• Title/Summary/Keyword: Drought risk

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Evaluation of the Relationship between Meteorological, Agricultural and In-situ Big Data Droughts (기상학적 가뭄, 농업 가뭄 및 빅데이터 현장가뭄간의 상관성 평가)

  • LEE, Ji-Wan;JANG, Sun-Sook;AHN, So-Ra;PARK, Ki-Wook;KIM, Seong-Joon
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.64-79
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study is to find the relationship between precipitation deficit, SPI(standardized precipitation index)-12 month, agricultural reservoir water storage deficit and agricultural drought-related big data, and to evaluate the usefulness of agricultural risk management through big data. For the long term drought (from January 2014 to September 2015), each data was collected and analysed with monthly and Provincial base. The minimum SPI-12 and maximum reservoir water storage deficit compared to normal year were occurred at the same time of July 2014, and August and September 2015. The maximum frequency of big data was occurred at June and July of 2014, and March and June to September of 2015. The maximum big data was occurred 1 month advanced in 2014 and 2 months advanced in 2015 than the maximum reservoir water storage deficit. The occurrence of big data was sensitive to spring drought from March, late Jangma of June, dry Jangma of July and the rainfall deficit of September 2015. The big data was closely related with the meteorological drought and agricultural drought. Because the big data is the in situ feeling drought, it is proved as a useful indicator for agricultural risk management.

Development of Hedging Rule for Drought Management Policy Reflecting Risk Performance Criteria of Single Reservoir System (단일 저수지의 위험도 평가기준을 고려한 가뭄대비 Hedging Rule 개발)

  • Park, Myeong-Gi;Kim, Jae-Han;Jeong, Gwan-Su
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.35 no.5
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    • pp.501-510
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    • 2002
  • During drought or impending drought period, the reservoir operation method is required to incorporate demand-management policy rule. The objective of this study is focused to the development of demand reduction rule by incorporating hedging-effect for a single reservoir system. To improve the performance measure of the objective function and constraints, we could incorporate three risk performance criteria proposed by Hashimoto et al. (1982) by mixed-integer programming and also incorporate successive linear programming to overcome nonlinear hedging term from the previous study(Shih et al., 1994). To verify this model, this hedging rule was applied to the Daechung multi-purpose dam. As a result, we could evaluate optimal hedging parameters and monthly trigger volumes.

Decision Support System for the Water Supply System in Fukuoka, Japan

    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2001.05a
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    • pp.15-24
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    • 2001
  • This study introduces an integrated decision support system (DSS) for the water supply system in Fukuoka City, Japan. The objective is to conceive a comprehensive tool that may aid decision-makers to derive the best water supply alternatives from a multi-reservoir system in order to minimize the long-term drought damages and threat of water shortage. The present DSS consists of graphical user interface (GUI), a database manager, and mathematical models for runoff analysis, water demand forecasting, and reservoir operation. The methodology applied explicitly integrates the drought risk assessment based on the concept of reliability, resiliency, and vulnerability, as constraints to derive the management operation. The application of the DSS to the existing water supply system in Fukuoka City was found to be an efficient tool to facilitate the examination of a sequence of water supply scenarios toward an improved performance of the actual water supply system during periods of drought.

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Estimation of Drought Index in Uiryeong-Gun with Drought Risk and Vulnerability (가뭄 취약성 및 위험도를 고려한 의령군 지역의 가뭄 지수 산정)

  • Jung, Younghun;Kwak, Jesang;Um, Myoung-Jin
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.317-317
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    • 2022
  • 가뭄은 지역에 따라 다양한 특성을 가지기 때문에 가뭄의 진행 상황이나 심각한 상태를 정의할 수 있는 객관적인 지표가 필요한 실정이다. 이러한 이유로 가뭄 지수(drought index)를 정량적으로 산정하여 제시하였고 국내외에서 꾸준한 연구가 진행되고 있다. 본 연구는 의령군을 대상으로 가뭄지수를 산정하였고, 1973년부터 2017년까지의 강수자료 및 가뭄 관련 지역 특성을 통하여 가뭄 위험 지수(DRI)를 추정하였고, 또한 가뭄 취약성 지수(DVI)와 가뭄 위험요소 지수(DHI)를 통해 가뭄위험도를 1등급에서 4등급으로 분류하여 제시하였다. 본 가뭄지수는 강수특성 뿐만 아니라 의령군의 지역적 특성을 다양하게 고려하였다. 따라서, 의령군 상황에 맞게 소지역별로 가뭄의 취약성 및 위험요소를 동시에 추정하여 합리적인 가뭄의 위험성을 정량적으로 제시할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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Acute toxicity evaluation of drought-tolerant transgenic rice Agb0103 to Daphnia magna

