• 통상정보연구
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• 제6권2호
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• pp.65-84
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• 2004

Korean Government has provided special support to Korean export industry during past 40 years. However, due to the agreement on UR and appearance of WTO, the Government can't provide most of the subsidies which were allowed before WTO era. Hence, export insurance system became more useful tool since it's one of the few allowed subsidies under WTO. This study tries to find the impacts of export insurance systems on the exports in Korea, the United States, and Japan. Firstly, this study surveyed the export insurance systems of Korea, the United States, and Japan. Then, using a regression analysis it analysed the effects of export insurance systems upon the exports in Korea, the United States, and Japan respectively. The period of data is from 1980 to 1999. The results of the regression analysis for export insurance showed significant and positive effects of both Korean and Japanese but the United States showed insignificant and positive upon the exports.

• 아태비즈니스연구
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• 제9권1호
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• pp.39-55
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• 2018

Exports play an important role in Korea's economy and industry. Korea's share in world trade is also increasing. Governments and trade organizations are making great efforts to promote exports. However, since SMEs lack resources of enterprises, SMEs have a lot of difficulties in increasing exports compared to large enterprises. For this reason, in this study, we analyzed the difference of perception of export difficulties according to characteristics of small and medium export companies. As a result, four factors such as overseas market information, price and cost, competitiveness and regulation of importing country were derived. In addition, we investigated the differences in recognition of export difficulties by the stage of growth of company, period of export, products exported, export department, size of company. There was a significant difference in recognition. Especially, The companies which are the early stages of growth, short export period, finished product, the smaller the size of exports companies are more difficult in export difficulties.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• 제41권1호
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• pp.1-14
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• 2019

This paper studies whether export diversification mitigated the negative effect of the global financial crisis on exports using the Korean case. Specifically, we use annual data on the exports of 24 Korean manufacturing industries from 2000 to 2016 and examine whether the negative effect of the crisis on exports was less prevalent in industries that were more diversified in terms of country and product. We also examine whether export competitiveness, as measured by the revealed comparative advantage index by industry, had a mitigating effect on trade during the crisis. In order to study these issues, we use panel regression with a fixed-effect model for 24 Korean manufacturing industries. From our empirical analysis, we find that country diversification weakened the negative impact of the global financial crisis on Korea's exports, whereas neither product diversification nor export competitiveness did so.

• 무역학회지
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• 제43권2호
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• pp.1-22
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• 2018

본 연구는 OECD-WTO의 부가가치 기준 무역(TiVA) 데이터를 이용하여 경제통합이 부가가치 기준 무역에 미치는 영향을 분석하였다. 연구결과 경제통합은 회원국간의 무역을 통계적으로 유의하게 증가시키는 것을 확인하였다. 이는 전통적 의미의 최종재와 중간재뿐만 아니라 수출에서 차지하는 국내 및 외국의 부가가치 규모도 증가하는 것을 확인하였다. 아울러 경제통합이 국내 및 외국의 부가가치 무역을 증가시키는 효과가 대체로 비슷하여 총수출에서 국내부가가치가 차지하는 비중을 증가시키거나 감소시키지 않는다는 것을 확인하였다.

• 한국전자거래학회지
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• 제25권1호
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• pp.177-202
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• 2020

본 연구는 세계 무기 수출 시장의 구조적인 변화 요인을 식별하기 위한 통계적 모형을 설계하고 실증 분석 결과와 경제적 함의를 제시하고자 한다. 무기 수출의 변화 양상을 설명할 수 있는 변인은 무엇인가, 그러한 변화는 통계적으로 유의한가, 변화의 특성은 어떻게 해석될 수 있는지를 중심으로 연구 질문을 삼고 분석의 틀을 설계하였다. 실증 분석을 위해 SIPRI 데이터베이스에 수록된 무기 수출 상위 40개 국가의 거래량을 분석 대상으로 삼았다. 그리고 연구 모형을 설정하기 위한 가설을 제시하고 가설로부터 도출된 변수들의 조합에 따라 여러 회귀 모형을 구성하여 통계적 유의성을 검증하였다. 분석 결과에서 국가 보유고 변수는 무기 수출 시장의 변화와 지속적인 관계를 맺고 있는 변수로서 특징적인 의미를 보여주고 있으며, UN 안보리 상임이사국 그룹은 세계 무기 수출에 집단적인 지배력을 발휘하고 있는 것으로 나타났다. 이와 함께 2000년대를 전후로 하여 나타난 변화의 주요 동인은 국내 총생산과 국가 순 수출액과 관련이 있는 것으로 파악되었다. 전반적으로 이런 요인들이 세계 무기 수출의 흐름과 방향을 좌우해왔던 것으로 평가되며 향후에도 무기 수출 시장의 구조에 영향을 주는 변수가 될 것으로 전망된다.

