• Title/Summary/Keyword: Discrete Choice Models

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Semiparametric Evaluation of Environmental Goods: Local Linear Model Approach

  • Jeong, Ki-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.209-216
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    • 2003
  • Contingent valuation method (CVM) is a main evaluation method of nonmarket goods for which markets either do not exist at all or do exist only incompletely; an example is environmental good. A dichotomous choice approach, the most popular type of CVM in environmental economics, employs binary discrete choice models as statistical estimation models. In this paper, we propose a semiparametric dichotomous choice CVM method using local linear model of Fan and Gijbels (1996) in which probability distribution of error term is specified parametrically but latent structural function is specified nonparametrically. The computation procedures of the proposed method are illustrated with a simple design of simulations.

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Search for an Optimal-Path Considering Various Attributes (다양한 경로속성을 고려한 최적경로 탐색)

  • Hahn, Jin-Seok;Chon, Kyung-Soo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.145-153
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    • 2008
  • Existing shortest-path algorithms mainly consider a single attribute. But traveler actually chooses a route considering not single attribute but various attributes which are synthesized travel time, route length, personal preference, etc. Therefore, to search the optimal path, these attributes are considered synthetically. In this study route searching algorithm which selects the maximum utility route using discrete choice model has developed in order to consider various attributes. Six elements which affect route choice are chosen for the route choice model and parameters of the models are estimated using survey data. A multinomial logit models are developed to design the function of route choice model. As a result, the model which has route length, delay time, the number of turning as parameter is selected based on the significance test. We use existing shortest path algorithm, which can reflect urban transportation network such as u-turn or p-turn, and apply it to the real network.

A Study on the Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment (확솔적 이용자 평형통행 배분에 관한 연구)

  • 이승재;전경수;임강원
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.55-71
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    • 1990
  • The behavioral mechanism underlying the traffic assignment model is a choice, or decision-making process of traveling paths between origins and destinations. The deterministic approach to traffic assignment assumes that travelers choose shortest path from their origin-destination pair. Although this assumption seems reasonable, it presumes that all travelers have perfect information regarding travel time, that they make consistently correct decision, and that they all behave in identical fashion. Stochastic user equilibrium assignment relaxes these presumptions by including a random component in traveler's perception of travel time. The objective of this study is to compare "A Model of Deterministic User Equilibrium Assignment" with "Models of Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment" in the theoretical and practical aspects. Specifically, SUE models are developed to logit and probit based models according to discrete choice functions. The models were applied to sioux Falls net ork consisting of 24 zones, 24 nodes and 76 links. The distribution of perceived travel time was obtained by using the relationship between speed and traffic flow.

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Inherent Random Heterogeneity Logit Model for Stated Preference Freight Mode Choice (SP 화물수단선택을 위한 Inherent Random Heterogeneity 로짓 모형 연구)

  • KIM, Kang-Soo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.83-92
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    • 2002
  • Freight mode choice models are essential to the analysis of many areas of transport research. However, observations of actual market choices have only been made in a limited number of situations. Therefore, stated preference(SP) techniques have emerged as an alternative source of actual market choices to be used for estimating freight mode choice models. Considerable confidence exists about SP data, but little consideration has been given to the potential for estimation bias. This paper has been motivated by the theoretical side of estimating SP discrete choice models, focusing on a case study of freight mode choice. Recently developed simulation methods are used to construct inherent random heterogeneity legit models, which consider individual heterogeneity, its inheritance to the next choices and overcome the independence from irrelevant alternatives (IIA) property. This Paper contributes to the development of models dealing with heterogeneity and its inheritance, and sheds light on the heterogeneity of freight transport.

Model of Simultaneous Travel time and Activity Duration for worker with Transportation Panel Data

  • Kim Soon-Gwan
    • Proceedings of the KOR-KST Conference
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    • 1998.09a
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    • pp.160-167
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    • 1998
  • Recent world-wide interest in activity-based travel behavior modeling has generated an entirely new perspective on how the profession views the travel demand process. This paper seeks to further promote the case of activity-based travel behavior models by providing some empirical evidence of relationship between travel time and activity duration decision for worker with transportation panel data. The travel time from home to work and from work to home, without activity involvement, is estimated by the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) method. And, the travel time to and from the selected activity and the activity duration are modeled simultaneously by the Three Stage Least Squares (3SLS) method due to the endogenous relationship between travel time and activity duration. Two kinds of models, OLS and 3SLS, include selectivity bias corrections in a discrete/continuous framework, because of the inter-relationship between the choice of activity type/travel mode (discrete) and the travel time/activity duration (continuous). Estimation is undertaken using a sample of over 1300 household two-day trip diaries collected from the same travelers in the Seattle area in 1989. The behavioral consequences of these models provide interesting and provocative findings that should be of value to transportation policy formulation and analysis.