  • Oh, Sung-Dug;Lee, Bum Kyu;Park, Soo-Yun;Yun, Doh-Won;Sohn, Soo-In;Chang, Ancheol;Suh, Sang Jae
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.43 no.2
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    • pp.205-214
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    • 2016
  • A drought-tolerant transgenic rice (Agb0103) was developed using a pepper methionine sulfoxide reductase (CaMsrB2) under the control of rice Rab21 promoter with a selection marker, the phosphinothricin acetyltransferase (PAT) gene. Commercialization of genetically modified (GM) crops will require the evaluation of risks associated with the release of GM crops. With the potential problems associated to GM crops safety testing, the investigation of their effects on non-target organisms is necessary for environmental risk research. This study was carried out to assess acute toxicity of a GM crop using the water flea (Daphnia magna) for non-target organism risk evaluation. The effect of acute toxicity on Daphnia magna of Agb0103 rice and a non-GM rice, Ilmibyeo, were investigated at different concentrations (0, 625, 1,250, 2,500, 5,000, and 10,000 mg/L). The Agb0103 rice used for the test was confirmed to express the CaMsrB2/PAT gene by the PCR and ELISA. Daphnia magna feeding tests showed no significant differences in cumulative immobility or abnormal response with either Agb0103 rice or non-GM rice. The 48hr-EC50 values showed no difference between Agb0103 rice (2243 mg/L) and non-GM rice (2694 mg/L). These results suggest that there is no significant difference in toxicity to Daphnia magna between Agb0103 rice and its non-GM counterpart.

Spatial and Temporal Analysis of Drought Using the Storage Data of Agricultural Reservoirs in Chungnam Province in 2015 (농업용 저수지 저수율을 이용한 충남지역 2015년 가뭄 분석)

  • Kim, Sorae;Jang, Min-Won;Kim, Soojin;Bae, Seungjong
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.59 no.2
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    • pp.29-36
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    • 2017
  • The objective of this study was to analyze the temporal and spatial characteristics of agricultural drought by tracking the daily reservoir storage in Chungnam province. All daily records of the percent of reservoir storage from 2000 to 2015 were collected for 130 irrigation reservoirs from the RIMS (Rural Infrastructure Management System). The temporal change of province-wide average reservoir storage and the statistics showed that the annual average and minimum percent of reservoir storage in 2015 were extremely low like as those in the historical drought years of 2001 and 2012. The minimum reservoir storage on record was a 41 % at the end of September and remained far less than its historical average even until the end of the year. Furthermore, the annual average reservoir storage (68.3 %) recorded the lowest on record since 2000. In addition, about half of 130 major irrigation reservoirs in Chungnam fell into the risk of water shortage below 30 % full, and, in terms of annual minimum reservoir storage, the 79 reservoirs yielded lower storage in 2015 comparing with the measured in another drought year, 2001. On the other hand, irrigation reservoirs of comparatively worse storage condition revealed to be mostly located on the inside, such as Cheongyang-gun and Hongsung-gun. Conclusively, the low reservoir storage, still far below average even on December 2015, induced a serious concern about that more extreme drought would happen in the next spring.

