• Title/Summary/Keyword: ESM

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A Study on Malicious Code Detecting Policy by ESM Correlation (ESM 상호연관분석을 통한 악성코드 탐지정책에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, HakSoo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2009.11a
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    • pp.661-662
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    • 2009
  • 갈수록 심각해져가는 보안위협 속에 많은 기관들은 다양한 정보보호시스템을 구축하고, 이를 통합하는 통합보안관리시스템을 운영하고 있다. 이러한 통합보안관리시스템은 이기종간 보안로그를 상호연관분석 할 수 있는 기능을 다양한 방법을 통해 제공하고 있다. 이러한 다양한 상호연관분석 방법 중 다단계 상호연관분석 방법을 이용한 통합보안관리시스템에서 내부자원이 악성코드에 악용되는 걸 사전에 탐지할 수 있는 상호연관분석 정책을 제안한다.

A Derivation of Evaluation Item about Enterprise Security Management (통합보안관리시스템에 대한 평가항목 도출)

  • Kim, Seon Joo;Lee, Kong Seon;Shin, Seok Kyoo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2009.04a
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    • pp.409-412
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    • 2009
  • 통합보안관리시스템(Enterprise Security Management)은 기업의 보안 정책을 기반으로 다수의 보안시스템을 중앙에서 통합관제, 운영, 관리를 지원하는 시스템이다. 국내의 경우 정보보호시스템에 대한 보안성 평가는 국제공통평가기준을 근거로 평가 및 인증이 이루어지고 있는 반면, SW 품질관점에서의 ESM에 대한 평가 방안에 대한 연구는 미미한 실정이다. 이에 따라 본 논문에서는 SW 품질관점에서 ESM에 대한 평가항목을 제안하고자 한다.

Optimal Forecasting for Sales at Convenience Stores in Korea Using a Seasonal ARIMA-Intervention Model (계절형 ARIMA-Intervention 모형을 이용한 한국 편의점 최적 매출예측)

  • Jeong, Dong-Bin
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.14 no.11
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    • pp.83-90
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    • 2016
  • Purpose - During the last two years, convenient stores (CS) are emerging as one of the most fast-growing retail trades in Korea. The goal of this work is to forecast and to analyze sales at CS using ARIMA-Intervention model (IM) and exponential smoothing method (ESM), together with sales at supermarkets in South Korea. Considering that two retail trades above are homogeneous and comparable in size and purchasing items on off-line distribution channel, individual behavior and characteristic can be detected and also relative superiority of future growth can be forecasted. In particular, the rapid growth of sales at CS is regarded as an everlasting external event, or step intervention, so that IM with season variation can be examined. At the same time, Winters ESM can be investigated as an alternative to seasonal ARIMA-IM, on the assumption that the underlying series shows exponentially decreasing weights over time. In case of sales at supermarkets, the marked intervention could not be found over the underlying periods, so that only Winters ESM is considered. Research Design, Data, and Methodology - The dataset of this research is obtained from Korean Statistical Information Service (1/2010~7/2016) and Survey of Service Trend of Korea Statistics Administration. This work is exploited time series analyses such as IM, ESM and model-fitting statistics by using TSPLOT, TSMODEL, EXSMOOTH, ARIMA and MODELFIT procedures in SPSS 23.0. Results - By applying seasonal ARIMA-Intervention model to sales at CS, the steep and persisting increase can be expected over the next one year. On the other hand, we expect the rate of sales growth of supermarkets to be lagging and tied up constantly in the next 2016 year. Conclusions - Based on 2017 one-year sales forecasts for CS and supermarkets, we can yield the useful information for the development of CS and also for all retail trades. Future study is needed to analyze sales of popular items individually such as tobacco, banana milk, soju and so on and to get segmented results. Furthermore, we can expand sales forecasts to other retail trades such as department stores, hypermarkets, non-store retailing, so that comprehensive diagnostics can be delivered in the future.

SIEM OWASP-ZAP and ANGRY-IP Vulnerability Analysis Module and Interlocking (SIEM과 OWASP-ZAP및ANGRY-IP취약점분석모듈과 연동구현)

  • Yoon, Jong Moon
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.83-89
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    • 2019
  • In accordance with information security compliance and security regulations, there is a need to develop regular and real-time concepts for cyber-infringement attacks against network system vulnerabilities in branch and periodic forms. Vulnerability Analysis Analysis It is judged that it will be a countermeasure against new hacking attack in case of concept validation by interworking with TOOL. Vulnerability check module is standardized in event attribute management and ease of operation. Opening in terms of global sharing of vulnerability data, owasp zap / Angry ip Etc. were investigated in the SIEM system with interlocking design implementation method. As a result, it was proved that the inspection events were monitored and transmitted to the SIEM console by the vulnerability module of web and network target. In consideration of this, ESM And SIEM system In this paper, we propose a new vulnerability analysis method based on the existing information security consultation and the results of applying this study. Refer to the integrated interrelationship analysis and reference Vulnerability target Goal Hacking It is judged to be a new active concept against invasion attack.

