• Title/Summary/Keyword: ENSO

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Interannual Variability of Summer Chlorophyll in the Southern Ocean: ENSO Effects (남극해 여름 클로로필 경년 변동: 엔소의 영향)

  • Kim, Yong Sun;Jang, Chan Joo;Son, Young-Baek
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.37 no.2
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    • pp.149-159
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    • 2015
  • The Southern Ocean (SO) plays a primary role in global climate by storing and transporting anthropogenic carbon dioxide through the meridional overturning circulation and the biological pumping process. In this study, we aim to investigate interannual variability of summer chlorophyll concentration in the SO and its relation with the El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ Southern Oscillation (ENSO), using satellite ocean color data covering 16 years from 1997 to 2012. During El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ periods, chlorophyll concentration tends to increase in the subtropics (north of the subantarctic front). This chlorophyll increase is likely linked to El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$-induced surface cooling that increases nutrient supply through enhanced vertical mixing in the subtropics. On the other hand, the subpolar gyres show localized chlorophyll changes in response to the ENSO. The localized response seems to be primarily attributed to changes in sea-ice concentrations. Our findings suggest that ENSO contributes interannual variability of chlorophyll in the SO through different mechanisms depending on regions.

Impact of IODM and ENSO on the East Asian Monsoon: Simulations through NCAR Community Atmospheric Model (동아시아 몬순 지역에서 IODM과 ENSO의 영향 : NCAR Community Atmospheric Model을 이용한 모의 실험)

  • Oh J.-H.;Chaudhari H. S.;Kripalani R. H.
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.240-249
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    • 2005
  • The normal Indian Ocean is characterized by warmer waters over the eastern region and cooler waters over the western region. Changes in sea surface temperature (SST) over the western and eastern Indian Ocean give birth to a phenomenon now referred to as the Indian Ocean Dipole Mode (IODM). The positive phase of this mode is characterized by positive SST anomalies over the western Indian Ocean and negative anomalies over the southeastern Indian Ocean, while the negative phase is characterized by a reversed SST anomaly pattern. On the other hand, the normal Pacific Ocean has warm (cool) waters over the western (eastern) parts. Positive (negative) SST anomalies over the central/eastern (western) Pacific Ocean characterize the E1 Nino phenomenon. The reverse situation leads to the La Nina phenomenon. The coupled ocean-atmosphere phenomenon over the Pacific is referred to as the E1 Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon. In this study the impact of IODM and ENSO on the East Asian monsoon variability has been studied using observational data and using the Community Atmospheric Model (CAM) of the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR). Five sets of model experiments were performed with anomalous SST patterns associated with IODM/ENSO superimposed on the climatological SSTs. The empirical and dynamic approaches reveal that it takes about 3-4 seasons fur the peak IODM mode to influence the summer monsoon activity over East Asia. On the other hand, the impact of ENSO on the East Asian monsoon could occur simultaneously. Further, the negative (positive) phase of IODM and E1 Nino (La Nina) over the Pacific enhances (suppresses) monsoon activity over the Korea-Japan Sector. Alternatively, IODM appears to have no significant impact on monsoon variability over China. However, El Nino (La Nina) suppresses (enhances) monsoon activity over China. While the IODM appears to influence the North Pacific subtropical high, ENSO appears to influence the Aleutian low over the northwest Pacific. Thus, the moisture supply towards East Asia from the Pacific is determined by the strengthening/weakening of the subtropical high and the Aleutian low.

Changes in Availability of Tuna Species Due to ENSO Events in the Pacific Ocean (태평양 ENSO 현상에 따른 다랑어 이용도 변화)

  • AN Doo-Hae;MOON Dae-Yeon;KOH Jeong-Rack;CHO Kyu-Dae;PARK Yeong-Chull
    • Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.430-436
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    • 2003
  • This paper describes the relationship between the distribution of tuna and ENSO events in the Pacific Ocean which have occurred on a regular basis of 3-5 year terms. Annual catches and catch ratios of skipjack Funa, Katswonus pelamis and yellowfin tuna, Thunnus albacares largely increased during El $Ni\~{n}o$ years, while it decreased during La $Ni\~{n}a$ years. However, the effect of El $Ni\~{n}o$ on the distribution of tuna seemed to be more significant to yellowfin tuna which usually occurr the upper thermocline depth increases due to the elevated thermocline in the Western and Central Pacific Ocean.

