• Title/Summary/Keyword: ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT

Search Result 6,359, Processing Time 0.036 seconds

Establish for Link Travel Time Distribution Estimation Model Using Fuzzy (퍼지추론을 이용한 링크통행시간 분포비율 추정모형 구축)

  • Lee, Young Woo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.26 no.2D
    • /
    • pp.233-239
    • /
    • 2006
  • Most research for until at now link travel time were research for mean link travel time calculate or estimate which uses the average of the individual vehicle. however, the link travel time distribution is divided caused by with the impact factor which is various traffic condition, signal operation condition and the road conditional etc. preceding study result for link travel time distribution characteristic showed that the patterns of going through traffic were divided up to 2 in the link travel times. therefore, it will be more accurate to divide up the link travel time into the one involving delay and the other without delay, rather than using the average link travel time in terms of assessing the traffic situation. this study is it analyzed transit hour distribution characteristic and a cause using examine to the variables which give an effect at link travel time distribute using simulation program and determinate link travel time distribute ratio estimation model. to assess the distribution of the link travel times, this research develops the regression model and the fuzzy model. the variables that have high level of correlations in both estimation models are the rest time of green ball and the delay vehicles. these variables were used to construct the methods in the estimation models. The comparison of the two estimation models-fuzzy and regression model- showed that fuzzy model out-competed the regression model in terms of reliability and applicability.

Analysis of Impact Climate Change on Extreme Rainfall Using B2 Climate Change Scenario and Extreme Indices (B2 기후변화시나리오와 극한지수를 이용한 기후변화가 극한 강우 발생에 미치는 영향분석)

  • Kim, Bo Kyung;Kim, Byung Sik
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.29 no.1B
    • /
    • pp.23-33
    • /
    • 2009
  • Climate change, abnormal weather, and unprecedented extreme weather events have appeared globally. Interest in their size, frequency, and changes in spatial distribution has been heightened. However, the events do not display regional or regular patterns or cycles. Therefore, it is difficult to carry out quantified evaluation of their frequency and tendency. For more objective evaluation of extreme weather events, this study proposed a rainfall extreme weather index (STARDEX, 2005). To compare the present and future spatio-temporal distribution of extreme weather events, each index was calculated from the past data collected from 66 observation points nationwide operated by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA). Tendencies up to now have been analyzed. Then, using SRES B2 scenario and 2045s (2031-2050) data from YONU CGCM simulation were used to compute differences among each of future extreme weather event indices and their tendencies were spatially expressed.The results shows increased rainfall tendency in the East-West inland direction during the summer. In autumn, rainfall tendency increased in some parts of Gangwon-do and the south coast. In the meanwhile, the analysis of the duration of prolonged dry period, which can be contrasted with the occurrence of rainfall or its concentration, showed that the dryness tendency was more pronounced in autumn rather than summer. Geographically, the tendency was more remarkable in Jeju-do and areas near coastal areas.

Numerical Investigations of Physical Habitat Changes for Fish induced by the Hydropeaking in the Downstream River of Dam (댐 하류 하천에서 발전방류로 인한 어류 물리서식처 변화 수치모의)

  • Kang, Hyeongsik;Im, Dongkyun;Kim, Kyu-Ho
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.30 no.2B
    • /
    • pp.211-217
    • /
    • 2010
  • This paper presents numerical investigations of the physical habitat changes induced by the hydropeaking in the downstream river of dam. For the two-dimensional ecohydraulic simulations, River2D model is used. Pirami (Zacco platypus) is selected as the target fish for investigating the impact of the hydropeaking. For validation of the model, the water surface elevations are simulated with two different water discharges. The computed results are compared with field data in the literature, and the result shows that the model successfully simulates the water flows. The weight usable area (WUA) of Pirami with the life cycle and the composite suitability index with different water discharges are computed and discussed. The results show that habitat for Pirami appears to be best in the bend region downstream of the dam. The discharge of the maximum WUA for adult Pirami is computed to be about 9 $m^3/s$. Also, the WUA computed in a condition of hydropeaking during seven days are presented. The averaged discharge of the hydropeaking appears to be about 20% larger than the drought flow, but the WUA by the hydropeaking is computed to be 60-100% smaller. This result shows that the hydropeaking reduces quantity of habitat available to fish.

