The daily risk scores generated by the EPIRICE Daily Risk Model were successfully converted into a realistic and measurable disease value through statistical analyses with 13 rice blast incidence datasets, and subsequently validated using the data from another rice blast experiment conducted in Icheon, South Korea, from 1974 to 2000. The sensitivity of the model to air temperature, relative humidity, and precipitation input variables was examined, and the relative humidity resulted in the most sensitive response from the model. Overall, our results indicate that the EPIRICE Daily Risk Model can be used to produce potential disease risk predictions for the seasonal disease early warning service.

Research on Early Academic Warning by a Hybrid Methodology

  • Lun, Guanchen;Zhu, Lu;Chen, Haotian;Jeong, Dongwon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2021.10a
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    • pp.21-22
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    • 2021
  • Early academic warning is considered as an inherent problem in education data mining. Early and timely concern and guidance can save a student's university career. It is widely assumed as a multi-class classification system in view of machine learning. Therefore, An accurate and precise methodical solution is a complicated task to accomplish. For this issue, we present a hybrid model employing rough set theory with a back-propagation neural network to ameliorate the predictive capability of the system with an illustrative example. The experimental results show that it is an effective early academic warning model with an escalating improvement in predictive accuracy.

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An Early Warning Model for Student Status Based on Genetic Algorithm-Optimized Radial Basis Kernel Support Vector Machine

  • Hui Li;Qixuan Huang;Chao Wang
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.263-272
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    • 2024
  • A model based on genetic algorithm optimization, GA-SVM, is proposed to warn university students of their status. This model improves the predictive effect of support vector machines. The genetic optimization algorithm is used to train the hyperparameters and adjust the kernel parameters, kernel penalty factor C, and gamma to optimize the support vector machine model, which can rapidly achieve convergence to obtain the optimal solution. The experimental model was trained on open-source datasets and validated through comparisons with random forest, backpropagation neural network, and GA-SVM models. The test results show that the genetic algorithm-optimized radial basis kernel support vector machine model GA-SVM can obtain higher accuracy rates when used for early warning in university learning.

A study on the Design and the Performance Analysis of Radar Data Integrating Systems for a Early Warning System (조기경보 체제를 위한 통합 레이다 정보처리 시스템의 설계 및 성능분석에 관한 연구)

  • 이상웅;라극환;조동래
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Telematics and Electronics A
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    • v.29A no.11
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    • pp.25-39
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    • 1992
  • Due to the data processing development by the computer, the early warning system recently has made a remarkable evolution in its functions and performance as a component of the communication and control system which is also supported by the computer communication and intelligence system. In this paper it is presented that a integrated data processing system is designed to integrate the information sent from the various radar systems which constitute an early warning system. The suggested system model of this paper is devided into two types of structures, the centralized model and the distributed model, according to the data processing algorithm. We apply the queueing theory to analyse the performance of the designed models and the OPNET system kernel to make the analysing program with C language. From the analysis of the queueing components by applying the analysis programs to the designed systems, we got the tendancies and characteristics of both models, that is, a fast data processing performance of the distributed model and a stable data processing capability of the centralized model.

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Damage detection of shear buildings using frequency-change-ratio and model updating algorithm

  • Liang, Yabin;Feng, Qian;Li, Heng;Jiang, Jian
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.107-122
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    • 2019
  • As one of the most important parameters in structural health monitoring, structural frequency has many advantages, such as convenient to be measured, high precision, and insensitive to noise. In addition, frequency-change-ratio based method had been validated to have the ability to identify the damage occurrence and location. However, building a precise enough finite elemental model (FEM) for the test structure is still a huge challenge for this frequency-change-ratio based damage detection technique. In order to overcome this disadvantage and extend the application for frequencies in structural health monitoring area, a novel method was developed in this paper by combining the cross-model cross-mode (CMCM) model updating algorithm with the frequency-change-ratio based method. At first, assuming the physical parameters, including the element mass and stiffness, of the test structure had been known with a certain value, then an initial to-be-updated model with these assumed parameters was constructed according to the typical mass and stiffness distribution characteristic of shear buildings. After that, this to-be-updated model was updated using CMCM algorithm by combining with the measured frequencies of the actual structure when no damage was introduced. Thus, this updated model was regarded as a representation of the FEM model of actual structure, because their modal information were almost the same. Finally, based on this updated model, the frequency-change-ratio based method can be further proceed to realize the damage detection and localization. In order to verify the effectiveness of the developed method, a four-level shear building was numerically simulated and two actual shear structures, including a three-level shear model and an eight-story frame, were experimentally test in laboratory, and all the test results demonstrate that the developed method can identify the structural damage occurrence and location effectively, even only very limited modal frequencies of the test structure were provided.

Development of Insulation Degradation Diagnosis System for Electrical Plant

  • Kim, Yi-Gon
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.33-37
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    • 2002
  • Insulation aging diagnosis system provides early warning regarding electrical equipment defects. Early warning is very important in that it can avoid great losses resulting from unexpected shutdown of the production line. Since relations of insulation aging and partial discharge dynamics are non-linear. it is very difficult to provide early warning in an electrical equipment. In this paper, we propose the design method of insulation aging diagnosis system that use a electromagnetic wave and acoustic signal to diagnose an electrical equipment. Proposed system measures the partial discharge on-line from DAS(Data Acquisition System and acquires 2D patterns from analyzing it. For filtering the noise contained in sensor signals we used ICA algorithms. Using this data, we design of the neuro-fuzzy model that diagnoses an electrical equipment and is investigated in this paper. Validity of the new method is asserted by numerical simulation.

Modeling of Forward Collision Warning and Avoidance System (전방 충돌경보 및 회피시스템 모델링)

  • 오병근;조남효
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.156-165
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    • 2000
  • This paper describes modeling and simulation of automotive forward collision warning and avoidance system using CASE(Computer-Aided Systems Engineering) tool. The system is composed or many sensors, a controller, warning devices, brakes and etc. The system was modeled by one activity chart, fourteen state charts and one module chart. Rear-end collision scenarios was generated by Simulink and used to support Stalemate model. The resulting model was used to evaluate the correctness of function and behavior of the system. A simulator for the system has been designed and used to validate the model under realistic operating conditions in the laboratory. To model and simulate the system's functionality and behavior brings clarity to system design early in the system development.

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