• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
• /
• v.23 no.5 s.83
• /
• pp.83-92
• /
• 2005

The purpose of the paper is to analyze an effectiveness before and after implementation of the median arterial bus lanes operation. The paper includes a speed analysis based on the Downs-Thomson Paradox theory, and a reliability analysis based on variance analysis of arrival time. According to the speed analysis, some road sections are now under phase 2 according to the Downs-Thomson Paradox, which is a state in which the bus speeds are greater than the car speeds. In the future it is predicted that cars and buses will reach an equilibrium speed which is in phase 3 of the multi-modal equilibrium theory. According to the reliability analysis of arrival time at each bus stop, in roads of median arterial bus lanes. the variance of arrival time is generally smaller than after the scheme implemented in eight months later.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
• /
• v.23 no.8 s.86
• /
• pp.43-51
• /
• 2005

Thomson(1977) proposed that the equilibrium status can exist among modes when each mode's attractivenesses' are equal. His theories key point is that when the equilibrium status is achieved the additional investment for individual car user such as constructing more roads or widening the existing roads, can lead to more congestion. That's the so called 'Downs-Thomson's Paradox. This paper is intended to demonstrate that the paradox is applicable to Seoul Metropolitan area. Before doing that job, we reviewed Downs-Thomson's paradoxes related Papers such as Mogridge's (1985) research for London case. and Seung Jea-Lee's(2004) research for Seoul. In conclusion, the equilibrium status that Thomson proposed can't be applied to Seoul Metropolitan area. because the suppressed demand's behaviour is different from real situation and that of in the theory.