• Title/Summary/Keyword: EOF분석

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Spatio-Temporal Drought Quantification using Severity-Area-Frequency Curve (가뭄심도-영향면적-지속기간곡선을 이용한 가뭄의 시공간적 정량화)

  • Kim, Bo-Kyung;Kim, Sang-Dan;Kyoung, Min-Soo;Kim, Hung-Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.1991-1995
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    • 2006
  • 본 연구에서는 제반 수문학적 문제 해결을 위하여 강우사상에 대해 최대평균우량깊이-유역면적-지속기간 관계곡선의 항목 중 최대평균우량깊이를 가뭄심도의 항으로 대체한 가뭄심도-영향면적-지속기간 관계 곡선의 작성방법을 제시하고자 한다. 제주도를 포함한 우리나라 전역의 기상청 월강수량을 이용하여 SPI 가뭄지수를 산정하고 EOF 기법을 적용하여 공간정보로 축약하였다. 이후 Kriging 기법으로 $6km{\times}6km$의 해상도를 가진 SPI값으로 할당함으로써 격자기반의 가뭄지수 자료의 시간 및 공간특성을 고려할 수 있다. 이에 근거하여 주요 가뭄사상을 식별 및 분석하여 영향면적별 가뭄지수를 산정하고 이에 따라 가뭄심도-가뭄면적-가뭄지속기간 관계곡선을 도시하였다. 관계곡선 작성 결과 각 지속기간에 대하여 특정한 면적 이상에서 가뭄심도가 완만하게 감소하는 형태를 보여 공간적 국지성 및 시간적 단속성이 강한 홍수와는 시 공간적으로 다르게 거동되고 있었으며 가뭄심도의 면적에 따른 감소율은 가뭄분석시의 강우깊이의 면적에 따른 감소율과 비교하였을 때 훨씬 작은 것으로 분석되었다.

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Development of Synthetic Regression Diagram for Analyzing Linear Trend of Sea Surface Height, Temperature, and Salinity around the Korean Marginal Seas (한반도 주변 해역 해수면 및 수온, 염분의 선형 추세 분석을 위한 종합 회귀 도표 개발)

  • LIM, BYEONG-JUN;CHANG, YOU-SOON
    • The Sea:JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN SOCIETY OF OCEANOGRAPHY
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.67-77
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    • 2016
  • This study developed synthetic regression diagram for analyzing the linear trend of sea surface height, temperature, and salinity around the Korean marginal seas. In situ observed data had been quality controlled and they were verified by EOF comparison with objective analyzed data. From the synthetic regression diagram, we confirmed similar linear regression values with those of previous studies, but additionally provided detailed regression rate of each 5 to 30 year for the total periods of 1983-2013. We expect that quantitative results presented by this study will be useful as standard reference numbers for relevant studies analyzing oceanic long-term trend.

A study on the variations of water temperature and sonar performance using the empirical orthogonal function scheme in the East Sea of Korea (동해에서 경험직교함수 기법을 이용한 수온과 소나성능 변화 연구)

  • Young-Nam Na;Changbong Cho;Su-Uk Son;Jooyoung Hahn
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.43 no.1
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2024
  • For measuring the performance of passive sonars, we usually consider the maximum Detection Range (DR) under the environment and system parameters in operation. In shallow water, where sound waves inevitably interacts with sea surface or bottom, detection generally maintains up to the maximum range. In deep water, however, sound waves may not interact with sea surface or/and bottom, and thus there may exist shadow zones where sound waves can hardly reach. In this situation, DR alone may not completely define the performance of each sonar. For complete description of sonar performance, we employ the concept 'Robustness Of Detection (ROD)'. In the coastal region of the East Sea, the spatial variations of water masses have close relations with DR and ROD, where the two parameters show reverse spatial variations in general. The spatial and temporal analysis of the temperature by employing the Empirical Orthogonal Function (EOF) shows that the 1-st mode represents typical pattern of seasonal variation and the 2-nd mode represents strength variations of mixed layers and currents. The two modes are estimated to explain about 92 % of the variations. Assuming two types of targets located at the depths of 5 m (shallow) and 100 m (deep), the passive sonar performance (DR) gives high negative correlations (about -0.9) with the first two modes. Most of temporal variations of temperature occur from the surface up to 200 m in the water column so that when we assume a target at 100 m, we can expect detection performance of little seasonal variations with passive sonars below 100 m.