• 한국의류학회지
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• 제32권3호
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• pp.462-473
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• 2008

In recent years, Korea's apparel exports to the USA have faced a great threat, as the trade environment around the world has changed continually. The purpose of this study is to analyze the competitive position of Korean apparel exports to the USA, and to enhance export competitiveness by applying to offshore sourcing. The trade data of the Office of Textiles and Apparel(OTEXA) in the U.S. Department of Commerce were selected for inquiry about export competitiveness of apparel products made in Korea. In addition, we targeted members of the Korea Apparel Industry Association among the 500 exporters of clothing items in "The Import and Export Textile Product 2003." A total 70 sheets were analyzed. The results of this study were as follows: 1) Korean apparel exports to USA have decreased by 20-35 percent per year since 2005 under the Free Trade Area, showing that Korean apparel industries have not adapted to the new trade environment. Although Korean apparel exports to USA have indicated a trade surplus from now on, Korean apparel industries should find new ways to overcome this situation, diminishing exports and increasing imports. 2) Korean apparel companies selected more offshore sourcing than domestic sourcing. Also, as Korean apparel companies manufactured apparel products offshore, foreign subcontracting outranked manufacturing in their own foreign plants. When they chose foreign countries to source, they turned mainly to China and Vietnam. Also, they considered the target country's manufacturing price, labor stability, apparel products, quality, lead time, and so on. In order to increase apparel exports, Korean apparel industries should focus more on developing competitively new apparel products, improving the ability of sourcing management, and establishing on-the-spot agencies.

• 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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• 제24권1호
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• pp.141-164
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• 2015

최근 국가온실가스배출량 측정과 관련하여 소비기반 배출량에 대한 관심과 연구가 증가하고 있다. 소비기반 배출량은 정의상 국제무역에 함유된 온실가스 배출량과 직접적인 관계가 있다. 본 연구에서는 에너지 연소에 따른 이산화탄소 배출에 한하여 한국의 주요 교역상대국들에 대한 최종재 수출에 함유된 상품별 국내외 탄소배출 비중을 계산할 뿐만 아니라 한국의 자국 최종수요에 기인한 탄소배출과 외국 최종수요에 기인한 탄소배출을 분해하여 이를 주요 교역상대국들과 비교한다. 또한 한국의 주요 교역상대국들에 대한 수출에 얽혀 있는 탄소사슬을 분석하고 탄소사슬별 탄소집약도를 계산하여 주요 특징들을 살펴본다.

• Journal of Korea Trade
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• 제25권1호
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• pp.1-17
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• 2021

