• Title/Summary/Keyword: Drought indices

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Drought Analyses of 1994 Using Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI를 이용한 1994년 가뭄분석)

  • 김상민;박승우;김현준
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 1998.10a
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    • pp.92-98
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    • 1998
  • Among several indices that have been proposed and adopted in different disciplines of sciences, standardized precipitation index, SPI by McKee et al. (1993) was applied to evaluate drought severity for historical rainfall records. Monthly SPI in Seoul station was reviewed in this study, in an effort to characterize the drought intensities during 1994. The SPI drought frequency decreases inversely with monthly time scales of different spans, while the drought duration increases. March, 1994 was found to be the most severe for the three month period, and was recognized as the beginning month of the historical drought spans. Drought intensities became less severe during May and June. SPI becomes greater from July to September particularly in eastern parts of the country.

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Potential of Drought Monitoring with Multi-Temporal Normalized Difference Vegetation Index in North-East Asia

  • Shin, Soo-Hyun;Ryu, Joung-Mi;Park, Yoon-Il;Lee, Kyu-Sung
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.1033-1035
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    • 2003
  • This study attempts to analyze the potential of global scale NDVI data archive to monitor regional scale droughts. Ten-days maximum value NDVI composite data of the northeast Asia region were acquired for the growing seasons from 1993 to 2003. Two NDVI-derived drought indices (SVI, VCI), reported from previous studies, were applied to the study area. Although the SVI and VCI are mainly developed for monitoring the drought condition at the agriculture crop and grasslands, it turned out that they were also effective to reveal the drought condition over the temperate mixed forest. The drought symptom lasts at least one or two months even after the normal raining begins.

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Projection of Future Changes in Drought Characteristics in Korea Peninsula Using Effective Drought Index (유효가뭄지수(EDI)를 이용한 한반도 미래 가뭄 특성 전망)

  • Gwak, Yongseok;Cho, Jaepil;Jung, Imgook;Kim, Dowoo;Jang, Sangmin
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.31-45
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    • 2018
  • This study implemented the prediction of drought properties (number of drought events, intensity, duration) using the user-oriented systematical procedures of downscaling climate change scenarios based the multiple global climate models (GCMs), AIMS (APCC Integrated Modeling Solution) program. The drought properties were defined and estimated with Effective Drought Index (EDI). The optimal 10 models among 29 GCMs were selected, by the estimation of the spatial and temporal reproducibility about the five climate change indices related with precipitation. In addition, Simple Quantile Mapping (SQM) as the downscaling technique is much better in describing the observed precipitation events than Spatial Disaggregation Quantile Delta Mapping (SDQDM). Even though the procedure was systematically applied, there are still limitations in describing the observed spatial precipitation properties well due to the offset of spatial variability in multi-model ensemble (MME) analysis. As a result, the farther into the future, the duration and the number of drought generation will be decreased, while the intensity of drought will be increased. Regionally, the drought at the central regions of the Korean Peninsula is expected to be mitigated, while that at the southern regions are expected to be severe.

Monitoring of the Drought in the Upstream Area of Soyang River, Inje-Gun, Kangwon-do Using KOMPSAT-2/3 Satellite (KOMPSAT-2/3 위성을 활용한 강원도 인제군 소양강 상류지역의 가뭄 모니터링)

  • Park, Sung-Jae;Lee, Chang-Wook
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.34 no.6_3
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    • pp.1319-1327
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    • 2018
  • Korea has a terrain vulnerable to drought due to the concentration of precipitation in summer and the large amount of groundwater discharge. Quantified drought indices are used to determine these droughts. Among these, drought index is mainly used for analysis of precipitation, and recently, researches have been conducted to monitor drought using satellite images. In this study, we used the KOMPSAT-2/3 image to calculate the water surface area and compare with the drought index in order to monitor the drought in the Upper Soyang River. As a result, it was confirmed that the tendency of the water surface area change and the trend of the drought index were similar in the satellite images. Future research could be used as a basis for judging drought.

