• Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
• /
• v.14 no.2
• /
• pp.35-42
• /
• 2021

In order to produce electric vehicle demand forecasting information, which is an important element of the plan to expand charging facilities for electric vehicles, a model for predicting electric vehicle demand was proposed using Exponential Smoothing. In order to establish input data for the model, the monthly power demand of cities and counties was applied as independent variables, monthly electric vehicle charging stations, monthly electric vehicle charging stations, and monthly electric vehicle registration data. To verify the accuracy of the electric vehicle power demand prediction model, we compare the results of the statistical methods Exponential Smoothing (ETS) and ARIMA models with error rates of 12% and 21%, confirming that the ETS presented in this paper is 9% more accurate as electric vehicle power demand prediction models. It is expected that it will be used in terms of operation and management from planning to install charging stations for electric vehicles using this model in the future.

• Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
• /
• v.16 no.4
• /
• pp.682-690
• /
• 2020

Purpose: This study builds a database by collecting and refining disaster occurrence data and real-time weather and atmospheric data. In conjunction with the public data provided by the API, we propose a service model for the Big Data-based Urban Safety Index. Method: The plan is to provide a way to collect various information related to disaster occurrence by utilizing public data and SNS, and to identify and cope with disaster situations in areas of interest by real-time dashboards. Result: Compared with the prediction model by extracting the characteristics of the local safety index and weather and air relationship by area, the regional safety index in the area of traffic accidents confirmed that there is a significant correlation with weather and atmospheric data. Conclusion: It proposed a system that generates a prediction model for safety index based on machine learning algorithm and displays safety index by sector on a map in areas of interest to users.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
• /
• v.31 no.2
• /
• pp.119-126
• /
• 2016

Across the world, the industrialization has increased the frequency of climate anomaly. The size of damage due to recent natural disasters is growing large and fast, and the human damage and economic loss due to disasters are consistently increasing. Urbanization has a structure vulnerable to natural disasters. Therefore, in order to reduce damage from natural disasters, both hardware and software approaches should be utilized. Currently, however, the development of a statistical access process for 'analysis of disaster occurrence factor' and 'prediction of damage costs' for disaster prevention and overall disaster management is inadequate. In case of local governments, overall disaster management system is not established, or even if it is established, unscientific classification system and management lead to low utility of natural statistics of disaster year book. Therefore, in order to minimize disaster damage and for rational disaster management, the disaster damage survey process should be improved. This study selected gale as the focused analysis target among natural disasters recorded in disaster year book such as storm, torrential rain, gale, high seas, and heavy snow, and analyzed disaster survey process. Based on disaster year book, the gale damage size was analyzed and the issues occurring from the correlation of gale and damage amount were examined, so as to suggest an improvement plan for reliable natural disaster information collection and systematic natural disaster damage survey.

• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
• /
• v.21 no.12
• /
• pp.296-301
• /
• 2021

This study is a study dealing with the empirical test of standardized multimedia disaster warning broadcasting linked with the next-generation prediction and warning platform and the disaster warning additional data service of terrestrial UHD broadcasting. The next-generation prediction and warning platform used in the demonstration test complies with the CAP-based TTA standardization standard, and the UHD disaster warning additional data service complies with the AEAT standard. As a result of the experiment, when a standardized CAP disaster warning message is issued and delivered to a broadcasting company, a system was established so that it is automatically converted to AEAT, a UHD disaster warning additional data message, and transmitted. The receiver unit was configured by connecting a set-top capable of receiving disaster alert data and a TV with an HDMI cable. When a disaster is announced, the set-top displays the AEAT message on the TV broadcasting screen, customized to the priority of the disaster and the area where it is issued. In addition, incoming messages are displayed in a language suitable for user settings among 5 languages. Additional multimedia functions such as images and alarm sounds could also be linked. In particular, it was confirmed that the receiver message was displayed within 3 seconds of issuing the disaster alert, enabling prompt delivery of the disaster alert.

• The Journal of Engineering Geology
• /
• v.33 no.4
• /
• pp.555-571
• /
• 2023

Due to South Korea's concentrated summer rainfall, constituting 70% of the annual total, landslides frequently occur during the rainy season, necessitating accurate prediction methods to mitigate associated damage. In this study, a reduced-scale and full-scale slope was configured using weathered granite soil to find the possibility of establishing measurement management criterias through landslide reproduction. The experiment focused on matric suction, analyzing changes in ground properties and failure patterns caused by rainfall infiltration. Subsequently, an unsaturated infinite slope stability analysis was conducted. By calculating the failure time when the safety factor falls below 1 for each experiment, landslide prediction was demonstrated to be possible, approximately 17 minutes prior for the reduction-scale experiment and 6.5 hours for the full-scale experiment. These findings provide useful data for establishing Korean soil slope measurement management criteria that consider the characteristics of weathered granite soil.

• 한국전산유체공학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 2008.08a
• /
• pp.47.3-47.3
• /
• 2008

• Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
• /
• 1997.09a
• /
• pp.95-104
• /
• 1997

• Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
• /
• v.8 no.3
• /
• pp.234-241
• /
• 2012

The main objective of this research is to calibrate the performance prediction models for the growth of fatigue cracking in multi-layered asphalt concrete pavement systems. However, the calibration factors are dependent upon the prediction model, testing method, and the laboratory loading history. A detailed study on the field data has revealed that the performance of flexible pavements is affected by both the traffic loading and the environmental cycling which is related to the age of the pavements. Thus, a composite indicator was developed in this study which utilizes both the traffic and the age information with appropriate weighting factors. Using the proposed fatigue performance model the calibration factors were also estimated through the comparisons between the field performances on fatigue cracking and the laboratory-based fatigue life.

• Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
• /
• v.60 no.4
• /
• pp.55-62
• /
• 2018

Problems on vibration due to blasting for infrastructure development are getting important because of a civil appeal. Blasting-induced vibration is representative construction pollution, hence, it is possible that a number of environmental damages occur. In this study, borehole test blasting was conducted at Sintanjin area, Daejeon and square root equation with 95% confidence level was proposed for prediction of blasting-induced vibration. The vibration value predicted from this equation was more conservatively evaluated than the values predicted from U.S. Department of Interior, Bureau of Mines (USBM) and Nippon Oil & Fats Co., Ltd. (NOF) equations. Therefore, the proposed equation in this study seems to contribute for safety blast design. However, for optimal blast design, inducing equation for prediction of blasting-induced vibration through the identical test blasting with field construction such as rock slope blasting would be required.

• Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
• /
• v.9 no.1
• /
• pp.11-21
• /
• 2013

This study proposed cost prediction equation model by considering duration, construction, size, actual cost with the subway construction started by the actual cost system which was introduced since 2004. Costs - scale exponent n(confidence range: 0.5 to 0.7) for cost prediction of subway construction was drawn total cost(0.713), net cost(0.77) in point of the 11 subway construction data. The cost prediction equation model of the subway construction which was presented in this study is able to effectively apply to business planning, preliminary investigation, feasibility study, basic design stage to estimate the approximate cost in the future.