• 시스템엔지니어링워크숍
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• 통권4호
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• pp.123-134
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• 2004

This paper deals with the feasibility analysis and alternatives for infrared detector development. The purpose of this paper analyze development requirement and feasibility study in both technology and cost. We get raw input data for system engineering process from development and technical expert, and then analyze cost and technology for development feasibility, and alternative study. Infrared Detector is core component of Thermal Imaging System and developed by ADD from 2006 to 2008 year. Technical level is analyzed by TRL(Technical Readiness Level) and AOA(Analysis of Alternative) is done by development and production cost estimate. We use SEER-H tool for cost estimate, that is parametric cost estimate tool based on Knowledge Base. Also this paper presents risk analysis for project management because it is necessary to risk driver management during the infrared detector development. The result of IR Detector feasibility and alternative study will be used in technical and cost analysis. This study can help those who are related to the cost analysis and development feasibility of other weapons

• 국제학술발표논문집
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• The 3th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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• pp.847-855
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• 2009

While many studies on feasibility analysis for housing projects have been released, the main focus was on economic feasibility and factors related to developers were not clearly identified enough to be used in practice. In order to establish a feasibility analysis model for apartment development projects requested by developers in Korea, 31 driving factors behind projects' success were identified under seven different categories. Criterions of the each factor were also developed, and weight of each factor was assigned by applying the Analytical Hierarchy Process(AHP). Finally, based on the Monte Carlo simulation, the feasibility analysis model was established, providing probability distribution of project's grade. The model was applied to 12 housing projects to verify its reliability, and found that the model properly filtered projects that are unlikely to be profitable, indicating reasonable reliability of the model. The model can be a useful tool for contractors, especially with less experience in analyzing project development feasibility.

• 시스템엔지니어링학술지
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• 제1권1호
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• pp.1-13
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• 2005

The purpose of this paper analyze development feasibility and alternatives for infrared detector development in both technology and cost. Infrared Detector is core component of Thermal Imaging System and developed by ADD from 2006 10 2008 year. We got raw input data from development and technical expert, and then analyze cost and technology for development feasibility, and alternatives study. Technology level is analyzed by TRL(Technology Readiness Level) and AOA(Analysis of Alternatives) is done by development cost estimate. Estimating the development cost, we use SEER-H that is parametric cost estimating tool based on Knowledge Base. This study can help those who are related to the cost and development feasibility analysis of other weapon systems.

• 한국건설관리학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국건설관리학회 2007년도 정기학술발표대회 논문집
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• pp.249-254
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• 2007

최근 주택시장의 사업주체들은 다양하고 복잡한 시장 환경의 주택시장에서 성공적인 사업을 위하여 사업 기획단계 부터 체계적이고 객관적인 사업성분석을 필요로 하고 있다. 따라서 이러한 주택시장의 환경을 이해하고 사업성 분석에 필요한 모델을 제시하는 것은 의미 있는 것이다. 이에 본 연구에서는 주택시장에 현실적이고 실용적인 사업성분석인자와 중요도를 도출하고 사업성분석인자 모델을 제시하여 사례현장에 적용, 타당성을 검증하였다. 주택개발사업 전문가그룹인터뷰와 설문조사를 통해 중요도를 검증하고 분석한 결과 첫째, 본 연구에서 도출된 중요 사업성 분석인자는 개발사업의 기획단계에서 분석지수에 의해 평가대상 프로젝트의 사업성을 판단할 수 있는 근거를 제시하였다. 둘째, 사업추진등급 이하의 결과일 경우 기준 점수 이하인 분석인자를 도출하고 개선 가능한 분석인자에 대하여 피드백 과정을 통해 사업추진에 대한 재검토가 가능하였다. 따라서 본 연구의 사업성 분석모델은 실제 주택개발 사업에 대하여 사례현장 분석을 수행한 결과, 분석지수를 통하여 개발업무 실무자에게 현실성 있는 판단기준을 제공할 수 있는 것으로 확인되었다.

• 한국건설관리학회논문집
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• 제8권3호
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• pp.76-86
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• 2007

건축개발사업은 목적물을 완성시킴으로써 이윤을 창출하는 사업이고, 프로젝트의 성공을 좌우하는 것은 프로젝트 초기에 사업타당성을 정확히 분석하고 예측하는 것에 달려있다. 사업타당성 분실은 본질적으로 현재시점에서 미래예측이라는 불확실성을 내포하고 있으므로 불확실한 상황 하에서 의사결정을 할 수밖에 없다. 이러한 불확실성 하에서의 의사결정방법은 통계학의 확률이론에 기초하고 있지만, 지금까지 사업 타당성 분석은 확률론적 결정방법에 의한 타당성 분석이 아니라 결정론적 방법에 의한 타당성분석을 적용하여 왔다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 초기 사업 타당성 분석 시 프로젝트의 성공을 위해 확률론적 방법에 의한 의사결정을 함으로써, 의사결정 자에게 좀 더 정확하고 신뢰성 있는 자료를 제공할 수 있는 시뮬레이션을 이용한 확률론적 분석방법을 제시한다. 본 연구 결과 확률론적 시뮬레이션 기 법은 건축개발사업의 재무적 타당성 분석 기법으로 적합하다. 중요한 사업 또는 신중한 의사결정시 이 방법을 활용함으로서 정확성과 신뢰성에 근거하여 효율적인 판단이 가능해 질 것이므로 그 활용성이 기대된다.

