• Title/Summary/Keyword: Drought evaluation

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Evaluation of the State of Drought by the Operation Rule Curve in the Irrigation Reservoir (관개저수지의 기준저수량 곡선에 의한 한발 평가)

  • 이재면;김영식;김태철
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 1999.10c
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    • pp.117-122
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    • 1999
  • The state of drought was evaluated by the operation rule curve. From the present percentage of reservoir storage and the operation rule curve, it could be determined to ristrict the irrigation water supply to a certain level and eventually to overcome the shortage of water in the irrigation reservoir.

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Evaluation of Drought Tolerance in Maize Seedling using Leaf Rolling (옥수수 유묘기 잎말림에 따른 한발 내성 평가)

  • Song, Kitae;Kim, Kyung-Hee;Kim, Hyo Chul;Moon, Jun-Cheol;Kim, Jae Yoon;Baek, Seong-Bum;Kwon, Young-Up;Lee, Byung-Moo
    • KOREAN JOURNAL OF CROP SCIENCE
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    • v.60 no.1
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    • pp.8-16
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    • 2015
  • The objective of this study was to evaluate the drought tolerance in maize seedling using leaf rolling. Nineteen maize resources, seven Nested Association Mapping parents lines, six Korean commercial cultivars, and six Southeast Asia commercial cultivars, were used to examine drought tolerance. The leaf rolling scores were measured on each leaf in three stress conditions with moderate drought (10%), severe drought (7%), and extreme drought (5%). Generally leaf rolling score of seedlings increased at the lower soil water potentials (5~7%). As a result, drought-tolerant cultivars showed lower leaf rolling score (below 2.5) than the drought sensitive cultivars (above 3.5). Nine varieties, NK4043, CML322, DK9955, NK4300, Ki11, DK8868, CML228, LVN99, and LVN10, have been selected for tolerance to drought stress. These results suggest that the leaf rolling score in maize seedling has been made available to indirect index for drought tolerance.

Quantitative Characterization of Historical Drought Events in Korea - Focusing on Drought Frequency Analysis in the Five Major Basins - (우리나라 과거 가뭄사상의 정량적 특성 분석 -5대강 유역의 가뭄빈도분석을 중심으로-)

  • Lee, Joo-Heon;Jang, Ho-Won;Kim, Jong-Suk;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.48 no.12
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    • pp.1011-1021
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    • 2015
  • This study aims to investigate droughts from the magnitude perspective based on the SPI (Standardized Precipitation Index) and the theory of runs applicable to quantitative analysis of drought in South Korea. In addition, the dry spell analysis was conducted on the drought history in the five major river basins of South Korea to obtain the magnitude, duration and severity of drought, and the quantitative evaluation has been made on historical droughts by estimating the return period using the SDF (Severity-Duration-Frequency) curve gained through drought frequency analysis. The analysis results showed that the return periods for droughts at the regional and major river basin scales were clearly identified. The return periods of severe drought that occurred around the major river basins in South Korea turn out to be mostly 30 to 50 years with the years of the worst drought in terms of severity being 1988 and 1994. In particular, South Korea experienced extremely severe droughts for two consecutive years during the period between 1994 and 1995. Drought in 2014 occurred in the Han River basin and was evaluated as the worst one in terms of severity and magnitude.

Evaluation of Future Hydrologic Risk of Drought in Nakdong River Basin Using Bayesian Classification-Based Composite Drought Index (베이지안 분류 기반 통합가뭄지수를 활용한 낙동강 유역의 미래 가뭄에 대한 수문학적 위험도 분석)

