• 제목/요약/키워드: Dummy Model

검색결과 240건 처리시간 0.017초

더미변수(Dummy Variable)를 포함하는 다변수 시계열 모델을 이용한 단기부하예측 (Short-Term Load Forecasting Using Multiple Time-Series Model Including Dummy Variables)

  • 이경훈;김진오
    • 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
    • /
    • 제52권8호
    • /
    • pp.450-456
    • /
    • 2003
  • This paper proposes a multiple time-series model with dummy variables for one-hour ahead load forecasting. We used 11 dummy variables that were classified by day characteristics such as day of the week, holiday, and special holiday. Also, model specification and selection of input variables including dummy variables were made by test statistics such as AIC(Akaike Information Criterion) and t-test statistics of each coefficient. OLS (Ordinary Least Squares) method was used for estimation and forecasting. We found out that model specifications for each hour are not identical usually at 30% of optimal significance level, and dummy variables reduce the forecasting error if they are classified properly. The proposed model has much more accurate estimates in forecasting with less MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error).

Hybrid III 5% 성인 여성 더미의 유한요소 모델 개발 (Development of Finite Element Model of Hybrid III 5th Percentile Female Dummy)

  • 이상일;;;박경진
    • 한국자동차공학회논문집
    • /
    • 제18권4호
    • /
    • pp.18-30
    • /
    • 2010
  • As the automobile industry is developing, the number of deaths and injuries has increased. To reduce the damages from automobile accidents, the government of each country proposes experimental conditions for reproducing the accident and establishes the vehicle safety regulations. Automotive manufacturers are trying to make safer vehicles by satisfying the requirements. The Hybrid III crash test dummy is a standard Anthropomorphic Test Device (ATD) used for measuring the occupant's injuries in a frontal impact test. Since a real crash test using a vehicle is fairly expensive, a computer simulation using the Finite Element Method (F.E.M.) is widely used. Therefore, a detailed and robust F.E. dummy model is needed to acquire more accurate occupant injury data and behavior during the crash test. To achieve this goal, a detailed F.E. model of the Hybrid III 5th percentile female dummy is constructed by using the reverse engineering technique in this research. A modeling process is proposed to construct the F.E. model. The proposed modeling process starts from disassembling the physical dummy. Computer Aided Design (CAD) geometry data is constructed by three-dimensional (3-D) scanning of the disassembled physical dummy model. Based on the geometry data, finite elements of each part are generated. After mesh generation, each part is assembled with other parts using the joints and rigid connection elements. The developed F.E. model of dummy is simulated based on the FMVSS 572 validation regulations. The results of simulation are compared with the results of physical tests.

엑셀 VBA을 이용한 가변수 회귀모형 교육도구 개발 (An educational tool for regression models with dummy variables using Excel VBA)

  • 최현석;박철용
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • 제24권3호
    • /
    • pp.593-601
    • /
    • 2013
  • 회귀모형에서 범주형 변수를 독립변수로 포함시켜야 할 경우가 발생한다. 회귀모형의 범주형 변수는 가변수를 통해 수량화된다. 이 연구에서는 하나의 양적 독립변수와 하나 혹은 두 개의 범주형 독립변수를 가지는 회귀모형에 대해 가설검정 결과와 함께 회귀직선을 보여주는 교육용 도구를 엑셀 VBA (Visual Basic for application)를 통해서 구현한다. 가설검정 결과와 회귀직선은 교호작용이 포함된 모형, 교호작용이 없는 모형 및 가변수가 없는 모형에 대해 단계별로 제공된다. 이 교육도구를 통해 가변수와 교호작용의 의미를 더 쉽게 이해할 수 있으며, 나아가 어떤 모형이 주어진 자료에 가장 적합한지 그림을 통해 판단할 수 있게 된다.

다양한 민두 개발을 위한 민두 인지도에 관한 연구 (A Study on the perception of Hairless Head dummy for Development of Various Hair Design)

  • 이진희;김상은
    • 한국생활과학회지
    • /
    • 제15권4호
    • /
    • pp.623-630
    • /
    • 2006
  • The purpose of this study is to do research hairdressers' knowledge of hairless head dummy's brand name, and to suggest and develop various hairless head dummy for the students who are learning hair styling in the colleges and the academies, for the hairdressers working in the beauty salons. Using only one and same kind of hairless head model is not appropriate for hairdressers and students being trained hair styling skill, because people have a variety of head shapes. Three hundred twenty nine persons who live in Iksan area are selected as subjects. The results of the study are as follow: by the analysis of subjects' knowledge of hairless head dummy's brand name, most of them didn't know it exactly. This study deduced that there is a significant relation between the utility of hairless head dummy and subjects' intention of purchasing the dummy. To put it in detail, in case of college students, there is little significant difference between them. But in case of academy students, there is. By the regression analysis, especially, in case of hairdressers working in beauty salons and academy students, four conditions did significantly matter in their purchasing the dummy: first, whether the respondents owns it, second, whether it is helpful to themselves, third, whether they have ever used foreign products and, finally, whether they have intention to purchase various hairless head dummys or not. In conclusion, it depended on each group position whether their knowledge of brand names of hairless head model affects their purchase of the dummy or not.

  • PDF

Development of the Plywood Demand Prediction Model

  • Kim, Dong-Jun
    • 한국산림과학회지
    • /
    • 제97권2호
    • /
    • pp.140-143
    • /
    • 2008
  • This study compared the plywood demand prediction accuracy of econometric and vector autoregressive models using Korean data. The econometric model of plywood demand was specified with three explanatory variables; own price, construction permit area, dummy. The vector autoregressive model was specified with lagged endogenous variable, own price, construction permit area and dummy. The dummy variable reflected the abrupt decrease in plywood consumption in the late 1990's. The prediction accuracy was estimated on the basis of Residual Mean Squared Error, Mean Absolute Percentage Error and Theil's Inequality Coefficient. The results showed that the plywood demand prediction can be performed more accurately by econometric model than by vector autoregressive model.

