• Title/Summary/Keyword: Direct estimation method

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Health Risk Assessment of Disinfection By-products by Chlorination in Tap Water Ingestion (수도수중 염소 소독부산물로 인한 건강위해성 평가에 관한 연구 - 서울시 수도수중 Trihalomethanes 및 Haloaceticnitriles을 중심으로 -)

  • Chung, Yong;Shin, Dong-Chun;Yang, Ji-Yeon;Park, Yeon-Shin;Kim, Jun-Sung
    • Environmental Analysis Health and Toxicology
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    • v.12 no.3_4
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    • pp.31-41
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    • 1997
  • Public concerns about hazardous health effect from the exposure to organic by-products of the chlorination have been increased. There are numerous studies reporting that chlorination of drinking water produces numerous chlorinated organic by-products including THMs, HAAs, HANs. Some of these products are known to be animal carcinogens. The purpose of this study was to estimate health risk of DBPs by chlorinated drinking water ingestion in Seoul based on methodologies that have been developed for conducting risk assessment of complex-chemical-mixture. The drinking water sample was collected seperately at six water treatment plant in Seoul at March, April, 1996. In tap water of households in Seoul, DBPs were measured wilfh the mean value of 36.6 $\mu$g/L. Risk assessment processes,. which include processes for the estimation of human cancer potency using animal bioassay data and calculation of human exposure, entail uncertainties. In the exposure assessment process, exposure scenarios with various assumptions could affect the exposure amount and excess cancer risk. The reference dose of haloacetonitriles was estimated to be 0.0023 mg/kg/day by applying dibromoacetonitrile NOAEL and uncertainty factor to the mean concentration. In the first case, human excess cancer risk was estimated by the US EPA method used to set the MCL (maximum contaminant level). In the second and third case, the risk was estimated for multi-route exposure with and without adopting Monte-Carlo simulation, respectively. In the second case, exposure input parameters and cancer potencies used probability distributions, and in the third case, those values used point estimates (mean, and maximum or 95% upper-bound value). As a result, while the excess cancer risk estimated by US EPA method considering only direct ingestion tended to be underestimated, the risk which was estimated by considering multi-route exposure without Monte-Carlo simulation and then using the maximum or 95% upper-bound value as input parameters tended to be overestimated. In risk assessment for Trihalomethanes, considering multi-route exposure with adopting Monte-Carlo analysis seems to provide the most reasonable estimations.

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Analysis of Regional Antecedent Wetness Conditions Using Remotely Sensed Soil Moisture and Point Scale Rainfall Data (위성토양수분과 지점강우량을 이용한 지역 선행습윤조건 분석)

  • Sunwoo, Wooyeon;Kim, Daeun;Hwang, Seokhwan;Choi, Minha
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.30 no.5
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    • pp.587-596
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    • 2014
  • Soil moisture is one of the most important interests in hydrological response and the interaction between the land surface and atmosphere. Estimation of Antecedent Wetness Conditions (AWC) which is soil moisture condition prior to a rainfall in the basin should be considered for rainfall-runoff prediction. In this study, Soil Wetness Index (SWI), Antecedent Precipitation Index ($API_5$), remotely sensed Soil Moisture ($SM_{rs}$), and 5 days ground Soil Moisture ($SM_{g5}$) were selected to estimate the AWC at four study area in the Korean Peninsula. The remotely sensed soil moisture data were taken from the AMSR-E soil moisture archive. The maximum potential retention ($S_{obs}$) was obtained from direct runoff and rainfall using Soil Conservation Service-Curve Number (SCS-CN) method by rainfall data of 2011 for each study area. Results showed the great correlations between the maximum potential retention and SWI with a mean correlation coefficient which is equal to -0.73. The results of time length representing the time scale of soil moisture showed a gap from region to region. It was due to the differences of soil types and the characteristics of study area. Since the remotely sensed soil moisture has been proved as reasonable hydrological variables to predict a wetness in the basin, it should be continuously monitored.

Estimation of Willingness to Pay (WTP) of the Cost of Safe Transportation for Freight Cars Using the Contingent Valuation Method (CVM) (조건부가치측정법(CVM)을 이용한 일반형 화물자동차 안전운송원가 지불의사(WTP) 추정)

  • Hong, Sun-Yong;Kim, Si-Hyun
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.45 no.6
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    • pp.346-351
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    • 2021
  • With the goal of eradicating overwork, overload, and speeding of general freight cars(cargo) by the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport, Infrastructure and Transport, the "The Fare of safe transportation for freight cars System" has been enforced since 2020. 'The Fare of safe transportation for freight cars' rate for each item is being applied and supplemented, but the 'The Cost of safe transportation for freight cars' of general freight cars (cargo) and steel items is under discussion. The purpose of this study was to estimate the willingness to pay( WTP) for cargo. A survey was conducted on shippers, transportation companies (arrangers, carriers), and cargo drivers (using direct questioning among contingent valuation method (CVM) and the Tobit Regression analysis was conducted, and the average and median values of freight rates were derived using the estimated results, and the willingness to pay by tonnage of freight cars was confirmed. It is expected that the results of this study can be used as a reference to the "The Fare of safe transportation for freight cars Committee" an organization for deliberation and resolution of the 'The Cost of safe transportation for freight cars'.