• 한국건축시공학회지
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• 제9권3호
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• pp.117-125
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• 2009

With construction industry recession, many construction companies are increasingly conducting the development projects by themselves. However, housing projects requested by developers still stand large portion. Although many studies on feasibility analysis were released, they mainly focused on economic feasibility and lacked research on factors and criterions of overall project. Also, because previous studies overly break downed factors related to project, they rarely used in practice. Therefore, this study developed the feasibility analysis model of housing development projects to help main contractors to easily and effectively decide if it is feasible enough to promote the projects requested by developers, and verified the reliability of the model. In this study, thirty one driving factors were identified under seven different categories and the criterion of each factor was also developed. The survey on important index of each factor found 'salability', 'economic feasibility', 'site location' and 'method of raising fund' significant. 12 projects were tested by the model and its results showed resonable reliability.

• 한국항공운항학회지
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• 제16권3호
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• pp.21-30
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• 2008

As the low-cost carriers of the region enters the air transportation market, the domestic air transport circumstance is to be changed and each local autonomous entity conducts the feasibility study to develop the regional airport. But the airport is developed almost all by the goal of the policy and actually the valid basis of the airport development is often weak. To present the validity of the regional airport development Using the pre-feasibility study method the government performs I apply it to the airport development project of the Seo-san region. To present the validity of the regional airport development this study carries out the pre-feasibility study by the AHP analysis.

• 농촌지도와개발
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• 제28권4호
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• pp.167-174
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• 2021

This study analyzed the feasibility of custom work service to deal with the imbalance of farm labor supply due to population aging. The economic feasibility analysis is based on the case of Bonghwang-myeon in Naju-si, where the majority of farm work is entrusted to local agricultural cooperative. To assess the project profitability and economic feasibility based on the projected cash flow for the next ten years, Return On Investment (ROI), Net Present Value (NPV), and Internal Rate of Return (IRR) of the projects were calculated. The results showed that ROI is estimated at 13.7%, and NPV and IRR are KRW 1,504,932,000 and 15.6%, respectively, with a discount rate of 4.5%, indicating a good enough profitability. Furthermore, a sensitivity analysis with government support as part of an assumption showed that without the support, NPV turns negative, implying that the project is not profitable, and that government support for at least 30% of the cost is needed to secure the economic feasibility of a project. Hence, to promote agricultural work entrustment, it is necessary for the government to partly support the agricultural machinery and facility costs, which require a considerable amount of initial investment.

• 한국방재안전학회논문집
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• 제14권3호
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• pp.1-16
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• 2021

최근 기후변화로 인한 수자원 확보의 불확실성과 생태환경의 변화에 따라 안전성과 공공성을 고려한 수자원 분야에 대형 사업이 요구된다. 이러한 대형 사업가운데 예비타당성사업에 해당되는 사업은 국가예산낭비 예방의 목적으로 경제성분석과, 정책성분석, 지역균형발전 분석에 기반한 종합분석에 의하여 사업추진이 결정된다. 그러나 대부분 예비타당성분석에 의한 결과는 경제성분석에 크게 의존하는 경향을 보여 비수도권 지역에서는 예비타당성조사를 통과하지 못하는 경우가 있었다. 이러한 점을 보완하기 위해 한국개발연구원에서는 정책성분석의 비중을 높게 두는 수자원부문 사업의 예비타당성조사 표준지침을 수정하였다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 기존 수행된 예비타당성조사에 대한 사례를 분석하고 수자원부문 사업의 예비타당성조사에서 정책성분석의 방향을 제시하는 것이 목표이다. 이에 지난 2002년부터 2019년까지 18년간 수행된 수자원분야 예비타당성 사례조사를 수행하였고, 경제성분석에 포함되지 않는 편익항목을 이용하여 정책적효과 분석방안을 제시하였다.

• 농촌계획
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• 제25권2호
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• pp.35-45
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• 2019

This study revises current feasibility evaluation guideline for agricultural infrastructure improvement project considering recent changes in social and economic environment in rural area. We use an AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process) approach to consider qualitative evaluation items in policy enforcement and balanced regional development as well as quantitative items in current economic analysis in the process of feasibility evaluation and decision making. The criteria system is composed of three level hierarchy. In the first level which consists of economic analysis, policy analysis, and regional development analysis, economic analysis was ranked top with relative weight of 0.45 and regional development analysis the lowest with 0.22. In the second level which consists of three evaluation items under policy analysis, consistency in policy enforcement, risk factors, and special evaluation factors, consistency in policy enforcement was ranked top. Finally, 13 detailed evaluation items in the third level were surveyed and ranked by using a comprehensive criticality vector. The result shows that the three most important evaluation items are 'degree of underdevelopment', 'spill-over effect of regional economy' and 'consistency with related planning and policy direction'.