• Title/Summary/Keyword: Drought periods

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A Study on Parameter Estimation for SWAT Calibration Considering Streamflow of Long-term Drought Periods (장기 가뭄기간의 유출량을 고려한 SWAT 보정 매개변수 추정 연구)

  • Kim, Da Rae;Kim, Seong Joon
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.59 no.2
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    • pp.19-27
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    • 2017
  • Recently, the hydrological model Soil Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) has been applied in many watersheds in South Korea. This study estimated parameters in SWAT for calibrating streamflow in long-term drought periods. Therefore, we focused on the continuous severe drought periods 2014~2015, and understand the model calibrated parameters. The SWAT was applied to a $366.5km^2$ Gongdo watershed by using 14 years (2002~2015) daily observed streamflow (Q) including two years extreme drought period of 2014~2015. The 9 parameters of CN2, CANMX, ESCO, SOL_K, SLSOIL, LAT_TIME, GW_DELAY, GWQMN, ALPHA_BF were selected for model calibration. The SWAT result by focusing on 5 normal years (2002~2006) calibration showed the 14 years average Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiency (NSE) for Q and 1/Q with 0.78 and 0.58 respectively. On the other hand, the 14 years average NSEs of Q and 1/Q by focusing on 2 drought years (2014~2015) calibration were 0.86 and 0.76 respectively. Thus, we could infer that the SWAT calibration trial by focusing on drought periods data can be a good approach to calibrate both high flow and low flow by controlling the 9 drought affected parameters.

Calibration of Water Quality Parameters in SWAT Considering Continuous Drought Periods 2014~2015 (2014~2015 연속가뭄을 고려한 SWAT 수질 매개변수 보정)

  • Kim, Da Rae;Lee, Ji Wan;Jung, Chung Gil;Kim, Seong Joon
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.60 no.1
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    • pp.11-20
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    • 2018
  • This study is to calibrate the SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool) water quality of SS (Suspended Solid), T-P (Total Phosphorus), and T-N (Total Nitrogen) by focusing on 2014~2015 drought periods and identify the important parameters. For Gongdo watershed ($366.5km^2$), the SWAT was calibrated for 2 cases of 2002~2006 normal year focusing calibration and 2014~2015 drought focusing calibration respectively. The parameters of N_UPDIS (Nitrogen uptake distribution parameter) and CMN (Rate factor for humus mineralization of active organic nutrients) played important roles for T-N calibration during drought periods. The SWAT SS, T-N, and T-P average $R^2$ (Coefficient of determination) results by focusing on 2014~2015 drought periods calibration showed 0.71, 0.65 and 0.62 while 2002~2006 normal year focusing calibration showed 0.63, 0.58 and 0.50 respectively. Also SWAT SS, T-N, and T-P model efficiency NSE (Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency) results by focusing on drought period (2014~2015) calibrated showed 0.76, 0.77, 0.87 respectively. Even though the SS, T-P parameters were unchanged during the calibration, the SS and T-P results were improved by the hydrological parameters (SCS-CN, SOL_K, SLSOIL) during the drought periods. The SWAT water quality calibration needs to be considered for the movement of SS and nutrients transport especially focusing on the drought characteristics.

An Analysis of the Drought Period Using Non-Linear Water Balance Model and Palmer Drought Severity1 Index (비선형 물수지모형과 팔머가뭄심도지수를 이용한 가뭄지속기간 분석)

  • Lee, Jae-Su
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.533-542
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    • 2001
  • In order to establish drought policy, the estimation of drought period for each drought situation should be preceded. Non-linear Water Balance Model(NWBM) and palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) can be used for analysis of drought period. As a water balance method considering moisture transfer between land surface and atmosphere, NWBM can be used to estimate transition time between dry and wet period induced by stochastic fluctuations. PDSI is also water balance method to show drought severity comparing actual precipitation with climatically appropriate precipitation based on precipitation and potential evapotranspiration. In this study, the drought periods are estimated using NWBM and PDSI for the Han River Basin. The drought periods according to the soil moisture estimated by NWBS and the drought periods according to drought severity index estimated by PDSI show similar trend. The estimated drought period from extreme drought to wet condition for the Han River Basin is about 3years.

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Evaluation on Maximum Irrigation Amounts of Groundwater Keeping up with a Demand During Short-term Drought (가뭄 수요대응 단기간 허용 가능한 최대 취수량 평가)

  • Lee, Byung Sun;Myoung, Wooho;Lee, Gyusang;Song, Sung-Ho
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.76-87
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    • 2021
  • Groundwater is considered to be the best water resource to solve water shortage problems during drought periods. Even though excessive pumping (overdraft) during short-period may give an unprofitable effect on groundwater hydrology, it has a primary role to solve a lack of water resources and to maintain incomes of farmers. This study evaluated maximum irrigation amounts of groundwater to each local-government and province during drought periods. Maximum irrigation amounts of groundwater were evaluated using cumulative groundwater usage data of each local-government during normal and drought years. Maximum irrigation amounts of groundwater during drought periods would be roughly identified as approximately 1.3 times more than the exploitable amounts of groundwater resources for each local-government. Drawdown-limitation depth on groundwater levels at each monitoring well was determined by transforming the maximum irrigating amounts into degree of change on levels. Universal limitation depth of drawdown on groundwater levels was evaluated to be approximately three times of annual fluctuating range on groundwater levels for each monitoring well. Systematic response on groundwater demands with abiding by drawdown-limitation depth can attain an optimal irrigation of groundwater resources during short-term drought.

