• Title/Summary/Keyword: ECMWF 바람자료

Search Result 13, Processing Time 0.027 seconds

Coastal Wave Hind-Casting Modelling Using ECMWF Wind Dataset (ECMWF 바람자료를 이용한 연안 파랑후측모델링)

  • Kang, Tae-Soon;Park, Jong-Jip;Eum, Ho-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
    • /
    • v.21 no.5
    • /
    • pp.599-607
    • /
    • 2015
  • The purpose of this study is to reproduce long-term wave fields in coastal waters of Korea based on wave hind-casting modelling and discuss its applications. To validate wind data(NCEP, ECMWF, JMA-MSM), comparison of wind data was done with wave buoy data. JMA-MSM predicted wind data with high accuracy. But due to relatively longer period of ECMWF wind data as compared to that of JMA-MSM, wind data set of ECMWF(2001~2014) was used to perform wave hind-casting modelling. Results from numerical modelling were verified with the observed data of wave buoys installed by Korea Meteorological Administration(KMA) and Korea Hydrographic and Oceanographic Agency(KHOA) on offshore waters. The results agree well with observations at buoy stations, especially during the event periods such as a typhoon. Consequently, the wave data reproduced by wave hind-casting modelling was used to obtain missing data in wave observation buoys. The obtained missing data indicated underestimation of maximum wave height during the event period at some points of buoys. Reasons for such underestimation may be due to larger time interval and resolution of the input wind data, water depth and grid size etc. The methodology used in present study can be used to analyze coastal erosion data in conjunction with a wave characteristic of the event period in coastal areas. Additionally, the method can be used in the coastal disaster vulnerability assessment to generate wave points of interest.

Wave Tendency Analysis on the Coastal Waters of Korea Using Wave Hind-Casting Modelling (파랑후측모델링을 이용한 연안 파랑경향성 분석)

  • Kang, Tae-Soon;Park, Jong-Jip;Eum, Ho-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
    • /
    • v.22 no.7
    • /
    • pp.869-875
    • /
    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the long-term wave characteristics and tendencies of coastal waters near Korea based on wave hind-casting modelling. Wave hind-casting modelling was performed with a wind data set from ECMWF (2001~2014), which provides data from 1979 to the present. The results of numerical modelling were verified with observed data collected using wave buoys installed by the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and Korea Hydrographic and Oceanographic Agency (KHOA) in offshore waters. The results agreed well with observations from buoy stations, especially during event periods such as typhoons. The quantitative RMSE value was 0.5 m, which was significant. Consequently, the results of a wave tendency analysis for 14 years (2001~2014) showed an increased appearance ratio for waves of more than 2 m in height at all regional domains. The mean appearance ratio was 0.082 % per year, which implies that coastal waves have been increasing continuously. This coastal wave tendency analysis data can be used to evaluate coastal vulnerability due to recent climate change and the design of coastal erosion prevention structures.

Accuracy Evaluation of Daily-gridded ASCAT Satellite Data Around the Korean Peninsula (한반도 주변 해역에서의 ASCAT 해상풍 격자 자료의 정확성 평가)

