• 응용통계연구
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• 제33권2호
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• pp.137-145
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• 2020

'투약용량 발견 시험(Dose Finding Study)'라고도 불리는 제 1상 임상시험은 동물 실험 혹은 시험관 실험을 통하여 개발된 신약물질을 사람에게 실시하는 첫 단계이다. 제1상 임상시험의 가장 주요한 목적은 환자에게 허용할 수 있고 최대의 효능을 가진 복용량을 결정하는 것이다. 본 논문에서는 이를 고려하여 최대허용용량(MTD)를 결정할 수 있는 적절한 추정방법을 제안하였다. 이 방법은 Biased coin design과 멈춤규칙을 이용하여 MTD를 추정한다. 제안하는 방법은 모의실험을 통해 기존의 방법들과 비교하였다.

• Radiation Oncology Journal
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• 제5권2호
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• pp.137-140
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• 1987

자궁경부암의 고선량율 강내치료의 매 분할 치료시마다 강내 applicator의 위치 차이로 인하여 조사 선량이 치료전 계획된 선량과 차이가 있을 수 있다. 저자는 자궁경부암 환자의 강내치료시 치료전 계획된 A점 선량 500 cGy와 치료직후에 촬영한 전후 및 측면 선 사진을 이용하여 계산된 A점 선량을 비교한 결과, 82예의 강내치료에서 치료 후 계산된 조사 선량과 계획 선량은 $500\pm18 cGy$이었으며 $84\%$에서 $500\pm25 cGy$의 범위에 포함되었다. 이러한 결과에서 계획 선량과 치료 후 계산된 조사 선량사이에 비교적 높은 일치율을 확인할 수 있었다.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제29권3호
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• pp.287-299
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• 2022

In radiation epidemiology, the excess relative risk (ERR) model is used to determine the dose-response relationship. In general, the dose-response relationship for the ERR model is assumed to be linear, linear-quadratic, linear-threshold, quadratic, and so on. However, since none of these functions dominate other functions for expressing the dose-response relationship, a Bayesian semiparametric method using splines has recently been proposed. Thus, we improve the Bayesian semiparametric method for the selection of the tuning parameters for splines as the number and location of knots using a Bayesian knot selection method. Equally spaced knots cannot capture the characteristic of radiation exposed dose distribution which is highly skewed in general. Therefore, we propose a nonparametric Bayesian knot selection method based on a Dirichlet process mixture model. Inference of the spline coefficients after obtaining the number and location of knots is performed in the Bayesian framework. We apply this approach to the life span study cohort data from the radiation effects research foundation in Japan, and the results illustrate that the proposed method provides competitive curve estimates for the dose-response curve and relatively stable credible intervals for the curve.

• 한국환경보건학회지
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• 제50권4호
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• pp.229-236
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• 2024

The linear no-threshold (LNT) model is an assumption that explains the dose-response relationship for health risks, allowing for linear extrapolation from high doses to low doses without a threshold. The selection of an appropriate model for low-dose risk evaluation is a critical component in the risk assessment process for hazardous agents. This paper reviews the LNT model in light of epidemiological evidence from major international consortia studying ionizing radiation. From a scientific perspective, substantial evidence supporting the LNT model has been observed in epidemiological studies of low-dose ionizing radiation exposure, although some findings suggest non-linear dose relationships for certain cancer sites and variations across populations. From a practical standpoint, the LNT remains the most useful model for radiation protection purposes, with no alternative dose-response relationship proving more appropriate. It is important to note that the LNT model does not directly reflect the magnitude of risk at the population level, and this distinction should be clearly communicated to the public. While applying the LNT model as the principal basis for radiation protection, continuous research into various dose-response relationships is crucial for advancing our understanding.

• Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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• 제47권2호
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• pp.77-85
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• 2022

Background: After the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station (FDNPS) accident, a model was developed to estimate the external exposure doses for residents who were expected to return to their homes after evacuation orders were lifted. However, the model's accuracy and uncertainties in parameters used to estimate external doses have not been evaluated. Materials and Methods: The model estimates effective doses based on the integrated ambient dose equivalent (H^*(10)) and life patterns, considering a dose reduction factor to estimate the indoor H^*(10) and a conversion factor from H^*(10) to the effective dose. Because personal dose equivalent (H_p(10)) has been reported to agree well with the effective dose after the FDNPS accident, this study validates the model's accuracy by comparing the estimated effective doses with H_p(10). The H_p(10) and life pattern data were collected for 36 adult participants who lived or worked near the FDNPS in 2019. Results and Discussion: The estimated effective doses correlated significantly with H_p(10); however, the estimated effective doses were lower than H_p(10) for indoor sites. A comparison with the measured indoor H^*(10) showed that the estimated indoor H^*(10) was not underestimated. However, the H_p(10) to H^*(10) ratio indoors, which corresponds to the practical conversion factor from H^*(10) to the effective dose, was significantly larger than the same ratio outdoors, meaning that the conversion factor of 0.6 is not appropriate for indoors due to the changes in irradiation geometry and gamma spectra. This could have led to a lower effective dose than H_p(10). Conclusion: The estimated effective doses correlated significantly with H_p(10), demonstrating the model's applicability for effective dose estimation. However, the lower value of the effective dose indoors could be because the conversion factor did not reflect the actual environment.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제6권2호
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• pp.543-564
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• 1999

