• Title/Summary/Keyword: Dynamic rolling regression

Search Result 1, Processing Time 0.016 seconds

An Analysis of Eating Out Expenditure Behavior of Urban Households by Decile Group (도시가계의 10분위별 외식비 지출행태 분석)

  • Choi, Mun-Yong;Mo, Soo-Won;Lee, Kwang-Bae
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.16 no.11
    • /
    • pp.7820-7830
    • /
    • 2015
  • Korean households' demand for food consumed away from home is on the steady increase. The ratio of eating-out expenditure of the household income, however, tends to decrease recently irrespective of income groups. This paper, therefore, aims to analyse the food-away-from-home expenditures of salary and wage earners' households by income decile group. The eating-out expenditure is modelled as a function of household income and then estimated using econometric methods such as regression, rolling regression, impulse response, and variance decomposition of forecast error. The regression results indicate that the higher the income decile group is, the lower the income elasticity of eating-out expenditure is, and the high income groups enjoy seasonal eating-out, the low groups do not. The coefficients of dynamic rolling regression are much smaller than those of static one, meaning that households tend to decrease the eating-out expenditure of their income. The impulse response analysis suggests that the eating-out expenditure increase of higher income groups lasts long relative to that of lower income groups. The variance decomposition, also, shows that household income plays much more important role in determining eating-out expenditure at the higher income groups than at the lower income groups.