• Title/Summary/Keyword: Diffusion model

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Multi-Generation Diffusion Model for Economic Assessment of New Technology (신기술의 경제성 평가를 위한 다세대 확산모형 연구)

  • Sohn, So-Young;Ahn, Byung-Joo
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.337-344
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    • 2001
  • As cost invested in developing the specified technology is increasing, investors are paying more attention to cost to benefit analysis (CBA). One of the basic elements of CBA for new technological development is the diffusion pattern of demand of such technology. Many studies of technology evaluation have adopted a single generation model to simulate the diffusion pattern of demand. This approach, however, considers the diffusion of the new technology itself, not taking into account a newer generation that can replace the one just invented. In this paper, we show how a multi-generation technology diffusion model can be applied for more accurate CBA for information technology. Monte Carlo simulation is performed to find influential factors on the CBA of a Cybernetic Building System.

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Parameter Estimation of the Diffusion Model for Demand Side Management Monitoring System (DSM 모니터링을 위한 확산 모형의 계수 추정)

  • Kim, Jin-O;Choi, Cheong-Hun;Kim, Jung-Hoon;Lee, Chang-Ho;Kim, Chang-Seob
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.48 no.10
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    • pp.1183-1189
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    • 1999
  • This paper presents the method of parameter estimation of diffusion model for monitoring Demand-Side Management program. Bass diffusion model was applied in this paper, which has different values according to the following parameters; coefficients of innovation, imitation and potential adopters. Though it is very important to estimate three parameters precisely, there has been no empirical way in practice. Thus, this paper presents the method of parameter estimation in case of few data with constraints to reduce the possibility of bad estimation. The constraints can be empirical results or expert's decision. Case studies show the diffusion curves and forecasted values of the peak for the high-efficient lighting. The feedback and nonlinear least-square parameter estimation methods used in this paper enable us to evaluate the status and to predict the effect of DSM program.

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Chloride Diffusion Coefficient Model Considering the Initiation Time of Exposure to Chloride Environment (염소이온 노출개시시기를 고려한 기존 확산계수 모델 수정제안)

  • Kim, Ki-Hyun;Cha, Soo-Won
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.377-386
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    • 2009
  • A reference diffusion coefficient model from ACI life-365 is drawn from test results by NT build 443. This test method gives a time-averaged diffusion coefficient during immersion period, thus the ACI model uses the time-averaged diffusion coefficient as a reference value. ACI model needs to be revised, considering the difference between the time-average value and reference value at specified time. In this study, firstly the analytic solutions of diffusion equation are derived considering the initiation time and period of exposure to chloride, and secondly the time-averaged diffusion coefficient from NT build 443 is converted into the diffusion coefficient at reference time. From this study, the reference diffusion coefficient of ACI model should be modified to be about 10% larger values than those of present ACI model. For convenient design of service life, previous relationship between the chloride diffusion coefficient from NT build 443 and that from NT build 492 is also modified. To compare the chloride diffusion coefficients of ACI and JCI models, the reference chloride diffusion coefficient with respect to the JCI model is drawn in the similar form of ACI model's, and service life prediction by ACI life-365 method is confirmed to give a conservative result.

Modeling of ion diffusion coefficient in saturated concrete

  • Zuo, Xiao-Bao;Sun, Wei;Yu, Cheng;Wan, Xu-Rong
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.7 no.5
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    • pp.421-435
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    • 2010
  • This paper utilizes the modified Davis model and the mode coupling theory, as parts of the electrolyte solution theory, to investigate the diffusivity of the ion in concrete. Firstly, a computational model of the ion diffusion coefficient, which is associated with ion species, pore solution concentration, concrete mix parameters including water-cement ratio and cement volume fraction, and microstructure parameters such as the porosity and tortuosity, is proposed in the saturated concrete. Secondly, the experiments, on which the chloride diffusion coefficient is measured by the rapid chloride penetration test, have been carried out to investigate the validity of the proposed model. The results indicate that the chloride diffusion coefficient obtained by the proposed model is in agreement with the experimental result. Finally, numerical simulation has been completed to investigate the effects of the porosity, tortuosity, water-cement ratio, cement volume fraction and ion concentration in the pore solution on the ion diffusion coefficients. The results show that the ion diffusion coefficient in concrete increases with the porosity, water-cement ratio and cement volume fraction, while we see a decrease with the increasing of tortuosity. Meanwhile, the ion concentration produces more obvious effects on the diffusivity itself, but has almost no effects on the other ions.

