• Title/Summary/Keyword: Disaster risk assessment

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A Study on Integrated Assessment of Baekdu Mountain Volcanic Aisaster risk Based on GIS (GIS기법을 이용한 백두산 화산재해 종합평가 연구)

  • Xiao-Jiao, Ni;Choi, Yun Soo;Ying, Nan
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.77-87
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    • 2014
  • Recently there are many disasters caused by volcanic activities such as the eruptions in Tungurahua, Ecuador(2014) and $Eyjafjallaj\ddot{o}kull$, Iceland(2010). Therefore, it is required to prepare countermeasures for the disasters. This study analyzes the Baekdu Mountain area, where is the risky area because it is active volcano, based on the observed data and scientific methods in order to assess a risk, produce a hazard map and analyze a degree of risk caused by the volcano. Firstly, it is reviewed for the research about the Baekdu mountain volcanic eruption in 1215(${\pm}15$ years) done by Liu Ruoxin. And the factors causing volcanic disaster, environmental effects, and vulnerability of Baekdu Mountain are assessed by the dataset, which includes the earthquake monitoring data, the volcanic deformation monitoring data, the volcanic fluid geochemical monitoring data, and the socio-economic statistics data. A hazard, especially caused by a volcano, distribution map for the Baekdu Mountain Area is produced by using the assessment results, and the map is used to establish the disaster risk index system which has the four phases. The first and second phases are very high risky area when the Baekdu Mountain erupts, and the third and fourth phases are less dangerous area. The map shows that the center of mountain has the first phase and the farther area from the center has the lower phase. Also, the western of Baekdu Mountain is more vulnerable to get the risk than the eastern when the factors causing volcanic disasters are equally applied. It seems to be caused by the lower stability of the environment and the higher vulnerability.

A Study for Optimal Evacuation Simulation by Artificial Intelligence Evacuation Guidance Application (인공지능 피난유도설비 적용에 따른 최적 대피시뮬레이션 연구)

  • Jang, Jae-Soon;Kong, Il-Chean;Rie, Dong-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.118-122
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    • 2013
  • For safe evacuation in the fire disaster, the evacuees must find the exit and evacuate quickly. Especially, if the evacuees don't know the location of the exit, they have to depend on the evacuation guidance system. Because the more smoke spread, the less visibility is decreasing, it is difficult to find the way to the exit by the naked eye. For theses reasons, the evacuation guidance system is highly important. However, the evacuation guidance system without change of direction has the risk that introduce to the dangerous area. In the evacuation safety assessment scenario by the evacuation simulation has the same problem. Because the evacuee in the simulation evacuate by the shortest route to the exit, the simulation result is same like the evacuation without the evacuation guidance system. In this study, it was used with MAS (Multi Agent System)-based simulation program including the evacuation guidance system to implement the change of evacuation by fire. Using this method, confidence of evacuation safety assessment can be increase.

The effect of a risk factor on quantitative risk assessment in railway tunnel (철도터널에서 위험인자가 정량적 위험도 평가에 미치는 영향)

  • Yoo, Ji-Oh;Kim, Jin-Su;Rie, Dong-Ho;Shin, Hyun-Jun
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.117-125
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    • 2015
  • Quantitative risk assessment (QRA) of railway is to create a variety of scenario and to quantify the degree of risk by a result of the product of accident frequency and accident. Quantitative risk Assessment is affected by various factors such as tunnel specifications, characteristics of the fire, and relation of smoke control and evacuation direction. So in this study, it is conducted that how the way of smoke control and the relation of smoke control and evacuation direction affect quantitative risk assessment with variables (the tunnel length (2, 3, 4, 5, 6 km) and the slope (5, 15, 25‰)). As the result, in a train fire at the double track tunnel (Area = $97m^2$), it is most efficient to evacuate to the opposite direction of smoke control regardless of the location of train in train fire. In addition, under the same condition, index risk in mechanical ventilation up to 1/10.

Collapse risk evaluation method on Bayesian network prediction model and engineering application

  • WANG, Jing;LI, Shucai;LI, Liping;SHI, Shaoshuai;XU, Zhenhao;LIN, Peng
    • Advances in Computational Design
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.121-131
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    • 2017
  • Collapse was one of the typical common geological hazards during the construction of tunnels. The risk assessment of collapse was an effective way to ensure the safety of tunnels. We established a prediction model of collapse based on Bayesian Network. 76 large or medium collapses in China were analyzed. The variable set and range of the model were determined according to the statistics. A collapse prediction software was developed and its veracity was also evaluated. At last the software was used to predict tunnel collapses. It effectively evaded the disaster. Establishing the platform can be subsequent perfect. The platform can also be applied to the risk assessment of other tunnel engineering.

