• Title/Summary/Keyword: Development Demand

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Modeling Planned Maintenance Outage of Generators Based on Advanced Demand Clustering Algorithms (개선된 수요 클러스터링 기법을 이용한 발전기 보수정지계획 모델링)

  • Kim, Jin-Ho;Park, Jong-Bae
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.55 no.4
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    • pp.172-178
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, an advanced demand clustering algorithm which can explore the planned maintenance outage of generators in changed electricity industry is proposed. The major contribution of this paper can be captured in the development of the long-term estimates for the generation availability considering planned maintenance outage. Two conflicting viewpoints, one of which is reliability-focused and the other is economy-focused, are incorporated in the development of estimates of maintenance outage based on the advanced demand clustering algorithm. Based on the advanced clustering algorithm, in each demand cluster, conventional effective outage of generators which conceptually capture maintenance and forced outage of generators, are newly defined in order to properly address the characteristic of the planned maintenance outage in changed electricity markets. First, initial market demand is classified into multiple demand clusters, which are defined by the effective outage rates of generators and by the inherent characteristic of the initial demand. Then, based on the advanced demand clustering algorithm, the planned maintenance outages and corresponding effective outages of generators are reevaluated. Finally, the conventional demand clusters are newly classified in order to reflect the improved effective outages of generation markets. We have found that the revision of the demand clusters can change the number of the initial demand clusters, which cannot be captured in the conventional demand clustering process. Therefore, it can be seen that electricity market situations, which can also be classified into several groups which show similar patterns, can be more accurately clustered. From this the fundamental characteristics of power systems can be more efficiently analyzed, for this advanced classification can be widely applicable to other technical problems in power systems such as generation scheduling, power flow analysis, price forecasts, and so on.

A Study on Research and Development Strategies for Measuring Instrument (계측기기 연구개발 전략에 관한 연구)

  • 최만용
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Technology Engineers
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.109-114
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    • 1997
  • In the past few decades, the measuring instrument industries have made rapid progress with increase on the demand in industries such as precision instrument, chemistry, electronics, industrial measurement and automobile. Thus, development strategy and technical advancement are required for both securing the competitiveness on products in the world market and industrial development. Intensifying competitiveness of measuring instrument is needed in the world market. It can be achieved by development of measuring instrument holding comparative priority. A development strategy should be drawn up in the long-term point of view for coping with the increasing demand of measuring instrument and securing competitiveness in the world market.

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Forecasting Demand of Agricultural Tractor, Riding Type Rice Transplanter and Combine Harvester by using an ARIMA Model

  • Kim, Byounggap;Shin, Seung-Yeoub;Kim, Yu Yong;Yum, Sunghyun;Kim, Jinoh
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.9-17
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    • 2013
  • Purpose: The goal of this study was to develop a methodology for the demand forecast of tractor, riding type rice transplanter and combine harvester using an ARIMA (autoregressive integrated moving average) model, one of time series analysis methods, and to forecast their demands from 2012 to 2021 in South Korea. Methods: To forecast the demands of three kinds of machines, ARIMA models were constructed by following three stages; identification, estimation and diagnose. Time series used were supply and stock of each machine and the analysis tool was SAS 9.2 for Windows XP. Results: Six final models, supply based ones and stock based ones for each machine, were constructed from 32 tentative models identified by examining the ACF (autocorrelation function) plots and the PACF (partial autocorrelation function) plots. All demand series forecasted by the final models showed increasing trends and fluctuations with two-year period. Conclusions: Some forecast results of this study are not applicable immediately due to periodic fluctuation and large variation. However, it can be advanced by incorporating treatment of outliers or combining with another forecast methods.

A Study on Development of Remote Management Controller for Intelligent Power Equipment (지능형 전원설비의 원격관리제어기 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Lim, Byung-Kuk
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.79-86
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    • 2006
  • In this study, we research and develope Intelligent Remote management controller. According to the load condition, we will apply various control techniques and plan high efficient Demand control. After development, According to the Demand Control, An electricity enterprisers will expect enlargement of equipment coefficient, elevation of back up load factor and reduction effect of equipment investment. On Customer side, They will expect reduction of electric fee, saving energy and variety of service choice.

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Road Maintenance Planning with Traffic Demand Forecasting (장래교통수요예측을 고려한 도로 유지관리 방안)

  • Kim, Jeongmin;Choi, Seunghyun;Do, Myungsik;Han, Daeseok
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.47-57
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    • 2016
  • PURPOSES : This study aims to examine the differences between the existing traffic demand forecasting method and the traffic demand forecasting method considering future regional development plans and new road construction and expansion plans using a four-step traffic demand forecast for a more objective and sophisticated national highway maintenance. This study ultimately aims to present future pavement deterioration and budget forecasting planning based on the examination. METHODS : This study used the latest data offered by the Korea Transport Data Base (KTDB) as the basic data for demand forecast. The analysis scope was set using the Daejeon Metropolitan City's O/D and network data. This study used a traffic demand program called TransCad, and performed a traffic assignment by vehicle type through the application of a user equilibrium-based multi-class assignment technique. This study forecasted future traffic demand by verifying whether or not a realistic traffic pattern was expressed similarly by undertaking a calibration process. This study performed a life cycle cost analysis based on traffic using the forecasted future demand or existing past pattern, or by assuming the constant traffic demand. The maintenance criteria were decided according to equivalent single axle loads (ESAL). The maintenance period in the concerned section was calculated in this study. This study also computed the maintenance costs using a construction method by applying the maintenance criteria considering the ESAL. The road user costs were calculated by using the user cost calculation logic applied to the Korean Pavement Management System, which is the existing study outcome. RESULTS : This study ascertained that the increase and decrease of traffic occurred in the concerned section according to the future development plans. Furthermore, there were differences from demand forecasting that did not consider the development plans. Realistic and accurate demand forecasting supported an optimized decision making that efficiently assigns maintenance costs, and can be used as very important basic information for maintenance decision making. CONCLUSIONS : Therefore, decision making for a more efficient and sophisticated road management than the method assuming future traffic can be expected to be the same as the existing pattern or steady traffic demand. The reflection of a reliable forecasting of the future traffic demand to life cycle cost analysis (LCCA) can be a very vital factor because many studies are generally performed without considering the future traffic demand or with an analysis through setting a scenario upon LCCA within a pavement management system.

