• Title/Summary/Keyword: Drought evaluation

Search Result 247, Processing Time 0.023 seconds

Probabilistic evaluation of ecological drought in forest areas using satellite remote sensing data (인공위성 원격 감지 자료를 활용한 산림지역의 생태학적 가뭄 가능성에 대한 확률론적 평가)

  • Won, Jeongeun;Seo, Jiyu;Kang, Shin-Uk;Kim, Sangdan
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.54 no.9
    • /
    • pp.705-718
    • /
    • 2021
  • Climate change has a significant impact on vegetation growth and terrestrial ecosystems. In this study, the possibility of ecological drought was investigated using satellite remote sensing data. First, the Vegetation Health Index was estimated from the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index and Land Surface Temperature provided by MODIS. Then, a joint probability model was constructed to estimate the possibility of vegetation-related drought in various precipitation/evaporation scenarios in forest areas around 60 major ASOS sites of the Meteorological Administration located throughout Korea. The results of this study show the risk pattern of drought related to forest vegetation under conditions of low atmospheric moisture supply or high atmospheric moisture demand. It also identifies the sensitivity of drought risks associated with forest vegetation under various meterological drought conditions. These findings provide insights for decision makers to assess drought risk and develop drought mitigation strategies related to forest vegetation in a warming era.

A Comparative Study on the Drought Indices for Drought Evaluation (가뭄평가를 위한 가뭄지수의 비교 연구)

  • Ryu, Jae-Hea;Lee, Dong-Ryul;Ahn, Jae-Hyun;Yoon, Yong-Nam
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.35 no.4 s.129
    • /
    • pp.397-410
    • /
    • 2002
  • In order to quantitatively identify historical drought conditions and to evaluate their variability, drought indices commonly used. The calculation method for the drought index based on the principal hydrological factors, such as precipitation and reservoir storage, can estimate the duration and intensity of a drought. In this study the Palmer-type formula for drought index is derived for the Nakdong River basin by analyzing the monthly rainfall and meteorological data at 21 stations. The Palmer Drought Severity Index(PDSI) is used for dry land sectors to evaluate the meteorological anomaly in terms of an index which permits time and space comparisons of drought severity. The Surface Water Supply Index(SWSI) is devised for the use in conjunction with the Palmer index to provide an objective indicator of water supply conditions in Nakdong River basin. The SWSI was designed to quantify surface water supply capability of a watershed which depends on river and reservoir water The Standardized Precipitation Index(SPI) is evaluated for various time periods of 1 to 12 months in Nakdong River basin. For the purpose of comparison between drought indices correlation coefficient was calculated between indices and appropriate SPI time period was selected as 10 months for Nakdong River basin. A comparative study is made to evaluate the relative severity of the significant droughts occurred in Nakdong River basin since 1976. It turned out that $'94{\sim}'97$ drought was the worst drought in it's severity. It is found that drought indices are very useful tools in quantitatively evaluating the severity of a drought over a river basin.

The Assessment of Socioeconomic Droughts Using a Water Excess Deficiency Index (용수과부족지수(WEDI)를 이용한 사회경제학적 가뭄평가)

  • Yoo, Ji Young;Park, Jong Yong;Kim, Tae-Woong;Park, Moo Jong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.31 no.3B
    • /
    • pp.253-264
    • /
    • 2011
  • Drought assessment is usually performed qualitatively and/or quantitatively after defining a drought from meteorological, agricultural, hydrological, and socioeconomic perspective. Most of the drought analyses focus on meteorological, agricultural, and hydrological droughts, whereas the socioeconomic drought evaluation has been not actively performed since it needs different aspects. In this study, after defining a socioeconomic drought applicable to assess droughts in Korea, we suggested Water Excess Deficiency Index (WEDI) as an useful tool to evaluate socioeconomic droughts, based on water demand condition and water supply condition. This study verified the validity of WEDI by comparing with other drought indices (SPI, PDSI) and historical drought condition in Gyeongsang-do in 2001. The results indicated that the WEDI can be used to assess regional droughts in a socioeconomic perspective.

Development of Water Supply Capacity Index to Monitor Droughts in a Reservoir (저수지 가뭄감시를 위한 물공급능력지수의 개발)

  • Lee, Dong-Ryul;Moon, Jang-Won;Lee, Dae-Hee;Ahn, Jae-Hyun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.39 no.3 s.164
    • /
    • pp.199-214
    • /
    • 2006
  • The efficient management strategies of reservoirs in periods of drought event are an essential element for drought planning. A Water Supply Capacity Index (WSCI) has been developed for the evaluation and effective monitoring of the supply capacity of a reservoir during a drought event. The WSCI is a measure of the duration that a reservoir can supply a required demand under the worst drought condition. The WSCI is not only a useful standard to refer to when making decisions on reservoir operations in a period of drought, but it can be also applied for setting the drought trigger in water demand sites supplied from the reservoir. The correlation between the standardized WSCI and existing drought indices such as PDSI, SPI and SWSI has been analyzed to the applicability of WSCI.