Evaluation of Extreme Rainfall based on Typhoon using Nonparametric Monte Carlo Simulation and Locally Weighted Polynomial Regression (비매개변수적 모의발생기법과 지역가중다항식을 이용한 태풍의 극치강우량 평가)

  • Oh, Tae-Suk;Moon, Young-Il;Chun, Si-Young;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.29 no.2B
    • /
    • pp.193-205
    • /
    • 2009
  • Typhoons occurred in the tropical Pacific region, these might be affected the Korea moving toward north. The strong winds and the heavy rains by the typhoons caused a natural disaster in Korea. In the research, the heavy rainfall events based on typhoons were evaluated quantitative through various statistical techniques. First, probability precipitation and typhoon probability precipitation were compared using frequency analysis. Second, EST probability precipitation was calculated by Empirical Simulation Techniques (EST). Third, NL probability precipitation was estimated by coupled Nonparametric monte carlo simulation and Locally weighted polynomial regression. At the analysis results, the typhoons can be effected Gangneung and Mokpo stations more than other stations. Conversely, the typhoons can be effected Seoul and Inchen stations less than other stations. Also, EST and NL probability precipitation were estimated by the long-term simulation using observed data. Consequently, major hydrologic structures and regions where received the big typhoons impact should be review necessary. Also, EST and NL techniques can be used for climate change by the global warming. Because, these techniques used the relationship between the heavy rainfall events and the typhoons characteristics.

Production and Spatiotemporal Analysis of High-Resolution Temperature-Humidity Index and Heat Stress Days Distribution (고해상도 온습도지수 및 고온 스트레스 일수 분포도의 제작과 이를 활용한 시공간적 변화 분석)

  • Dae Gyoon Kang;Dae-Jun Kim;Jin-Hee Kim;Eun-Jeong Yun;Eun-Hye Ban;Yong Seok Kim;Sera Jo
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
    • /
    • v.25 no.4
    • /
    • pp.446-454
    • /
    • 2023
  • The impact of climate change on agriculture is substantial, especially as global warming is projected to lead to varying temperature and humidity patterns in the future. These changes pose a higher risk for both crops and livestock, exposing them to environmental stressors under altered climatic conditions. Specifically, as temperatures are expected to rise, the risk of heat stress is assessable through the Temperature-Humidity Index (THI), derived from temperature and relative humidity data. This study involved the comparison of THI collected from 10 Korea Meteorological Administration ASOS stations spanning a 60-year period from 1961 to 2020. Moreover, high-resolution temperature and humidity distribution data from 1981 to 2020 were employed to generate high-resolution TH I distributions, analyzing temporal changes. Additionally, the number of days characterized by heat stress, derived from TH I, was compared over different time periods. Generally, TH I showed an upward trend over the past, albeit with varying rates across different locations. As TH I increased, the frequency of heat stress days also rose, indicating potential future cost increases in the livestock industry due to heat-related challenges. The findings emphasize the feasibility of evaluating heat stress risk in livestock using THI and underscore the need for research analyzing THI under future climate change scenarios.

Investigation of Technical Requirements for a Protective Shield with Lunar Regolith for Human Habitat (월면토를 이용한 달 유인 우주기지 보호층의 기술적 요구조건에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Jangguen ;Gong, Zheng;Jin, Hyunwoo ;Ryu, Byung Hyun;Kim, Young-Jae
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
    • /
    • v.39 no.10
    • /
    • pp.49-55
    • /
    • 2023
  • The discovery of lunar ice in the lunar polar region has fueled international interest in in situ resource utilization (ISRU) and the construction of lunar habitats. Unlike Earth's atmosphere, the Moon presents unique challenges, including frequent meteoroid impacts, direct exposure to space radiation, and extreme temperature variations. To safeguard lunar habitats from these threats, the construction of a protective shield is essential. Lunar regolith, as a construction material, offers distinct advantages, reducing transportation costs and ensuring a sustainable supply of raw materials. Moreover, it streamlines manufacturing, integration schedules, and enables easy repairs and modifications without Earth resupply. Adjusting the shield's thickness within the habitat's structural limits remains feasible as lunar conditions evolve. Although extensive research on protective shields using lunar regolith has been conducted, unresolved conflicts persist regarding shield requirements. This study conducts a comprehensive analysis of the primary lunar threats and suggests a minimum shield thickness of 2 m using lunar regolith. Furthermore, it outlines the necessary technology for the rapid construction of such protective shields.

A Study on the Hazard Area of Bunkering for Ammonia Fueled Vessel (암모니아 연료추진 선박의 벙커링 누출 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Ilsup Shin;Jeongmin Cheon;Jihyun Lee
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
    • /
    • v.29 no.7
    • /
    • pp.964-970
    • /
    • 2023
  • As part of the International Maritime Organization ef orts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, the maritime industry is exploring low-carbon fuels such as liquefied natural gas and methanol, as well as zero-carbon fuels such as hydrogen and ammonia, evaluating them as environmentally friendly alternatives. Particularly, ammonia has substantial operational experience as cargo on transport ships, and ammonia ship engines are expected to be available in the second half of 2024, making it relatively accessible for commercial use. However, overcoming the toxicity challenges associated with using ammonia as a fuel is imperative. Detection is possible at levels as low as 5 ppm through olfactory senses, and exposure to concentrations exceeding 300 ppm for more than 30 min can result in irreparable harm. Using the KORA program provided by the Chemical Safety Agency, an assessment of the potential risks arising from leaks during ammonia bunkering was conducted. A 1-min leak could lead to a 5 ppm impact within a radius of approximately 7.5 km, affecting key areas in Busan, a major city. Furthermore, the potentially lethal concentration of 300 ppm could have severe consequences in densely populated areas and schools near the bunkering site. Therefore, given the absence of regulations related to ammonia bunkering, the potential for widespread toxicity from even minor leaks highlights the requirement for the development of legislation. Establishing an integrated system involving local governments, fire departments, and environmental agencies is crucial for addressing the potential impacts and ensuring the safety of ammonia bunkering operations.