Development of Automatic Decision System for Cholrination Demand in Water treatment Plant (정수장내 염소요구량 자동결정시스템 개발)

  • Oh, Sueg-Young;Lee, Sung-Ryong
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2000.04b
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    • pp.807-812
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    • 2000
  • Chlorination dosage in water treatment plant of field is determined by chlorination demand experiment through two or three hours after raw water was sampled in inflow. It is impossible to continuously control fer real time because sampled water is adapted chlorination dosage after water treatment process had been proceeded. Therefore in this study, we will design informal chlorination demand system this designed system will be experimented as to water quality and accuracy of control in various conditions. Throughout these. experimental results, we will revise the system and revised system is enable to optimal control of chlorination dosage. Finally, We have developed chlorination demand system, which can automatically determination of chlorination dosage to be determined according to variety of raw water quality inflow in water treatment plant.

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An Analysis of Economy Improvement Method and Power Demand Effect when the Battery is Applied to the Building Based on the Measured Energy Consumption (전기저장장치의 건물수용가 적용에 따른 Demand영향 및 경제성 향상방안)

  • Yang, Seung-Kwon
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.29 no.5
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    • pp.86-93
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    • 2015
  • Recently, ESS became efficient device to stabilize electric power supply system with the development SG related technology. In fact. there are some constraints to supply ESS, because of the high cost and required space, but rapid technology development for ESS will make it more useful soon. So, through this paper, we analyzed the benefit and demand effect when the battery is applied the building based on the measured energy consumption. After that, we got the conclusion that there is a volume limit in ESS application, in a benefit view point. And we realized that there is a demand violation, and the Cost-based BEMS is the best solution to enhance the effect of ESS application.

Demand Side Management for Efficiency Enhancement of District Heating (지역난방의 효율향상을 위한 수요관리)

  • Kim, Young-Il;Kang, Byung-Ha;Choi, Sung-Ho;Kim, Yong-Ryeol;Kim, In-Taek;Jeon, Ho-Cheol
    • Proceedings of the SAREK Conference
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    • 2006.06a
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    • pp.258-263
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    • 2006
  • In this study, demand side management for efficiency enhancement of district heating has been investigated. Objectives of demand side management of district heating are classified and analyzed. Foreign and domestic examples are studied. Evaluation methods of demand side management of district heating are studied. Applications and expected effect of the results are presented. Finally directions for demand side management of district heating efficiency enhancement are suggested.

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An exploratory study on establishment of a development direction on education training program for cultivating convergence human resources in smart aquaculture through a demand survey (교육 수요 조사를 통한 스마트 수산 양식 분야의 융합형 인재 양성 교육 프로그램 개발 방향 설정을 위한 탐색적 연구)

  • KWON, Inyeong;KIM, Taeho
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology
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    • v.56 no.3
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    • pp.265-276
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    • 2020
  • The objective of this study is to develop education programs for cultivating smart aquaculture experts through a education demand survey of industries, high school students, university (graduate) students and field workers. The industry demand analysis was conducted as an in-depth interview on representives from seven companies. Education demand surveys were conducted on 96 students and field workers in the Jeonnam region. Results on the demand survey were analyzed using frequency analysis and cross-analysis. The company representatives responded that they want to participated in internship and retraining programs to proactively secure manpowers with convergence capabilities about smart aquaculture. Seven companies preferred manpowers with basic competencies on ICT (Information and Communications Technologies) or aquaculture. The most respondents in the demand survey want to participate in the education program for experience on advanced technology, self-development and enhancement of work capability. On the other hand, some respondents said that the education is time-consuming and that the education program does not fit their level. Thus, the education program should be developed in a way to minimize the spatial and temporal limitations of education targets and to improve understanding of non-majors by reflecting the demands of human resources in the industrial field.

An Dynamic Analysis on the Relationship among Prices, Trading Volumes, Import Volumes and Demand Using VAR - Focused on Cabbage, Onions, and Garlic - (VAR을 이용한 도매가격, 반입량, 수입량 및 수요량의 동태적 상관분석 -배추, 양파, 마늘을 중심으로-)

  • Nam, Kuk-Hyun;Choe, Young-Chan
    • Journal of Agricultural Extension & Community Development
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.9-19
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    • 2017
  • This paper analyses the interrelationship among wholesale price, trading volumes, import volumes and demand for three agricultural products (cabbage, onions, and garlic) by using the consumer panel and the data from the Korea Rural Economic Institute and the Korea Customs Service with a VAR model. The results are summarized as below. (1) The prices of three agricultural products decrease when trading volumes increase while the price of cabbage and onions decreases when import volumes increase. But the prices of three agricultural products have little effects on trading volumes. (2) The demand of three agricultural products increases when trading volumes increase while the demand of cabbage and onions increases when import volumes increase. (3) when demand of garlic and cabbage increases by 10%, their price increases by 2.5% and 1.3% respectively. And the demand of garlic has positive effects on import volumes of garlic.