Agricultural Reservoir Operation Analysis According to Surveyed Irrigation Guideline (현장조사 관개 기준에 따른 농업용 저수지 운영 분석)

  • Kim, Maga;Choi, Jin-Yong;Bang, Jehong;Yoon, Pu Reun;Kim, Kwihoon
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
    • /
    • v.65 no.5
    • /
    • pp.37-49
    • /
    • 2023
  • The drought risk has been increasing recently due to climate change causing the extreme climate to be more frequent. In order to supply agricultural water stably under drought, it is necessary to operate an agricultural reservoir in response to drought. To this end, it is crucial to establish appropriate drought response operation rules considering weather conditions and reservoir status. In the reservoir operation simulation, the supply amount differs from the actual reservoir supply for many reasons, including maintaining water levels for supply and accommodating farmers' requests. So, for a more realistic reservoir operation simulation, it is necessary to reflect the reservoir operation rules of the actual water management site. Therefore, in this study, through a survey, the standards for limitation of agricultural water supply applied to agricultural reservoirs in Korea were investigated, and the criteria for drought response reservoir operation (DRO) were established based on the survey. Then, the DRO was applied to the irrigation period for nine subject reservoirs. The applicability was evaluated by comparing the DRO result to the operation result of HOMWRS (Hydrological Operation Model for Water Resources System). The reservoir drought index, storage rate, and daily supply were compared for evaluation. From the result, DRO showed more stable operation results in most cases against drought as it has fewer days of water supply limitation and a somewhat reservoir storage rate which can be utilized for prolonged drought.

Evaluation of MODIS NDVI for Drought Monitoring : Focused on Comparison of Drought Index (가뭄모니터링을 위한 MODIS NDVI의 활용성 평가: 가뭄지수와의 비교를 중심으로)

  • Park, Jung-Sool;Kim, Kyung-Tak
    • Spatial Information Research
    • /
    • v.17 no.1
    • /
    • pp.117-129
    • /
    • 2009
  • South Korea has been undergoing spring drought periodically and diverse researches using vegetation index have been carried out to monitor spring droughts. The strength of the vegetation index-based drought monitoring is that the monitoring method enables efficient spatio-temporal grasp of changes in drought events. According to the development of low resolution satellite images such as MODIS, which are characterized by outstanding temporal resolution, the use of the method is expected to increase. Drought analysis using vegetation index considered only meteorological factor as a cause that affects vitality of vegetation. But many indirect and direct factors affect vegetation stress, So many uncertainties are involved in such method of analysis. To secure objectivity of drought analysis that uses vegetation index it is therefore necessary to compare the method with most representative drought analysis tools that are used for drought management. In this study, PDSI and SPI which a meteorological drought index that quantifies drought and that is used as a basic index for drought monitoring and MODIS NDVI are compared to propose correlation among them and to show usefulness of drought assessment that uses vegetation index. This study shows changing patterns of NDVI and SPI 6-month are similar and correlation between NDVI and SPI was highest in inland vegetation cover.

  • PDF

Evaluation of Drought Effect on Groundwater System using Groundwater Level Data in Jeju Island (지하수위 자료를 이용한 제주도 지하수계의 가뭄 영향 평가)

  • Song, Sung-Ho;Lee, Byung-Sun;Choi, Kwang-Jun;Kim, Jin-Sung;Kim, Gi-Pyo
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
    • /
    • v.23 no.4
    • /
    • pp.637-647
    • /
    • 2014
  • Quantitative assessment of groundwater level change under extreme event is important since groundwater system is directly affected by drought. Substantially, groundwater level fluctuation reveals to be delayed from several hours to few months after raining according to the aquifer characteristics. Groundwater system in Jeju Island would be also affected by drought and almost all regions were suffered from a severe drought during summer season (July to September) in 2013. To estimate the effect of precipitation to groundwater system, monthly mean groundwater levels in 2013 compared to those in the past from 48 monitoring wells belong to be largely affected by rainfall(Dr) over Jeju Island were analyzed. Mean groundwater levels during summer season recorded 100 mm lowered of precipitation compared to the past 30 years became decreased to range from 2.63 m to 5.42 m in southern region compared to the past and continued to December. These decreasing trends are also found in western(from -1.21 m to -4.06 m), eastern(-0.91 m to -3.24 m), and northern region(from 0.58 m to -4.02 m), respectively. Moreover, the response of groundwater level from drought turned out to be -3.80 m in August after delaying about one month. Therefore, severe drought in 2013 played an important role on groundwater system in Jeju Island and the effect of drought for groundwater level fluctuation was higher in southern region than other ones according to the regional difference of precipitation decrease.

Identification of Candidate Transcripts Related to Drought Stress using Secondary Traits and qRT-PCR in Tropical Maize (Zea mays L.)