A Study on Practical Recognition about Rights Advocacy of Social Workers in Disabled Welfare Centers (장애인복지관 사회복지사의 권리옹호에 관한 실천적 인식연구)

  • Lee, Se-Hee;Choi, Yun-young
    • Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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    • v.8 no.6
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    • pp.265-271
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    • 2018
  • Recently, rights advocacy in disabled welfare centers is one of the most important estimation and also transition of paradigm. However it is difficult to define rights advocacy specifically, so each disabled welfare center goes to conceptualize rights advocacy based on practical experiences. Study of practical recognition of the advocacy rights of social workers in disabled welfare centers provides greater foundation to establishing specific concept and direction of rights advocacy. Method of this research is analysis of metaphors, figuring out concepts and perception of social workers through survey. Analysis of metaphors is a method of analyzing a person's perception in specific context and situation by providing a concrete explanation of new thing, that is, basis of metaphor and analyzing it later. As a result of this research, it is shown that ideological type(necessary thing) and practical type(being together) are the perceptions about rights advocacy of social workers, and rights advocacy is recognized as 'practical concept' which plan and provide direct service at fields. According to these results, policy and environment should be constructed to provide advocacy services at welfare fields, reflecting these perceptions of social workers. Also this should be reflected on practical fields for them to learn appropriately and practice rights advocacy.

Investigation Study on Underground Cavity Scale Estimation Based on GPR Exploration (지하공동 규모 평가를 위한 GPR 탐사 기반의 조사 연구)

  • Byoung-Jo Yoon;Han-Joo Lim;Yeon-Gyu Kim
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.737-746
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    • 2023
  • Purpose: Ground subsidence due to cavity can bring about various problems, such as casualties, decrease of the safety of the structures, and indirect social costs. Therefore, ground subsidence should be prevented through the exploration and recovery of the cavity under the pavements. Method: In this study, GPR exploration method was carried out on both actual roadway and mock-up site to compensate for the problems caused by excavation and restoration process. Result: This study compared the cavity scales obtained from GPR exploration results and the direct excavation of the identified cavity. It was confirmed that the predicted soil depth by GPR exploration was similar to the identified soil depth, but the predicted cavity scale by GPR exploration overestimated the longitudinal and cross-sectional widths compared to the identified cavity scale. Conclusion: Based on the correlation between the predicted cavity scales by GPR exploration, it is possible to qualitatively estimate the cavity scales using the empirical formula proposed in this study.

Tunnel-lining Back Analysis Based on Artificial Neural Network for Characterizing Seepage and Rock Mass Load (투수 및 이완하중 파악을 위한 터널 라이닝의 인공신경망 역해석)

  • Kong, Jung-Sik;Choi, Joon-Woo;Park, Hyun-Il;Nam, Seok-Woo;Lee, In-Mo
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.22 no.8
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    • pp.107-118
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    • 2006
  • Among a variety of influencing components, time-variant seepage and long-term underground motion are important to understand the abnormal behavior of tunnels. Excessiveness of these two components could be the direct cause of severe damage on tunnels, however, it is not easy to quantify the effect of these on the behavior of tunnels. These parameters can be estimated by using inverse methods once the appropriate relationship between inputs and results is clarified. Various inverse methods or parameter estimation techniques such as artificial neural network and least square method can be used depending on the characteristics of given problems. Numerical analyses, experiments, or monitoring results are frequently used to prepare a set of inputs and results to establish the back analysis models. In this study, a back analysis method has been developed to estimate geotechnically hard-to-known parameters such as permeability of tunnel filter, underground water table, long-term rock mass load, size of damaged zone associated with seepage and long-term underground motion. The artificial neural network technique is adopted and the numerical models developed in the first part are used to prepare a set of data for learning process. Tunnel behavior, especially the displacements of the lining, has been exclusively investigated for the back analysis.

Seismic Fragility Analysis for Probabilistic Performance Evaluation of PSC Box Girder Bridges (확률론적 내진성능평가를 위한 PSC Box 거더교의 지진취약도 해석)

  • Song, Jong-Keol;Jin, He-Shou;Lee, Tae-Hyung
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.29 no.2A
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    • pp.119-130
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    • 2009
  • Seismic fragility curves of a structure represent the probability of exceeding the prescribed structural damage state for a given various levels of ground motion intensity such as peak ground acceleration (PGA), spectral acceleration ($S_a$) and spectral displacement ($S_d$). So those are very essential to evaluate the structural seismic performance and seismic risk. The purpose of this paper is to develop seismic fragility curves for PSC box girder bridges. In order to construct numerical fragility curve of bridge structure using nonlinear time history analysis, a set of ground motions corresponding to design spectrum are artificially generated. Assuming a lognormal distribution, the fragility curve is estimated by using the methodology proposed by Shinozuka et al. PGA is simple and generally used parameter in fragility curve as ground motion intensity. However, the PGA has not good relationship with the inelastic structural behavior. So, $S_a$ and $S_d$ with more direct relationship for structural damage are used in fragility analysis as more useful intensity measures instead of PGA. The numerical fragility curves based on nonlinear time history analysis are compared with those obtained from simple method suggested in HAZUS program.