Satellite-based Hybrid Drought Assessment using Vegetation Drought Response Index in South Korea (VegDRI-SKorea) (식생가뭄반응지수 (VegDRI)를 활용한 위성영상 기반 가뭄 평가)

  • Nam, Won-Ho;Tadesse, Tsegaye;Wardlow, Brian D.;Jang, Min-Won;Hong, Suk-Young
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.57 no.4
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2015
  • The development of drought index that provides detailed-spatial-resolution drought information is essential for improving drought planning and preparedness. The objective of this study was to develop the concept of using satellite-based hybrid drought index called the Vegetation Drought Response Index in South Korea (VegDRI-SKorea) that could improve spatial resolution for monitoring local and regional drought. The VegDRI-SKorea was developed using the Classification And Regression Trees (CART) algorithm based on remote sensing data such as Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) from MODIS satellite images, climate drought indices such as Self Calibrating Palmer Drought Severity Index (SC-PDSI) and Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), and the biophysical data such as land cover, eco region, and soil available water capacity. A case study has been done for the 2012 drought to evaluate the VegDRI-SKorea model for South Korea. The VegDRI-SKorea represented the drought areas from the end of May and to the severe drought at the end of June. Results show that the integration of satellite imageries and various associated data allows us to get improved both spatially and temporally drought information using a data mining technique and get better understanding of drought condition. In addition, VegDRI-SKorea is expected to contribute to monitor the current drought condition for evaluating local and regional drought risk assessment and assisting drought-related decision making.

Evaluation of the Relationship between Meteorological Drought and Agricultural Drought of Geum River Basin During 2014~2016 (금강유역 2014~2016년 기상학적 가뭄과 농업가뭄간의 상관성 평가)

  • Lee, Ji Wan;Kim, Kyoung-Ho;Kim, Sehoon;Woo, Soyoung;Kim, Seong Joon
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.21 no.spc
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    • pp.80-89
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the relationship between SPI (Standardized Precipitation Index) meteorological drought and RDI (Reservoir Drought Index) agricultural drought for Geum river basin. Drought Indices was calculated by collecting data of precipitation and agricultural reservoir water storage rate from 2014 to 2016. To evaluated the correlation between meteorological and agricultural drought, the Pearson correlation and the Receiver Operation Characteristic (ROC) analysis were conducted to evaluate the correlation between meteorological and agricultural droughts. The SPI-6 and RDI showed the highest relationship with Pearson coefficient 0.606 and ROC hit rates 0.722 respectively, and the spatial occurrence patterns of drought using overlapped SPI-6 and RDI, the big differences between the 2 indices were occurred in the upstream areas of Miho stream and Nonsan stream from August to October 2015. The analysis using reservoirs specifications for areas where reservoir droughts occurred was conducted, and the areas showing severe drought of RDI were the reservoir areas having relatively small value of basin magnifying power (BMP). This means that a reservoir has the reaction capability for agricultural drought mainly depending on the reservoir BMP.

Hydrological Drought Analysis and Monitoring Using Multiple Drought Indices: The Case of Mulrocheon Watershed (수문학적 가뭄감시 및 해석을 위한 다양한 가뭄지수 평가 -물로천 유역을 중심으로-)

  • Lee, Joo-Heon;Park, Seo-Yeon;Kim, Min Gyu;Chung, Il-Moon
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.41 no.5
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    • pp.477-484
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    • 2021
  • Due to climate change, parts of Korea are experiencing large and small droughts every 2-3 years and extreme droughts every 7 years. Since most droughts occur mainly in areas where small water supply facilities in the tributaries or upstream are located, more research on technology for securing water in these areas is required. In this study, a drought evaluation using SPEI (Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index), SDI (Streamflow Drought Index), and WBDI (Water Budget-based Drought Index) was performed to investigate hydrological drought in the Mulrocheon watershed of Chuncheon, a vulnerable area in terms of water supply. As a result of calculating hydrological drought indices SPEI and SDI, examining each duration, it was confirmed that the common drought in 2014 did not recover and continued until 2015. In the hydrological drought index evaluation result by WBDI, a very severe drought condition was observed in the spring of 2015 following 2014, and that drought was the most severe at -1.94 in November 2017. As a result of deriving a SDF (Severity-Duration-Frequency) curve through frequency analysis by duration using the drought index calculated on a monthly basis from 2003 to 2019 (17 years), most droughts in the Mulrocheon watershed were found to have a return period of less than 10 years, but droughts that occurred in 2014, 2015, and 2019 were found to cover more than 20 years, respectively.