Independent Component Analysis of Nino3.4 Sea Surface Temperature and Summer Seasonal Rainfall (Nino3.4지역 SST 및 여름강수량의 독립성분분석)

  • Kwon Hyun-Han;Moon Young-Il
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.38 no.12 s.161
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    • pp.985-994
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    • 2005
  • We examined problems of the principal component analysis(PCA), which is able to analyze at the low dimensionality as a methodologv to assess hydrologic time series, and introduced the theory and characteristics of independent component analysis(ICA) that can supplement problems of principal component analysis. We also applied the global sea surface temperature(SST) of the Nino region and assessed the correlation between El $\tilde{n}ino$-Southern Oscillation(ENSO) and SST. The results of examining separation-ability of principal components using mixed signals indicate that the independent component analysis is statistically superior compared to that of the principal component analysis. Finally, we assessed correlation between ENSO and global anomaly SST. The independent component analysis was applied to the $5^{\circ}{\times}5^{\circ}$(latitude and longitude) global anomaly SST in the Nino+3.4 region that is the El $\tilde{n}ino$ observation section. We assessed the correlation with the ENSO years. These results of the analysis show that only one independent component($86\%$) was able to represent the entire behavior and was consistent with the main ENSO years. Finally, we carried out independent component analysis for summer seasonal rainfalls at nine stations and could extract ICs to reflect geographical characteristics. The increasing trend has been shown at IC-1 and IC-2 since 1970s.

On the Relationship between Typhoon Intensity and Formation Region: Effect of Developing and Decaying ENSO (태풍 강도와 발생지역의 상관성 연구: ENSO 발달과 소멸의 영향)

  • Jang, Sae-Rom;Ha, Kyung-Ja
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.29-44
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    • 2008
  • This study investigates the influence of the developing and decaying El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on the relation between typhoon intensity and its formation. From the long-tenn data of 57 years ($1950{\sim}2006$), we first defined the developing El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ years and the neutral years. During the developing El Nino years, the typhoon intensity has a strong relationship with formation region of the tropical cyclone, which results in an increase of the accumulated cyclone energy and intensity of energy of typhoon. During the developing El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ year based on $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ 3.4 SST, the locations for the formation of the category 4+5 typhoon move to the eastward region. The genesis potential function and the low-level cyclonic vorticity have an important role on the formation of strong tropical cyclones, which eventually develop as a typhoon class. In this study, the dynamic potential (DP) function (Gray, 1977) and EOF 1 and EOF 2 time series (RMM 1 and RMM 2) of real-time multivariate MJO (Wheeler and Hendon, 2004) are used to measure the genesis potential and the low-level cyclonic vorticity, respectively. To investigate the influence of the developing and decaying ENSO, we defined the Type I case of the decaying El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ that turnovers to La Nina, and the Type II case of the recovering years to the neutral condition. During the decaying El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ years as Type I, the locations of the strong DP, RMM 1 and RMM 2 move to the westward more prominently to induce retard of the strong typhoon developing.

Hydrological Assessment of Different Phase of ENSO through Estimation of Integrated Risk Index: A Case Study of the Han River basin (통합위험지수 산정을 통한 서로 다른 ENSO의 수문학적 영향 평가: 한강유역을 중심으로)

  • Yoon, Sun-Kwon;Kim, Jong-Suk;Lee, Joo-Heon;Moon, Young-Il
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.982-982
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    • 2012
  • 본 연구에서는 우리나라의 중 소규모 유역의 수문학적 위험도 분석을 위하여 한강유역을 대상으로 통합위험지수(IRI: Integrated Risk Index)를 산정하였으며, El Ni$\tilde{n}$o-Southern Oscillation (ENSO)에 의한 대규모 대기순환 패턴의 변화가 한강 유역의 통합위험지수 변화에 미치는 영향을 평가하였다. ENSO자료는 전통적인 El Ni$\tilde{n}$o에 해당하는 Cold-tongue (CT) El Ni$\tilde{n}$o와 중앙태평양 부근의 이상적인 해수면 온도 상승에 의한 Warm-pool (WP) El Ni$\tilde{n}$o, 그리고 해수면 온도가 이상적으로 낮게 관측되는 La Ni$\tilde{n}$a 기간으로 구분하였으며, 각 기간 중 가장 강한 ENSO가 발생한 해(CT El Ni$\tilde{n}$o, 1998; WP El Ni$\tilde{n}$o, 2005; La Ni$\tilde{n}$a, 2000)를 대상으로 통합위험지수를 산정하였다. 통합위험지수는 수문학적 요인(Hydrologic Components), 사회 경제적 요인(Socio-Economic Components)과 생태적 요인(Ecological Components)으로 구분하였고, 엔트로피(entropy) 기법을 통하여 각 인자와 요인별 가중치를 적용하였다. 중권역별 통합위험지수의 평가는 5개의 계급구간(Very High, High, Medium, Low, Very Low)으로 구분하였다. 분석결과, CT El Ni$\tilde{n}$o해의 유역평균 IRI 값은 0.58, WP El Ni$\tilde{n}$o해의 IRI 값은 0.57로 비슷한 결과를 보였으나, La Ni$\tilde{n}$a해에는 IRI 값이 0.41로 낮게 나타났다. CT와 WP El Ni$\tilde{n}$o해에는 한강 서쪽일부 중권역에서 통합위험지수가 높게 나타났으며, La Ni$\tilde{n}$a해에는 한강 중 동부 대부분 유역에서 낮게 분석되었다. 향후 유역별 통합위험지수 산정과 더불어 서로 다른 형태의 ENSO에 따른 수자원 변동 예측이 이루어진다면, 수자원의 효율적인 관리와 안정적인 용수공급에 도움을 줄 것으로 사료되며, 이는 유역별 수자원의 취약성 평가 및 위험도 분석을 위한 기초자료로 활용이 가능하리라 사료된다.

