• Title/Summary/Keyword: Disaggregation Model

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Performance Evaluation of Rainfall Disaggregation according to Temporal Scale of Rainfall Data (강우자료의 시간해상도에 따른 강우 분해 성능 평가)

  • Lee, Jeonghoon;Jang, Juhyoung;Kim, Sangdan
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.345-352
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    • 2018
  • In this study, rainfall data with various temporal scales (3-, 6-, 12-, 24-hr) are disaggregated into 1-hourly rainfall data to evaluate the performance of rainfall disaggregation technique. The rainfall disaggregation technique is based on a database generated by the stochastic point rainfall model, the Neyman-Scott Rectangular Pulse Model (NSRPM). Performance evaluation is carried out using July rainfall data of Ulsan, Changwon, Busan and Milyang weather stations in Korea. As a result, the rainfall disaggregation technique showed excellent performance that can consider not only the major statistics of rainfall but also the spatial correlation. It also indirectly shows the uncertainty of future climate change scenarios with daily temporal scale. The rainfall disaggregation technique is expected to disaggregate the future climate change scenarios, and to be effective in the future watershed management.

Hydrologic Disaggregation Model using Neural Networks Technique (신경망기법을 이용한 수문학적 분해모형)

  • Kim, Sung-Won
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.79-97
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of this research is to apply the neural networks models for the hydrologic disaggregation of the yearly pan evaporation(PE) data in Republic of Korea. The neural networks models consist of multilayer perceptron neural networks model(MLP-NNM) and support vector machine neural networks model(SVM-NNM), respectively. And, for the evaluation of the neural networks models, they are composed of training and test performances, respectively. The three types of data such as the historic, the generated, and the mixed data are used for the training performance. The only historic data, however, is used for the testing performance. The application of MLP-NNM and SVM-NNM for the hydrologic disaggregation of nonlinear time series data is evaluated from results of this research. Four kinds of the statistical index for the evaluation are suggested; CC, RMSE, E, and AARE, respectively. Homogeneity test using ANOVA and Mann-Whitney U test, furthermore, is carried out for the observed and calculated monthly PE data. We can construct the credible monthly PE data from the hydrologic disaggregation of the yearly PE data, and the available data for the evaluation of irrigation and drainage networks system can be suggested.

The Temporal Disaggregation Model for Nonlinear Pan Evaporation Estimation (비선형 증발접시 증발량 산정을 위한 시간적 분해모형)

  • Kim, Sungwon;Kim, Jung-Hun;Park, Ki-Bum;Kim, Hung Soo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.30 no.4B
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    • pp.399-412
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    • 2010
  • The goal of this research is to apply the neural networks models for the temporal disaggregation of the yearly pan evaporation (PE) data, Republic of Korea. The neural networks models consist of multilayer perceptron neural networks model (MLP-NNM) and generalized regression neural networks model (GRNNM), respectively. And, for the performances evaluation of the neural networks models, they are composed of training and test performances, respectively. The three types of data such as the historic, the generated, and the mixed data are used for the training performance. The only historic data, however, is used for the testing performance. From this research, we evaluate the application of MLP-NNM and GRNNM for the temporal disaggregation of nonlinear time series data. We should, furthermore, construct the credible monthly PE data from the temporal disaggregation of the yearly PE data, and can suggest the available data for the evaluation of irrigation and drainage networks system.

Applicability of a Multiplicative Random Cascade Model for Disaggregation of Forecasted Rainfalls (예보강우 시간분해를 위한 Multiplicative Cascade 모형의 적용성 평가)

  • Kim, Daeha;Yoon, Sun-Kwon;Kang, Moon Seong;Lee, Kyung-do
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.58 no.5
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    • pp.91-99
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    • 2016
  • High resolution rainfall data at 1-hour or a finer scale are essential for reliable flood analysis and forecasting; nevertheless, many observations, forecasts, and climate projections are still given at coarse temporal resolutions. This study aims to evaluate a chaotic method for disaggregation of 6-hour rainfall data sets so as to apply operational 6-hour rainfall forecasts of the Korean Meteorological Association to flood models. We computed parameters of a state-of-the-art multiplicative random cascade model with two combinations of cascades, namely uniform splitting and diversion, using rainfall observations at Seoul station, and compared statistical performance. We additionally disaggregated 6-hour rainfall time series at 58 stations with the uniform splitting and evaluated temporal transferability of the parameters and changes in multifractal properties. Results showed that the uniform splitting outperformed the diversion in reproduction of observed statistics, and hence is better to be used for disaggregation of 6-hour rainfall forecasts. We also found that multifractal properties of rainfall observations has adequate temporal consistency with an indication of gradually increasing rainfall intensity across South Korea.

