• Title/Summary/Keyword: Dynamic bayesian Networks

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An Application of Bayesian Network for Dynamic System Reliability Assessment (동적시스템의 신뢰도 평가를 위한 베이지안망의 적용)

  • Ahn Sun-Eung;Koo Jung-Mo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.93-101
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    • 2004
  • This paper is intended to assess a dynamic system reliability. Bayesian networks, however, have difficulties in their application for assessing the system reliability especially when the system consists of dependent components and the probability of failure of each component varies over time. Hence, we suggest a method for resolving the difficulties by considering a hoist system composed of two wires. Firstly, we explain the method of calculating the failure probability of the system components. Secondly, we show how to calculate the failure probability of the system for two cases that failure probability of each wire is constant and varying in time, respectively. finally, based on the calculated failure probability of the system, we infer the probability that two interesting events occur.

Nonlinear Networked Control Systems with Random Nature using Neural Approach and Dynamic Bayesian Networks

  • Cho, Hyun-Cheol;Lee, Kwon-Soon
    • International Journal of Control, Automation, and Systems
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.444-452
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    • 2008
  • We propose an intelligent predictive control approach for a nonlinear networked control system (NCS) with time-varying delay and random observation. The control is given by the sum of a nominal control and a corrective control. The nominal control is determined analytically using a linearized system model with fixed time delay. The corrective control is generated online by a neural network optimizer. A Markov chain (MC) dynamic Bayesian network (DBN) predicts the dynamics of the stochastic system online to allow predictive control design. We apply our proposed method to a satellite attitude control system and evaluate its control performance through computer simulation.

New Cellular Neural Networks Template for Image Halftoning based on Bayesian Rough Sets

  • Elsayed Radwan;Basem Y. Alkazemi;Ahmed I. Sharaf
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.85-94
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    • 2023
  • Image halftoning is a technique for varying grayscale images into two-tone binary images. Unfortunately, the static representation of an image-half toning, wherever each pixel intensity is combined by its local neighbors only, causes missing subjective problem. Also, the existing noise causes an instability criterion. In this paper an image half-toning is represented as a dynamical system for recognizing the global representation. Also, noise is reduced based on a probabilistic model. Since image half-toning is considered as 2-D matrix with a full connected pass, this structure is recognized by the dynamical system of Cellular Neural Networks (CNNs) which is defined by its template. Bayesian Rough Sets is used in exploiting the ideal CNNs construction that synthesis its dynamic. Also, Bayesian rough sets contribute to enhance the quality of the halftone image by removing noise and discovering the effective parameters in the CNNs template. The novelty of this method lies in finding a probabilistic based technique to discover the term of CNNs template and define new learning rules for CNNs internal work. A numerical experiment is conducted on image half-toning corrupted by Gaussian noise.

Improvement of the Reliability Graph with General Gates to Analyze the Reliability of Dynamic Systems That Have Various Operation Modes

  • Shin, Seung Ki;No, Young Gyu;Seong, Poong Hyun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.48 no.2
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    • pp.386-403
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    • 2016
  • The safety of nuclear power plants is analyzed by a probabilistic risk assessment, and the fault tree analysis is the most widely used method for a risk assessment with the event tree analysis. One of the well-known disadvantages of the fault tree is that drawing a fault tree for a complex system is a very cumbersome task. Thus, several graphical modeling methods have been proposed for the convenient and intuitive modeling of complex systems. In this paper, the reliability graph with general gates (RGGG) method, one of the intuitive graphical modeling methods based on Bayesian networks, is improved for the reliability analyses of dynamic systems that have various operation modes with time. A reliability matrix is proposed and it is explained how to utilize the reliability matrix in the RGGG for various cases of operation mode changes. The proposed RGGG with a reliability matrix provides a convenient and intuitive modeling of various operation modes of complex systems, and can also be utilized with dynamic nodes that analyze the failure sequences of subcomponents. The combinatorial use of a reliability matrix with dynamic nodes is illustrated through an application to a shutdown cooling system in a nuclear power plant.

An Intelligent PID Controller based on Dynamic Bayesian Networks for Traffic Control of TCP (TCP의 트래픽 제어를 위한 동적 베이시안 네트워크 기반 지능형 PID 제어기)

  • Cho, Hyun-Choel;Lee, Young-Jin;Lee, Jin-Woo;Lee, Kwon-Soon
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.286-295
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    • 2007
  • This paper presents an intelligent PID control for stochastic systems with nonstationary nature. We optimally determine parameters of a PID controller through learning algorithm and propose an online PID control to compensate system errors possibly occurred in realtime implementations. A dynamic Bayesian network (DBN) model for system errors is additionally explored for making decision about whether an online control is carried out or not in practice. We apply our control approach to traffic control of Transmission Control Protocol (TCP) networks and demonstrate its superior performance comparing to a fixed PID from computer simulations.