Evaluation of Economic Effects of Agricultural Drought Using CGE Model - Focus on Rice Productivity - (CGE 모형을 활용한 농업 가뭄의 직간접적 파급효과 계측 - 쌀 생산성을 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Hyeon-Woong;Sung, Jae-Hoon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.93-104
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    • 2022
  • Agriculture is one of the most vulnerable sector to droughts, and drought damage on the agriculture sector could have effects on other sector. Droughts have different characteristics compared to other extreme events, which means more sophisticated methods considering the characteristics of droughts are required when measuring their damage. The purpose of this study is to analyze the damage of droughts based on limited computational general equilibrium model. To be specific, we constructed a CGE model focusing on the agriculture sector in Korea. Also, to limit changes in land use and labor, we limited them, and assume droughts only have effects on productivity of value-added. Lastly, we simulate drought effects on rice production in Korea based on several climate scenarios and GCM to identify the economic effects of droughts. The results show that 1) the cumulated damage of droughts during 2021~2040 is higher than other periods (2040~2061, 2081~2100), 2) the correlation between the damage of droughts and SSP scenarios is insignificant. This result implies the necessity of the effective drought risk management to prevent future droughts effects, irrespective of mitigation policies. 3) Due to increases in rice price, GDP of rice sector is increased. However, GDP of the other sector and consumer welfare are decreased. This result show that indirect effects of droughts would be more important when measuring drought effects on agriculture sector.

Impact Assessment of Climate Change on Drought Risk (기후변화가 가뭄 위험성에 미치는 영향 평가)

  • Kim, Byung-Sik;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Kim, Hung-Soo
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2011
  • A chronic drought stress has been imposed during non-rainy season(from winter to spring) since 1990s. We faced the most significant water crisis in 2001, and the drought was characterized by sultry weather and severe drought on a national scale. It has been widely acknowledged that the drought related damage is 2-3 times serious than floods. In the list of the world's largest natural disaster compiled by NOAA, 4 of the top 5 disasters are droughts. And according to the analysis from the NDMC report, the drought has the highest annual average damage among all the disasters. There was a very serious impact on the economic such as rising consumer price during the 2001 spring drought in Korea. There has been flood prevention measures implemented at national-level but for mitigation of droughts, there are only plans aimed at emergency (short-term) restoration rather than the comprehensive preventive measures. In addition, there is a lack of a clear set of indicators to express drought situation objectively, and therefore it is important and urgent to begin a systematic study. In this study, a nonstationary downscaling model using RCM based climate change scenario was first applied to simulate precipitation, and the simulated precipitation data was used to derive Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI). The SPI under climate change was used to evaluate the spatio-temporal variability of drought through principal component analysis at three different time scales which are 2015, 2045 and 2075. It was found that spatio-temporal variability is likely to modulate with climate change.

Effect of Salicylic Acid and Abscisic Acid on Drought Stress of Waxy Corn (찰옥수수 한발 스트레스에 대한 살리실산과 앱시식산의 처리 효과)

  • Seo, Youngho;Park, Kijin;Chang, Eunha;Ryu, Sihwan;Park, Jongyeol;Kim, Kyunghi
    • KOREAN JOURNAL OF CROP SCIENCE
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    • v.59 no.1
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    • pp.54-58
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    • 2014
  • Climate change may result in greater risk of yield reduction of waxy corn due to drought stress and maize is one of the sensitive crops to the soil moisture shortage. While irrigation is the most effective practice to reduce the drought damage, farmers are unable to apply water due to limited water resource and irrigating facilities. The study was conducted to investigate the application effect of salicylic acid and abscisic acid on reducing drought stress of waxy corn (Zea mays L.). Drought stress was imposed by withholding irrigation from 9 days before anthesis to 14 days after anthesis. Salicylic acid or abscisic acid was applied on tasseling date at concentration of 0.5 mM and 0.1 mM, respectively. Drought stress increased anthesis-silking interval (ASI) by 3.0~3.3 days and decreased plant height, ear length, ear diameter, number of rows in ear, and yield by 47~51 cm, 4.6~5.0 cm, 4.4~5.3 mm, 1.5~2.0, and 2.4~2.5 Mg/ha, respectively. Application of salicylic acid and abscisic acid did not significantly reduced the drought injuries of waxy corn. Pretreatment of the plant growth regulators before water deficit stress or divided application at low concentration may be required to obtain the reduction effect on drought stress of waxy corn.