  • Park, Jinku;Kim, Dae-Won;Jo, Young-Heon;Kim, Deoksu
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
    • /
    • v.34 no.2_1
    • /
    • pp.213-225
    • /
    • 2018
  • In order to access the accuracy of the gridded daily Advanced Scatterometer (hereafter DASCAT) ocean surface wind data in the surrounding of Korea, the DASCAT was compared with the wind data from buoys. In addition, the reanalysis data for wind at 10 m provided by European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF, hereafter ECMWF), National Centers for Environmental Prediction and National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCEP/NCAR, hereafter NCEP), Modern Era Retrospective-analysis for Research and Applications-2 (MERRA-2, hereafter MERRA) were compared and analyzed. As a result, the RMSE of DASCAT for the actual wind speed is about 3 m/s. The zonal components of wind of buoys and the DASCAT have strong correlation more than 0.8 and the meridional components of wind them have lower correlation than that of zonal wind and are the lowest in the Yellow Sea (r=0.7). When the actual wind speed is below 10 m/s, the EMCWF has the highest accuracy, followed by DASCAT, MERRA, and NCEP. However, under the wind speed more than 10 m/s, DASCAT shows the highest accuracy. In the nature of error according to the wind direction, when the zonal wind is strong, all dataset has the error of more than $70^{\circ}$ on the average. On the other hand, the RMSE of wind direction was recorded $50^{\circ}$ under the strong meridional winds. ECMWF shows the highest accuracy in these results. The RMSE of the wind speed according to the wind direction varied depending on the actual wind direction. Especially, MERRA has the highest RMSE under the westerly and southerly wind condition, while the NCEP has the highest RMSE under the easterly and northerly wind condition.

Wave Modeling considering Water Level Changes and Currents Effects (수위변화와 흐름효과를 고려한 파랑모델링)

  • Eum, Ho-Sik;Kang, Tae-Soon;Nam, Soo-Yong;Jeong, Won-Moo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
    • /
    • v.28 no.6
    • /
    • pp.383-396
    • /
    • 2016
  • In this study, wave model was conducted on the presence or absence of water level changes and currents effects in coastal waters coexisting with waves and currents, then the results were compared. The flow field applied the results of the RIAMOM model and the wave model applied the SWAN model. Among ECMWF, NCEP and JMA, wind data applied JMA data sets which agreed well with the observed data comparatively. Numerical simulation was conducted for 8 months from January to August 2016. For each case, the deviation of wave height was calculated for the high wave of more than 2.5 m for comparison with observed data. As a result, the deviation of wave height was not significant both considering water level changes and currents effects or not at wave observation stations installed in deep waters. However, a significant deviation of wave height of 5~10% was obtained depending on water level changes and currents effects at the comparison point in shallow waters.

A Study on the Predictability of Eastern Winter Storm Waves Using Operational Wind Forecasts of KMA (기상청 현업 예보 바람자료를 이용한 동해안 동계 파랑 예측 재현도 연구)

  • Do, Kideok;Kim, Jinah
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
    • /
    • v.30 no.5
    • /
    • pp.223-233
    • /
    • 2018
  • The predictability of winter storm waves using KMA's operational wind forecasts has been studied to predict wind waves and swells in the East coast of Korea using SWAN. The nested model were employed along the East coast of Korea to simulate the wave transformation in the coastal area and wave dissipation term of whitecapping is optimized to improve swell prediction accuracy. In this study, KMA's operational meteorological models (RDAPS and LDAPS) are used as input wind fields. In order to evaluate model accuracy, we also simulate wind waves and swells using ECMWF reanalysis and KIOST WRF wind and they are compared with the KMA's operational wave model and the wave measurement data on the offshore and onshore stations. As a result, it has the lowest RMSE and the highest correlation coefficient in the onshore when the input wind fields are KMA's operational meteorological forecasts. In the offshore, all of the simulate results shows good agreements with similar error statistics. It means that it is very feasible to use SWAN model with the modified whitecapping factor and KMA's operational meteorological forecasts for predicting the wind waves and swells in the East coast of Korea.

Climatological Characteristics of Monthly Wind Distribution in a Greater Coasting Area of Korea (우리나라 근해구역에 있어서의 월별 바람분포의 기후학적 특성)

  • Seol Dong-Il
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
    • /
    • v.12 no.3 s.26
    • /
    • pp.185-192
    • /
    • 2006
  • Distribution of wind direction and wind speed is very important from the viewpoint of ship's safety because it is closely related to the formation and development of sea wave. In this study, the climatological characteristics of monthly wind distribution in a greater coasting area of Korea are analyzed by the ECMWF objective analysis data for the period from 1985 to 1995{11 years). Distributions of wind direction from October to March are very similar and wind speed is strongest in January. The NW'ly and WNW'ly winds at a latitude of 30 degrees N and northward and the NE'ly wind in the Straits of Taiwan and the South China Sea are sustaining and very strong. Distributions of wind direction from June to August are similar and the SW'ly and SSW'ly winds in the South China Sea are strong. The strong Southeast trades exists in the winter hemisphere{Southern Hemisphere). Wind speeds in April, May and September are generally weak.