승용차 시트프레임의 강도해석 (The Strength Analysis of Passenger Car Seat Frame)

  • 임종명;장인식
    • 한국자동차공학회논문집
    • /
    • 제11권6호
    • /
    • pp.205-212
    • /
    • 2003
  • This paper may provide a basic design data for the safer car seat mechanism and the quality of the material used by finding out the passenger's dynamic behavior when protected by seat belt during collision. A computer simulation with finite element method is used to accomplish this objective. At first, a detailed geometric model of the seat is constructed using CAD program. The formation of a finite element from a geometric data of the seat is carried out using Hyper-Mesh that is the commercial software for mesh generation and post processing. In addition to seat modeling, the finite element model of seat belt and dummy is formed using the same software. Rear impact analysis is accomplished using Pam-Crash with crash pulse. The part of the recliner and right frame is under big stress in rear crash analysis because the acceleration force is exerted on the back of the seat by dummy. The stress condition of the part of the bracket is checked as well because it is considered as an important variable on the seat design. Front impact model which including dummy and seal belt is analyzed. A Part of anchor buckle of seat frame has high stress distribution because of retraction force due to forward motion of dummy at the moment of collision. On the basis of the analysis result, remodeling and reanalysis works had been repeatedly done until a satisfactory result is obtained.

SSD 강제진동 시 더미 솔더 볼 효과에 의한 피로수명 예측 (Fatigue Life Estimation of Solid-state Drive due to the Effect of Dummy Solder Ball under Forced Vibration)

  • 이주엽;장건희;장진우
    • 한국소음진동공학회논문집
    • /
    • 제25권3호
    • /
    • pp.176-183
    • /
    • 2015
  • This research proposes a method to estimate the fatigue life of SSD(solid-state drive) due to the effect of dummy solder ball under forced vibration. A finite element model of the SSD was developed to simulate the forced vibration and a modal testing was performed to verify the developed finite element model. Fatigue life of the SSD under vibration was experimentally determined according to JEDEC standard in which the SSD was excited by a sinusoidal sweep vibration within the narrow frequency band around the first natural frequency until the SSD fails. Basquin's equation was introduced to estimate the fatigue life of the SSD due to the effect of dummy solder balls. It shows that the dummy solder balls are effective elements of the SSD to increase the fatigue life of an SSD by increasing 700 times of the fatigue life of the given SSD.

Current Memory의 성능 개선을 위한 Dummy Switch의 Width에 관한 연구 (A Study on Width of Dummy Switch for performance improvement in Current Memory)

  • 조하나;홍순양;전성용;김성권
    • 한국지능시스템학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국퍼지및지능시스템학회 2007년도 춘계학술대회 학술발표 논문집 제17권 제1호
    • /
    • pp.485-488
    • /
    • 2007
  • 최근 Analog Sampled-Data 신호처리를 위하여 주목되고 있는 SI(Switched-Current) circuit은 저전력 동작을 하는 장점이 있지만, 반면에 SI circuit에서의 기본 회로인 Current Memory는 Charge Injection에 의한 Clock Feedthrough이라는 치명적인 단점을 갖고 있다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 Current Memory의 문제점인 Clock Feedthrough의 일반적인 해결방안으로 Dummy Switch의 연결을 검토하였고, Austria Mikro Systeme(AMS)에서 $0.35{\mu}m$ CMOS process BSIM3 Model로 제작하기 위하여 Current Memory의 Switch MOS와 Dummy Switch MOS의 적절한 Width을 정의하여야 하므로, 그 값을 도출하였다. Simulation 결과, Switch의 Width는 $2{\mu}m$, Dummy Switch의 Width는 $2.35{\mu}m$로 정의될 수 있음을 확인하였다.

  • PDF

DUMMY 모선을 고려한 상태추정 측정점선정 알고리즘에 관한 연구 (A Study on Measurement Selection Algorithm for Power System State Estimation under the consideration of Dummy Buses)

  • 이태식;문영현;함완균;권태원
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 대한전기학회 1991년도 하계학술대회 논문집
    • /
    • pp.406-410
    • /
    • 1991
  • This paper presents an improved algorithm of optimal measurement system design with a reliability evaluation method for large power system. The proposed algorithm is developed to consider the dummy bus and to achieve highest accuracy of the state estimator as well with the limited Investment cost. The dummy bus in the power system is impossible to install measurement meter, while real and reactive power measurement values are exactly zero. Thus, the effect on these dummy bus measurements is considered in the proposed algorithm. On the other hand, P/C model is developed by taking advantage of the matrix sparsity. The improved program is successfully tested for KEPCO system with PSS/E lineflow calculated data package.

  • PDF

DUMMY모선을 고려한 상태추정 측정점선정 알고리즘에 관한 연구 (A Study on Measurement Selection Algorithm for Power System State Estimation Under the Consideration of Dummy Buses)

  • 문영현;이태식
    • 대한전기학회논문지
    • /
    • 제41권2호
    • /
    • pp.107-117
    • /
    • 1992
  • This paper presents an improved algorithm of optimal measurement design with a reliability evaluation method for a large power system. The proposed algorithm is developed to consider the dummy bus and to achieve highest accuracy of the state estimator as well with the limited investment cost. The dummy bus in the power system is impossible to install measurement meter, while real and reactive power measurements is considered in the proposed algorithm. On the other hand, P/C model is developed by taking advantage of the matrix sparsity. The improved program is successfully tested for KEPCO system with PSS/E lineflow calculated data package.

  • PDF