• 제목/요약/키워드: Diffusion model

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대형할인점 확산에 대한 공간적 영향 (Spatial effect on the diffusion of discount stores)

  • 주영진;김미애
    • 한국유통학회지:유통연구
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    • 제15권4호
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    • pp.61-85
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    • 2010
  • 본 연구에서는 국내 대형할인점의 확산을 효과적으로 설명하기 위해 기업의 정보와 구매자의 구전으로 확산을 설명하는 Bass모형에 제3의 요소로 공간적 영향력을 고려하였다. 국내 대형할인점의 확산은 확산중심지인 서울경인지역에서 저차중심지인 4개 지역권역으로 확산되는 형태를 보임에 따라 공간적 영향이 중요하게 작용할 것으로 기대된다. 본 연구에서 공간적으로 구분된 시장 A(확산중심지)가 시장 B(저차중심지)에 미치는 영향이 완전히 통제되지 못하는 상황에서 시장 A가 시장 B에 미치는 공간적 영향을 다국가확산모형(multinational diffusion model)을 확장한 공간확산모형(spatial diffusion model)을 이용하여 정의하였다. Bass모형과 공간확산모형의 모수추정을 통해 두 가지 정보전달경로와 관련된 혁신계수와 모방계수로 확산을 설명하는 Bass모형보다 공간확산모형이 국내 대형할인점 확산을 더욱 효과적으로 설명하는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 혁신중심지인 서울경인과 4개 지역권역의 소매환경을 나타내는 개념적 거리에 따라 공간확산모형에서 공간적요인의 영향력이 달라질 것이 기대되어 공간확산계수와 소매환경변수간의 상관관계를 살펴보았고, 연구결과 확산중심지에서 저차중심지에 대한 공간적 영향력은 저차중심지의 소매환경이 확산중심지의 소매환경과 유사할수록 크다는 것을 밝혀내었다.

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디지털융합서비스의 수용, 사용, 확산에 관한 연구 : 혁신확산에 관한 수용-확산 및 사용-확산의 통합적 접근 (Innovative Converged Service and It's Adoption, Use and Diffusion : A Holistic Approach to Diffusion of Innovations, Combining Adoption-Diffusion and Use Diffusion Paradigms)

  • 송영화;임명환;김승호;원교일지
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.187-205
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    • 2010
  • This study takes a holistic approach to understand the diffusion of IPTV services by combining the adoption-diffusion model and the use-diffusion model of innovation. IPTV service, a leading digital converged application coupling media content with telecommunications, has been recently launched commercially in Korea. We created a structural model of adoption-diffusion, using the perceived easeof-use and usefulness of TAM(Technology Acceptance Model) as mediating variables, and a structural model of use-diffusion, with the rate of use and the variety of use as mediating variables. To empirically analyze these models, non-users of IPTV were surveyed using the adoption-diffusion model to identify factors influencing their intention to subscribe to the service. Meanwhile, users of IPTV were surveyed using the use-diffusion model to determine the factors that influence their satisfaction with the service and their intention to re-use it. Under the adoption-diffusion model, we found that trialability, household innovativeness and perceived risk were the determinants of user satisfaction with IPTV, and perceived ease-of-use, the mediating factors. Under the use-diffusion model, complementarity and communication were shown to be the determinants of users' satisfaction with IPTV, and variety of use, the mediating factor. We also found that consumers' intention to re-use IPTV was strongly influenced by its relative advantage and perceived risk.

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디지털융합서비스의 수용, 사용, 확산에 관한 연구: 혁신확산에 관한 수용-확산 및 사용-확산의 통합적 접근 (Innovative Converged Service and It's Adoption, Use and Diffusion: A Holistic Approach to Diffusion of Innovations, Combining Adoption-Diffusion and Use Diffusion Paradigms)