  • PDF

Characteristics of a Heavy Rainfall Event in Yeongdong Region on 6 August, 2018 (2018년 8월 6일 발생한 영동지역 집중호우 사례에 대한 특성 연구)

  • Ahn, Bo-Young;Shim, Jae-Kwan;Kim, KyuRang;Kim, Seung-Bum
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
    • /
    • v.41 no.3
    • /
    • pp.222-237
    • /
    • 2020
  • A heavy (93 mm hr-1) rainfall event accompanied by lightning occurred over Gangneung in the Yeongdong region of South Korea on August 6, 2018. This study investigated the underlying mechanism for the heavy rainfall event by using COMS satellite cloud products, surface- and upper-level weather charts, ECMWF reanalysis data, and radiosonde data. The COMS satellite cloud products showed rainfall exceeding 10 mm hr-1, with the lowest cloud-top temperature of approximately -65℃ and high cloud optical thickness of approximately 20-25. The radiosonde data showed the existence of strong vertical wind shear between the upper and lower cloud layers. Furthermore, a strong inversion in the equivalent potential temperature was observed at a pressure altitude of 700 hPa. In addition, there was a highly developed cloud layer at a height of 13 km, corresponding with the vertical analysis of the ECMWF data. This demonstrated the increased atmospheric instability induced by the vertical differences in equivalent potential temperature in the Yeongdong region. Consequently, cold, dry air was trapped within relatively warm, humid air in the upper atmosphere over the East Sea and adjacent Yeongdong region. This caused unstable atmospheric conditions that led to rapidly developing convective clouds and heavy rainfall over Gangneung.

Tracing the Drift Ice Using the Particle Tracking Method in the Arctic Ocean (북극해에서 입자추적 방법을 이용한 유빙 추적 연구)

  • Park, GwangSeob;Kim, Hyun-Cheol;Lee, Taehee;Son, Young Baek
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
    • /
    • v.34 no.6_2
    • /
    • pp.1299-1310
    • /
    • 2018
  • In this study, we analyzed distribution and movement trends using in-situ observations and particle tracking methods to understand the movement of the drift ice in the Arctic Ocean. The in-situ movement data of the drift ice in the Arctic Ocean used ITP (Ice-Tethered Profiler) provided by NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration) from 2009 to 2018, which was analyzed with the location and speed for each year. Particle tracking simulates the movement of the drift ice using daily current and wind data provided by HYCOM (Hybrid Coordinate Ocean Model) and ECMWF (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, 2009-2017). In order to simulate the movement of the drift ice throughout the Arctic Ocean, ITP data, a field observation data, were used as input to calculate the relationship between the current and wind and follow up the Lagrangian particle tracking. Particle tracking simulations were conducted with two experiments taking into account the effects of current and the combined effects of current and wind, most of which were reproduced in the same way as in-situ observations, given the effects of currents and winds. The movement of the drift ice in the Arctic Ocean was reproduced using a wind-imposed equation, which analyzed the movement of the drift ice in a particular year. In 2010, the Arctic Ocean Index (AOI) was a negative year, with particles clearly moving along the Beaufort Gyre, resulting in relatively large movements in Beaufort Sea. On the other hand, in 2017 AOI was a positive year, with most particles not affected by Gyre, resulting in relatively low speed and distance. Around the pole, the speed of the drift ice is lower in 2017 than 2010. From seasonal characteristics in 2010 and 2017, the movement of the drift ice increase in winter 2010 (0.22 m/s) and decrease to spring 2010 (0.16 m/s). In the case of 2017, the movement is increased in summer (0.22 m/s) and decreased to spring time (0.13 m/s). As a result, the particle tracking method will be appropriate to understand long-term drift ice movement trends by linking them with satellite data in place of limited field observations.