A Study on Quantitative Risk Assessment Method and Risk Reduction Measures for Rail Hazardous Material Transportation (철도위험물수송에 관한 위험도 정량화방안 및 경감대책 연구)

  • Lee, Sang Gon;Cho, Woncheol;Lee, Tae Sik
    • Journal of Korean Society of societal Security
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    • v.1 no.3
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    • pp.69-76
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    • 2008
  • The object of this study is to develop a tool for quantifying risks related to the rail transportation of hazardous commodities and to present mitigation measures. In this study, the Quantitative Risk Assessment (QRA) is used as a risk analysis tool. Based on the previous explosion history (Iri explosion) and consideration of its high risk, Iksan-si is selected as a model city. The result, expressed as average individual risk for exposed people with various distance, indicates that the model city is considered to be safe according to the nuclear energy standard. Also, the mitigation measures are provided since Societal risk of Iksan-si is set within ALARP. Risk reduction measures include rail car design, rail transportation operation, demage spread control as well as derail prevention and alternative routes for reducing accident frequencies. Finally, it is expected to achieve high level of public safety by appling the risk reduction measures.

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IT Risk Assessment: Case Study on Domestic Construction company (IT 리스크 평가 연구사례: 국내 건설사 적용 사례)

  • Lee, youngjai;Lee, Sungjung;Lee, Seongil
    • Journal of Korean Society of societal Security
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.47-55
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    • 2009
  • Organizations and customers lose if business activities are discontinued by an incident of information systems under the current business environment because they pursue real time enterprise and on demand enterprise. The loss includes the intangible decline in brand image, customer separation, and the tangible loss such as decrease in business profits. Thus, it is necessary to have preparedness in advance and mitigation for minimization of a loss due to the business discontinuity and IT risks. This paper described a IT risk assessment case about domestic construction company.

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Remote Sensing-assisted Disaster Monitoring and Risk Analysis (원격탐사를 활용한 연속적 재난상황 인지 및 위험 모니터링 기술)

  • Im, Jungho;Sohn, Hong-Gyoo;Kim, Duk-jin;Choi, Jinmu
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.36 no.5_3
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    • pp.1007-1011
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    • 2020
  • Recently, natural and anthropogenic disasters have rapidly increased due to the on-going climate change and various human activities. Remote sensing (RS) technology enables the continuous monitoring and rapid detection of disastrous events thanks to its advantages covering vast areas at high temporal resolution. Moreover, RS technology has been very actively used in disaster monitoring and assessment since cluster- and micro-satellites and drones were introduced and became popular. In this special issue, nine papers were introduced, including the processing and applications of remote sensing data for monitoring, assessment, and prediction of various natural disasters. These papers are expected to serve as useful references for disaster management in the future.

Conceptual Study for Risk Assessment of Asset Management of Infra Structure System (국가기반시설 자산관리위험도분석 개념 연구)

  • Park, Mi Yun;Park, Hung Ju
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.43-47
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    • 2012
  • The asset management of infra facilities is a total framework for finally supporting a safe and comfortable service, which includes functions of supporting evaluation of condition and performance of infrastructures, making the decision method of repair or rehabilitation of deteriorated facilities, and lengthening the life cycle of structure through the decision of adequate cost and time of repair or reinforcement. In the range of the asset management, organization, human, the target, and information & data of company are included. Therefore, in this paper, appling the method of asset management analysis to the infra structures, the process of the risk assesment using BRE (Business Risk Exposure) and the basis of consisting ORDM (Optimized Renewal Decision-Making) are expressed.

A Study on the Application of Safety Design based on the Risk of Construction Process (건설공정 위험성 기반 설계안전성 활용 방안 연구)

  • Lee, Hyeon-Sung
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.493-501
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    • 2019
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to prevent construction safety accidents, and the design safety systems were reviewed. This paper aims to establish as an effective system by looking at the implementation procedures and contents of the design safety review system. Method: We reviewed the purpose and content of the law, accident statistics, etc. for the study. In addition, we looked at the implementation plans for actual construction sites using the 'design safety' assessment process as defined by the Act. Results: We divided it into the data review phase, the risk factor elicitation and alternative setup phase, and the design safety assessment report preparation stage. Conclusion: it is necessary to derive risk factors that take into account the diversity of construction sites. However, the effectiveness of other reports is questioned as they are often copied and written. Therefore, it is necessary to strengthen external verification procedures attended by construction safety experts.

Quantitative Risk Assessment Methodology for Construction Site (건설공사의 정량적 위험도 산정 방법론)

  • Kim, Hyun-Soo;Lee, Hyun-Soo;Park, Mun-Seo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.463-466
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    • 2008
  • Owing to the characteristics of the construction industry, large number of risk factors exist in construction projects compared to other industries. In the year 2007, due to industrial disaster, there was a loss of about 70 million number of working days and about 3 trillion won of the economic direct loss Economic loss is estimated up to 16trillion won including the indirect loss. Hence, a countermeasure is required to reduce the loss. However, the existing safety management is inefficient because it is based on experiential safety knowledge in the form of safety index, regulations. The purpose of this research is to improve this problem by proposing a quantitative risk assessment methodology. First, the limitation of existing hazard index is analyzed and subsequently variables for assessing degree of risk is established. Finally, these variables are then combined and a quantitative risk assessment methodology is proposed.

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