  • Kim, Hyeok;Kim, Ji Eun;Kim, Jiyoung;Yoo, Jiyoung;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.43 no.3
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    • pp.309-319
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    • 2023
  • Recently, the frequency and intensity of meteorological disasters have increased due to climate change. In South Korea, there are regional differences in vulnerability and response capability to cope with climate change because of regional climate characteristics. In particular, drought results from various factors and is linked to extensive meteorological, hydrological, and agricultural impacts. Therefore, in order to effectively cope with drought, it is necessary to use a composite drought index that can take into account various factors, and to evaluate future droughts comprehensively considering climate change. This study evaluated hydrologic risk(${\bar{R}}$) of future drought in the Nakdong River basin based on the Dynamic Naive Bayesian Classification (DNBC)-based composite drought index, which was calculated by applying Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Streamflow Drought Index (SDI), Evaporate Stress Index (ESI) and Water Supply Capacity Index (WSCI) to the DNBC. The indices used in the DNBC were calculated using observation data and climate scenario data. A bivariate frequency analysis was performed for the severity and duration of the composite drought. Then using the estimated bivariate return periods, hydrologic risks of drought were calculated for observation and future periods. The overall results indicated that there were the highest risks during the future period (2021-2040) (${\bar{R}}$=0.572), and Miryang River (#2021) had the highest risk (${\bar{R}}$=0.940) on average. The hydrologic risk of the Nakdong River basin will increase highly in the near future (2021-2040). During the far future (2041-2099), the hydrologic risk decreased in the northern basins, and increased in the southern basins.

Evaluation of the future agricultural drought severity of South Korea by using reservoir drought index (RDI) and climate change scenarios (저수지 가뭄지수와 기후변화 시나리오를 이용한 우리나라 미래 농업가뭄 평가)

  • Kim, Jin Uk;Lee, Ji Wan;Kim, Seong Joon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.52 no.6
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    • pp.381-395
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is to predict agricultural reservoir storage rate (RSR) in a month. This algorithm was developed by multiple linear regression model (MLRM) which included the past 3 months RSRs data and the future climate change scenarios. In order to improve use of predicted RSR, this study need the severe criteria in terms of drought. So, the predicted RSR was indexed as the 3 months reservoir drought index (RDI3) and then it was disaggregated into drought duration, severity, and intensity. For the future RSR estimation by climate change scenarios, the 6 RCP 8.5 scenarios of HadGEM2-ES, CESM1-BGC, MPI-ESM-MR, INM-CM4, FGOALS-s2, and HadGEM3-RA were used in three future evaluation periods (S1: 2011~2040, S2: 2041~2070, S3: 2071~2099). The future S3 period of HadGEM2-ES scenario which has the biggest increase in precipitation and temperature showed the largest decrease to 60.2% among the 6 scenarios compared to the historical RSR (1976~2005) 77.3%. In contrast, INM-CM4 scenario which has smallest changes in precipitation and temperature in S3 period showed the smallest decrease to 72.8%. For the CESM1-BGC and MPI-ESM-MR, FGOALS-s2, and HadGEM3-RA, the S3 period RSR showed 72.6%, 72.6%, 67.4%, and 64.5% decrease respectively. The future severe drought condition of RDI3 below -0.25 showed the increase trend for the number and severity up to -2.0 during S3 period.

Analysis of Wetness/Dryness in Geum River Basin based on Climatic Water Balance (기후학적 물수지에 의한 금강유역의 습윤/건조 상태 분석)

  • Kim, Joo Cheol;Lee, Sang Jin
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.243-251
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    • 2010
  • Evapotranspiration and rainfall-runoff are the major components of hydrological cycle and thereby the changes of them can directly affect the wetness/dryness or runoff characteristics of basins. In this study the wetness/dryness in Geum river basin are classified by dint of cumulative probability density function of monthly moisture index and the long term changes of them are analyzed based on climatic water balance concept. The drought events in Geum river basin are selected through evaluation of monthly moisture index and the various hydrological properties of them are investigated in detail. Also the trends of time-series of climatic water balance components are examined by Seasonal Kendall test and the variability of hydrological cycle in Geum river basin during the recent decade is inquired. It is judged that the results of this study can be contributed to establishment of the counter plan against the future drought events as the fundamental information.

Trend Analysis of Wetness/Dryness in Geum River Basin (금강유역의 습윤/건조 상태에 대한 경향성 분석)

  • Kim, Joo-Cheol;Lee, Sang-Jin;Hwang, Man-Ha;Ahn, Jung-Min
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2010.05a
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    • pp.1640-1644
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    • 2010
  • In this study the wetness/dryness in Geum river basin are classified by dint of cumulative probability density function of monthly moisture index and the long term changes of them are analyzed based on climatic water balance concept. The drought events in Geum river basin are selected through evaluation of monthly moisture index and the various hydrological properties of them are investigated in detail. Also the trends of time-series of climatic water balance components are examined by Seasonal Kendall test and the variability of hydrological cycle in Geum river basin during the recent decade is inquired. It is judged that the results of this study can be contributed to establishment of the counter plan against the future drought events as the fundamental information.