Improvements for Atmospheric Motion Vectors Algorithm Using First Guess by Optical Flow Method (옵티컬 플로우 방법으로 계산된 초기 바람 추정치에 따른 대기운동벡터 알고리즘 개선 연구)

  • Oh, Yurim;Park, Hyungmin;Kim, Jae Hwan;Kim, Somyoung
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
    • /
    • v.36 no.5_1
    • /
    • pp.763-774
    • /
    • 2020
  • Wind data forecasted from the numerical weather prediction (NWP) model is generally used as the first-guess of the target tracking process to obtain the atmospheric motion vectors(AMVs) because it increases tracking accuracy and reduce computational time. However, there is a contradiction that the NWP model used as the first-guess is used again as the reference in the AMVs verification process. To overcome this problem, model-independent first guesses are required. In this study, we propose the AMVs derivation from Lucas and Kanade optical flow method and then using it as the first guess. To retrieve AMVs, Himawari-8/AHI geostationary satellite level-1B data were used at 00, 06, 12, and 18 UTC from August 19 to September 5, 2015. To evaluate the impact of applying the optical flow method on the AMV derivation, cross-validation has been conducted in three ways as follows. (1) Without the first-guess, (2) NWP (KMA/UM) forecasted wind as the first-guess, and (3) Optical flow method based wind as the first-guess. As the results of verification using ECMWF ERA-Interim reanalysis data, the highest precision (RMSVD: 5.296-5.804 ms-1) was obtained using optical flow based winds as the first-guess. In addition, the computation speed for AMVs derivation was the slowest without the first-guess test, but the other two had similar performance. Thus, applying the optical flow method in the target tracking process of AMVs algorithm, this study showed that the optical flow method is very effective as a first guess for model-independent AMVs derivation.

A Case Study of Strong Wind Event over Yeongdong Region on March 18-20, 2020 (2020년 3월 18일-20일 영동지역 강풍 사례 연구)

  • Ahn, Bo-Yeong;Kim, Yoo-Jun;Kim, Baek-Jo;Lee, Yong-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
    • /
    • v.42 no.5
    • /
    • pp.479-495
    • /
    • 2021
  • This study investigates the synoptic (patterns of southern highs, northern lows, and lows rapidly developed by tropopause folding), thermodynamic, and kinematic characteristics of a strong wind that occurred in the Yeongdong region of South Korea on March 18-20, 2020. To do so, we analyzed data from an automatic weather station (AWS), weather charts, the European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) reanalysis, rawinsonde, and windprofiler radars. The daily maximum instantaneous wind speed, exceeding 20 m s-1, was observed at five weather stations during the analysis period. The strongest instantaneous wind speed (27.7 m s-1) appeared in the Daegwallyeong area. According to the analysis of weather charts, along with the arrangement of the north-south low-pressure line, the isobars were moved to the Yeongdong area. It showed a sine wave shape, and a strong wind developed owing to the strong pressure gradient. On March 19, in the northern part of the Korean Peninsula, with a drop in atmospheric pressure of 19 hPa or more within one day, a continuous strong wind was developed by the synoptic structure of the developing polar low. In the adiabatic chart observed in Bukgangneung, the altitude of the inversion layer was located at an altitude of approximately 1-3 km above the mountaintop, along with the maximum wind speed. We confirmed that this is consistent with the results of the vertical wind field analysis of the rawinsonde and windprofiler data. In particular, based on the thermodynamic and kinematic vertical analyses, we suggest that strong winds due to the vertical gradient of potential temperature in the lower layer and the development of potential vorticity due to tropopause folding play a significant role in the occurrence of strong winds in the Yeongdong region.