A Study on the Characteristics of Tropical Cyclone Passage Frequency over the Western North Pacific using Empirical Orthogonal Function (경험적 직교함수를 이용한 북서태평양 열대저기압의 이동빈도 특성에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Ki-Seon;Kang, Ki-Ryong;Kim, Do-Woo;Hwang, Ho-Seong;Lee, Sang-Ryong
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.30 no.6
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    • pp.721-733
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    • 2009
  • A pattern of tropical cyclone (TC) movement in the western North Pacific area was studied using the empirical orthogonal function (EOF) and the best track data from 1951 to 2007. The independent variable used in this study was defined as the frequency of tropical cyclone passage in 5 by 5 degree grid. The $1^{st}$, $2^{nd}$ and $3^{rd}$ modes were the east-west, north-south and diagonal variation patterns. Based on the time series of each component, the signs of first and second mode changed in 1997 and 1991, respectively, which seems to be related to the fact that the passage frequency was higher in the South China Sea for 20 years before 1990s, and recent 20 years in the East Asian area. When the eigen vectors were negative values in the first and second modes and TC moves into the western North Pacific, TC was formed mainly at the east side relatively compared to the case of the positive eigen vectors. The first mode seems to relate to the pressure pattern at the south of Lake Baikal, the second mode the variation pattern around $30^{\circ}N$, and the third mode the pressure pattern around Japan. The first mode was also closely related to the ENSO and negatively related to the $Ni\tilde{n}o$-3.4 index in the correlation analysis with SST anomalies.

Spatial and Temporal Variations of Satellite-derived 10-year Surface Particulate Organic Carbon (POC) in the East China Sea (동중국해에서 위성에서 추정된 10년 동안의 표층 입자성 유기 탄소의 시/공간적 변화)

  • Son, Young-Baek;Lee, Tae-Hee;Choi, Dong-Lim;Jang, Sung-Tae;Kim, Cheol-Ho;Ahn, Yu-Hwan;Ryu, Joo-Hyung;Kim, Moon-Koo;Jung, Seom-Kyu;Ishizaka, Joji
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.421-437
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    • 2010
  • Surface particulate organic carbon (POC) concentration estimated from Maximum Normalized Difference Carbon Index (MNDCI) algorithm using SeaWiFS data is used to determine spatial and temporal variations of the Changjiang Diluted Water (CDW) in the East China Sea. 10-year monthly POC concentrations (1997-2007) show clearly seasonal variations. Inter-annual variation of POC in whole and three different areas separated by standard deviation is not linearly correlated with the Changjiang River discharge that has decreased after 1998. To determine more detailed spatial and temporal POC variations, we used empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis in summer (Jun.-Sep.) from 2000 to 2007. First mode is spatially and temporally correlated with the area influenced by the Changjiang River discharge. Second mode is temporally less sensitive with the Changjiang River discharge but spatially correlated with north-south patterns. Relatively higher POC variations during 2000 and 2003 were shown in the southern East China Sea. These patterns during 2004 and 2007 moved to the northern East China Sea. This phenomenon is better related to spatial variations of wind-direction than the amount of Changjiang River discharge, which is verified from in-situ measurement.