Fire-Smoke Detection Based on Video using Dynamic Bayesian Networks (동적 베이지안 네트워크를 이용한 동영상 기반의 화재연기감지)

  • Lee, In-Gyu;Ko, Byung-Chul;Nam, Jae-Yeol
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.34 no.4C
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    • pp.388-396
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    • 2009
  • This paper proposes a new fire-smoke detection method by using extracted features from camera images and pattern recognition technique. First, moving regions are detected by analyzing the frame difference between two consecutive images and generate candidate smoke regions by applying smoke color model. A smoke region generally has a few characteristics such as similar color, simple texture and upward motion. From these characteristics, we extract brightness, wavelet high frequency and motion vector as features. Also probability density functions of three features are generated using training data. Probabilistic models of smoke region are then applied to observation nodes of our proposed Dynamic Bayesian Networks (DBN) for considering time continuity. The proposed algorithm was successfully applied to various fire-smoke tasks not only forest smokes but also real-world smokes and showed better detection performance than previous method.

Prototyping a Student Model for Educational Games

  • Choi, Young-Mee;Choo, Moon-Won;Chin, Seong-Ah
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.1 no.1 s.1
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    • pp.107-111
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    • 2005
  • When a pedagogical agent system aims to provide students with interactive help, it needs to know what knowledge the student has and what goals the student is currently trying to achieve. That is, it must do both assessment and plan recognition. These modeling tasks involve a high level of uncertainty when students are allowed to follow various lines of reasoning and are not required to show all their reasoning explicitly. In this paper, the student model for interactive edutainment applications is proposed. This model is based on Bayesian Networks to expose constructs and parameters of rules and propositions pertaining to game and problem solving activities. This student model could be utilized as the emotion generation model for student and agent as well.

Online Learning Control for Network-induced Time Delay Systems using Reset Control and Probabilistic Prediction Method (네트워크 기반 시간지연 시스템을 위한 리세트 제어 및 확률론적 예측기법을 이용한 온라인 학습제어시스템)

  • Cho, Hyun-Cheol;Sim, Kwang-Yeul;Lee, Kwon-Soon
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.15 no.9
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    • pp.929-938
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    • 2009
  • This paper presents a novel control methodology for communication network based nonlinear systems with time delay nature. We construct a nominal nonlinear control law for representing a linear model and a reset control system which is aimed for corrective control strategy to compensate system error due to uncertain time delay through wireless communication network. Next, online neural control approach is proposed for overcoming nonstationary statistical nature in the network topology. Additionally, DBN (Dynamic Bayesian Network) technique is accomplished for modeling of its dynamics in terms of casuality, which is then utilized for estimating prediction of system output. We evaluate superiority and reliability of the proposed control approach through numerical simulation example in which a nonlinear inverted pendulum model is employed as a networked control system.

Fault Diagnosis in Semiconductor Etch Equipment Using Bayesian Networks

  • Nawaz, Javeria Muhammad;Arshad, Muhammad Zeeshan;Hong, Sang Jeen
    • JSTS:Journal of Semiconductor Technology and Science
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.252-261
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    • 2014
  • A Bayesian network (BN) based fault diagnosis framework for semiconductor etching equipment is presented. Suggested framework contains data preprocessing, data synchronization, time series modeling, and BN inference, and the established BNs show the cause and effect relationship in the equipment module level. Statistically significant state variable identification (SVID) data of etch equipment are preselected using principal component analysis (PCA) and derivative dynamic time warping (DDTW) is employed for data synchronization. Elman's recurrent neural networks (ERNNs) for individual SVID parameters are constructed, and the predicted errors of ERNNs are then used for assigning prior conditional probability in BN inference of the fault diagnosis. For the demonstration of the proposed methodology, 300 mm etch equipment model is reconstructed in subsystem levels, and several fault diagnosis scenarios are considered. BNs for the equipment fault diagnosis consists of three layers of nodes, such as root cause (RC), module (M), and data parameter (DP), and the constructed BN illustrates how the observed fault is related with possible root causes. Four out of five different types of fault scenarios are successfully diagnosed with the proposed inference methodology.