Unmanned AerialVehicles Images Based Tidal Flat Surface Sedimentary Facies Mapping Using Regression Kriging (회귀 크리깅을 이용한 무인기 영상 기반의 갯벌 표층 퇴적상 분포도 작성)

  • Geun-Ho Kwak;Keunyong Kim;Jingyo Lee;Joo-Hyung Ryu
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
    • /
    • v.39 no.5_1
    • /
    • pp.537-549
    • /
    • 2023
  • The distribution characteristics of tidal flat sediment components are used as an essential data for coastal environment analysis and environmental impact assessment. Therefore, a reliable classification map of surface sedimentary facies is essential. This study evaluated the applicability of regression kriging to generate a classification map of the sedimentary facies of tidal flats. For this aim, various factors such as the number of field survey data and remote sensing-based auxiliary data, the effect of regression models on regression kriging, and the comparison with other prediction methods (univariate kriging and regression analysis) on surface sedimentary facies classification were investigated. To evaluate the applicability of regression kriging, a case study using unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) data was conducted on the Hwang-do tidal flat located at Anmyeon-do, Taean-gun, Korea. As a result of the case study, it was most important to secure an appropriate amount of field survey data and to use topographic elevation and channel density as auxiliary data to produce a reliable tidal flat surface sediment facies classification map. In addition, regression kriging, which can consider detailed characteristics of the sediment distributions using ultra-high resolution UAV data, had the best prediction performance compared to other prediction methods. It is expected that this result can be used as a guideline to produce the tidal flat surface sedimentary facies classification map.

Numerical Analysis of Collapse Behavior in Industrial Stack Explosive Demolition (산업용 연돌 발파해체에서 붕괴거동에 관한 수치해석적 연구)

  • Pu-Reun Jeon;Gyeong-Jo Min;Daisuke Fukuda;Hoon Park;Chul-Gi Suk;Tae-Hyeob Song;Kyong-Pil Jang;Sang-Ho Cho
    • Explosives and Blasting
    • /
    • v.41 no.3
    • /
    • pp.62-72
    • /
    • 2023
  • The aging of plant structures due to industrialization in the 1970s has increased the demand for blast demolition. While blasting can reduce exposure to environmental pollution by shortening the demolition period, improper blasting design and construction plans pose significant safety risks. Thus, it is vital to consider optimal blasting demolition conditions and other factors through collapse behavior simulation. This study utilizes a 3-D combined finite-discrete element method (FDEM) code-based 3-D DFPA to simulate the collapse of a chimney structure in a thermal power plant in Seocheon, South Korea. The collapse behavior from the numerical simulation is compared to the actual structure collapse, and the numerical simulation result presents good agreement with the actual building demolition. Additionally, various numerical simulations have been conducted on the chimney models to analyze the impact of the duct size in the pre-weakening area. The no-duct, duct, and double-area duct models were compared in terms of crack pattern and history of Z-axis displacement. The findings show that the elapse-time for demolition decreases as the area of the duct increases, causing collapse to occur quickly by increasing the load-bearing area.

Application of Multiple Linear Regression Analysis and Tree-Based Machine Learning Techniques for Cutter Life Index(CLI) Prediction (커터수명지수 예측을 위한 다중선형회귀분석과 트리 기반 머신러닝 기법 적용)

  • Ju-Pyo Hong;Tae Young Ko
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
    • /
    • v.33 no.6
    • /
    • pp.594-609
    • /
    • 2023
  • TBM (Tunnel Boring Machine) method is gaining popularity in urban and underwater tunneling projects due to its ability to ensure excavation face stability and minimize environmental impact. Among the prominent models for predicting disc cutter life, the NTNU model uses the Cutter Life Index(CLI) as a key parameter, but the complexity of testing procedures and rarity of equipment make measurement challenging. In this study, CLI was predicted using multiple linear regression analysis and tree-based machine learning techniques, utilizing rock properties. Through literature review, a database including rock uniaxial compressive strength, Brazilian tensile strength, equivalent quartz content, and Cerchar abrasivity index was built, and derived variables were added. The multiple linear regression analysis selected input variables based on statistical significance and multicollinearity, while the machine learning prediction model chose variables based on their importance. Dividing the data into 80% for training and 20% for testing, a comparative analysis of the predictive performance was conducted, and XGBoost was identified as the optimal model. The validity of the multiple linear regression and XGBoost models derived in this study was confirmed by comparing their predictive performance with prior research.