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MODIS DSI for Evaluation of the Local Drought Events in Korea (우리나라의 지역 가뭄 평가를 위한 MODIS DSI 활용)

  • Park, Hye Sun;Um, Myoung-Jin;Kim, Jeong Bin;Kim, Yeonjoo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.35 no.6
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    • pp.1209-1218
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    • 2015
  • As the drought disasters are increased in the world, the need of study using satellite image data is on the rise. This study is conducted to analyze the drought in the region using satellite image, and to analyze the correlation with the standard precipitation index (SPI) and the actual drought cases. We selected Dongducheon and Taebaek region for domestic major drought (2001, 2008-2009). The correlation with the SPI and the observed water level data was analyzed using the $0.05^{\circ}$ spatial resolution and 8days MODIS DSI (Drought Severity Index). In Dongducheon, 6-months DSI has a correlation of 0.71 with the SPI (30). In Taebaek, the correlation between 6-months DSI and SPI (90) was a 0.40 and showed an average hit ratio of 65.7% in comparing with the observed water level of study area. In summary, this study showed a limited correlation between DSI based on satellite images and meteorological drought index SPI and confirmed the possibility of using DSI for the domestic study.

Analysis of effects of drought on water quality using HSPF and QUAL-MEV (HSPF 및 QUAL-MEV를 이용한 가뭄이 수질에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Lee, Sangung;Jo, Bugeon;Kim, Young Do;Lee, Joo-Heon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.56 no.6
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    • pp.393-402
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    • 2023
  • Drought, which has been increasing in frequency and magnitude due to recent abnormal weather events, poses severe challenges in various sectors. To address this issue, it is important to develop technologies for drought monitoring, forecasting, and response in order to implement effective measures and safeguard the ecological health of aquatic systems during water scarcity caused by drought. This study aimed to predict water quality fluctuations during drought periods by integrating the watershed model HSPF and the water quality model QUAL-MEV. The researchers examined the SPI and RCP 4.5 scenarios, and analyzed water quality changes based on flow rates by simulating them using the HSPF and QUAL-MEV models. The study found a strong correlation between water flow and water quality during the low flow. However, the relationship between precipitation and water quality was deemed insignificant. Moreover, the flow rate and SPI6 exhibited different trends. It was observed that the relationship with the mid- to long-term drought index was not significant when predicting changes in water quality influenced by drought. Therefore, to accurately assess the impact of drought on water quality, it is necessary to employ a short-term drought index and develop an evaluation method that considers fluctuations in flow.

Evaluation of Drought Impact and Function Improvement Effect of Agricultural Hydraulic Structures (농업수리구조물의 가뭄 영향 및 기능개선 효과 분석)

  • Lee, Jae-young;Kim, Hwang-hee;Shin, Hyung-jin;Kim, Hae-do;Kwon, Hyung-joong;Jeon, Jong-chan;Cha, Sang-sun;Park, Chan-gi
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.60 no.3
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2018
  • Recently, the frequency and intensity of drought have been increasing due to the sudden abnormal climate in Korea. The occurrence of agricultural drought has been steadily increasing from 5 times in the 1980s to 2000s in 20 years, 6 times in the 10 years from 2000 to 2010, and 4 times in the recent period from 2011 to 2015. Therefore, this study analyzed the effect of water shortage caused by drought by improving the function of agricultural reservoir. The target area analyzed the data such as "Comprehensive Information System for Rural Water" operated by Korea Rural Community Corporation. As a result, we selected the target area as Wanju - gun, Jeollabuk - do in consideration of the rate of water storage compared with the normal 25 years, the completion year of the facility, the area of coverage per reservoir site and the low capacity. As a result of evaluating the improvement effect of agricultural facilities, it was analyzed that the irrigation area increased by about 25.7% when the water level was increased by 1m and the irrigation area increased by about 51.3% when the water level was increased by 2m. The results of the drought impact assessment after improving the function of the agricultural facilities were analyzed that it was effective to improve the function after more than 4m depth.