Modeling of chloride diffusion in concrete considering wedge-shaped single crack and steady-state condition

  • Yang, Keun-Hyeok;Cheon, Ju Hyun;Kwon, Seung-Jun
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.211-216
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    • 2017
  • Crack on concrete surface allows more rapid penetration of chlorides. Crack width and depth are dominant parameters for chloride behavior, however their effects on chloride penetration are difficult to quantify. In the present work, the previous anisotropic (1-D) model on chloride diffusion in concrete with single crack is improved considering crack shape and roughness. In the previous model, parallel-piped shape was adopted for crack shape in steady-state condition. The previous model with single crack is improved considering wedge shape of crack profile and roughness. For verifying the proposed model, concrete samples for nuclear power plant are prepared and various crack widths are induced 0.0 to 1.2 mm. The chloride diffusion coefficients in steady-state condition are evaluated and compared with simulation results. The proposed model which can handle crack shape and roughness factor is evaluated to decrease chloride diffusion and can provide more reasonable results due to reduced area of crack profile. The roughness effect on diffusion is evaluated to be 10-20% of reduction in chloride diffusion.

Mitigating Data Imbalance in Credit Prediction using the Diffusion Model (Diffusion Model을 활용한 신용 예측 데이터 불균형 해결 기법)

  • Sangmin Oh;Juhong Lee
    • Smart Media Journal
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.9-15
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    • 2024
  • In this paper, a Diffusion Multi-step Classifier (DMC) is proposed to address the imbalance issue in credit prediction. DMC utilizes a Diffusion Model to generate continuous numerical data from credit prediction data and creates categorical data through a Multi-step Classifier. Compared to other algorithms generating synthetic data, DMC produces data with a distribution more similar to real data. Using DMC, data that closely resemble actual data can be generated, outperforming other algorithms for data generation. When experiments were conducted using the generated data, the probability of predicting delinquencies increased by over 20%, and overall predictive accuracy improved by approximately 4%. These research findings are anticipated to significantly contribute to reducing delinquency rates and increasing profits when applied in actual financial institutions.

An Empirical Analysis of Smartphone Diffusions in a Global Context

  • Cho, Daegon
    • Journal of Contemporary Eastern Asia
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.45-55
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    • 2015
  • This paper examines the diffusion of smartphones with a special emphasis on the diffusive interactions between Apple iOS and Google Android in a global context. Since the two mobile platforms were first introduced in the market, the use of smartphones has skyrocketed, suggesting that the dramatic diffusion of smartphones may be explained in part by the growth and competition of these two platforms. To study this, an extended Bass model is applied to a data set of quarterly smartphone sales between 2008 and 2013 for 15 countries. Our findings suggest that the innovation effect was more salient for iOS than for Android in developed countries, whereas the imitation effect was more striking for Android than for iOS in developing countries. Furthermore, our results from the co-diffusion model suggest that the diffusion of Android negatively affected by the diffusion of iOS, but not vice versa.

A WSR-88D Radar Observation of Chaff Transport and Diffusion in Clear Sky

  • Lee, Dong-In
    • Environmental Sciences Bulletin of The Korean Environmental Sciences Society
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.263-271
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    • 2000
  • To investigate the distribution of air pollutants dispersion in the horizontal wind fields, a chaff release experiment was carried out by an airplane. The temporal and spatial variations of a chaff plume from an elevated point source using the WSR-88D(NEXRAD) radar. The observed profiles of radar reflectivity were compared with the Gaussian diffusion model at slightly unstable atmospheric condition. The present study shows that the distributions of radar reflectivity from chaffs and their concentration by the model are in general agreement with time variation. The dispersion coefficients in downwind($\sigma$(sub)x) and crosswind($\sigma$(sub)y) spread data exceeded what has generally been found at Pasquill and Brigg\`s estimates. As a result, it was clearly shown that horizontal and vertical diffusion coefficients are more accurately determined as compared with theoretical coefficients. At longer diffusion distances(than 10km), a radar observation provided the determination of maximum range and diffusion height more qualitatively, too.

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Modeling of diffusion-reaction behavior of sulfate ion in concrete under sulfate environments

  • Zuo, Xiao-Bao;Sun, Wei;Li, Hua;Zhao, Yu-Kui
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.79-93
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    • 2012
  • This paper estimates theoretically the diffusion-reaction behaviour of sulfate ion in concrete caused by environmental sulfate attack. Based on Fick's second law and chemical reaction kinetics, a nonlinear and nonsteady diffusion-reaction equation of sulfate ion in concrete, in which the variable diffusion coefficient and the chemical reactions depleting sulfate ion concentration in concrete are considered, is proposed. The finite difference method is utilized to solve the diffusion-reaction equation of sulfate ion in concrete, and then it is used to simulate the diffusion-reaction process and the concentration distribution of sulfate ion in concrete. Afterwards, the experiments for measuring the sulfate ion concentration in concrete are carried out by using EDTA method to verify the proposal model, and results show that the proposed model is basically in agreement with the experimental results. Finally, Numerical example has been completed to investigate the diffusion-reaction behavior of sulfate ion in the concrete plate specimen immersed into sulfate solution.