Future drought assessment in the Nakdong basin in Korea under climate change impacts

  • Kim, Gwang-Seob;Quan, Ngo Van
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.458-458
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    • 2012
  • Climate extreme variability is a major cause of disaster such as flood and drought types occurred in Korea and its effects is also more severe damage in last decades which can be danger mature events in the future. The main aim of this study was to assess the effectives of climate change on drought for an agriculture as Nakdong basin in Korea using climate change data in the future from data of General Circulation Models (GCM) of ECHO-G, with the developing countries like Korea, the developed climate scenario of medium-high greenhouse gas emission was proposed of the SRES A2. The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) was applied for drought evaluation. The drought index (SPI) applied for sites in catchment and it is evaluated accordingly by current and future precipitation data, specific as determined for data from nine precipitation stations with data covering the period 1980-2009 for current and three periods 2010-2039, 2040-2069 and 2070-2099 for future; time scales of 3month were used for evaluating. The results determined drought duration, magnitude and spatial extent. The drought in catchment act intensively occurred in March, April, May and November and months of drought extreme often appeared annual in May and November; drought frequent is a non-uniform cyclic pattern in an irregular repetitive manner, but results showed drought intensity increasing in future periods. The results indicated also spatial point of view, the SPI analysis showed two of drought extents; local drought acting on one or more one of sites and entire drought as cover all of site in catchment. In addition, the meteorology drought simulation maps of spatial drought representation were carried out with GIS software to generate for some drought extreme years in study area. The method applied in this study are expected to be appropriately applicable to the evaluation of the effects of extreme hydrologic events, the results also provide useful for the drought warning and sustainable water resources management strategies and policy in agriculture basins.

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A Development of Inflow Forecasting Models for Multi-Purpose Reservior (다목적 저수지 유입량의 예측모형)

  • Sim, Sun-Bo;Kim, Man-Sik;Han, Jae-Seok
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 1992.07a
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    • pp.411-418
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    • 1992
  • The purpose of this study is to develop dynamic-stochastic models that can forecast the inflow into reservoir during low/drought periods and flood periods. For the formulation of the models, the discrete transfer function is utilized to construct the deterministic characteristics, and the ARIMA model is utilized to construct the stochastic characteristics of residuals. The stochastic variations and structures of time series on hydrological data are examined by employing the auto/cross covariance function and auto/cross correlation function. Also, general modeling processes and forecasting method are used the model building methods of Box and Jenkins. For the verifications and applications of the developed models, the Chungju multi-purpose reservoir which is located in the South Han river systems is selected. Input data required are the current and past reservoir inflow and Yungchun water levels. In order to transform the water level at Yungchon into streamflows, the water level-streamflows rating curves at low/drought periods and flood periods are estimated. The models are calibrated with the flood periods of 1988 and 1989 and hourly data for 1990 flood are analyzed. Also, for the low/drought periods, daily data of 1988 and 1989 are calibrated, and daily data for 1989 are analyzed.

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Drought Analysis using SC-PDSI and Derivation of Drought Severity-Duration-Frequency Curves in North Korea (SC-PDSI를 이용한 북한지역 가뭄분석 및 가뭄심도-지속기간-생기빈도 곡선의 유도)

  • Kang, Shin Uk;Moon, Jang Won
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.47 no.9
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    • pp.813-824
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    • 2014
  • In this study, drought of North Korea are analyzed using drought index. 27 weather stations are selected and monthly precipitation and average temperature data are collected for drought analysis. SC-PDSI is used for drought analysis and calculated using collected weather data during 1984~2013 (30 years) in 27 weather stations. From the analysis result of historical drought event using drought index, it is confirmed that severe droughts occurred in the early and mid 2000's at most stations. Secondly, drought frequency analysis was carried out for the derivation of drought severity-duration-frequency (SDF) curves to enable quantitative evaluations of past historical droughts having been occurred in 6 stations (Pyeongyang, Hamheung, Cheongjin, Wonsan, Haeju, Sinuiju). This study can suggest return periods for historical major drought events by using derived SDF curves for each station. In the result, drought events in the early and mid 2000's had return periods of 20~50 years.