Future hydrological changes in Jeju Island based on CMIP6 climate change scenarios (CMIP6 기후변화 시나리오에 따른 제주도 지역의 미래 수문변화 전망)

  • Kim, Chul-Gyum;Cho, Jaepil;Lee, Jeong Eun;Chang, Sunwoo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.56 no.11
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    • pp.737-749
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    • 2023
  • In this study, we analyzed the hydrological impacts of future climate change on Jeju Island using SSP-based climate change scenarios from 18 climate models and watershed modeling (SWAT-K). Despite discrepancies among climate models, we generally observed an increase in evapotranspiration due to rising future temperatures. Furthermore, a significant increase in runoff and recharge was noted due to increased precipitation. These increasing trends were particularly pronounced in the SSP5-8.5 scenario, and differences among GCM models became more significant in the late 21 century. When compared to the historical period (1981-2010), the projected changes for the far-future period (2071-2100) in the SSP5-8.5 scenario showed a 21.4% increase in precipitation, a 19.2% increase in evapotranspiration, a 40.9% increase in runoff, and a 16.6% increase in recharge on an annual average basis. On a monthly basis in the SSP5-8.5 scenario, precipitation was expected to increase by 24.5% in September, evapotranspiration by 34.1% in April, runoff by 58.1% in October, and recharge by 33.8% in September. To further assess projections based on extreme climate scenarios, we selected two models, CanESM5 and ACCESS-ESM1-5, which represented the maximum and minimum future precipitation forecasts, and compared the hydrological changes in the future scenarios. The results indicated that runoff and recharge rates were relatively higher in the CanESM5 model with the highest precipitation forecast, while evapotranspiration rates were higher in the ACCESS-ESM1-5 model with the lowest precipitation forecast. Based on the climate change scenarios used in this study, the overall available water resources on Jeju Island are more likely to increase. However, since results vary by season and region depending on the climate model and scenario, it is considered necessary to conduct a comprehensive analysis and develop response measures using various scenarios.

The effect of climate change on hydroelectric power generation of multipurpose dams according to SSP scenarios (SSP 시나리오에 따른 기후변화가 다목적댐 수력발전량에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Wang, Sizhe;Kim, Jiyoung;Kim, Yongchan;Kim, Dongkyun;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.57 no.7
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    • pp.481-491
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    • 2024
  • Recent droughts make hydroelectric power generation (HPG) decreasing. Due to climate change in the future, the frequency and intensity of drought are expected to increase, which will increase uncertainty of HPG in multi-purpose dams. Therefore, it is necessary to estimate the amount of HPG according to climate change scenarios and analyze the effect of drought on the amount of HPG. This study analyzed the future HPG of the Soyanggang Dam and Chungju Dam according to the SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios. Regression equations for HPG were developed based on the observed data of power generation discharge and HPG in the past provided by My Water, and future HPGs were estimated according to the SSP scenarios. The effect of drought on the amount of HPG was investigated based on the drought severity calculated using the standardized precipitation index (SPI). In this study, the future SPIs were calculated using precipitation data based on four GCM models (CanESM5, ACCESS-ESM1-5, INM-CM4-8, IPSL-CM6A) provided through the environmental big data platform. Overall results show that climate change had significant effects on the amount of HPG. In the case of Soyanggang Dam, the amount of HPG decreased in the SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios. Under the SSP2-4.5 scenario the CanESM model showed a 65% reduction in 2031, and under the SSP5-8.5 scenario the ACCESS-ESM1-5 model showed a 54% reduction in 2029. In the case of Chungju Dam, under the SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios the average monthly HPG compared to the reference period showed a decreasing trend except for INM-CM4 model.

A Call Recommendation Algorithm Design and Verification with ESM (통화 상대 추천 알고리즘 디자인 및 ESM을 통한 평가)

  • Lee, Seung-Hwan;Seo, Jung-Suk;Lee, Gee-Hyuk
    • 한국HCI학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2009.02a
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    • pp.357-362
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    • 2009
  • We propose a method to recommend most likely people to call based on call log of mobile phone user. Call logs of an user can reflect calling pattern of the user include regular calling behavior. When user got a list of people to call with a click of 'send' button on the phone, the time and effort to search a person with several typing or to select a person from the list can be definitely reduced. This paper presents the design process of an algorithm to find most likely people to call at a certain moment and the verification process with recorded call log and Experience Sampling Method(ESM) on mobile phone.

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Estimation of Smoothing Constant of Minimum Variance and Its Application to Shipping Data with Trend Removal Method

  • Takeyasu, Kazuhiro;Nagata, Keiko;Higuchi, Yuki
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.257-263
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    • 2009
  • Focusing on the idea that the equation of exponential smoothing method (ESM) is equivalent to (1, 1) order ARMA model equation, new method of estimation of smoothing constant in exponential smoothing method is proposed before by us which satisfies minimum variance of forecasting error. Theoretical solution was derived in a simple way. Mere application of ESM does not make good forecasting accuracy for the time series which has non-linear trend and/or trend by month. A new method to cope with this issue is required. In this paper, combining the trend removal method with this method, we aim to improve forecasting accuracy. An approach to this method is executed in the following method. Trend removal by a linear function is applied to the original shipping data of consumer goods. The combination of linear and non-linear function is also introduced in trend removal. For the comparison, monthly trend is removed after that. Theoretical solution of smoothing constant of ESM is calculated for both of the monthly trend removing data and the non monthly trend removing data. Then forecasting is executed on these data. The new method shows that it is useful especially for the time series that has stable characteristics and has rather strong seasonal trend and also the case that has non-linear trend. The effectiveness of this method should be examined in various cases.