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Characteristics of the Simulated ENSO in CGCM (대기-해양 접합 모델에서 모사한 ENSO의 특징)

  • Moon, Byung-Kwon
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.343-356
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    • 2007
  • This paper explored the characteristics of the interannual sea surface temperature (SST) variability in the equatorial Pacific by analyzing the simulated data from a newly coupled general circulation model (CGCM). The CGCM simulates well the realistic ENSO variability as well as the mean climatologies including SST, seasonal cycle, precipitation, and subsurface structures. It is argued that the zonal gradient of SST in the equatorial Pacific is responsible for the over-energetic SST variability near the equatorial western boundary in the model. This variability could also be related to the strong westward propagation of SST anomalies which resulted from the enhanced the zonal advection feedback. The simple two-strip model supports this by sensitivity tests. Analysis of the relationship between zonal mean thermocline depth and NINO3 SST index suggested that the ENSO variability is controlled by the recharge-discharge oscillator of the model. The lead-lag regression result reveals that heat buildup process in the western equatorial Pacific associated with the increase of the barrier layer thickness (BLT) is a precedent condition for El $Ni\widetilde{n}o$ to develop.

Overview of Climate Change and Unusual Regional Climate and the Future (기후변화와 이상기상 발생의 현황과 미래)

  • Moon Sung-Euii
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Crop Science Conference
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    • 2000.11a
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    • pp.3-11
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    • 2000
  • The Asian summer monsoon has a profound social and economic impact in East Asia and its surrounding countries. The monsoon is basically a response of the atmosphere to the differential heating between the land mass of the Asian continent and the adjacent oceans. The atmospheric response, however, is quite complicated due to the interactions between the atmospheric heat sources, land-sea contrast, and topography, The occurrence of extreme summertime floods in Korea, Japan, and China in 1998 and 1999 has highlighted the range of variability of the East Asian summertime monsoon circulation and spurred interest in investigating the cause of such extreme variability. While ENSO is often considered a prime mechanism responsible for the unusual hydrological disasters in East Asia, understanding of the connection between ENSO and the East Asian monsoon is hampered by their dynamic complexities. Along with a recent phenomenon of weather abnormalities observed in many parts of the globe, Korea has seen its share of increased weather abnormalities such as the record-breaking heavy rainfalls due to a series of flash floods in the summers of 1998 and 1999, following devastating Yangtze river floods in China. A clear regime shift is found in the tropospheric mean temperature in the northern hemisphere middle latitudes and the surface temperature over the Asian continent during the summer with a sudden warming since 1977. Either decadal climate variation or climate regime shift in the Asian continent is evident and may have altered the characteristics of the East Asian summer monsoon. Considering the summertime rainfall amount in Korea is overall increased lately, the 1998/99 heavy rainfalls may not be isolated episodes related only to ENSO, but could be a part of long-term climate variation. The record-breaking heavy summer rainfalls in Korea may not be direct impact of ENSO. Instead, the effects of decadal climate variation and ENSO may be coupled to each other and also to the East Asian summer monsoon system, while their individual impacts are difficult to separate.

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ON THE LONG-TERM VARIABILITY OF SOUTHERN OSCILLATION INDEX

  • Jin, Young-Hoon;Kawamura, Akira;Jinno, Kenji;Iseri, Yoshihiko
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2003.05a
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    • pp.151-158
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    • 2003
  • Recently, there has been considerable interest in the influence of El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on a global scale. ENSO has been measured by a simple index called Southern Oscillation Index (SOI). The statistical characteristics of SOI have been also focused to reveal the influence of ENSO. The SOI trend shows that El Nino events are generally getting stronger and more frequently occurring than La Nina events. However, the variation of SOI has varied significantly in a long-term. The SOI values are computed using the mean value and its standard deviation of the base period from 1951 to 1980. In the present study, the different base periods are applied to compute the SOI values and the influence of the different base periods is investigated in detail to reveal the long-term variation of SOI From the results, we could conclude that the present SOI should be carefully considered as a criterion to judge whether the El Nino and La Nina events are occurring.

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