Variability and Changes of Wildfire Potential over East Asia from 1981 to 2020 (1981-2020년 기간 동아시아 지역 산불 발생 위험도의 변동성 및 변화 특성)

  • Lee, June-Yi;Lee, Doo Young
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.43 no.1
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    • pp.30-40
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    • 2022
  • Wildfires, which occur sporadically and irregularly worldwide, are distinct natural disturbances in combustible vegetation areas, important parts of the global carbon cycle, and natural disasters that cause severe public emergencies. While many previous studies have investigated the variability and changes in wildfires globally based on fire emissions, burned areas, and fire weather indices, studies on East Asia are still limited. Here, we explore the characteristics of variability and changes in wildfire danger over East Asia by analyzing the fire weather index for the 40 years-1981-2020. The first empirical orthogonal function (EOF) mode of fire weather index variability represents an increasing trend in wildfire danger over most parts of East Asia over the last 40 years, accounting for 29% of the total variance. The major contributor is an increase in the surface temperature in East Asia associated with global warming and multidecadal ocean variations. The effect of temperature was slightly offset by the increase in soil moisture. The second EOF mode exhibits considerable interannual variability associated with the El Nino-Southern Oscillation, accounting for 17% of the total variance. The increase (decrease) in precipitation in East Asia during El Nino (La Nina) increases (decreases) soil moisture, which in turn reduces (increases) wildfire danger. This dominant soil moisture effect was slightly offset by the temperature increase (decrease) during El Nino (La Nina). Improving the understanding of variability and changes in wildfire danger will have important implications for reducing social, economic, and ecological losses associated with wildfire occurrences.

Current Structure and Variability in Gwangyang Bay in Spring 2006 (2006년 봄철 광양만 해류의 구조와 변동)

  • Lee, Jae-Chul;Kim, Jeong-Chang
    • The Sea:JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN SOCIETY OF OCEANOGRAPHY
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.219-224
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    • 2007
  • Two monitoring buoys equipped with ADCP were deployed at the deepest positions along the trough of the central Gwangyang Bay in spring 2006 in order to study the circulation in the bay. Northward velocity is commonly dominant at both stations located in the eastern part of the channel, which supports the cyclonic circulation accompanied by the southward flow in the western part. The southern station has a distinct two-layer structure with current reversal at 14 m depth and increasing northward velocity in the lower layer to 36 m depth close to the bottom. At the northern station the northward flow becomes accelerated due to the decrease in the cross-sectional area and this northward current is dominant even in the upper layer. In the modal structure from the EOF analysis, the first mode has 74% of total variance at the northern station whereas it is 67% but the baroclinic portion increases at the southern station. The typical northward velocity is about 10 cm/s which is associated with the cyclonic circulation. Subtidal variability due to the local wind effect is negligible, but the nonlocal response associated with offshore Ekman flux by the zonal wind is found during strong wind events.

Time Series Analysis of the Subsurface Oceanic Data and Prediction of the Sea Surface Temperature in the Tropical Pacific (적도 태평양 아표층 자료의 시계열 분석 및 표층 수온 예측)

  • Chang You-Soon;Lee Da-Un;Youn Yong-Hoon;Seo Jang-Won
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.26 no.7
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    • pp.706-713
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    • 2005
  • Subsurface oceanic data (Z20; Depth of $20^{\circ}C$ isotherm and WWV; Warm Water Volume) from the tropical Pacific Ocean from 1980 to 2004 were utilized to examine upper ocean variations in relation to E1 Nino. Time series analysis using EOF, composite, and cross-correlation methods indicated that there are significant time delays between subsurface oceanic parameters and the Nino3.4 SST. It implied that Z20 and WWV would be more reliable predictors of El Nino events. Based on analyzed results, we also constructed neural network model to predict the Nino3.4 SST from 1996 to 2004. The forecasting skills for the model using WWV were statistically higher than that using the trade wind except for short range forecasting less than 3 months. This model greatly predicted SST than any other previous statistical model, especially at lead times of 5 to 8 months.

