• 제목/요약/키워드: Deterministic dynamic system

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돌발적 교통혼잡발생시 동적경로안내를 위한 적응형 알고리즘개발에 관한 연구 (An Adaptive Strategy for Providing Dynamic Route Guidance under Non-Recurrent Traffic Congestion)

  • 이상건
    • 대한교통학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한교통학회 1996년도 제30회 학술발표회
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    • pp.81-108
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    • 1996
  • 첨단교통정보시스템(ATIS)의 핵심 요소라 할 수 있는 동적경로안내 시스템(Dynamic Route Guidance System : DRGS)은 운전자가 목적지에 도착하기까지 실시간 교통정보를 토대로 최적경로를 안내해 줌으로써 날로 심화되어 가고 있는 교통혼잡을 최소화할 수 있으리라 기대를 모으고 있다. 특히 교통사고나 긴급도로공사 등으로 인해 발생하는 돌발적 교통혼잡하에서는 DRGS의 역할이 더욱 커질 것으로 예상되고 있다. 본 논문은 돌발적 교통혼잡하에서 보다 효과적인 DRGS의 경로 안내 알고리즘을 개발하는 데 그 목적이 있다. 이를 위해서 우선 하부구조기반(Infrastructure Based) DRGS와 개인차량기반(In-vehicle Based)DRGS의 장단점을 운전자, 교통행정당국, 그리고 교통체계관점에서 비교하였고, 시스템 아키텍쳐와 경로안내 알고리즘간의 상호관계를 규명하였다. 또한 효율적인 경로안내를 위해 사용자 평형(User Equilibrium)경로안내전략과 시스템최적화(System Optimal) 경로안내전략을 이상형 교통망(Idealistic Network)을 통해 비교분석하였다. 여기에는 현재 ITS-America에서 System Architecture 평가를 위해 사용한 INTEGRATION이라는 ITS Simulation Model과 그 통행저항함수를 사용하였다. 이를 토대로 돌발적 교통혼잡상황 아래서 사용자평형 경로안내를 제공할 경우 야기될 수 있는 Braess` Paradox 문제와, 총통행시간을 최소화하기 위한 시스템최적 경로안내를 제공할 경우 일어날 수 있는 사용자 호응도(User Compliance)문제를 동시에 고려한 적응형 동적경로안내 알고리즘을 개발하였다. 여기에는 돌발적 교통혼잡하에서 통행시간을 동적으로 예측하기 위해 이산형 확정적 대기행렬모형(Discrete Deterministic Queueing Model)이 사용되었다. 한편 알고리즘의 효율성을 평가하기 위해 이상형 교통망과, 실제 미국 Virginia 주의 Fairfax County에 소재한 주간 고속도로 66번(I-66)과 인접 교통망의 교통자료를 사용하여 각종 돌발교통 혼잡 상황을 전제로 한 Traffic Simulation과 정보제공시나\리오를 INTEGRATION Model을 이용해 실행하였다. 그 결과 적응형 알고리즘이 개개인의 최단시간 경로를 제공하는 사용자 평형 경로안내전략에 비해 교통혼잡도와 정체시간의 체류정도에 따라 3%에서 10%까지 전체통행시간을 절약할 수 있다는 결론을 얻었다.

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Efficient MCS for random vibration of hysteretic systems by an explicit iteration approach

  • Su, Cheng;Huang, Huan;Ma, Haitao;Xu, Rui
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.119-139
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    • 2014
  • A new method is proposed for random vibration anaylsis of hysteretic systems subjected to non-stationary random excitations. With the Bouc-Wen model, motion equations of hysteretic systems are first transformed into quasi-linear equations by applying the concept of equivalent excitations and decoupling of the real and hysteretic displacements, and the derived equation system can be solved by either the precise time integration or the Newmark-${\beta}$ integration method. Combining the numerical solution of the auxiliary differential equation for hysteretic displacements, an explicit iteration algorithm is then developed for the dynamic response analysis of hysteretic systems. Because the computational cost for a large number of deterministic analyses of hysteretic systems can be significantly reduced, Monte-Carlo simulation using the explicit iteration algorithm is now viable, and statistical characteristics of the non-stationary random responses of a hysteretic system can be obtained. Numerical examples are presented to show the accuracy and efficiency of the present approach.