  • 송영화;임명환;모토하시 카즈유키;김승호
    • 한국데이타베이스학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국데이타베이스학회 2010년도 춘계국제학술대회
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    • pp.165-180
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    • 2010
  • This study takes a holistic approach to understanding the diffusion of IPTV services by combining the adoption-diffusion model and the use-diffusion model of innovation. IPTV service, a leading Digital converged application coupling media content with telecom, has been recently launched commercially in Korea. We created a structural model of adoption-diffusion, using the perceived ease-of-use and usefulness of TAM(Technology Acceptance Model) as mediating variables, and a structural model of use-diffusion, with the rate of use and the variety of use as mediating variables. To empirically analyze these models, non-users of IPTV were surveyed using the adoption-diffusion model to identity factors influencing their intention to subscribe to the service. Meanwhile, users of IPTV were surveyed using the use-diffusion model to determine the factors that influence their satisfaction with the service and their intention to fe-use it. Under the adoption-diffusion model, we found that trialability, household innovativeness and perceived risk were the determinants of user satisfaction with IPTV, and perceived ease-of-use, the mediating factors. Under the use-diffusion model, complementarity and communication were shown to be the determinants of users' satisfaction with IPTV, and variety of use, the mediating factor. We also found that consumers' intention to re-use IPTV was strongly influenced by its relative advantage and perceived risk.

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확산이론 관점에서 로지스틱 모형과 Bass 모형의 비교 (Comparison of the Bass Model and the Logistic Model from the Point of the Diffusion Theory)

  • 홍정식;구훈영
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제37권2호
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    • pp.113-125
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    • 2012
  • The logistic model and the Bass model have diverse names and formulae in diffusion theory. This diversity makes users or readers confused while it also contributes to the flexibility of modeling. The method of handling the integration constant, which is generated in process of deriving the closed form solution of the differential equation for a diffusion model, results in two different 'actual' models. We rename the actual four models and propose the usage of the models with respect to the purpose of model applications. The application purpose would be the explanation of historical diffusion pattern or the forecasting of future demand. Empirical validation with 86 historical diffusion data shows that misuse of the models can draw improper conclusions for the explanation of historical diffusion pattern.

해양유출기름의 확산 시뮬레이션 모델 개발(II) - 유류확산모델의 현장 적용 (Development of Simulation Model for Diffusion of Oil Spill in the Ocean (II) - Application of Simulation model to the Field)

  • 김기철;이중우;강신영;도덕희
    • 한국항만학회지
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.427-436
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    • 1999
  • Simulation model for diffusion of oil spill is developed. The model can perform real time simulation in the case of oil spill accident in the ocean. The model consists of three dimensional ocean circulation model and model for diffusion of oil spill. Real time flow fields which are used in the calculation of advection of oil spill are obtained in the three dimensional ocean circulation model. The model for diffusion of oil spill includes the evaporation dissolution emulsification and downward diffusion. For the verification of the model it is applied to the oil spill from the accident of Sea Prince. The results shows good agreement.

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확산모델을 이용한 자기트랜지스터의 베이스 영역에서의 홀 전계 해석 (An Analysis of Hall field in the Base Region of Magnetotransistors Using the Diffusion Model)

  • 이승기;강욱성;한민구
    • 대한전기학회논문지
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    • 제43권7호
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    • pp.1127-1134
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    • 1994
  • The analytical model for the induced Hall field in the magnetotransistor considering the diffusion of carriers has been proposed and verified by experiment and simulation. Previous models for the induced Hall field in the magnetotransistor do not consider the influence of the diffusion carrier transport. However, the carrier diffusion in the base region of magnetotransistors cannot be neglected and should be considered to evaluated the Hall field in the magnetotransistors accurately. We have measured the Hall voltage in the base region of the fabricated magnetotransistors. The measured values have been compared with the numerical results evaluated from our diffusion model as well as the calculated results from the conventional model. The evaluated Hall voltage from the diffusion model agrees well with the measured values while the sign of the Hall voltage calculated by the conventional model is opposite to that of the measured values in the saturation region. This discrepancy is due to the fact that the diffusion model considers the carrier diffusion while the conventional one does not. The Hall field model including the influence of carrier diffusion may be an important tool to optimize the device structure and to understand the operating principle of the magnetotransistor.