A Generation of Synthetic Monthly Streamflows in the Han River Basin by Disaggregation Model (한강수계에 있어서 분해모형에 의한 모의 월유량 발생)

  • 강관수;선우중호
    • Water for future
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.107-116
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    • 1987
  • The stochastic model has been developed for synthetic generation of hydrologic series that would be needed in the analysis, planning, design and operation of water resources system. In this study, after generating the yearly streamflows by multisite AR(1) model using the historical data in the Han River Basin, the monthly streamflows is generated by the disaggregation model. The model is verified of its applicability to domestic rivers, which is obtained through the statistical analysis and good ness of fit test using synthetic streamflows generated.

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Load Profile Disaggregation Method for Home Appliances Using Active Power Consumption

  • Park, Herie
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.572-580
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    • 2013
  • Power metering and monitoring system is a basic element of Smart Grid technology. This paper proposes a new Non-Intrusive Load Monitoring (NILM) method for a residential buildings sector using the measured total active power consumption. Home electrical appliances are classified by ON/OFF state models, Multi-state models, and Composite models according to their operational characteristics observed by experiments. In order to disaggregate the operation and the power consumption of each model, an algorithm which includes a switching function, a truth table matrix, and a matching process is presented. Typical profiles of each appliances and disaggregation results are shown and classified. To improve the accuracy, a Time Lagging (TL) algorithm and a Permanent-On model (PO) algorithm are additionally proposed. The method is validated as comparing the simulation results to the experimental ones with high accuracy.

Seismic loss-of-support conditions of frictional beam-to-column connections

  • Demartino, Cristoforo;Monti, Giorgio;Vanzi, Ivo
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.61 no.4
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    • pp.527-538
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    • 2017
  • The evaluation of the loss-of-support conditions of frictional beam-to-column connections using simplified numerical models describing the transverse response of a portal-like structure is presented in this paper considering the effects of the seismic-hazard disaggregation. Real earthquake time histories selected from European Strong-motion Database (ESD) are used to show the effects of the seismic-hazard disaggregation on the beam loss-of-support conditions. Seismic events are classified according to different values of magnitudes, epicentral distances and soil conditions (stiff or soft soil) highlighting the importance of considering the characteristics of the seismic input in the assessment of the loss-of-support conditions of frictional beam-to-column connections. A rigid and an elastic model of a frame of a precast industrial building (2-DoF portal-like model) are presented and adopted to find the minimum required friction coefficient to avoid sliding. Then, the mean value of the minimum required friction coefficient with an epicentral distance bin of 10 km is calculated and fitted with a linear function depending on the logarithm of the epicentral distance. A complete parametric analysis varying the horizontal and vertical period of vibration of the structure is performed. Results show that the loss-of-support condition is strongly influenced by magnitude, epicentral distance and soil conditions determining the frequency content of the earthquake time histories and the correlation between the maxima of the horizontal and vertical components. Moreover, as expected, dynamic characteristics of the structure have also a strong influence. Finally, the effect of the column nonlinear behavior (i.e. formation of plastic hinges at the base) is analyzed showing that the connection and the column are a series system where the maximum force is limited by the element having the minimum strength. Two different longitudinal reinforcement ratios are analyzed demonstrating that the column strength variation changes the system response.

Disaggregation Simulation Analysis on Distinct Aβ40 Fibril Models

  • Cho, Tony;Yu, Youngjae;Shin, Seokmin
    • Proceeding of EDISON Challenge
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    • 2016.03a
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    • pp.55-61
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    • 2016
  • $A{\beta}_{40}$ peptides form oligomers that later aggregate into a plaque, which is deemed to be a leading cause of Alzheimer's Disease. Its non-crystalline morphology has limited an understanding of comprehensive structural study. In this research, computational biomolecular simulations were performed in the following order: solvent and ion addition in a box, energy minimization of protein, equilibration, and periodic boundary condition disaggregation of a monomer from fibril. The result founded the two-fold model is 25% more stable in the simulation environment, and the steric zippers held on most tightly until 220 ps of simulation. The study supports the previous findings that two-fold aggregate $A{\beta}_{40}$ is more stable at 310 K and discusses further how much contribution steric-zipper and hydrogen bonding are making.

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Assessment of Frequency Analysis using Daily Rainfall Data of HadGEM3-RA Climate Model (HadGEM3-RA 기후모델 일강우자료를 이용한 빈도해석 성능 평가)

  • Kim, Sunghun;Kim, Hanbeen;Jung, Younghun;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.21 no.spc
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    • pp.51-60
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    • 2019
  • In this study, we performed At-site Frequency Analysis(AFA) and Regional Frequency Analysis(RFA) using the observed and climate change scenario data, and the relative root mean squared error(RMMSE) was compared and analyzed for both approaches through Monte Carlo simulation. To evaluate the rainfall quantile, the daily rainfall data were extracted for 615 points in Korea from HadGEM3-RA(12.5km) climate model data, one of the RCM(Regional Climate Model) data provided by the Korea Meteorological Administration(KMA). Quantile mapping(QM) and inverse distance squared methods(IDSM) were applied for bias correction and spatial disaggregation. As a result, it is shown that the RFA estimates more accurate rainfall quantile than AFA, and it is expected that the RFA could be reasonable when estimating the rainfall quantile based on climate change scenarios.