Weighting Coefficient Estimation of Vegetation Health Index for Ecological Drought Analysis (생태가뭄분석을 위한 식생건강지수의 가중치 매개변수 추정)

  • Won, Jeongeun;Choi, Jeonghyeon;Lee, Okjeong;Seo, Jiyu;Kim, Sangdan
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.275-285
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    • 2020
  • In this study, after estimating VCI (Vegation Condition Index), TCI (Thermal Condition Index) and VHI (Vegetation Health Index) from the NDVI (Normalized Differentiation Vegetation Index) and LST (Land Surface Temperature) remotely sensed at major sites in Korea during the 2001-1919 period, the correlation between these indices and various drought indices is analyzed for the purpose of assessing the effects of ecological drought. The relative impact of VCI and TCI on vegetation health was found to vary by region. The effects of drought on vegetation in Korea's forest areas could be more clearly identified in TCI than in VCI. It is suggested that the revised VHI, reflecting the relative influence of VCI and TCI, can better explain the effects of drought on vegetation.

Estimation on Drought Indicator Using Various Time Series (다양한 시계열을 이용한 가뭄지표 산정)

  • Im, Gyeong-Jin;Sim, Myeong-Pil;Seong, Gi-Won;Lee, Hyeon-Jae
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.34 no.6
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    • pp.673-685
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    • 2001
  • In this study, the drought indicator is calculate from the rainfall, daily highest temperature, streamflow and Palmer Drought Severity Index(PDSI) for water plan and drought management in a relatively wide region. Three levels of drought severity, called drought watch, drought warning, and drought emergency, are established for these series which determine exceedance levels. The 25% nonexceedance level is used for drought watch, 10% for drought warning, and 5% for drought emergency to figure how well the drought indicators represent the past-drought and that those can be used for drought monitoring. As a result, 9-month and 12-month precipitation, and PDSI series shows the best consistency and high correlation indicate droughts. Because the results are based on the gauged data and simply calculated, the suggested indices can be used for basic data for drought monitoring system of a basin.

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Probabilistic Assessment of Hydrological Drought Using Hidden Markov Model in Han River Basin (은닉 마코프 모형을 이용한 한강유역 수문학적 가뭄의 확률론적 평가)

  • Park, Yei Jun;Yoo, Ji Young;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.47 no.5
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    • pp.435-446
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    • 2014
  • Various drought indices developed from previous studies can not consider the inherent uncertainty of drought because they assess droughts using a pre-defined threshold. In this study, to consider inherent uncertainty embedded in monthly streamflow data, Hidden Markov Model (HMM) based drought index (HMDI) was proposed and then probabilistic assessment of hydrologic drought was performed using HMDI instead of using pre-defined threshold. Using monthly streamflow data (1966~2009) of Pyeongchang river and Upper Namhan river provided by Water Management Information System (WAMIS), applying the HMM after moving-averaging the data with 3, 6, 12 month windows, this study calculated the posterior probability of hidden state that becomes the HMDI. For verifying the method, this study compared the HMDI and Standardized Streamflow Index (SSI) which is one of drought indices using a pre-defined threshold. When using the SSI, only one value can be used as a criterion to determine the drought severity. However, the HMDI can classify the drought condition considering inherent uncertainty in observations and show the probability of each drought condition at a particular point in time. In addition, the comparison results based on actual drought events occurred near the basin indicated that the HMDI outperformed the SSI to represent the drought events.