Bass Diffusion 모델을 활용한 스마트폰 시장의 성장 규모 예측: 몽골 사례 (Forecasting the Growth of Smartphone Market in Mongolia Using Bass Diffusion Model)

  • ;신광섭
    • 한국빅데이터학회지
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.193-212
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    • 2022
  • 1969년에 처음 고안되어 확산에 대한 마케팅 연구를 이끈 Bass Diffusion Model은 일반적으로 마케팅 연구 및 경영 과학에서 가장 성공적인 모델 중 하나다. 본 연구는 휴대전화 가입 확산을 토대로 Bass 확산 모델의 사용을 설명하며 Bass 확산 모델을 3대 선진국 시장인 한국, 일본, 중국과 신흥시장인 베트남, 태국, 카자흐스탄, 몽골에 적용했다. 실험에서는 비선형 최소자승법을 사용하여 Bass확산 모델의 매개변수를 추정하였고 휴대전화 가입의 확산은 모든 경우에 S 곡선을 따른다. m, p 및 q 매개변수를 획득한 후 국가를 세 그룹으로 그룹화하기 위해 k-평균 클러스터 분석을 사용했으며 국가를 클러스터링함으로써 확산 속도와 패턴이 유사하며 신흥시장이 있는 국가가 선진국의 발자취를 따를 수 있음을 제안한다. 연구의 목적은 시장 성숙도의 시기와 규모를 예측하고 데이터가 Bass 모델의 혁신의 일반적인 확산 곡선을 따르는지 여부를 판단하는 것이다.

Pile tip grouting diffusion height prediction considering unloading effect based on cavity reverse expansion model

  • Jiaqi Zhang;Chunfeng Zhao;Cheng Zhao;Yue Wu;Xin Gong
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제37권2호
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    • pp.97-107
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    • 2024
  • The accurate prediction of grouting upward diffusion height is crucial for estimating the bearing capacity of tip-grouted piles. Borehole construction during the installation of bored piles induces soil unloading, resulting in both radial stress loss in the surrounding soil and an impact on grouting fluid diffusion. In this study, a modified model is developed for predicting grout diffusion height. This model incorporates the classical rheological equation of power-law cement grout and the cavity reverse expansion model to account for different degrees of unloading. A series of single-pile tip grouting and static load tests are conducted with varying initial grouting pressures. The test results demonstrate a significant effect of vertical grout diffusion on improving pile lateral friction resistance and bearing capacity. Increasing the grouting pressure leads to an increase in the vertical height of the grout. A comparison between the predicted values using the proposed model and the actual measured results reveals a model error ranging from -12.3% to 8.0%. Parametric analysis shows that grout diffusion height increases with an increase in the degree of unloading, with a more pronounced effect observed at higher grouting pressures. Two case studies are presented to verify the applicability of the proposed model. Field measurements of grout diffusion height correspond to unloading ratios of 0.68 and 0.71, respectively, as predicted by the model. Neglecting the unloading effect would result in a conservative estimate.

신제품 및 서비스에 있어 이분조각 Bass모형에 의한 확산 패턴 분석 (Analysis of Diffusion Pattern in New Product and Services Based on Two-pieces Bass Model)

  • 홍석기;홍정식
    • 산업공학
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    • 제23권4호
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    • pp.337-348
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    • 2010
  • The Bass model is the most widely used model in research of new product diffusion because it presents a nice explanation on the diffusion process of new products. However, it has a limitation that its performance of fitness is lower as the available data become less and also, the diffusion curve is bell-shape and so, it can not represent the various diffusion patterns. Recently, a two-pieces Bass model is developed and applied to analyze diffusion of 10 products. The results are encouraging in terms of fitness. However, diffusion pattern is not dealt with in the paper. In this paper, analysis of diffusion pattern is in depth addressed in two-pieces Bass model. It is shown that the diffusion curves are divided into 3 types with respect to the peak adoption rate and each type is divided into 2 types further. Takeoff time of a diffusion process is analyzed by using the inflection point and regime-change time where it represents the point that imitation and innovation parameters change. Empirical studies for 68 products(28 domestic products and 40 USA products) are performed to analyze the diffusion pattern. Findings are that diffusion patterns of all products except 1 USA product show type I and regime-change time becomes shorter as the introduction time of the product is later in domestic products and regime-change time can be regarded as a takeoff time in 47% of total 68 products.