  • Kim, Hyo Chul;Song, Kitae;Moon, Jun-Cheol;Kim, Jae Yoon;Kim, Kyung-Hee;Lee, Byung-Moo
    • KOREAN JOURNAL OF CROP SCIENCE
    • /
    • v.64 no.4
    • /
    • pp.432-440
    • /
    • 2019
  • Global climate change exerts adverse effects on maize production. Among abiotic stresses, drought stress during the tasseling stage (VT) can increase anthesis-silking intervals (ASI) and decrease yield. We performed an evaluation of ASI and yield using a drought-sensitive line (Ki3) and a drought-tolerant line (Ki11) to analyze the correlation with ASI and yield. Moreover, the de novo data of Ki11 were analyzed to find putative novel transcripts related todrought stress in tropical maize. A total of 182 transcripts, with a log2 ratio >1.5, were found by comparing drought conditions to a control. The top 40 transcripts of high expression levels in the de novo analysis were selected and analyzed with PCR. Of the 40 transcripts, six novel transcripts were detected by quantitative real-time PCR (qRT-PCR) using seedling and VT stage samples. Five transcripts (transcripts_1, 12, 34, 35, and 40) were up-regulated in the Ki11 shoot at seedling stage, and transcripts_1, 12, and 40 were up-regulated at the re-watering stage after 12 h of drought stress. The transcripts_32 and 34 were up-regulated at the VT stage. Hence, transcript_34 possibly plays a significant role in drought tolerance during the seedling and VT stages. The transcript_32 was identified as chloramphenicol acetyltransferase (CAT) by Pfam domain analysis. The function of the other transcripts remained unknown. Further characterization of these novel transcripts in genetic regulation will be of great value for the improvement of maize production.

Future drought risk assessment under CMIP6 GCMs scenarios

  • Thi, Huong-Nguyen;Kim, Jin-Guk;Fabian, Pamela Sofia;Kang, Dong-Won;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2022.05a
    • /
    • pp.305-305
    • /
    • 2022
  • A better approach for assessing meteorological drought occurrences is increasingly important in mitigating and adapting to the impacts of climate change, as well as strategies for developing early warning systems. The present study defines meteorological droughts as a period with an abnormal precipitation deficit based on monthly precipitation data of 18 gauging stations for the Han River watershed in the past (1974-2015). This study utilizes a Bayesian parameter estimation approach to analyze the effects of climate change on future drought (2025-2065) in the Han River Basin using the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) with four bias-corrected general circulation models (GCMs) under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP)2-4.5 scenario. Given that drought is defined by several dependent variables, the evaluation of this phenomenon should be based on multivariate analysis. Two main characteristics of drought (severity and duration) were extracted from precipitation anomalies in the past and near-future periods using the copula function. Three parameters of the Archimedean family copulas, Frank, Clayton, and Gumbel copula, were selected to fit with drought severity and duration. The results reveal that the lower parts and middle of the Han River basin have faced severe drought conditions in the near future. Also, the bivariate analysis using copula showed that, according to both indicators, the study area would experience droughts with greater severity and duration in the future as compared with the historical period.

  • PDF

Quantifying the 2022 Extreme Drought Using Global Grid-Based Satellite Rainfall Products (전지구 강수관측위성 기반 격자형 강우자료를 활용한 2022년 국내 가뭄 분석)

  • Mun, Young-Sik;Nam, Won-Ho;Jeon, Min-Gi;Lee, Kwang-Ya;Do, Jong-Won;Isaya Kisekka
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
    • /
    • v.66 no.4
    • /
    • pp.41-50
    • /
    • 2024
  • Precipitation is an important component of the hydrological cycle and a key input parameter for many applications in hydrology, climatology, meteorology, and weather forecasting research. Grid-based satellite rainfall products with wide spatial coverage and easy accessibility are well recognized as a supplement to ground-based observations for various hydrological applications. The error properties of satellite rainfall products vary as a function of rainfall intensity, climate region, altitude, and land surface conditions. Therefore, this study aims to evaluate the commonly used new global grid-based satellite rainfall product, Climate Hazards Group InfraRed Precipitation with Station data (CHIRPS), using data collected at different spatial and temporal scales. Additionally, in this study, grid-based CHIRPS satellite precipitation data were used to evaluate the 2022 extreme drought. CHIRPS provides high-resolution precipitation data at 5 km and offers reliable global data through the correction of ground-based observations. A frequency analysis was performed to determine the precipitation deficit in 2022. As a result of comparing droughts in 2015, 2017, and 2022, it was found that May 2022 had a drought frequency of more than 500 years. The 1-month SPI in May 2022 indicated a severe drought with an average value of -1.8, while the 3-month SPI showed a moderate drought with an average value of 0.6. The extreme drought experienced in South Korea in 2022 was evident in the 1-month SPI. Both CHIRPS precipitation data and observations from weather stations depicted similar trends. Based on these results, it is concluded that CHIRPS can be used as fundamental data for drought evaluation and monitoring in unmeasured areas of precipitation.