독립운전 마이크로그리드의 능동형 동기 투입 제어에 관한 연구 (Study on the Dynamic Synchronizing Control of An Islanded Microgrid)

  • 조창희;전진홍;김종율;권순만;김성신
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제60권6호
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    • pp.1112-1121
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    • 2011
  • A microgrid is an aggregation of multiple distributed generators (DGs) such as renewable energy sources, conventional generators, and energy storage systems that provide both electric power and thermal energy. Generally, a microgrid operates in parallel with the main grid. However, there are cases in which a microgrid operates in islanded mode, or in a disconnected state. Islanded microgrid can change its operational mode to grid-connected operation by reconnection to the grid, which is referred to as synchronization. Generally, a single machine simply synchronizes with the grid using a synchronizer. However, the synchronization of microgrid that operate with multiple DGs and loads cannot be controlled by a traditional synchronizer, but needs to control multiple generators and energy storage systems in a coordinated way. This is not a simple job, considering that a microgrid consists of various power electronics-based DGs as well as alternator-based generators that produce power together. This paper introduces the results of research examining an active synchronizing control system that consists of the network-based coordinated control of multiple DGs. Consequently, it provides the microgrid with a deterministic and reliable reconnection to the grid. The proposed method is verified by using the test cases with the experimental setup of a microgrid pilot plant.

Current Status and Applications of Integrated Safety Assessment and Simulation Code System for ISA

  • Izquierdo, J.M.;Hortal, J.;Sanchez Perea, M.;Melendez, E.;Queral, C.;Rivas-Lewicky, J.
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제49권2호
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    • pp.295-305
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    • 2017
  • This paper reviews current status of the unified approach known as integrated safety assessment (ISA), as well as the associated SCAIS (simulation codes system for ISA) computer platform. These constitute a proposal, which is the result of collaborative action among the Nuclear Safety Council (CSN), University of Madrid (UPM), and NFQ Solutions S.L, aiming to allow independent regulatory verification of industry quantitative risk assessments. The content elaborates on discussions of the classical treatment of time in conventional probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) sequences and states important conclusions that can be used to avoid systematic and unacceptable underestimation of the failure exceedance frequencies. The unified ISA method meets this challenge by coupling deterministic and probabilistic mutual influences. The feasibility of the approach is illustrated with some examples of its application to a real size plant.

Metamodeling of nonlinear structural systems with parametric uncertainty subject to stochastic dynamic excitation

  • Spiridonakos, Minas D.;Chatzia, Eleni N.
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제8권4호
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    • pp.915-934
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    • 2015
  • Within the context of Structural Health Monitoring (SHM), it is often the case that structural systems are described by uncertainty, both with respect to their parameters and the characteristics of the input loads. For the purposes of system identification, efficient modeling procedures are of the essence for a fast and reliable computation of structural response while taking these uncertainties into account. In this work, a reduced order metamodeling framework is introduced for the challenging case of nonlinear structural systems subjected to earthquake excitation. The introduced metamodeling method is based on Nonlinear AutoRegressive models with eXogenous input (NARX), able to describe nonlinear dynamics, which are moreover characterized by random parameters utilized for the description of the uncertainty propagation. These random parameters, which include characteristics of the input excitation, are expanded onto a suitably defined finite-dimensional Polynomial Chaos (PC) basis and thus the resulting representation is fully described through a small number of deterministic coefficients of projection. The effectiveness of the proposed PC-NARX method is illustrated through its implementation on the metamodeling of a five-storey shear frame model paradigm for response in the region of plasticity, i.e., outside the commonly addressed linear elastic region. The added contribution of the introduced scheme is the ability of the proposed methodology to incorporate uncertainty into the simulation. The results demonstrate the efficiency of the proposed methodology for accurate prediction and simulation of the numerical model dynamics with a vast reduction of the required computational toll.

물수지 방정식의 카오스적 분석 (Chaotic Analysis of Water Balance Equation)

  • 이재수
    • 물과 미래
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.45-54
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    • 1994
  • 물수지 모델을 사용하여 발생시킨 시계열에 대해서 프랙탈(Fractal) 차원의 기본 이론이 소개 및 적용되었고 물수지 방정식이 넓은 지역에 대해 계절 시간 규모로 분석하였다. 중간 규모 순환의 발생과 변화에 있어 강우의 국부 재순환과 토양 수분의 동력학적 영향이 명시적으로 포함되어 있고 지체 시간 또한 분석에서 고려되었다. 시스템은 전개에 있어 변수 값들에 따라 고정점, 한계주기 그리고 카오스(Chaos)적인 행태와 같은 서로 다른 결과를 보여 주었다. 발생된 시계열의 추계학적인 행태는 궤적들이 초기 조거넹 매우 민감한 한정된 수의 방정식을 가지는 비선형 동력학 시스템으로부터 발생하는 확정론적 카오스 때문이다. 강우의 특성으로부터 발생하는 잡음은 어트랙터(Attractor)의 조직화된 구조를 파괴시키는데, 잡음의 존재에도 불구하고 어트랙터가 존재한다는 것은 시스템의 전개의 다기 예측에 있어 매우 중요하다고 할 수가 있다. 이러한 비선형 동력계가 가지고 있는 의미는 수문자료나 현상들의 해석과 모델링에 있어 중요하다.