A development of trivariate drought frequency analysis approach using copula function (Copula 함수를 활용한 삼변량 가뭄빈도해석 기법 개발)

  • Kim, Jin-Young;So, Byung-Jin;Kim, Tae-Woong;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.49 no.10
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    • pp.823-833
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    • 2016
  • This study developed a trivariate Copula function based drought frequency analysis model to better evaluate the recent 2014~2015 drought event. The bivariate frequency analysis has been routinely used for the drought variables of interest (e.g. drought duration and severity). However, the recent drought patterns showed that the intensity can be regarded as an important factor which is being characterized by short duration and severe intensity. Thus, we used the trivariate Copula function approach to incorporate the trivariate drought characteristics into the drought frequency analysis. It was found that the return periods based on the trivariate frequency analysis are, in general, higher than the existing bivariate frequency analysis. In addition, this study concludes that the increase in drought frequency claimed by the Gumbel copula function has been overestimated compared to the Student t Copula function. In other words, the selection of copula functions is rather sensitive to the estimation of trivariate drought return periods at a given duration, magnitude and intensity.

Research on the Effect of the Control Methods of Irrigation Water on the Growth and Yield of Paddy Rice. (한발기에 있어서 용수관리 방법이 수도생육과 그 수량에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구)

  • 김시원
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.2177-2190
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    • 1971
  • This experiment was made to determienthe effect of various soil moisture contents in simulated drought conditions on different stages of rice growth. The drought conditions were developed at such three rice-growing stages as transplanting, immediately after transplanting and young ear forming. Three different lengths of drought periods, which are ten days, twenty days and thirty days, were applied for each growing stage of rice. The rice variety used this experiment is Nong-rim 29. This experiment was conducted at the university farm of the Kon-Kuk University during the period of $1968{\sim}1970$. Three reprications for each of 12 treatments and split plot design were employed in this study. Bottomless wood square boxes, $1^m{\times}1^m{\times}1^m$, were burried in the test plot and box top was covered with poloyethylene sheets to avoid natural rainfall drops. Standard plots were irrigated continuously with a water depth of 40mm/day and those of drought treatments were irrigated continuously up to the beginning of the planned drought period, and they were irrigated again with a depth of 40mm/day up to the maturing stage of rice. Other methods for rice raising followed those methods developed by the Field Crops Experiment Station of the Office of Rural Development. During this experiments, climatic conditions in regard to rainfalls, sunshine hours, and temperatures were observed. According to this observation, those values measured deviate slightly from the annual means. However the growing condition of rice plants were normal. The pH value of irritation water is nearly neutral, and soils in the test plots are relatively fertile, being similar to ordinary paddy soils. Analysis of variances for number of stalks, plan-height, ear sprouting date, length of stalks, ear length, number of ears per plant, fertility, grain weitght, weight of plant, and yield were carried out. The variances for plant height, ear sprouting date, length of stalk ear length, and yield has statistical significance under drought treatments applied at three different growing stages. The variance showing the effect of lengths of drought period is highly significant for all the treatments studied except that of grain weight. The interaction between drought periods and drought treatments at different growing stages is significant for plant height, stalk length, ear length, number of ears, fertility and yield, these results indicated that droughts at different growing stages have influence on plant height, ear length, yield, and length of drought period also has strong influence on all factors studied except grain weight. The combination of drought treatments at different rice growing stages and lengths of drought periods has different effects on various agronomic characteristics, including yield. Plant height under drought treatment practiced at transplanting stage is the lowest, and drought treatment applied immediately after transplanting resulted in the least number of stalks. The effect of different lengths of drought periods on plant height and number of stalks depends signis ficantly on increasing days of drought. Ear sprouting date tends to be delayed for one or two days undedrought treatments at transplanting period and with increasing days of drought. Better yield is secured in drought treatment applied immediately after transplanting. Adverse effect war observed when drought treatment was applied at ear forming period. These effects may be attributed to the alternation of irrigation and drought causing vigorous root activity. In general, yield linearly decreases as the length of the drought period increases. The results obtained in this study demonstrate that, in order to mimimize damage due to drought, and, to save irrigation water, paddy fields, immediately after transplanting, may be not irrigated, since there is sufficient moisture in the soil, and that sufficient irrigation water should be applied again in the ear forming stage of rice plant.

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Regional Frequency Analysis of Drought Rainfall using L-Moments (L-모멘트법에 의한 가뭄우량의 지역빈도분석)

  • Lee, Soon-Hyuk;Yoon, Seong-Soo;Maeng, Sung-Jin;Ryoo, Kyong-Sik;Joo, Ho-Kil
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 2003.10a
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    • pp.451-454
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    • 2003
  • This study was mainly conducted to derive the design drought rainfall by the consecutive duration using probability weighted moments with rainfall in the regional drought frequency analysis. Selecting the drought rainfall series by the consecutive durations of drought observed for the long period all over the regions in Korea, optimal regionalization of the drought rainfall was classified by the climatologically and geographically homogeneous regions. Using the L-moment ratio and Kolmogorov- Smimov test, resonable frequency distribution for the drought rainfall was selected by the regions and consecutive periods of drought. Design drought rainfalls by the regions and consecutive durations were derived and compared by at-site and regional drought frequency analysis using the method of L-moments.

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