The principal aim of a sequential phase I clinical trial in which the toxicity reponses of a group of patient(s) determine the dose level of the next patient(s) group is to estimate the maximal tolerated dose(MTD) of a new drug, In this paper we compared with a simulation study the performance of the MTD estimates that are determined by a stopping rule in a design and also those that are determined by analyzing the data after a clinical trial is terminated. To the latter belong the mean median mode and maximum likelihood estimates. For the Standard Methods the stopping rule MTD is quite inefficient but the median MTD has a best efficiency and is robust with respect to the three different toxicity curves. The problem of non-convergence of MLE MTD is severe. A more improved MTD estimate is produced by combining the advantages of the various MTD estimates and its efficiency is better than the single median MTD estimate especially for the toxicity curve of an unlucky choice of dose levels. The simulation results suggest that simple types of phase I designs can be combined with relatively standard analytic techniques to provide a more efficient MTD estimate.

• Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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• 제26권3호
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• pp.249-253
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• 2001

Neutron dose assessment in criticality accidents using Whole Body Counter (WBC) was proved to be an effective method as rapid neutron dose estimation at the JCO criticality accident in Tokai-mura. The 1.36MeV gamma-ray of $^{24}Na$ in a body can be detected easily by a germanium detector. The Minimum Detectable Activity (MDA) of $^{24}Na$ is approximately 50Bq for 10miniute measurement by the germanium-type whole body counter at JNC Tokai Works. Neutron energy spectra at the typical shielding conditions in criticality accidents were calculated and the conversion factor, whole body activity-to-organ mass weighted neutron absorbed dose, corresponding to each condition were determined. The conversion factor for uncollied fission spectrum is 7.7 $[(Bq^{24}Na/g^{23}Na)/mGy]$.

• 한국의학물리학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국의학물리학회 2002년도 Proceedings
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• pp.206-207
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• 2002

The effective dose due to the X-Ray radiography in the patient positioning for the heavy ion radiotherapy was measured on three regions, chest, upper-abdomen and pelvis. All the radiographic systems and the conditions used in the measurements were same as the clinical trial being performed in National Institute of Radiological Sciences, Japan. The organ or tissue for measurements was selected by following ICRP60$^1$ and the effective dose was calculated from measured organ doses and the surface dose.

• 한국정밀공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국정밀공학회 2005년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.1120-1124
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• 2005

We reviewed controllers with a time delay estimation in this paper. Time delay control (TDC) and sliding mode control (SMC) are well known robust control schemes. Basically, the TDC has a main characteristic called a time delay estimation from which we can estimate the total uncertainty of a system. . The TDC causes the stick-slip in the case of systems with a friction. The so-called TDCSA which are short for TDC with switching action was developed to reduce the stick-slip. The TDC has the additional switching action term in the TDC structure. In the other hand, the SMC dose not have a time delay estimation but instead it can estimate the system uncertainty through the switching action. The SMC has a difficulty to estimate the total uncertainty of a system because it does not have a time delay estimation. In order to solve the difficulty, some control schemes were developed. Among them, we need to focus our attention on two control schemes: SMCPE and SMCTE, which are short for sliding mode control with a perturbation estimation and sliding mode control with a time delay estimation, respectively. In this paper, we analyzed and compared the characteristic of above three controllers. Even though the motives for the development of three control schemes are different, three control schemes have much in common in terms of their controller structures.

• 한국지역사회생활과학회지
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• 제15권2호
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• pp.167-177
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• 2004

미생물 위해성 평가 방법론을 이용하여 살모넬라 발생 수를 추정하고, 기존의 연구 결과와 비교하여 그 활용 가능성에 대해 알아보았다. 살모넬라균의 오염수준은 국내에 발표된 각종 문헌(1997∼2000)과 관련 기관의 모니터링 자료(1999∼2001)를 수집하여 추정하였고, 식품 섭취 량은 2001 국민건강영양조사, 용량-반응 모델은 외국에서 발표된 연구 결과를 이용하였다. 각 변수를 시뮬레이션을 통해 추정한 결과 1년 동안 국내에서 발생 가능한 살모넬라 환자 수는 753,368명으로 나타났는데, 이는 보고된 환자수의 약 115배로 WHO의 추정배수보다는 낮은 결과를 보였다. 이상의 결과를 볼 때, 미생물 위해성 평가 방법은 식중독 발생 환자 수를 추정하고 식중독 관리에 있어서의 우선순위를 결정하는 데 이용이 가능한 것으로 보인다. 그러나 아직까지 검증 방법이 확립되어 있지 않고, 식중독균의 오염농도, 식품 섭취량, 용량-반응 관계, 유통ㆍ보관ㆍ조리 등의 실태에 관한 연구가 좀더 필요할 것으로 생각된다.