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Eliciting stated preferences for drugs reimbursement decision criteria in South Korea (선택실험법을 이용한 의약품 급여결정기준에 대한 선호분석)

  • Lim, Min-Kyoung;Bae, Eun-Young
    • Health Policy and Management
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.98-120
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study is to elicit preference for drug listing decision criteria and to estimate the ICER threshold in South Korea using the discrete choice experiment (DCE) method. To collect the data, a DCE survey was administered to a subject sample either educated in the principle concepts of pharmacoeconomics or were decision makers within that field. Subjects chose between alternative drug profiles differing in four attributes: ICER, uncertainty, budget impact and severity of disease. The orthogonal and balanced designs were determined through computer algorithm to take the optimal set of drug profiles. The survey employed 15 hypothetical choice sets. A random effect probit model was used to analyze the relative importance of attributes and the probabilities of a recommendation response. Parameter estimates from the models indicated that three attributes (ICER, Impact, Severity of disease) influenced respondents' choice significantly(p${\pm}$0.001). In addition, each parameter displayed an expected sign. The Lower the ICER, the higher the probability of choosing that alternative. Respondents also preferred low levels of uncertainty and smaller impact on health service budget. They were also more likely to choose drugs for serious diseases rather than mild or moderate ones. Uncertainty however is not statistically significant. The ICER threshold, at which the probability of a recommendation was 0.5, was 29,000,000 KW/QALY in expert group and 46,500,000 KW/QALY in industry group. We also found that those in our sample were willing to accept high ICER to get medication for severe diseases. This study demonstrates that the cost-effectiveness, budget impact and severity of disease are the main reimbursement decision criteria in South Korea, and that DCE can be a useful tool in analyzing the decision making process where a variety of factors are considered and prioritized.

Analysis of Transportation Mode Choice Behavior Based on Accessibility : Focused on Chungnam-Weihai route (접근성에 따른 운송수단 선택행동에 관한 분석 : 충남-위해구간을 중심으로)

  • Choi, Jung-kyu
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.183-192
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the choice behavior of the mode of transportation for travel from Korea to China. Discrete choice analysis is utilized to establish the factors that affect travelers' choice and to quantify the importance of these factors in transportation mode choices. The proposed choice models were constructed by using stated-preference (SP) data obtained from Chungcheongnam-do. This study also examined different choice behavior in order to capture any previously unobserved differences in the residence area. Results showed that the access time and frequency attributes are the most significant factors, while the travel time attributes are the least significant factors for travelers' choice behaviour. The insights of the results described in this research provide some practical suggestions to transportation providers for planning and strategic management endeavors in the future.

Estimating Effects of Attributes on Choice of Pizza Restaurants by Purchase Frequency (구매빈도별 피자전문점 선택에 미치는 속성의 영향 평가)

  • Kang, Jong-Heon;Jeong, In-Suk
    • Korean Journal of Human Ecology
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.491-499
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this study is to measure the pizza purchasing behavioral characteristics of respondents and importances of factors affecting pizza purchase, to estimate the effects of attributes on choice of pizza restaurant, and to predict probability of selecting a particular pizza restaurant. The questionnaire consisted of two parts: The paired experimental profiles, purchasing behavior and importances of factors affecting pizza purchase. This study generated profiles of 16 hypothetical pizza restaurants based on seven attributes. The profiles comprised 16 discrete sets of variables, each of which had two levels. For this study, researcher randomly selected 150 university students as respondents. Twenty one students did not complete the survey instrument, resulting in a final sample size of 129. All estimations were carried out using frequencies, $X^2$, independent samples t-test, phreg procedure of SAS package. The results were as followed: Some purchasing behavioral characteristics and importances of factors affecting pizza purchase were significantly different by purchase frequency. Based on the estimated models developed for the two purchase frequency groups, the Chi-square statistics were significant at p<0.001. The parameter estimate for late delivery time with frequently purchase frequency group was highest, and the parameter estimate for price with frequently purchase frequency group was highest. The pizza restaurants that charged 20,000 won, offered 100% discount on eleventh pizza, promised to deliver pizza in 20 min, usually delivered the pizza as promised, offered 2 or more types of pizza crust, delivered steaming hot pizza, and did not offer a money-back guarantee which was favored by each of the two purchase frequency groups. The results from this study suggested that there was an opportunity to increase market share and profit by improving operations so that customers can receive discount and money-back guarantee simultaneously, and by reducing price, delivery time.

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Measuring the Monetary Value of Intellectual Capital - A Case Study of the ETRI - (지적자본의 화폐가치 측정 방법 연구: E연구원 사례를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Yong-Joo;Yi, Chan-Goo;Kim, Dong-Young
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.165-192
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    • 2005
  • This study introduces how to estimate the monetary value of intellectual capital of a public research institute by incorporating a non-market valuation technique, the choice experiments(CE). CE is a survey-based environmental valuation technique that has increasingly been popular over the last decade. The members of institute E, a typical type of public research institutes in Korea, were surveyed, before the data were fit to the conditional logit and mixed logit models. The total value of the institute's intellectual capital was estimated at approximately W3,377 billion for the year 2003. The institute's human, structural and relational capitals that comprise the intellectual capital were estimated at W18.7 billion, W10.7 billion and W4.4 billion respectively, for each of the components' index values improving by 1%. The human capital was placed a higher value than the other two. The study also shows that CE is a flexible technique that enables the researcher to estimate the monetary value of the intellectual capital whatever the index values of the component capitals and to interpret model estimation results more in depth by incorporating the mixed logit, a state-of-the-art discrete choice model, than the conventional conditional logic.

Improving Methods for Estimating Transportation Mode Choice Model in Busan-Ulsan Metropolitan Area (부산·울산광역권 교통수단 선택모형 구축 방법론 개선)

  • Shin, Kangwon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.15 no.7
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    • pp.4580-4587
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    • 2014
  • This study provides an improved transportation mode choice models applicable to the Busan-Ulsan Metropolitan area by scrutinizing previous study results developed using the multinomial logit model. Although the previous model has an appropriate modeling structure in terms of the sign of coefficient estimates and goodness-of-fit, the model ignores the total number of trips and traffic congestion condition between the two zones and partially reflects zone-specific variables and choice set. Therefore, this study considered all of these modeling faults by re-constructing the representative utility functions. The modeling results show that travelers in Busan-Ulsan metropolitan area tend to choose their mode using mode-specific characteristics rather than the classical travel time and/or cost variables.