Purpose - The global trend of protectionism has expanded since the onset of US President Donald Trump's administration in 2017. This global phenomenon has led to a significant reduction in world trade volume and a negative impact on economic development in some countries where the external sector accounts for a large proportion of GDP. Although Korea is a country vulnerable to this deteriorating trade environment, few studies have examined the relationship between protectionism and its business cycles based on Korean data. Thus, this paper investigates the impact of protectionism on Korea's business cycle. Design/methodology - To identify future implications, we conduct a structural vector autoregression (VAR) analysis using monthly Korean data from 1994 to 2015. Macroeconomic variables in the model include the industrial production index, inflation rates, exports (or net exports), interest rates, and exchange rates. For the identification of the shock reflecting the expansion of protectionism, we use an antidumping investigation (ADI) data. Since ADIs are followed generally by the imposition of antidumping tariffs, they have no contemporaneous impact on tariffs and are also contemporaneously exogenous to other endogenous variables in the VAR model. We examine two kinds of ADI shocks i) shocks on Korean exports imposed by Korea's trading partners (ADI-imposed shocks) and ii) shocks on imports imposed by the Korean government (ADI-imposing shocks). Findings - We find that Korea's exports decline sharply due to ADI-imposed shocks; the lowest point at the third month after the initial shock; and do not recover until 24 months later. Simultaneously, the inflation rate decreases. Therefore, the ADI-imposed shock can be regarded as a negative shock on the demand curve where both production and price decrease. In contrast, the ADI-imposing shock generates a different response. The net exports decline, but the inflation rate increases. These can be seen as standard responses with respect to the negative shock on the supply curve. Originality/value - We shed light on the relationship between protectionism and Korea's economic fluctuations, which is rarely addressed in previous studies. We also consider the effects of both protective policy measures on imports to Korea imposed by the Korean government and on policy measures imposed by Korea's trading partner countries on its exports.

• 동남아시아연구
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• 제27권4호
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• pp.41-76
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• 2017

본 논문은 ASEAN내에서 한 중 일간 수출경쟁관계를 살펴보고, 일본 엔화 또는 중국 위안화 환율변화가 우리나라의 대(對)ASEAN 수출에 미친 영향을 시계열 분석방법을 이용하여 고찰한다. 이를 위해 우선 한 중 일의 품목별 ASEAN 시장점유율 및 수출경합도지수를 도출하여 한 중 일의 ASEAN시장내 경합관계 및 변화추이를 살펴본다. 더 나아가 다양한 공적분 접근법을 사용하여 우리나라의 대(對)ASEAN 주요국별 수출함수를 추정함으로써 일본 및 중국의 환율변화가 우리의 대(對)ASEAN 수출에 미치는 영향을 살펴본다. 분석결과, 과거 가장 높았던 일본의 ASEAN 시장점유율이 중국에 의해 대체되었고, 한국의 시장점유율은 큰 변화가 없으며 그 과정에서 한 중 일간 수출경합관계는 더 치열해진 것으로 나타났다. 한편 일본 및 중국의 실질환율 변화가 우리나라의 대(對)ASEAN 수출에 미치는 영향은 매우 제한적이며, ASEAN의 경제성장이 우리나라의 대(對)ASEAN 수출증가를 견인한 것으로 나타났다. 이는 우리 기업들이 ASEAN을 글로벌 가치사슬에 포함하여 직접투자 및 중간재 교역을 급속히 확대한 결과로 보인다.

• Journal of Korea Trade
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• 제24권6호
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• pp.157-172
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• 2020

Purpose - This research empirically proves the extent to which export insurance promotes Korean exports to research object countries among New Southern countries. The outcome of this research will present implications for the operations of export insurance for exports to these countries. Design/methodology - For the empirical analysis, the export equation was composed using a basic gravity model. Based on this, the determinants of Korea's exports to research object countries were analyzed. In this study, a panel unit root test and panel cointegration test were conducted. As a result of the panel unit root test, it was confirmed that the variables of the panel data are not belonging to I(0), but to I(1). As a result of the panel cointegration test, it was established that there are long-term stable relationships among all variables. Accordingly, the gravity model was estimated using original data in order to reduce the information loss caused by the first difference, in spite of individual data belonging to I(1). Findings - For the estimated results of panel OLS, the estimated coefficient of short-term export insurance was 0.56-0.64, with statistically significant results at the significance level of 1%. In addition, for the analysis results of the random effect model, the estimated coefficient of short-term export insurance was 0.59-0.64%, with a statistically significant result at the 1% significance level. This could indicate that Korean export insurance has positive influences on export promotion to New Southern countries. Originality/value - The research implies that export insurance has a 4.1 to 4.7 multiplier effect in expanding exports to the New Southern countries for Korea. This research has intensively analyzed the effects of export insurance on the promotion of exports to a selected area by a government foreign economic policy, which is the originality and value of this paper.