A study on the representative monitoring properties and locations in the Geumgang Estuary (금강하구의 대표 모니터링 지표와 지점에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Nam-Hoon;Hwang, Jin Hwan
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.23-23
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    • 2020
  • 하구 관측은 조사 방법 및 주기에 따라 크게 두 가지로 구분되는데, 첫째는 현장에서 직접 주기적으로 자료를 수집하는 정기 현장관측과 다른 하나는 고정된 지점에 관측소를 설치하여 실시간으로 연속된 자료를 수집하는 실시간 관측으로 분류된다. 본 연구는 하구 관측망 체계를 확립하기 위한 기초 연구로서 금강하구역을 대상으로 모의된 수치 모델 자료를 이용하여 관측망을 설계하기 위한 대표 모니터링 지표를 선정하고, 이를 기반으로 관측 지점을 설계하기 위한 전략을 제시하였다. 대표 모니터링 지표는 실제 현장에서 일반적으로 취득할 수 있는 6가지 항목(수온, 염분, 용존산소, 클로로필a, 총질소, 총인)을 대상으로 EOF 분석을 실시하여 해역의 시공간 분포를 대표할 수 있다고 판단되는 2개의 항목을 선정하였다. 대표 모니터링 지점은 2개의 대표 모니터링 지표에 대한 고유 벡터 사이의 각도를 벡터의 내적으로 계산하고 이를 설계변수로 활용하여 도식최적화 기법을 통해 각 모니터링 항목들에 대한 공간 분포를 가장 잘 재현해 낼 수 있는 지점의 개수와 위치를 선정하였다. 선정된 모니터링 지점들을 이용하여 재구성된 공간 분포를 참값(수치모델)과 비교하여 통계적 적정성 여부를 평가하였으며, 이를 통해 금강하구의 대표 모니터링 지점들을 도출 해 내었다. 금강하구의 정기 현장 관측에 대한 대표 모니터링 지점은 7개로 선정되었으며, 이들은 6가지 관측 항목들에 대해서 매우 높은 공간분포 재현율을 확보할 수 있음을 확인하였다. 또한, 담수가 비정기적으로 방류되는 금강하구 시스템의 지역적 특성에 대한 시계열 정보를 연속적으로 가장 잘 취득할 수 있는 실시간 관측소 설치 영역을 결정하기 위하여, 7개의 대표 모니터링 지점에서의 시계열 정보를 금강하구둑 전면과 외해의 시계열 정보와 비교분석하여 설치가능 지점을 영역으로 제언하였다.

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Temporal and Spatial Variability of the Middle and Lower Tropospheric Temperatures from MSU and ECMWF (MSU와 ECMWF에서 유도된 중간 및 하부 대류권 온도의 시 ${\cdot}$ 공간 변동)

  • Yoo, Jung-Moon;Lee, Eun-Joo
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.503-524
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    • 2000
  • Intercomparisons between four kinds of data have been done to estimate the accuracy of satellite observations and model reanalysis for middle and lower tropospheric thermal state over regional oceans. The data include the Microwave Sounding Units (MSU) Channel 2 (Ch2) brightness temperatures of NOAA satellites and the vertically weighted corresponding temperature of ECMWF GCM (1980-93). The satellite data for midtropospheric temperatures are MSU2 (1980-98) in nadir direction and SC2 (1980-97) in multiple scans, and for lower tropospheric temperature SC2R (1980-97). MSU2 was derived in this study while SC2 and SC2R were described in Spencer and Christy (1992a, 1992b). Temporal correlations between the above data were high (r${\ge}$0.90) in the middle and high latitudes, but low(r${\sim}$0.65) over the low latitude and more convective regions. Their values with SC2R which included the noises due to hydrometeors and surface emission were conspicuously low. The reanalysis shows higher correlation with SC2 than with MSU2 partially because of the hydrometeors screening. SC2R in monthly climatological anomalies was more sensitive to surface thermal condition in northern hemisphere than MSU2 or SC2. The first EOF mode for the monthly mean data of MSU and ECMWF shows annual cycle over most regions except the tropics. The mode in MSU2 over the Pacific suggests the east-west dipole due to the Walker circulation, but this tendency is not clear in other data. In the first and second modes for the Ch2 anomalies over most regions, the MSU and ECMWF data commonly indicate interannual variability due to El Ni${\tilde{n}$o and La Ni${\tilde{n}$a. The substantial disagreement between observations and model reanalysis occurs over the equatorial upwelling region of the western Pacific, suggesting uncertainties in the model parameterization of atmosphere-ocean interaction.

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