Impact Evaluation of Water Footprint on Stages of Drainage Works (배수공 각 작업 단계별 물발자국 영향평가)

  • Chen, Di;Kim, Joon-Soo;Batagalle, Vinuri;Kim, Byung-Soo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.40 no.2
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    • pp.225-231
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    • 2020
  • Fresh water that can be used by a person of the total amount of water on the planet is increased because it is less than 0.01 % except underground water, ice and snow, etc. water management response need. In order to protect and efficiently utilize water resources, major countries are conducting water footprint studies that can quantitatively estimate the amount of water put into the operating phase of the resource harvesting phase, mainly agriculture. Korea has also recently developed a number of policies in order to cope with water shortages, and in the construction industry, as well as the need for basic research to support it has been emphasized. This study was constructed DB up to the raw material harvesting step, the transport step, the production stage in order to estimate the water consumption of resources to be put into the work process to target the drainage of the road. Water usage estimation method was utilized the method presented in the Water Footprint Manual and the environmental score card certification guide, unit water usage each drainage main method was calculated after estimating the water footprint considering the water character factor, indirect water and the direct water, the water consumption factor of material input to each process. Brown asphalt, rebar, remicon of the drainage material as a result of the water footprint calculation accounted for 97 % of the total. Drainage method is a culvert, a side channel, a culvert wing wall, reinforced concrete open channel accounted for 92.2 % of the total. Drainage total step-by-step calculated water consumption and water footprint was found in order of raw material harvesting step, transport stage, production stage. Water footprint each drainage method or total drainage material calculated in this study can be used as a base data in the agricultural and construction sectors. In order to increase the reliability of the analysis, it is believed that further overseas databases will be needed for continuous review and research.

A Preliminary Quantification of $^{99m}Tc$-HMPAO Brain SPECT Images for Assessment of Volumetric Regional Cerebral Blood Flow ($^{99m}Tc$-HMPAO 뇌혈류 SPECT 영상의 부위별 체적 혈류 평가에 관한 기초 연구)

  • Kwark, Cheol-Eun;Park, Seok-Gun;Yang, Hyung-In;Choi, Chang-Woon;Lee, Kyung-Han;Lee, Dong-Soo;Chung, June-Key;Lee, Myung-Chul;Koh, Chang-Soon
    • The Korean Journal of Nuclear Medicine
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.170-174
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    • 1993
  • The quantitative methods for the assessment of the cerebral blood flow using $^{99m}Tc$-HMPAO brain SPECT utilize the measured count distribution in some specific reconstructed tomographic slice or in algebraic summation of a few neighboring slices, rather than the true volumetric distribution, to estimate the relative regional cerebral blood flow, and consequently produce the biased estimates of the true regional cerebral blood flow. This kind of biases are thought to originate mainly from the arbitrarily irregular shape of the cerebral region of interest(ROI) which are analyzed. In this study, a semi-automated method for the direct quantification of the volumetric regional cerebral blood flow estimate is proposed, and the results are compared to those calculated by the previous planar approaches. Bias factors due to the partial volume effect and the uncertainty in ROI determination are not considered presently for the methodological comparison of planar/volumetric assessment protocol.

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Studies on Symbiotic Nitrogen Fixation in Soybean -I. Methods of Measurement and Amounts of Symbiotic N2 Fixation in Soybean Root Nodules (대두근류균(大豆根瘤菌)의 질소고정(窒素固定)에 관(關)한 연구 -I. 대두(大豆) 근류균(根瘤菌)의 질소고정력(窒素固定力) 측정방법(測定方法) 및 질소고정량(窒素固定量))

  • Ryu, Jin-Chang;Lee, Sang-Kyu;Lee, Hyuk-Ho;Hong, Chong-Woon;Cho, Moo-Je
    • Korean Journal of Soil Science and Fertilizer
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.277-283
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    • 1982
  • A series of experiments were conducted on procedures of $N_2$ fixation measurements with soybean (Glycine max. L.) root nodules by acetylene reducing assay and estimation of amounts of $N_2$ fixed by soybean root nodules grown in the pot. The results are summarized as follows; 1. In case of nitrogen fixing activities were determined by means of acetylene reducing method, more appropriates results were obtained with direct determination of root nodules which was adhering from root under 2 hours after incubation, while more fluctuated data was obtained with root nodules determined under separated conditions. 2. The weight of soybean nodules was linearly increased from 17 days to 55 days after planting, whereas, the amounts of $N_2$ fixation from soybean nodules were Peaked at 38 days after planting, and declined thereafter. 3. When calculated upon the basis of the amounts of $N_2$ fixed as measured by acetylene reducing activities in single soybean plant, it was found that the average amount of symbiotic $N_2$ fixation falls in the range of 80 kg N per ha.

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