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가변속 압축기를 갖는 오일쿨러의 최적 PI 제어기 설계 (Optimization of a PI Controller Design for an Oil Cooler System with a Variable Rotating Speed Compressor)

  • 권태은;정태영;정석권
    • 설비공학논문집
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    • 제28권12호
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    • pp.502-508
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    • 2016
  • An optimized PI controller design method is presented to promote the control performance of an oil cooler system for high precision machine tools. First, a transfer function model of the oil cooler system with a variable rotating speed compressor was obtained by the perturbation method as the first order system with a negligible dead time. Then, the closed-loop control system was described as the second order system with a zero. Its dynamic behaviors are mostly governed by characteristic parameters, the damping ratio, and the natural frequency which is incorporated in PI gains. Next, an optimum integral of the time-weighted absolute error (ITAE) criterion was applied to the second order system. The characteristic parameters can be determined by the given design specifications, percent overshoots and settling times and comparisons with the ITAE criterion. Hence, the PI gains were plainly identified in a deterministic way. Finally, the PI gains were fine-tuned to obtain desirable dynamics in real systems, considering the zero effect and parameter variations. The validity of the proposed method was proven by computer simulations and real experiments for selected cases.

스마트 마이크로그리드 실시간 상태 추정에 관한 연구 (A Study on Real-time State Estimation for Smart Microgrids)

  • 배준형;이상우;박태준;이동하;강진규
    • 한국태양에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국태양에너지학회 2012년도 춘계학술발표대회 논문집
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    • pp.419-424
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    • 2012
  • This paper discusses the state-of-the-art techniques in real-time state estimation for the Smart Microgrids. The most popular method used in traditional power system state estimation is a Weighted Least Square(WLS) algorithm which is based on Maximum Likelihood(ML) estimation under the assumption of static system state being a set of deterministic variables. In this paper, we present a survey of dynamic state estimation techniques for Smart Microgrids based on Belief Propagation (BP) when the system state is a set of stochastic variables. The measurements are often too sparse to fulfill the system observability in the distribution network of microgrids. The BP algorithm calculates posterior distributions of the state variables for real-time sparse measurements. Smart Microgrids are modeled as a factor graph suitable for characterizing the linear correlations among the state variables. The state estimator performs the BP algorithm on the factor graph based the stochastic model. The factor graph model can integrate new models for solar and wind correlation. It provides the Smart Microgrids with a way of integrating the distributed renewable energy generation. Our study on Smart Microgrid state estimation can be extended to the estimation of unbalanced three phase distribution systems as well as the optimal placement of smart meters.

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Experimental and analytical studies on stochastic seismic response control of structures with MR dampers

  • Mei, Zhen;Peng, Yongbo;Li, Jie
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제5권4호
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    • pp.395-416
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    • 2013
  • The magneto-rheological (MR) damper contributes to the new technology of structural vibration control. Its developments and applications have been paid significant attentions in earthquake engineering in recent years. Due to the shortages, however, inherent in deterministic control schemes where only several observed seismic accelerations are used as the trivial input and in classical stochastic optimal control theory with assumption of white noise process, the derived control policy cannot effectively accommodate the performance of randomly base-excited engineering structures. In this paper, the experimental and analytical studies on stochastic seismic response control of structures with specifically designed MR dampers are carried out. The random ground motion, as the base excitation posing upon the shaking table and the design load used for structural control system, is represented by the physically based stochastic ground motion model. Stochastic response analysis and reliability assessment of the tested structure are performed using the probability density evolution method and the theory of extreme value distribution. It is shown that the seismic response of the controlled structure with MR dampers gain a significant reduction compared with that of the uncontrolled structure, and the structural reliability is obviously strengthened as well.

FCM 클러스터링 기반 비선형 기동표적의 외란분석 알고리즘 (External Noise Analysis Algorithm based on FCM Clustering for Nonlinear Maneuvering Target)

  • 손현승;박진배;주영훈
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제60권12호
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    • pp.2346-2351
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    • 2011
  • This paper presents the intelligent external noise analysis method for nonlinear maneuvering target. After recognizing maneuvering pattern of the target by the proposed method, we track the state of the target. The external noise can be divided into mere noise and acceleration using only the measurement. divided noise passes through the filtering step and acceleration is punched into dynamic model to compensate expected states. The acceleration is the most deterministic factor to the maneuvering. By dividing, approximating, and compensating the acceleration, we can reduce the tracking error effectively. We use the fuzzy c-means (FCM) clustering as the method to divide external noise. FCM can separate the acceleration from the noise without criteria. It makes the criteria with the data made by measurement at every sampling time. So it can show the adaptive tracking result. The proposed method proceeds the tracking target simultaneously with the learning process. Thus it can apply to the online system. The proposed method shows the remarkable tracking result on the linear and nonlinear maneuvering. Finally, some examples are provided to show the feasibility of the proposed algorithm.